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  1. #1111
    Monday's Playoff Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Eastern Conference First Round – Game 2

    No. 6 Brooklyn at No. 3 Philadelphia (TNT, 8 p.m. ET) -- Nets lead 1-0


    Apr. 13 - Nets (+7.5) 111 at 76ers 102 (Under 228)

    2018-19 Regular Season (Split 2-2, Over 3-1)
    Nov. 4 – Nets (+4) 122 vs. 76ers 97 (Under 224)
    Nov. 25 – 76ers (-4.5) 127 at Nets 125 (Over 226)
    Dec. 12 – Nets (+6) 127 at 76ers 123 (Over 224.5)
    Mar. 28 - 76ers (-7) 123 vs. Nets 110 (Over 231.5)

    Philadelphia center Joel Embiid is again ‘questionable’ for Game 2.

    He wore the same designation prior to the series opener, warming up to see how his knee would hold up before ultimately playing 24 minutes in the 76ers’ 111-102 setback against the Nets. It’s pretty obvious to anyone who watched him play this season that he’s hurt. There’s a lack of explosiveness compared to what he normally brings to the table. Of course, Embiid at 80 percent is much better than almost everyone else at full strength, so if he’s able to suit up and get through warmups, Philadelphia can count on the production of the game’s top center to help even things up.

    Embiid wasn’t the problem in Saturday afternoon’s defeat since he finished with 22 points, 15 boards and five blocks while playing much less than he ordinarily would have. He drew a pair of fouls on counterpart Jarrett Allen inside the game’s first minute, so Philly had the visiting Nets right where they wanted them early. You would have expected them to continue playing through their All-Star center in the post, taking advantage of working inside-out the way few other teams are capable of, especially with Brooklyn’s top rim protector in foul trouble. Instead, Embiid fired up a 3-pointer and floated around the perimeter and the sets that were used produced very little.

    Boban Marjanovic replaced Embiid five minutes in, part of Philly’s usual rotation since Brett Brown likes to come back in with his best player later in the quarter after a short break, so there wasn’t a lot to take from a first quarter where both teams appeared to be feeling one another out. Brooklyn was going to ride the 3-ball and got a lot of its rotation involved immediately with Jared Dudley, Spencer Dinwiddie, Caris LeVert and Ed Davis all getting their feet wet by the 4:00 mark.

    Philadelphia seemingly cleared the Embiid hurdle but struggled to see Tobias Harris and J.J. Redick, its top 3-point shooters, find the range. Ultimately, it caught up with the 76ers when Brooklyn closed the opening quarter on a 12-0 run fueled by the energy provided by its bench. They were stuck playing from behind the rest of the way and failed to rattle the Nets enough to get them to fumble away the result.

    If you’re into finger-pointing, there is plenty of blame to go around for why the 76ers find themselves in what feels like the first must-win situation of the postseason. While they would certainly still have a legitimate shot to get out of the series even if they fall behind 2-0, the Nets hosting three of the final five games would make them the series favorite. As things stand now, series odds still favor Philly (-215) over Brooklyn (+180), but anyone who rode the Nets to pull the upset at 5-to-1 before Game 1 has to be thrilled.

    Butler dominated to finish with 36 points, helping the Sixers hang around, but where he excelled as a playmaker, Ben Simmons failed miserably. The backcourt comprised by him and Redick was a minus-21. The Nets successfully sagged on him, daring him to shoot, so he ended up just 4-for-9. Worse yet, he had just three assists since Butler was playing catalyst and further dragged the team down by shooting 1-for-5 on free throws. Redick, Harris and Mike Scott, the team’s designated long-range threats who have to punish defenses for the way they play Embiid and Simmons, shot 2-for-14 from beyond the arc. Embiid, in part hoping to lighten the load on his sore knees, crept around the perimeter too much for my taste and missed all five of his 3-point attempts.

    If you’re looking to ride Philadelphia in a game it has to have, be sure you tail Embiid’s status all day and have faith that the team isn’t likely to have a 3-point shooting night as terrible as they had on Saturday. Missing 22 of 25 is hard to do.

    From the Nets standpoint, they have to be encouraged that they got on the board in the series first without All-Star guard D’Angelo Russell being particularly dominant. He led the team with 26 points, but committed four turnovers and ended up a minus-10 in his time on the floor. Dinwiddie scored 18 off the bench while Ed Davis finished a plus-28 while racking up 12 points and 16 rebounds, so the 76ers must do a better job keeping him from making such an impact on the boards. Brooklyn might have young starlets like Russell and Allen, but its sole rides with its journeymen, overachievers like Davis, Dinwiddie, De’Marre Carroll, Joe Harris and Dudley. Those guys have been told multiple times they wouldn’t make it and defied odds, which makes them extremely dangerous as they try to climb the mountain against the more talented 76ers.

    The total for Game 2 opened at 226, which is two points (228) lower than the closing number in Saturday’s opener. Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his thoughts on Monday’s number.

    “The 76ers getting held to 102 points at home by the Nets had nothing to do with Brooklyn’s defense and everything to do with making shots. Philly couldn’t buy a bucket from the outside, going 3-of-25 (12%) from 3-point land and missing 13 free throws certainly didn’t help their cause either,” said David. “I’m expecting a big rebound from Philadelphia, especially in the first quarter. Getting held to 22 points in the first 12 minutes was well below their season average (31.2 PPG) and that slow start on Saturday gave the Nets the confidence they needed. The 76ers only lost back-to-back games at home twice during the regular season and I’d ride that trend here, with the offense coming together. Along with a lean to the ‘over’ (55 ½) in the first quarter, I’d ride the Philadelphia Team Total Over (117) as well.”

    In case Embiid can’t go, it’s worth knowing that Philly went 8-10 without him in the lineup. The 76ers will likely push tempo if they can help it to get Simmons and Harris in a better flow in transition. If Embiid does suit up, I’m a fan of the first-quarter ‘over.’ The series shifts to Brooklyn for Game 3 on Thursday.


    Western Conference First Round – Game 2

    No. 8 L.A. Clippers at No. 1 Golden State (TNT, 10:30 p.m. ET) -- Warriors lead 1-0


    Apr. 13 - Warriors (-13.5) 121 vs. Clippers 104 (Under 233)

    2018-19 Regular Season (Warriors 3-1, Split 2-2)
    Nov. 12 - Clippers (+3.5) 121 vs. Warriors 116 (Over 226.5)
    Dec. 23 – Warriors (-11) 129 vs. Clippers 127 (Over 234)
    Jan. 18 – Warriors (-7.5) 112 at Clippers 94 (Under 241.5)
    Apr. 7 – Warriors (-11.5) 131 vs. Clippers 104 (Under 237.5)

    Any questions over whether we should be concerned about Stephen Curry’s latest foot injury, a slight sprain suffered in Game 81, got an emphatic ‘no’ as an answer on Saturday night.

    The Warriors’ guard became the most prolific 3-point shooter in NBA playoff history by making eight in a 121-104 Game 1 win, knocking down eight en route to 38 points. He added a playoff career-high 15 rebounds and seven assists for good measure just so we’re all sure, displaying tremendous energy in his activity. He’s locked in and healthy.

    We’ll see whether complacency sets in at some point this postseason, but Golden State and its crowd was tremendous in the series-opening win over the Clippers, which included the reserves holding off any hopes of an L.A. backdoor cover in the final minutes. The Warriors shot just under 50 percent from the field, finished 14-for-30 from 3-point range and missed just three of 20 free-throws, sparing little in frustrating Clippers-backers who were counting on at least a cover given such a large number.

