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  1. #31
    Nice one bason.

  2. #32
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    Thanks. Nice win. Man U was much better in the second half.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  3. #33
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    Bury FC +280/Sunderland

    Taking the home team here at good odds in my opinion. Sunderland got a lucky draw last week and have to go to Norwich on Sunday. I see them resting some players today. Bury is a League One team that can score. Good value bet.

    Every Cup game went over yesterday.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  4. #34
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Update totals when home from Vegas

    EPL kicks off. Impressed by arsenal in preseason..

    Arsenal 10* to win 5*
    Arsenal -1 3.6* to win 3*

    mahreZ turbulent situation. No drinkwater? I see a rough start for
    Foxes. I see a nice 2-0/3-0 type game




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  5. #35
    Urban Achiever DZ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghKid View Post
    Update totals when home from Vegas

    EPL kicks off. Impressed by arsenal in preseason..

    Arsenal 10* to win 5*
    Arsenal -1 3.6* to win 3*

    mahreZ turbulent situation. No drinkwater? I see a rough start for
    Foxes. I see a nice 2-0/3-0 type game




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    First off, want to say GL to you, PK and hope you are enjoying Vegas.

    Few thoughts... no alexis for gunners, that hurts...yes, arsenal looked good winning community shield... AND while they have a great record against Leicester, 21 straight unbeaten and 9 or 10 straight wins I believe, take a look at their recent season openers where I think they have won only 1 in 7 matches. My approach is that it's opening week, early results can be volatile and laying off or playing small is the wise way to go. I won't be involved in this match (no Sanchez is a deal-breaker for me), BUT I do think that value can be found with unders in many opening weekend matches as the offenses will have some catching up to do with the defenses, especially with squads that have shaken up their front line (ie. Man U).

    Also, taking a hard look at Newcastle in their home opener. The 1/2 goal and the draw price both look appealing as I could easily see Tottenham getting off to a slow start... Meanwhile the Magpies and their supporters in attendance will be amped up for a premier league return after a year of relegation. I also think Newcastle can surprise this season as I really like Rafa Benitez as a manager (despite what anyone thinks of him personally) and this club will continue to show improvement. Welcoming thoughts on that one. GL to all.
    Last edited by DZ; 08-11-2017 at 10:57 AM.

  6. #36
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    DZ, we are on the same page! I really like Newcastle this week (I will admit that they are my favorite English team, it is a long story). I have had it circled for a while. Will have more on it later, but I am also anti-Spurs this year. I just do not see them having the same success this year. I will definitely be on Newcastle, but I am waiting as I think the GL will go to +1 since people love to bet the big Premier League favorites.

    I am still working on the Arsenal game. If I have a play, it will be on the total. The Championship last week proved that unders were the play opening week, but I am not sold on it for this game. Should also have a play in France. Will be up in a little while.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  7. #37
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    Nice-200/Arsenal-205 (1.23 payout)

    Little parlay here as I am not so confident in Arsenal as they typically struggle in opening games. I think Nice (1:00 start) will bounce back at home after losing last week.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  8. #38
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    Stade Rennes +.5 -120/Lyon

    Like them at home today. They only lost once at home last year excluding PSG and Monaco. Draw is a real possibility as they drew 14 games LY and only scored 36 goals in 38 games. Big overhaul of their roster as they looked to add some scoring. They drew on the road last week. Small play, but think it is worth a play.

    German Cup starts today! Some very interesting games.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  9. #39
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    All great points fellas. Just thought with no Sanchez they still have enough power up top.. wish I had the over .. arsenal have so much possession but some stupid and careless mistakes been costly .. I'd like to think they win the 2nd half? Anyone have thoughts or just stick with arsenal at this point ?


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  10. #40
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    Nice win on Arsenal Kid.

    They did get lucky though. I don't care what the idiot announcer says on NBC (who should be fired by the way), if you use your arm to control the ball it is a handball. Ozil's play was the definition of a handball. There is no question. A horrible, horrible decision by the referee. Inexcusable to me that there is no call. That ref starts the new season just as he did the last. He is atrocious.

