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  1. #241
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    Mourinho is a freaking idiot. He thinks he is so much smarter than everyone with the lineups he plays and is always trying to prove it. Well it blew up in his face today. Horrible loss for Man U today.

    At least Cardiff saved me from a bad day. No excuses for Villa. A really bad loss given Cardiff and Wolves win.

    Not the day I wanted, but it rarely is. We move on.

    Don't think the Bayern game is attractive. BTTS would be the best bet but very pricey. Not real motivation for Bayern's best effort here. They gave their A effort on Saturday and I expect some lineup changes.

    I don't think Chelsea has a chance tomorrow. They are not in good form, especially on the road. They will try to bunker down but once Barca breaks through I think it could get out of hand. They lost 3-0 to Roma in CL on the road and I expect a similar result tomorrow. I am playing Barca FH and GL. Decent size play for me.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  2. #242
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    Barca goes as scripted for a very profitable day!!

    Will have a couple smaller Euro plays up later.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  3. #243
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    Euro

    I like a few plays tomorrow but I am only playing one: Kiev+.5-130/+220

    Simply do not understand this line and I do not expect the +.5 to last overnight. I have made my feelings about playing in the Ukraine well known in here over the years. We had a nice hit with Shaktar last round and I expect the same tomorrow with Kiev. Plus, we have the added benefit of a 2-2 draw in the first game and we still have a +.5 line. I simply do not think Lazio it that much better. Also, Lazio is seriously fighting for position in Serie A, so I am not sure their head will be 100% in this game. All of this points to Dynamo being a nice value play. Will focus most of my play on the +.5 with a little on the +220.

    With the profits from the Barca play today and the value I see here, I do not think any other plays tomorrow are warranted. If I were to play more I would be on Zenit and Bilbao in a Pk as both are tough places to play.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  4. #244
    Very nice Barca win, Bason! Another EPL team falls, no surprise. I'll be joining you with Kiev, GL
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  5. #245
    9 EST: Colombia

    Deportivo Cali -1 -115 vs Once Caldas

    Another anti first place team play. Going smallish, these teams are only 7 league games in. Something else to follow with SU/ASU game. Go Orangemen



    D. Cali wins 2-1 = PUSH
    Last edited by Vig; 03-15-2018 at 09:48 AM.
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  6. #246
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    i'm gonna try AC Milan again and knowing Wengers "if we lose but still proceed, all good"-approach i don't think it's impossible for Milan to take win. Or even qualify, but it sure needs more effort than last two matches. They were pretty lucky to win Genova.

    AC Milan
    +½ -109 x 2
    to win +285
    to qualify +803

    other euro-plays
    Locomotiv Moscow +½ +102 and to win +370

    Kiev - Lazio DRAW +267
    U2½ +115

    gl

    forgot to mention that Milan has some line up problems in defence: Andrea Conti, Davide Calabria and Ignazio Abate are not playing.
    Last edited by Snafu; 03-15-2018 at 06:00 AM.
    Motto panukeiku !

  7. #247
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    swedish reds are fuking this up... they own pk for milan now.
    first welbek takes dive = penalty and then no pk for clear hand ball...


    HT plays:

    O10½ corners -105 ( now 5 )
    AC Milan tt O1½ -110 x 2 ( now 1 )

    Motto panukeiku !

  8. #248
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    Today is a perfect example of why Euro is difficult to handicap. Glad I took it easy.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  9. #249
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Today is a perfect example of why Euro is difficult to handicap. Glad I took it easy.
    I wish I knew Dortmund was going to phone it in...

  10. #250
    Registered User Snafu's Avatar
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    well, that didn't go well. Arse got now two wins where numbers don't show whole truth, they are still far away from a solid team and any top team should beat team. btw Arsenal takes over two weeks off before final part of the season.
    Motto panukeiku !

  11. #251
    Registered User Snafu's Avatar
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    Champions League quarter-final draw

    Barcelona v Roma
    Sevilla v Bayern Munich
    Juventus v Real Madrid
    Liverpool v Manchester City

    Euro league:

    Leipzig (GER) v Marseille (FRA)
    Arsenal (ENG) v CSKA Moskva (RUS)
    Atlético (ESP) v Sporting CP (POR)
    Lazio (ITA) v Salzburg (AUT)
    Motto panukeiku !

  12. #252
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    a few that grabbed my eye...let me know what you guys have any insight...all afternoon kickoffs

    FRA2...Auxerre +128...Chateauroux PK -114

    GER...Stuttgart PK +101

    IRE...Shamrock -108
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  13. #253
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    Germany game is a tough one. Freiburg needs a result at home where they play well. Stuttgart not so good on the road. This game has draw written all over it. Should be slow low scoring match.

    Small play on Monaco Ov 3-120. They should score 3 themselves.

    Sub, I would use Monaco is a larger ML parlay with a few tomorrow for your contest.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  14. #254
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Germany game is a tough one. Freiburg needs a result at home where they play well. Stuttgart not so good on the road. This game has draw written all over it. Should be slow low scoring match.

    Small play on Monaco Ov 3-120. They should score 3 themselves.

    Sub, I would use Monaco is a larger ML parlay with a few tomorrow for your contest.
    Thanks I am looking at putting together a parlay for tomorrow using those types of matches...lot to choose from on Saturday...the more I looked at the German match I tend to agree with you about the tempo, laying off that one...I have narrowed my pool down to Shamrock which at this point is my favorite play today and Aux ML in FRA2...let me know any thoughts on the Shamrockmatchup, I have it as a pretty large mismatch on paper
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  15. #255
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    Recent history in the Shamrock game is what would keep me off of it. They have only won outright in 1 of the last 10 between them. I am by no means an expert in that league, so that is all I really have to go on.