    Unlike the Eastern Conference’s 1-8 series where the Pistons seemingly had no chance against the Bucks going in, even if Blake Griffin can go, the West’s 1-8 features a team that won 48 games and is bolstered by the league’s highest-scoring bench. L.A.’s bench led the NBA averaging 53.2 points this season, and it came in looking to swing games in this series behind key reserves like Sixth Man of the Year lock Lou Williams and big forward Montrezl Harrell, whose energy and post production is typically an asset. That duo combined to score 51 points in the Game 1 loss, so the Clips were at least successful in fulfilling one of their goals despite the loss.

    The key to hanging around in the series will be to keep the Warriors from getting as comfortable as they managed to in the opener, which is why you saw irritant Patrick Beverley get up in Kevin Durant’s face late in a contest that was already decided on Saturday night. The Clippers have no answer for Durant, who averaged 27.0 points, 8.5 rebounds, 6.8 assists in his four regular-season games against them and finished with 23 points in 32 minutes in Game 1. Beverley defended him despite giving up roughly 10 inches in height and was hoping to get a rise out of Durant to try and throw off the Warriors’ All-Star.

    Expect L.A. to go back to that well again given the volatile nature of guys like Draymond Green, DeMarcus Cousins and Durant, hoping one of them will take themselves out of the equation. It was amusing to see Cousins get after Green early in Game 1 when he went after an official, chastising him to keep his head in the game. It worked too. Green punished the Clippers for playing off him and shot 7-for-12 from the field, including 2-for-4 from 3-point range. Considering what a liability he was shooting it earlier this season, the fact he’s gotten some of his confidence back is a major development that could ultimately play x-factor in the Warriors winning a third straight title.

    Golden State opened the postseason as a 2-to-7 favorite (-350) at Westgate to win the West and 1-to-2 (-200) to win the NBA title, so we’ll see whether their odds are ever better than the present going foward.

    With Cousins on board, the Warriors are more talented than they’ve ever been. They were 23-7 in games he’s played in and then added Andrew Bogut to add another rim protector to the mix. Draymond Green shot 34 percent from 3-point range in March and 38.5 in April, improving his season clip to 28.5 percent. If he can avoid being a liability in that department, Steve Kerr’s team has no real weaknesses.

    The Clippers have beaten the Warriors only once, posting a 121-116 OT win at Staples in a game that featured Harris, Marcin Gortat and Mike Scott, all of whom are now gone. Curry didn’t play in that contest. Golden State has lost just two of the last 18 games it has played against the Clippers at Oracle since 2012 and is 27-11 in that span, which includes a 16-2 run since ’15. Doc Rivers has done a fantastic job rolling with the punches over the past few years and may have just engineered his best coaching job, but the fact is that he hasn’t been able to solve the Warriors and now has to deal with Cousins thrown in the mix against an undersized frontcourt once you get past center Ivica Zubac.

    For the nightcap from Oakland, David believes another blowout should be expected unless Los Angeles connects at a very high percentage offensively.

    “I believe Doc Rivers has done an incredible job with this team but L.A. padded it’s record versus losing clubs this season and it the offense hasn’t traveled against quality opponents. When listed as a road ‘dog, the team went 10-18 SU and 13-14-1 ATS, which includes Saturday’s loss in Game 1. Since the All-Star break, they’re 2-4 in that role and the defense has allowed 122.8 PPG in the losses. Since Doc arrived in Los Angeles, the Clippers are just 2-14 in their last 16 games (7-9 ATS) at Golden State,” explained David.

    “If you’re leaning to the ‘dog, a better look could be the Clippers Team Total Over (107 ½) on Monday. The last four road covers for Los Angeles in this series watched the team score 113, 125, 127 and 127 points. All of those games went ‘over’ as well and after seeing a barrage of ‘under’ tickets cash this weekend, seeing things balance out in the Game 2’s is likely.”

    The series shifts to L.A. for Game 3 on Thursday.

  2. #1112
    MONDAY, APRIL 15
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    LAC at GS 10:30 PM

    GS -13.5

    U 234.0

  3. #1113
    Simmons triple-double leads 76ers to Game 2 win over Nets
    April 15, 2019
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    PHILADELPHIA (AP) Ben Simmons got an earful from the Philly crowd.

    With the same 76ers fans Simmons put on blast for booing in the playoff opener now going wild in Game 2, Simmons cupped a hand to his right ear just like Allen Iverson's signature move to spur the cheers even louder.

    And he did it with Iverson rooting on the Sixers from courtside.

    Simmons had 18 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds and the Philadelphia 76ers had an answer for the pesky Brooklyn Nets in a 145-123 win to even their Eastern Conference playoff series Monday night.

    ''I was just trying to be me,'' Simmons said.

    Simmons had a disastrous Game 1 , on the court (nine points) and from a PR perspective after he criticized fans for booing during a game the Sixers were never really in. He backtracked the next day at practice and never gave another 20,591 fans a chance to do anything but roar in approval in Game 2. Simmons flashed the All-Star form that helped lead the Sixers to 51 wins, and was aggressive from tipoff. He used his size and speed to attack the lane and scored 16 points in the half en route to his second career postseason triple-double.

    The Sixers busted the game open with a 14-0 run to start the second half and then stretched the lead to 20 on a Simmons steal and fastbreak basket. With a packed house standing, Simmons got a massive ovation when he cupped his hand to his right ear just like Iverson did in his prime.

    ''I was thinking about the boos from the last game,'' Simmons said, smiling. ''I have a lot of love for this city.''

    Iverson and former Sixers teammate Dikembe Mutombo attended the game and tossed T-shirts into the crowd.

    Had Mutombo played in this one, the Nets surely would have received one of his signature finger wags.

    ''Everybody's got to bring it,'' Sixers All-Star center Joel Embiid said. ''We need everybody.''

    The Sixers got a little something from everybody in this one.

    The Nets collapsed in the second half, outplayed and overmatched much as expected by pundits and bookmakers (they were 7.5-point Game 2 underdogs). The Sixers scored 51 points on 18 of 25 shooting and made all 11 free throws in the third.

    ''We expect a haymaker,'' Nets coach Kenny Atkinson said before the game. ''We know it's coming. They're too good, too talented. too well coached. It's coming. It's going to be how we react.''

    Not well.

    Embiid shook off another game-time decision to play through tendinitis in his left knee and delivered after a sluggish Game 1. Embiid scored 13 points in the third as the Sixers raced to a 29-point lead.

    ''Whenever I'm out there, I kind of forget about the pain and just try and do the right things,'' Embiid said.

    On a minutes restriction, Embiid had some unexpected help from popular backup Boban Marjanovic. He scored 14 points in the first half (only Simmons had more with 16) and let the Sixers find a comfort level on offense with Embiid out for long stretches.

    ''This is just the path we're on with Joel,'' coach Brett Brown said. ''There is zero doubt he is our crown jewel.''

    Embiid was whistled for a flagrant foul for throwing an elbow at Jarrett Allen late in the half and the Sixers nursing a 65-64 lead.

    ''I got him pretty good and I'm sorry about it,'' Embiid said, laughing at the pseudo apology.

    Embiid had 23 points and 10 rebounds, and Marjanovic scored 16.

    Embiid played ball boy and had the crowd laughing when he hopped off the bench to wipe off a basketball.

    The Sixers mopped the floor with the Nets.