    I need to do a better job of deciding which games to post. Sorry guys, I will not be posting any more League 1 games. I decided to post them instead of the German Cup games which was a big mistake. I knew Leverkusen and Gladbach would struggle. Sorry, just very frustrated today. I will do a better job going forward.
    Last edited by BASON; 08-11-2017 at 05:04 PM.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  11. #41
    Urban Achiever DZ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghKid View Post
    All great points fellas. Just thought with no Sanchez they still have enough power up top.. wish I had the over .. arsenal have so much possession but some stupid and careless mistakes been costly .. I'd like to think they win the 2nd half? Anyone have thoughts or just stick with arsenal at this point ?


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    Quite a meltdown late for the Foxes. Have to say, I wasn't shocked watching the second half. Arsenal dominated possession and gave themselves plenty of opportunities. Congrats on the win and the push, PK.

  12. #42
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DZ View Post
    Quite a meltdown late for the Foxes. Have to say, I wasn't shocked watching the second half. Arsenal dominated possession and gave themselves plenty of opportunities. Congrats on the win and the push, PK.
    Thanks buddy easy win lol... but arse al
    Ball Movement and chances were plentiful


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  13. #43
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Yea Bason if I had foxes in any way I'd prob be sick.. I didn't hear announcers. They had gold volume on at flamingo so didn't hear any of that conversation but just glad to get the win ... I know I'll have some unlucky ones throughout the year so I'll take it when I can get it


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  14. #44
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    Premier League

    Short write ups as I am still a little irritated.


    Palace -125

    I think Huddersfield is definitely going back down, so if Palace can not beat them at home they have serious problems of their own. Line is a little questionable to me as I thought it would be higher.


    Watford +1 -120

    Just a feeling that Liverpool struggles a little here as they have a tough Champion's League game coming up on Tuesday at Hoffenheim. Very important for them to advance, so think there focus is there rather than this game.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  15. #45
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Soccer 2017 August-December

    EPL
    Man City FH 3.9* to win 3*
    City/ Brighton FH over 1 3* to win 2*
    West ham +1.5 3.3* to win 3*


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  16. #46
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Premier League

    Watford +1 -120

    Just a feeling that Liverpool struggles a little here as they have a tough Champion's League game coming up on Tuesday at Hoffenheim. Very important for them to advance, so think there focus is there rather than this game.
    Sweet call here. Goals are flying in through two EPL games


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  17. #47
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    Thanks. Crazy start to the season.

    I think we will see goals in the Man City game also. Will play 1H and game, but going to wait to see how Palace does before I make the wagers.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  18. #48
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    Pathetic performance by Palace. They are now number 1 on the list for relegation.

    Playing City Over 1 1H -150 and Over 3 -115 for a good size play.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  19. #49
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    Really hate the way Brighton & Hove played that game. First game in the Premier League in forever, at home against a top team and you bunker down and pray for a 0-0 draw. Cowardly soccer in my opinion. They will be going back down. I would understand if it is the back end of the season and you need a result, but not in the opening game. Been a frustrating couple of days for me.

    Even though I am not thrilled with the offseason moves from Newcastle (they really should have made a move for a premier player), I think they, unlike Hove, will be a spirited group tomorrow. While I like their chances, I am making one play now, the over 2.5 -125. We should see goals here, if not, I may take a week or so off since my decision making seems a little off right now. I will play the game if the line goes to +1.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  20. #50
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    Shelvey handed them this game with a ridiculous red card. Tottenham was uninspired in the first half and ripe for the taking. Harry Kane looked bad in preseason and played the same today. Should have scored twice in this game. Just running cold right now, so will take a break.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  21. #51
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    I know I was taking a break, but I really like one play today, and while my league plays have not been great lately, I have been doing very well in the Champions League.