    I would look at Wolverhampton, Juve, and Napoli for your larger ML play. Also I like Fulham tomorrow, especially after QPR just beat Villa. All 5 should get you close to a 2.5 to 1 return. Take out Fulham and it is still better than even money. FA Cup games are always unpredictable so I would stay away there though Swansea +1 at home is very tempting to me!
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  16. #256
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    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Recent history in the Shamrock game is what would keep me off of it. They have only won outright in 1 of the last 10 between them. I am by no means an expert in that league, so that is all I really have to go on.

    I would look at Wolverhampton, Juve, and Napoli for your larger ML play. Also I like Fulham tomorrow, especially after QPR just beat Villa. All 5 should get you close to a 2.5 to 1 return. Take out Fulham and it is still better than even money. FA Cup games are always unpredictable so I would stay away there though Swansea +1 at home is very tempting to me!
    never had much luck with FA Cup myself but I know there are spots with some of the home sides that are good...To me it takes a lot of leg work to cap those games...I will look into the other ones you mentioned later today when things slow down...I'm still trying to get Spring Training numbers down before lineups are announced...thanks again man, gl today
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  17. #257
    9 EST: Mexico


    Eliminating first place Santos Laguna from winning which leaves Puebla pk -120 and Draw +215.

    Not putting the bet in until right before first kick, I'll monitor this line throughout the day. All things being equal then, play on Puebla GL, then as the game goes live, I'll look to add to Puebla through the game and sprinkle some on Draw as needed.

    Safest play if you don't plan to live bet is Puebla pk....


    If the line gets jumpy on Santos Laguna before tonight, then no bet...
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  18. #258
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    FRA2...Auxerre +128 (nickel)

    laying off Shamrock...too many unknown factors about this particular game...I did put Derry City into a parlay on the ML...making this one my only play today for a nickel...gl guys
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  19. #259
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    FRA2...Auxerre +128 (nickel)

    (Sakhi H.)Yattara M (2')
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  20. #260
    Urban Achiever DZ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Subcloser View Post
    FRA2...Auxerre +128 (nickel)

    (Sakhi H.)Yattara M (2')

  21. #261
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    Spoke to soon. Soccer has been my curse this week. Eating into all my NCAA and NBA profits.

  22. #262
    Quote Originally Posted by Vig View Post
    9 EST: Mexico


    Eliminating first place Santos Laguna from winning which leaves Puebla pk -120 and Draw +215.

    Not putting the bet in until right before first kick, I'll monitor this line throughout the day. All things being equal then, play on Puebla GL, then as the game goes live, I'll look to add to Puebla through the game and sprinkle some on Draw as needed.

    Safest play if you don't plan to live bet is Puebla pk....


    If the line gets jumpy on Santos Laguna before tonight, then no bet...

    There's been some movement, overall trend is still a go on Puebla....now pk -135. Worst case looking like a draw = push on the GL
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  23. #263
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    Have a feeling that Swansea plays the Spurs tough tomorrow at home, so I will take the +1. Never do that well in the FA Cup, but I like betting against the Spurs and Swansea has done well, especially at home, since the coaching change. Spurs have been less than impressive in the Cup, but that was against lesser teams they thought they would walk over. Maybe they show up tomorrow since this is the only title they can win, but I think they have a tough time, especially without Kane. Small play since I need something to watch when I get up!!

    Playing Fulham -1 early in the Championship. Must win home game for them and I think QPR is happy with their big win against Villa last week. This result will depend on whether I play more in the Championship. Love the Wolves, but will likely play the over if Fulham covers. Also looking at Middlesborough in a Pk.
    "Two tears in a bucket, motherf*@#k it!", Lady Chablis

  24. #264
    Added more to Puebla, now starting with a lesser amount on draw
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  25. #265
    Big loss, Santos Laguna scores 79' to win. Have not seen a first place underdog like this win in two years of soccer capping. Back at it tomorrow
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  26. #266
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    504 Millwall (ENG-Cham) pk,-½ +115 (3 cents)

    first one of the day...starts in about 30 minutes...You could go with a straight pk here, with Millwall being on the road and normally leaning toward the lower scoring type games a draw is a possibility...Recent form suggests they would control play throughout

    other leans I have run into in the early batch of games I am capping

    Notts County pk -121
    Liverpool -519 (parlay perhaps???)
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  27. #267
    Quote Originally Posted by Subcloser View Post
    Liverpool -519 (parlay perhaps???)

    Maybe consider adding PSV Eindhoven to a parlay -500 @ Bo. Coming back home off a massacre like they haven't suffered this year....
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  28. #268
    12 EST: Turkey


    Fenerbahce pk -160/ML +115 vs Galatasaray

    Like I said, back at it......4th place favored over 1st place...
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

  29. #269
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    507 Hull City (ENG-Cham) +137
    525 Preston (ENG-Cham) pk,-½ -117
    569 Peterborough (ENG-1) pk -123
    578 Shrewsbury (ENG-1) pk +117
    617 Carlisle (ENG-2) -101
    631 Draw (Luton Town (ENG-2) vs Newport County (ENG-2)) +253
    2354 Airdrie (SCO-1)/Alloa (SCO-1) Over 2½,3 +113

    3 cents each


    ended up playing Notts County at a pk
    YTD 2015-16...434-330 (57%)...+113.07
    NHL...86-63 (58%)...+32.66
    NBA...67-45 (60%)...+27.51
    NCAA BB...100-81 (55%)...+13.40
    MLB...180-140 (56%)...+39.43

  30. #270
    Adding Werder Bremen pk +115 in Bundesliga
    IT'S CLOBBERIN' TIME

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