    The Nets head home for Games 3 and 4 certainly grateful for a split and at least a half of good basketball before the Sixers picked them apart. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 19 points and D'Angelo Russell had 16.

    ''I know the Barclays Center is going to be jumping in there,'' Russell said. ''The buzz around the city is what we needed.''

    TIP-INS

    Nets: C Jared Dudley sat out with tightness in his right calf.

    76ers: Mutombo, who helped lead the Sixers to the 2001 finals, rang the ceremonial bell. Iverson moved from his courtside seat to a suite to sit with actor Jamie Foxx.

    PLENTY OF POINTS

    The Sixers topped the 141 points scored in a 1967 playoff game against the San Francisco Warriors to set a team franchise record.

    UP NEXT


    The series shifts to Barclays Center for Game 3 Thursday night and Game 4 Saturday.

  4. #1114
    Clippers stun Warriors with record comeback
    April 16, 2019
    By The Associated Press


    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Landry Shamet hit a go-ahead 3-pointer with 16.5 seconds left, Stephen Curry couldn't answer on the other end, and the Los Angeles Clippers climbed back from a 31 points down to stun the Golden State Warriors 135-131 on Monday night and even their first-round playoff series at one game apiece.

    It was a historic comeback that topped a 29-point rally by the Los Angeles Lakers in the 1989 Western Conference semis over Seattle.

    Curry scored 29 points and put the Warriors up 131-128 with 58 seconds left before Shamet's dagger on a night the two-time defending NBA champions lost DeMarcus Cousins to a leg injury in the first quarter.

    Lou Williams tied the game on a jumper with 1:10 to play then Curry immediately answered. Williams scored again at 46 seconds and finished with 36 points and made 8 of 10 free throws in as the teams combined for 64 fouls and 76 free throws attempted.

    Cousins injured his left quadriceps muscle in the first quarter and was done for the game, but Golden State's depth shined and the Warriors built a 23-point halftime lead they pushed to a 31-point advantage failing to hold off Los Angeles late.

    76ERS 145, NETS 123

    PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Ben Simmons had 18 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds and the 76ers had an answer for the pesky Nets in a win to even their Eastern Conference playoff series.

    Simmons had a disastrous Game 1, on the court (nine points) and from a PR perspective after he criticized fans for booing during a game the Sixers were never really in. He backtracked the next day at practice and never gave another 20,591 fans a chance to do anything but roar in approval in Game 2. Simmons flashed the All-Star form that helped lead the Sixers to 51 wins, and was aggressive from tipoff. He used his size and speed to attack the lane and scored 16 points in the half - and then put the game away in the third.

    The Sixers busted the game open with a 14-0 run to start the second half and then stretched the lead to 20 on a Simmons steal and fastbreak basket. With a packed house standing, Simmons got a massive ovation when he cupped his hand to his right ear just like Iverson did in his prime.

    Iverson and former Sixers teammate Dikembe Mutombo attended the game and tossed T-shirts into the crowd.


    ***************************


    DeMarcus Cousins injures left quadriceps early in Game 2
    April 15, 2019
    By The Associated Press


    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Starting Warriors center DeMarcus Cousins injured his left quadriceps muscle in the first quarter of Monday night's Game 2 in the first round of the playoffs against the Clippers and was done for the night.

    Golden State said Cousins wouldn't return and was scheduled to undergo an MRI exam in the next 24 hours after he got hurt in just his second career playoff game following a nine-year wait. The big man returned in January from a nearly year-long absence following surgery for a torn left Achilles tendon.

    He hobbled to the locker room at the 8:09 mark of the first quarter. At the 8 1/2-minute mark Cousins stole the ball from Patrick Beverley in the back court and tried to retrieve the loose ball when went down in front of the Golden State bench and grabbed at his left quad.

    Cousins fouled out of Saturday's 121-104 Game 1 win with nine points, nine rebounds and four assists in 21 minutes.

  5. #1115
    Warriors squander 31-point lead, Clippers tie series at 1-1
    April 15, 2019
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    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Landry Shamet hit a go-ahead 3-pointer with 16.5 seconds left, Stephen Curry couldn't answer on the other end, and the Los Angeles Clippers climbed back from a 31 points down to stun the Golden State Warriors 135-131 on Monday night and even their first-round playoff series at one game apiece.

    It was a historic comeback that topped a 29-point rally by the Los Angeles Lakers in the 1989 Western Conference semis over Seattle.

    Curry scored 29 points and put the Warriors up 131-128 with 58 seconds left before Shamet's dagger on a night the two-time defending NBA champions lost DeMarcus Cousins to a leg injury in the first quarter.

    Lou Williams tied the game on a jumper with 1:10 to play then Curry immediately answered. Williams scored again at 46 seconds and finished with 36 points and made 8 of 10 free throws in as the teams combined for 64 fouls and 76 free throws attempted.

    Cousins injured his left quadriceps muscle in the first quarter and was done for the game, but Golden State's depth shined and the Warriors built a 23-point halftime lead they pushed to a 31-point advantage failing to hold off Los Angeles late.

    Williams' jumper and three-point play with 5:34 left pulled the Clippers within 120-117 then he rebounded his own miss and scored the putback at the 5:05 mark and cut it to 121-119.

    Kevin Durant drove through the paint past Montrezl Harrell for a one-handed jam and three-point play with 2:48 left, then went at Harrell the next time down and was whistled for the offensive foul. Durant fouled out with three straight offensive fouls.

    Cousins was scheduled to undergo an MRI exam after the injury in just his second career playoff game following a nine-year wait. The big man returned in January from a nearly year-long absence following surgery for a torn left Achilles tendon.

    His status for Game 3 on Thursday at Staples Center is in serious doubt.

    Cousins hobbled to the locker room at the 8:09 mark of the first quarter. At the 8 1/2-minute mark Cousins stole the ball from Patrick Beverley in the back court and tried to retrieve the loose ball when went down in front of the Golden State bench and grabbed at his left quad.

    LeBron James tweeted prayers for Cousins, who fouled out of Saturday's 121-104 Game 1 win with nine points, nine rebounds and four assists in 21 minutes.

    Kevon Looney picked up the bulk of the extra minutes in Cousins' absence and scored a career-high 19 points making all six of his shots but the Warriors had their seven-game postseason winning streak snapped that dated to last year's run to a repeat championship. Durant had 21 points, five rebounds and five assists, Klay Thompson scored 17 points and Draymond Green 14 with nine assists.

    Curry followed up a 38-point performance in Game 1 to give him the most 3s in postseason history with another nice showing but Golden State hurt itself with too many miscues.

    The Warriors committed 21 turnovers in Game 1, then 22 more Monday - nine by Durant.

    Los Angeles wanted to do a better job stopping the late bursts each quarter the Warriors had in Game 1, and the Clippers were somehow able to claw their way back.

    Both coaches challenged their teams to be more poised in Game 2 following the ejections of Beverley and Durant in the opener. Beverley again pushed the limits but the sides avoided a testy encore, and he fouled out with 4:33 to go to roaring cheers from the sellout crowd. Durant left at 1:21.

    DURANT'S APOLOGY

    At morning shootaround, Durant apologized for being tossed from Game 1.

    The two-time reigning finals MVP has two technicals, and if he reaches seven during the postseason it brings an automatic one-game supsension.

    ''I don't want to disappoint my coaches and my fan base and owners who expect me to be out on the floor, so I apologize for being thrown out the game,'' Durant said. ''Just keep my mouth shut, just play the game. Simple.''