    Istanbul+.5-130. People don't know much about his team, but they can play. Plus, Turkey is a brutal place to play on the road. This team has not lost at home in over a year. It will very be a very hostile environment. Plus, Sevilla is not a very good road team. They have only won one game out of their last 10 Champions League away games. You get a good number here because people just play the Sevilla name and never heard of Istanbul. I will take the plus .5 every day with a team with their home record, with the added benefit here of Sevilla's poor road performance. I also sprinkled a little on the +250.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  22. #52
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    Seem to be cursed on here right now, so I will be taking a break from posting (I mean it this time). My system of posting limited plays is backfiring right now as everything else I am playing seems to win except for what I post, so seems like a good time to reevaluate.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  23. #53
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    -2.2* on year. Beginning of seasons as with last two have always been like
    Trucking through mud early on for me.. meh...
    sorry everyone for being mia a few days.. got back from Vegas on red eye Sunday morning then started tow a days Monday morning And been busy coaching since. Have a bit of time before bed and such so wanted to touch base. Favorite time of year for me with actual HS season starting. Plus pro soccer leagues underway

    Europa

    Ludogorets FH 19* to win 10* (steep early season but like it)
    Midtjylland +.5 3* to win 2*
    Bate 3.3* to win 3*
    Ac Milan FH -1 5* to win 4*

    EPL

    Leicester 4.2* to win 3*
    Huddersfield/Newcastle draw 1* to win 2.2*
    Man U -1 18* to win 10* right now they have to like this spot, very winnable games to collect points with no other competitions going on so focus is on these games.


    Adding a big future (play within means and at own risk but I like this)

    Man U wins a trophy 15* to win 15*
    (Major Trophies: England Premier League, FA Cup, League Cup & UEFA Champions League) from bovada




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  24. #54
    Urban Achiever DZ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Seem to be cursed on here right now, so I will be taking a break from posting (I mean it this time). My system of posting limited plays is backfiring right now as everything else I am playing seems to win except for what I post, so seems like a good time to reevaluate.
    Hey Bason, I know you've had a rough go of it lately posting plays, but I'd strongly encourage you to keep placing your thoughts and leans on games in this forum. We need you in here, despite how you might feel about you recent bad breaks. You are a solid football handicapper and, if anything, posting here keeps the gears turning and can help in the long run. So, if you feel inclined, please keep us informed of your thoughts on upcoming matches, whether you are betting them or not. I look forward to a solid run on posted plays when you feel like coming back. Don't be discouraged by short term adversity, especially this early in the season when outcomes are erratic.


  25. #55
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Seem to be cursed on here right now, so I will be taking a break from posting (I mean it this time). My system of posting limited plays is backfiring right now as everything else I am playing seems to win except for what I post, so seems like a good time to reevaluate.
    Quote Originally Posted by DZ View Post
    Hey Bason, I know you've had a rough go of it lately posting plays, but I'd strongly encourage you to keep placing your thoughts and leans on games in this forum. We need you in here, despite how you might feel about you recent bad breaks. You are a solid football handicapper and, if anything, posting here keeps the gears turning and can help in the long run. So, if you feel inclined, please keep us informed of your thoughts on upcoming matches, whether you are betting them or not. I look forward to a solid run on posted plays when you feel like coming back. Don't be discouraged by short term adversity, especially this early in the season when outcomes are erratic.

    I think DZ speaks for all of us here! Proven track record over a rough week or two. We all have hiccups


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  26. #56
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    Thanks DZ and Kid! I appreciate it. I remain confident in my plays, I am just frustrated that I keep posting the wrong games for the board. I play more than I post, but I do not like to post a lot of plays. It is a long story but my money management system for soccer is completely different than other sports. It is not something I think is best for others to adopt, especially those relatively new to soccer betting and without larger bankrolls, which is why I do not share.

    I simply want to post winners so you and others can benefit from my many years of experience capping this sport. Kid has created a great thread and I like the positivity in here, which is why I continue to post. I no longer share anywhere else on the web because I could not stand the negativity. I also no longer cap German games for a larger betting syndicate (another long story). You hit 70% of your plays for a couple weeks, then lose a few in a row and people are all over you. I now simply want to enjoy betting the game I love and hopefully be useful to a few others out there.

    Okay, enough of that. I will share what I played today.

    Ludogorets Ov 3 -115
    Panethinaikos +.5 -125
    Viitorul +.5 +110
    Brugge -130

    I do not love the Euro league as it is much less predictable than the Champion's League and I never make larger bets on the early rounds, but I do stick to the same betting strategy. I mostly favor home teams, especially ones playing better teams where I can get +.5 at home in the first leg. These teams may not have much of a chance on the road but have a good chance for at least a draw at home. Utrecht was solid yesterday and most of the home teams in the Champions League were money the last two days. Obviously, it doesn't always work out as Istanbul proved yesterday, but it has worked well for me over time. The format for these games provides unique gambling angles versus league games that can be exploited, especially for the second leg. Will expand more on that next week.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  27. #57
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghKid View Post

    Europa

    Ludogorets FH 19* to win 10* (steep early season but like it)
    Midtjylland +.5 3* to win 2*
    Bate 3.3* to win 3*
    Ac Milan FH -1 5* to win 4*

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    Adding Europa

    Fenerbahce -1 6* to win 4*
    Fenerbache -2 1* to win 2.2*

    Vardar has No more " stable"financial support (owner has up and left from what I heard? Maybe someone can fill
    Me in on this?) terrible new head coach from reports .. anyhow it doesn't sound good for them.



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  28. #58
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    Bayern -1.5 -150

    Not going to write much about this, but I will say that my bet will be multiples of what I lost on all these smaller games the last few days combined. Bayern has not looked great in the pre-season, but there is a reason this line is where it is and it will go to -2 everywhere overnight (I will play the -1.5 and -2). Last two years, Bayern has opened the season 6-0 and 5-0. They will make a statement again tomorrow night that this is their title to lose. Leverkusen looks worse than last year, has a terrible record at Bayern (30-6-3) and is a poor road team in general. 16 of the last 19 Bayern home wins are by 2 or more goals. 4-0 Bayern. Big play.

    Despite the kind words, I will be taking a break posting if I do not win this game. Not going to cost you guys any more money.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  29. #59
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    Sloppy game from Bayern as they could not finish like they usually do, plus I was not impressed with their back line, but a win is a win.


    Leicester -135. This line is off in my opinion. No way B&H should be getting any respect right now. I like the way Leicester played last week and I like them even more at home.

    Burnley +155/Pk-135. Another line that is drawing questions. Since when does West Brom get this much respect on the road where they won only 3 games last year? Burnley is a good home side which is the only reason they stayed up since they only got 3 points once on the road last year. They have already done that this year with the huge win last week. I do not see a let down in front of the home fans. I think they will be pumped and get a result here. I will play both lines with more on the Pk to hedge some against the draw.


    Mainz Even. Just not ready to buy Hannover on the road in the Bundesliga yet. Mainz barely stayed up last year, but they did what they needed to do at home against the lower part of the league. Think they get the win here.

    Leipzig/Schalke Ov 2.5 -115. Leipzig attacks and they were very strong on the road last year. Schalke only lost 4 games at home last year and I think they may have a more attacking style under Tedesco with a revamped midfield.


    Usually I would be all over the Bremen Ov 3, but I am a little cautious given its opening weekend combined with the fact that Hoffenheim is off a disappointing home Champions League loss to Liverpool. So going to lay off especially since I really like a couple games on Sunday.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  30. #60
    Quote Originally Posted by PittsburghKid View Post
    I think DZ speaks for all of us here! Proven track record over a rough week or two. We all have hiccups


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    I'd like to echo these thoughts. I always appreciate your plays and especially enjoy reading your well thought out write ups.

    Good luck and thanks for everything!

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