    DOC APPRECIATES GOOD DEED

    Doc Rivers dropped $2,000 cash on the street in San Francisco earlier in the day - and offered a pregame ''shoutout'' to the man with the integrity to return the money.

    ''Kept walking, didn't know it. The guy tapped me on the back and said, `that's your money,''' Rivers shared. ''I don't know a lot of places that that would happen, but it happened today, so whoever that was he could have had free tickets if you hadn't ran away.''

    TIP-INS

    Clippers: Williams scored 17 points in the third to match Chris Paul's postseason franchise record done May 5, 2014, against Oklahoma City. ... The L.A. backups scored another 83 points after getting 65 in the opener. In fact, in Game 1, Harrell (26) and Williams (25) were the first teammates to come off the bench and score 25 or more points in a postseason game since bench stats began in 1970-71, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

    Warriors: With his 129th career playoff game, Durant passed coach Steve Kerr for 73rd place on the NBA's all-time list. ... C Andrew Bogut (419) moved by Clifford Ray (411) for sixth place on the Warriors' career postseason rebounds list.

  6. #1116
    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY APRIL 16, 2019
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:05 PM Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
    9:05 PM San Antonio Spurs Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
    10:35 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter


    **************************

    NBA PLAYOFF RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    04/15/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    04/14/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
    04/13/2019 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50

    Totals..............11-7-0 61.11% +16.50


    ******************************


    BEST BETS:

    DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS


    04/15/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50....................0 - 1.................-5.50...............-11.00
    04/14/2019.............2 - 2.....................-1.00....................2 - 2.................-1.00...............-2.00
    04/13/2019.............3 - 0.....................+15.00.................3 - 0.................+15.00............+30.00

    Totals.....................5 - 3.....................+8.50.................5 - 3.................+8.50................+17.00

  7. #1117
    Tuesday’s 6-pack

    Since 2001, longest streaks of consecutive games reaching base:
    63— Orlando Cabrera
    57— Barry Bonds
    56— Ryan Klesko
    53— Alex Rodriguez
    52— Shin-Soo Choo, Kevin Millar
    50— Gary Sheffield

    Quote of the Day
    “Just the way he gave the deadline. He’s been a tremendous player there for them, but to me, that gives just enough ammo for the fans out there to not really like that and enough for the Seahawks to maybe do what they’ve done, jettisoning some of their other players before they overpay.”
    Former Raiders coach Jack del Rio

    Tuesday’s quiz
    How many major league teams has Terry Francona managed?

    Monday’s quiz
    Russell Wilson played college football for NC State and Wisconsin.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Hubie Brown coached the Kentucky Colonels in the ABA.

    *****************************

    Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) You never know about team chemistry, what goes on behind closed doors.

    Last week, Marquette G Markus Howard announced he was coming back for his senior year, which was surprising, considering the kid had skipped his senior year of HS to begin college when he was 17 years old. But you figured it was very good news for Marquette.

    Yesterday, brothers Sam/Joey Hauser announced they’re in the transfer portal, and will be leaving Marquette, which was really almost shocking news. As Darren MacGavin said in The Natural, “Something is amiss”

    You don’t have to be Columbo to come to the conclusion that the Hauser brothers didn’t enjoy playing basketball with Markus Howard.

    12) Fred Hoiberg is the new coach at Nebraska; in 2011, he quickly upgraded Iowa State’s program by bringing in transfers. Nebraska is the early favorite to land the Hauser brothers.

    11) In his last two starts, hitters swung at 103 of Jacob deGrom’s pitches:
    — 24 misses (23.3%)
    — 52 foul balls (50.5%)
    — 27 balls in play, with 13 of those hits (.481). Not good.

    Last year and in his first two starts this year, hitters swung at 1,725 of deGrom’s pitches:
    — 504 misses (29.2%),
    — 645 foul balls (37.4%)
    — 533 balls in play, with 188 of those hits (.353) Very good.

    Something to track moving forward; he’s having trouble putting hitters away.

    10) The gambler who won $1.19M betting on Eldrick Woods at The Masters? The guy is from Wisconsin; apparently it was the first-ever sports bet.

    First sports bet he ever makes and its for $85,000? Wow.

    9) Non-sports question: Why would someone pay $500,000 so their kid could get into a college? I don’t care if it is USC, Harvard, DeVry University or Ouachita Baptist; whats the point?

    If the kid isn’t smart enough to get in the school in the first place, how will they do enough work to get a diploma? Or does the $500K cover that, too? Too many weasels in the world today.


    8) Rockies 5, Padres 2— Colorado scored a run in 2nd inning for first time this season; they still haven’t scored in the first inning.

    Under is 21-5-3 in Colorado’s last 29 road games.

    7) Baseball injuries:
    — Rockies put C Chris Iannetta (lat strain) on the IL.
    — Phillies put P David Robertson (elbow) on the IL.
    — Angels put P Tyler Skaggs (ankle) on the IL.
    — Braves put P Jonny Venters (calf) on the IL.

    6) Clippers 135, Warriors 131- Golden State blew a 31-point lead, may have lost DeMarcus Cousins with a torn quad muscle. Series is even, 1-1.

    Sidebar to Clippers-Warriors series is that Doc Rivers’ daughter is engaged to Portland G Seth Curry, who is Steph Curry’s brother.

    5) Brewers 10, Cardinals 7— In five games vs St Louis this season, Christian Yelich has seven homers, 15 RBI.

    4) AA Arkansas Travelers didn’t get a hit Sunday, but they beat Tulsa 1-0 in 10 innings.

    Starting this year in extra innings in minor league games, innings start with a runner on 2nd base, an incredibly stupid innovation; the run Arkansas scored came in on a bases loaded walk.

    I’d rather see tie games than have innings start with a runner on second base.

    3) Sacramento Kings fired coach Dave Joerger last week; turns out Joerger wanted the Kings to draft Luka Doncic instead of Marvin Bagley Jr. Maybe Joerger should be the Kings’ GM.

    2) RIP to coach John MacLeod, who passed away over the weekend at age 81.

    When I was in college, I wrote several letters to coaches around the country, asking how they used statistics (what is called analytics today) in their coaching. Thats how I put myself thru college, as a student manager of the basketball team— we did some interesting stuff with stats.

    MacLeod was one of the few people who took the time to answer me, and I always appreciated that. RIP, sir.

    1) They ran the Boston Marathon Monday; running 26 miles (and 365 yards) seems excessive to me. Hell, if I drive my car 26 miles I’m looking for a Wendy’s or a McDonald’s. But more power to the people who are way tougher than me. Hope you all had fun.
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 04-16-2019 at 01:44 AM.

  8. #1118
    Tuesday's Tip Sheet
    April 15, 2019
    By Kevin Rogers


    Game 2 – Magic at Raptors – 8:05 PM EST – TNT
    Orlando leads series, 1-0


    Although both these teams won their respective divisions, many people believed that Toronto would cruise past Orlando. There is still a long way to go in this series, but the Magic stunned the Raptors, 104-101 in Game 1 on Saturday to pick up the franchise’s first playoff victory since 2012 against Indiana. However, the Magic went on to lose the next four games and get knocked out, 4-1.

    In the series opener against the Raptors, it was a tale of who would have the ball last as Toronto led by five after one quarter, but Orlando stormed back to grab a 57-49 halftime advantage. The Raptors rallied to take a one-point lead heading into the final quarter as the two went back and forth before D.J. Augustin’s three-pointer with five seconds remaining to go ahead for good.

    Orlando cashed as 9 ½-point underdogs, which was the biggest ‘dog to win outright this past weekend. Augustin knocked down 4-of-5 three-point attempts, while scoring 25 points as seven Magic players finished in double-figures. The Magic overcame terrible shooting performances from Nikola Vucevic (3-of-14) and Terrence Ross (2-of-11), but Orlando converted 18-of-20 free throw attempts to beat Toronto for the third time in five tries this season.

    Kawhi Leonard paced the Raptors with 25 points in his first playoff game since Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals against Golden State in 2017. However, point guard Kyle Lowry was held scoreless on 0-for-7 shooting, as Toronto slipped to 1-9 in the last 10 playoff series openers since 2014.

    The Magic have stepped up on the road of late by compiling a 5-2 SU/ATS record in the last seven games away from central Florida. Orlando was riding a seven-game OVER streak prior to the UNDER of 212 in Game 1, while Toronto compiled a 7-2 mark to the OVER in its previous nine home playoff games before the UNDER on Saturday.

    The total on Game 2 opened at 210 ½ and the early action pushed the number up to 212. Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his thoughts on the second installment from Canada.

    He explained, “The total on Game 1 opened at 216 but closed at 212 ½ and even though the ‘under’ cashed, bettors had to put in a full 48 minutes and they were fortunate to avoid overtime as well. At the end of the day, Saturday’s total result was decided by Toronto’s 19-point effort in the second quarter and Orlando’s 18-point third quarter. The Raptors fell in love with the 3-point shot in the loss as they hoisted up 36 attempts from downtown. That heavy lean to the outside kept them off the free-throw line as Toronto finished 9-of-14 from the stripe, which was well below their FT season average at home (21.5 attempts).”

    David added, “The good news for Toronto is that it’s only lost back-to-back games at home twice during this year’s regular season and the second losses in those decisions came by a combined three points. The Raptors have been known to struggle in Game 1’s but Game 2 is a different story, especially when they’re not facing a team led by LeBron James. In their last four Game 2’s at home against opponents that didn’t include LeBron, the Raptors have gone 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS behind a defense that only allowed 99.5 PPG. Orlando’s win was very impressive on Saturday but the offense still remains inconsistent. In 21 of its 39 losses this season, the Magic were held to 100 or less points. I don’t see Orlando going up 2-0 here and my top lean would be to their Team Total Under (101).”

    Game 2 – Spurs at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST – NBA TV
    San Antonio leads series, 1-0


    The third underdog to win on Saturday was the Spurs, who knocked off the Nuggets, 101-96 as 5 ½-point underdogs in the 2/7 matchup in the Western Conference. San Antonio became the first team in this series in 11 tries to win on the other team’s court, while avenging a pair of defeats at Pepsi Center from earlier this season, including a 113-85 setback less than two weeks ago.

    Not one Spur scored more than 18 points, but San Antonio used a balanced attack, led by DeMar DeRozan’s 18 points and 12 rebounds. Derrick White came back to his home state of Colorado to post 16 points on 7-of-10 shooting, while backcourt mate Bryn Forbes put up a playoff career-high 15 points for the Spurs. San Antonio picked up its first Game 1 playoff victory since 2017 against Memphis in the opening round.

    The Nuggets sure didn’t look like a division winner following a 54-win campaign as Denver shot 42% from the floor, including a dreadful 6-of-28 from three-point range. Jamal Murray struggled from the field with an 8-of-24 performance, while failing to hit a shot from long distance in six tries. Nikola Jokic registered a triple-double with 10 points, 14 rebounds, and 14 assists, as Denver lost at home to San Antonio for the first time since January 2017.

    The Spurs and Nuggets finished UNDER the total for the fifth time in five matchups this season, while the losing team was limited to below 100 points for the third time. San Antonio improved to 5-10 in its last 15 road playoff games dating back to 2016, as Gregg Popovich’s team last won a postseason series without home-court advantage in 2010 against Dallas in the opening round.

    Along with Toronto evening up its series on Tuesday, David believes Denver will get a much-needed split at the Pepsi Center but he feels the sound investment is on the ‘under’ in Game 2. David said, “The perception of the Nuggets as a run ‘n shoot team is gone and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this total drop lower as the series continues. Denver has watched the ‘under’ go 10-2 at home since the All-Star break and it’s held six teams under 100 points during this span, which rarely happens in the NBA these days.”

    “The Nuggets are ranked second in scoring defense (103.5 PPG) at home and San Antonio wasn’t exactly sharp in Game 1. Fortunately, Pop’s team was helped with a 31-point night from the bench and I don’t see the craft veterans repeating that effort. I expect another grinder and I would lean to the Team Total Under (101) for the visitor.”

    Game 2 – Thunder at Blazers – 10:35 PM EST – TNT
    Portland leads series, 1-0

    All eyes were on Oklahoma City potentially beating Portland for a fifth time this season in Sunday’s Game 1 at the Moda Center. However, the Thunder couldn’t throw one in the water from downtown (5-of-29), as OKC fell to its division rival for the first time this season in a 104-99 setback as three-point underdogs.

    The Blazers snapped several dubious playoff streaks on Sunday, including a 10-game skid dating back to 2016, while capturing their first postseason series opening victory since 2014 against Houston in overtime of round one. Damian Lillard led Portland with 30 points, including drilling a key three-pointer in the final minutes after the Thunder cut the deficit to one point. Mid-season acquisition Enes Kanter burned his former team by posting a 20-point, 18-rebound performance for Portland, who improved to 10-1 the last 11 games when limiting their

    Thunder All-Stars Paul George and Russell Westbrook combined to score 50 points, but shot a horrific 4-of-19 from three-point range. With that loss, Oklahoma City slipped to 0-7 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road in the playoffs since Kevin Durant packed his bags for Golden State following the 2016 season.

    In fact, the last road playoff win for Oklahoma City came at Golden State in Game 1 of the 2016 Western Conference Finals. The Blazers last picked up consecutive home playoff victories in the opening round back in 2016 against the Clippers, while the previous occasion in which Portland took a 2-0 series lead at home came way back in the 2000 conference semifinals against Utah, as it eventually won, 4-1.

  9. #1119
    Tuesday’s games

    Orlando won 12 of its last 14 games, covered six of last eight road games; Magic made 14-29 on arc in Game 1 upset win. Raptors were only 9-14 on foul line Saturday; they were 12-36 on arc. Lowry didn’t score in 34:00 for Toronto, but they were +11 when he was on floor, -14 in 14:00 he sat out. Orlando is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Canada. Raptors won seven of last nine games overall, are 4-4 vs spread in last eight home games. Toronto won six of its last nine games with the Magic; six of last eight series games stayed under. Seven of last eight Orlando games went over the total.

    Nuggets were 6-28 on arc, Murray was 8-24 from floor in 101-96 home loss in Game 1; Denver missed lot of open shots in 4th quarter. Nuggets are 6-7 SU in their last 13 games, 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. San Antonio won seven of its last ten games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Spurs’ four subs were +32 in Game 1; Denver’s subs were -27. Home side won 10 of last 11 series games; Spurs are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Nuggets are in playoffs for first time in six years; their last first round series win was in ’09. All four Game 1’s on Saturday stayed under the total.

    Trailblazers held Thunder to 5-33 on arc in 104-99 Game 1 win; Portland won 16 of its last 19 games; they covered their last four home games. OKC won five of its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 road games. Thunder are in playoffs for 9th time in last ten years; they lost in first round the last two years. Blazers are in playoffs for 6th year in row; they’re 2-9 in last 11 first round series. Thunder won/covered four of their last four games with Portland; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Oregon. Five of last seven series games stayed under.

  10. #1120
    531Orlando -532 Toronto
    TORONTO is 230-291 ATS (-90.1 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    533San Antonio -534 Denver
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-15 ATS (15.5 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the last 3 seasons.

    535Oklahoma City -536 Portland
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, April 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (43 - 40) at TORONTO (58 - 25) - 4/16/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 126-162 ATS (-52.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
    ORLANDO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
    ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ORLANDO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    TORONTO is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    TORONTO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 206-262 ATS (-82.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 7-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (49 - 34) at DENVER (54 - 29) - 4/16/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1091-956 ATS (+39.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 160-118 ATS (+30.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DENVER is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA CITY (49 - 34) at PORTLAND (54 - 29) - 4/16/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a division game this season.
    PORTLAND is 46-37 ATS (+5.3 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PORTLAND is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 8-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 8-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, April 16


    Orlando won 12 of its last 14 games, covered six of last eight road games; Magic made 14-29 on arc in Game 1 upset win. Raptors were only 9-14 on foul line Saturday; they were 12-36 on arc. Lowry didn’t score in 34:00 for Toronto, but they were +11 when he was on floor, -14 in 14:00 he sat out. Orlando is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Canada. Raptors won seven of last nine games overall, are 4-4 vs spread in last eight home games. Toronto won six of its last nine games with the Magic; six of last eight series games stayed under. Seven of last eight Orlando games went over the total.

    Nuggets were 6-28 on arc, Murray was 8-24 from floor in 101-96 home loss in Game 1; Denver missed lot of open shots in 4th quarter. Nuggets are 6-7 SU in their last 13 games, 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. San Antonio won seven of its last ten games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Spurs’ four subs were +32 in Game 1; Denver’s subs were -27. Home side won 10 of last 11 series games; Spurs are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Nuggets are in playoffs for first time in six years; their last first round series win was in ’09. All four Game 1’s on Saturday stayed under the total.

    Trailblazers held Thunder to 5-33 on arc in 104-99 Game 1 win; Portland won 16 of its last 19 games; they covered their last four home games. OKC won five of its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 road games. Thunder are in playoffs for 9th time in last ten years; they lost in first round the last two years. Blazers are in playoffs for 6th year in row; they’re 2-9 in last 11 first round series. Thunder won/covered four of their last four games with Portland; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Oregon. Five of last seven series games stayed under.




    NBA

    Tuesday, April 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Orlando is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Orlando is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
    Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Toronto is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
    San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
    San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Denver
    San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Denver's last 25 games
    Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Denver is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
    Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Denver is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    Denver is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Portland
    Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Oklahoma City is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 17 games at home
    Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Portland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

  11. #1121
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, April 16



    Orlando @ Toronto

    Game 531-532
    April 16, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    114.446
    Toronto
    134.279
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 20
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 10
    212
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-10); Under

    San Antonio @ Denver


    Game 533-534
    April 16, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    114.158
    Denver
    125.021
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 11
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 6 1/2
    208
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Oklahoma City @ Portland


    Game 535-536
    April 16, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    123.532
    Portland
    122.826
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 1
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 2
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (+2); Under

  12. #1122
    TUESDAY, APRIL 16
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    ORL at TOR 08:00 PM
    ORL +10.0
    O 212.0


    SA at DEN 09:00 PM
    SA +7.0
    O 209.0

    OKC at POR 10:30 PM
    POR -1.5
    U 223.0

  13. #1123
    NBA Playoffs Betting Stats - Tuesday, April 16, 2019

    Favorites SU: 6-4
    Favorites ATS: 6-4
    Home Teams SU: 6-4
    Home Teams ATS: 6-4

    Over/Under: 2-8

  14. #1124
    Leonard, Raptors rout Magic; Murray rallies Nuggets
    April 17, 2019
    By The Associated Press


    TORONTO (AP) Kawhi Leonard scored 37 points, Kyle Lowry bounced back from a scoreless playoff opener with 22 and the Toronto Raptors routed the Orlando Magic 111-82 on Tuesday night, evening their Eastern Conference first-round series at one win apiece.

    Pascal Siakam had 19 points and 10 rebounds for the Raptors, who never trailed and led by as many as 34.

    Game 3 is Friday night in Orlando.

    Despite playing in foul trouble for much of the night, Leonard finished with a career playoff-high 15 field goals. He made his first nine attempts from inside the arc before missing a layup. He shot 15 for 22 before leaving to a standing ovation with 4:46 remaining and Toronto ahead 104-73.

    Lowry, who missed all seven attempts in Game 1, shot 8 for 13 and added seven assists.

    Aaron Gordon scored 20 points, Terrence Ross had 15 and Evan Fournier 10 for the Magic, who won Saturday's Game 1 104-101 on a tiebreaking 3 by D.J. Augustin with 4.2 seconds to go.

    NUGGETS 114, SPURS 105

    DENVER (AP) - Jamal Murray missed his first eight shots before a scorching fourth quarter in which he scored 21 of his 24 points, leading Denver past San Antonio and knotting their playoff series at a game apiece.

    The Nuggets were in danger of losing a second straight game at the Pepsi Center after posting the NBA's best home record (34-7) during the regular season. They trailed 78-59 late in the third quarter before closing the game on a 55-27 run.

    The series shifts to San Antonio, where the Nuggets haven't won since 2012, for Game 3 on Thursday night.

    Paul Millsap added 20 points for Denver and Nikola Jokic just missed his second triple-double of the series, scoring 21 points, pulling down 13 rebounds and dishing out eight assists.

    The Spurs got 31 points from DeMar DeRozan, 24 from LaMarcus Aldridge and 17 from Derrick White.

    BLAZERS 114, THUNDER 94

  15. #1125
    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY APRIL 17, 2019
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:05 PM Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics TD Garden
    8:05 PM Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Fiserv Forum
    9:35 PM Utah Jazz Houston Rockets Toyota Center


    ******************************

    NBA PLAYOFF RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    04/16/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
    04/15/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    04/14/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
    04/13/2019 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50

    Totals..............14-10-0 58.33% +15.00


    ******************************


    BEST BETS:

    DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

    04/16/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50...............-1.00
    04/15/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50....................0 - 1.................-5.50...............-11.00
    04/14/2019.............2 - 2.....................-1.00....................2 - 2.................-1.00...............-2.00
    04/13/2019.............3 - 0.....................+15.00.................3 - 0.................+15.00............+30.00

    Totals.....................6 - 4.....................+8.00....................6 - 4.................+8.00.............+16.00

  16. #1126
    Wednesday’s 6-pack

    — There have been 210 NHL playoff series where a team led 3 games to 0:

    — Team leading 3-0 was 128-82 in Game 4 (now 130-82).

    — Team leading 3-1 was 59-23 in Game 5

    — Team leading 3-2 was 14-9 in Game 6.

    — Team that led 3-0 was 5-7 in Game 7.

    — Columbus/Islanders were underdogs that led series 3-0 this week.

    Quote of the Day
    “If you can’t hit the fastball, I can’t help you.”
    Unnamed hitting coach to Nomar Garciaparra, many years ago. He told the story on the air during the Dodger game last night.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    When Gerald Ford became President in 1974, who was his Vice President?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Terry Francona has managed the Phillies, Red Sox and Indians.

    Monday’s quiz
    Russell Wilson played college football for NC State and Wisconsin.

    ***************************

    Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) 4:50am late Monday night/early Tuesday morning, my phone starts beeping; figured some other terrible thing must’ve happened in the world, but instead they announced that Russell Wilson signed a 4-year, $140M extension with the Seahawks.

    At 4:50am, 1:50am in Seattle.

    I’m guessing they could’ve waited a couple of more hours to announce it, but no……

    12) Tennessee basketball coach Rick Barnes was asked directly if he would have left for UCLA if the Bruins had covered his $8M buyout: “I think I would have been the coach at UCLA.”

    Why would he say that now, if he was happy in Knoxville? Once he turned down the UCLA job, why would he talk about it again?

    11) Baseball injuries:
    — Tampa Bay Rays’ ace Blake Snell (toe) goes on the IL- Apparently a granite pole fell on his foot in his bathroom at home. Seriously.
    — Brewers put P Freddy Peralta (shoulder) on the IL.

    10) When Golden State led the Clippers by 31 points Monday night, some courageous (or drunk) person in Las Vegas wagered $50 on the Clippers to win the game SU, at 100-1 odds. He/she collected $5,000 when the Clippers won, which buys a lot of alcohol.

    9) As of Tuesday at 2pm, there were 683 college basketball players in the transfer portal; with 353 D-I college basketball teams, that works out to 1.93 players per team, and it is a big part of what is hurting the quality of play in college basketball.

    There is so little continuity from year to year; look at Nevada, which just hired Steve Alford to replace Eric Musselman. Right now, Nevada has zero players who will be eligible to play when the season starts in November. Not one. None. Bupkis.

    8) In 2013, Aaron Rodgers signed a deal that pays him $23M a year, and ate up 17.9% of the Packers’ salary cap. In 2019, Seattle just signed Russell Wilson to a $35M a year contract that will eat up 18.7% of the Seahawks’ salary cap.

    7) Phillies 14, Mets 3— Phillies scored eight runs in this game before they made an out; Mets made four errors in first inning. This was only 2nd time ever the Mets allowed 10+ runs in the first inning, other time coming in July 1988.

    Steven Matz is first MLB pitcher since Paul Wilson in 2005 to allow eight runs without getting anyone out, although the shortstop did make two errors behind him.

    If you like to plan ahead, baseball’s 2026 All-Star Game will be held in Philadelphia, to help commemorate our country’s 250th birthday.

    6) New York 8, Boston 0— Chris Sale is now 0-4, 8.50 this season; Boston is paying him $15M this year, then $164M more from 2020-25.

    Red Sox found a scapegoat for their 6-11 start when they DFA’d catcher Blake Swihart Tuesday afternoon, and brought Sandy Leon back to the majors.

    5) Cardinals’ 1B Paul Goldschmidt hit his 7th home run Monday night; he hit 7th home run last year on May 30. St Louis has a very potent lineup.

    4) Columbus Blue Jackets have been in NHL for 19 years, had never won a playoff series, until they beat Tampa Bay 7-3 last night and swept the Lightning. Tampa Bay had 30 more points than the Blue Jackets this season, had the NHL’s best record.

    This is a big reason why the NHL playoffs are better than the NBA’s version; #8-seeds can and often do win playoff series. Hardly ever happens in the NBA.

    3) Temple/USC will start a home/home basketball series this fall, with the Owls visiting the Galen Center this year, with the Trojans coming to Philly in the fall of 2020.

    USC poached grad transfer Daniel Otumi away from the Akron Zips; Otumi averaged 14.2 ppg LY and shot 37% behind the arc.

    2) Most baseball strategy is fairly cut/dry, but one gray area that gets people’s blood boiling is when a game is tied going to bottom of 8th or 9th inning; does the visiting team use its closer with the game tied to keep the game alive, and then use a lesser pitcher to close the game if they get the lead later on, or do they hold the closer back for when they (hopefully) get the lead?

    It is an interesting question; pitchers are so pampered these days, managers more and more see the big picture instead of just today’s game.

    We’re a long way from 1980, when the A’s had there different starting pitchers throw 14-inning complete games, because the Oakland relievers back then weren’t very good.

    1) NFL Draft is a week from tomorrow; I’m tired of mock drafts, which are nothing but fake news that we learn nothing from. The draft is a fascinating process, but having media people guess multiple times at what is going to happen is simply a waste of time.

    NO ONE KNOWS what is going to happen; thats why it is so interesting.
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 04-17-2019 at 01:21 AM.

  17. #1127
    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    April 17, 2019
    By Kevin Rogers


    Game 2 – Pacers at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST – TNT
    Boston leads series, 1-0


    Indiana dropped three of four matchups with Boston this season, but looked to steal Game 1 of their first round series at TD Garden. The Pacers led the Celtics, 45-38 at halftime, but Indiana went ice-cold in the third quarter by getting outscored, 26-8, while converted only two field goals. Boston finished off Indiana, 84-74 to cash as 7 ½-point favorites and easily hit the UNDER on the total of 210 ½.

    The Celtics improved to 4-0 in the last four playoff series openers, led by Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris’ 20 points apiece. Irving shot 6-of-17 in his Boston postseason debut after missing last year’s run to the Eastern Conference Finals with a knee injury. Both the Celtics and Pacers were miserable from the floor (Indiana 33%, Boston 36%), but Nate McMillan’s squad misfired on 21-of-27 attempts from three-point range, while Cory Joseph led the way with 14 points.

    Boston ended a seven-game ATS slide at TD Garden, marking its first home cover since March 1 against Washington. The 74 points allowed by the Celtics marks the best defensive effort this season as Boston yielded 77 points to Chicago on December 8, while Brad Stevens’ team gave up 83 points twice to Cleveland in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

    VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his take on this matchup, “It’s easy to go into Game 2 and ride the UNDER eyes-closed given the series-opening result, but keep in mind that the Pacers were only held under 90 points three times this season and bounced back to top the century mark each time they took the floor next. Since the Celtics have only had two instances where they held opponents under 100 points in consecutive games in 2019, trends favor Indiana bouncing back, but it is going to need a better game plan than it came out with to open the second half after leading at the break.”

    From the Pacers’ perspective, Mejia breaks down what they need to do in order to bounce back, “Tyreke Evans will have to be more aggressive and Indiana will need Bojan Bogdanovic and Doug McDermott to shoot far better than they managed in shooting a combined 0-for-7 from 3-point range.”

    Boston has won and covered in all four Game 2’s under Stevens after coming up victorious in Game 1, as all four wins came by double-digits. Indiana suffered only second ATS loss in the last 11 road playoff games dating back to 2016, while the Pacers were dealt their first postseason defeat by at least 10 points since Game 3 of the 2016 first round against the Raptors.

    Game 2 – Pistons at Bucks – 8:05 PM EST – NBA TV
    Milwaukee leads series, 1-0


    It feels like this series was over even before it began when news broke that Pistons’ All-Star Blake Griffin was sidelined due to a lingering knee injury. Detroit didn’t have much of a chance even with Griffin available as the Pistons lost all four regular season meetings with the top-seeded Bucks, but Sunday’s Game 1 at Fiserv Forum was enough proof this series will be done quickly.

    Milwaukee jumped out to a 38-18 advantage after one quarter and cruised to a 121-86 blowout over Detroit to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five matchups. All five Bucks’ starters finished in double-figures, led by MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 24-point, 17-rebound performance. The Bucks shot 49% from the floor and knocked down 15 three-pointers, while limiting Detroit to 38% shooting as reserve Luke Kennard led the Pistons with 21 points.

    In the three losses at Fiserv Forum this season, the Bucks have outscored the Pistons by 23, 23, and 35, which doesn’t give Detroit backers a lot of faith even as hefty 15-point underdogs in Game 2. The last double-digit ‘dog that lost a first round series opener by more than 30 points and covered in Game 2 was the Mavericks in 2016, who tripped up the Thunder as 14-point underdogs, 85-84.

    Game 2 – Jazz at Rockets – 9:35 PM EST – TNT
    Houston leads series, 1-0


    Last season, Houston needed five games to eliminate Utah in the second round of the playoffs. The Rockets continued their postseason domination of the Jazz in Sunday’s 122-90 rout to easily cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Seven Rockets posted double-figures, paced by James Harden’s 29 points, while Houston knocked down 15-of-41 three-pointers for its third consecutive victory over Utah since losing the first two meetings with the Jazz this season.

    Utah was limited to 39% shooting from the floor, while getting outscored, 39-19 in the fourth quarter. Rudy Gobert led the Jazz with 22 points and 12 rebounds, but the Jazz misfired on 20 three-point attempts. Quin Snyder’s team lost each of their series openers last season, as they managed to grab Game 2 victories as underdogs against Oklahoma City in the first round and Houston in the second round.

    Mejia is back with his thoughts for Game 2 at the Toyota Center, “This is definitely one of those matchups where the old cliché about the series not starting until the home team loses a game applies, but the Jazz need to at least save a little face before heading back to Salt Lake City. Donovan Mitchell and Joe Ingles shot a combined 8-for-22 while the bench finished an incredible 4-for-26, which included a pair of missed Grayson Allen layups that helped the Game 1 total remain just UNDER the closing number of 212.5. Jae Crowder and Royce O’Neale have been reliable all season and must be better. Considering the likelihood that they bounce back, the OVER may be the way to go in this one.”

    All three matchups in Houston have finished UNDER the total, as the oddsmakers did not move off the 212 ½ number from Game 1. The Rockets moved to 7-1-1 to the UNDER in the past nine games at the Toyota Center, while improving to 6-0-1 ATS the last seven home contests. The Jazz were riding a five-game ATS hot streak as a road underdog prior to Sunday’s blowout loss, as Utah owns a 9-4 ATS mark under Snyder in the playoffs when receiving points away from Salt Lake City.

  18. #1128
    Wednesday’s games

    Indiana was up 7 at half Sunday, then got outscored 46-29 in 2nd half, scoring 8 points in third quarter of brickfest where both teams shot under 37%. Pacers are 4-10 in its last 14 games overall; they covered three of last four road games. Celtics won seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in their last nine home games. Over is 11-6 in in their last 17 games. Pacers lost their last four games with Boston; they’re 3-3 vs spread in its last six visits to Beantown. Seven of last 11 series games went over. Pacers are in playoffs for 8th time in nine years; they lost their first round series the last three years.

    Milwaukee crushed Detroit by 35 in Game 1; game was 70-43 at the half. No one on the Bucks played more than 25:00. Unless Blake Griffin can play, Pistons are lost cause here. Bucks won nine of last 11 games with Detroit; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Pistons are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven visits to Milwaukee. Detroit is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Bucks won eight of last 11 games; six of their last eight games went over. Milwaukee is in playoffs for 3rd year in row; they lost last eight first round series- their last series win was in ’01.

    Houston made 15-41 on arc in easy 122-90 Game 1 win over Utah; Jazz shot only 39%. Utah won eight of last 11 games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of last three Jazz games went over the total. Rockets won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Houston won eight of its last 11 games with the Jazz; six of last eight series games stayed under. Jazz is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Houston. All five Rocket starters scored in double figures in Game 1; Harden had “only” 29, a good sign for Houston.

  19. #1129
    Warriors C Cousins has torn left quad
    April 16, 2019
    By The Associated Press


    OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) DeMarcus Cousins has a torn left quadriceps muscle that will sideline the Golden State center indefinitely, a devastating injury that the Warriors feared was serious when he went down in the first quarter of their first-round playoff loss to the Clippers.

    An MRI exam Tuesday morning on Cousins' left leg revealed the tear. The two-time defending NBA champion Warriors said Cousins will begin rehabilitation immediately and updates will be ''provided as appropriate.''

    Coach Steve Kerr said after the Warriors' 135-131 Game 2 loss on Monday night that Cousins would be out for a significant period.

    Playing in just his second career postseason game after a nine-year wait, Cousins went down in the first quarter in front of the Golden State bench after swiping a ball from Patrick Beverley in the back court. He immediately grabbed at his left quad. Cousins hobbled to the locker room at the 8:09 mark.

    Cousins had just returned in January from a nearly yearlong absence following surgery for a torn left Achilles tendon suffered while with the Pelicans last season.

    He had two points, two rebounds and an assist in less than 4 minutes Monday. He fouled out of Saturday's 121-104 Game 1 win with nine points, nine rebounds and four assists in 21 minutes.

    ''I know it's frustrating for him. I've been through something like that, getting hurt, getting all the way back and then getting hurt again, so I know how frustrating it is,'' Warriors center Kevon Looney said. ''He is a resilient guy. He's been through adversity before and I know he's going to bounce back. His spirit is probably low right now, but he's a tough guy and he'll be back better than ever.''

    Looney picked up more minutes with Cousins' injury and scored a career-high 19 points while making all six of his shots in 19 minutes. Kerr is likely to use a combination of shot-blocking presence Andrew Bogut and Looney going forward this postseason.

    Bogut's signing last month for a second stint with the franchise means so much more now. Kerr called him an ''insurance policy'' and Bogut - who had been playing back home in Australia - has made the most of his chances. He had nine rebounds, three points and a blocked shot in 16 minutes Monday.

    He played on the Warriors' 2015 championship team and the 73-win team the following season that lost in Game 7 of the NBA Finals to LeBron James and the Cavaliers.

    The No. 1 overall draft pick in 2005 out of Utah, Bogut has been open to any role Kerr chooses for him, which now could be starting.

    ''Obviously, there will be more minutes,'' he said after the game. ''It'll still be matchup dependent, but I anticipate probably starting games, playing the first three or four minutes and then coming out.''

    Stephen Curry expects the backups to fill the void as the Warriors' depth has done all season, with Jordan Bell also likely to be in the mix.

    ''Exactly what they've been doing. They've been playing amazing the last part of the regular season and these first two games,'' Curry said. ''... It may look a little different considering the skill and talent and level that Boogie can bring when he's healthy.''

  20. #1130

  21. #1131
    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game 2 – Pacers at Celtics – 7:05 PM EST – TNT
    Boston leads series, 1-0


    Indiana dropped three of four matchups with Boston this season, but looked to steal Game 1 of their first round series at TD Garden. The Pacers led the Celtics, 45-38 at halftime, but Indiana went ice-cold in the third quarter by getting outscored, 26-8, while converted only two field goals. Boston finished off Indiana, 84-74 to cash as 7 ½-point favorites and easily hit the UNDER on the total of 210 ½.

    The Celtics improved to 4-0 in the last four playoff series openers, led by Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris’ 20 points apiece. Irving shot 6-of-17 in his Boston postseason debut after missing last year’s run to the Eastern Conference Finals with a knee injury. Both the Celtics and Pacers were miserable from the floor (Indiana 33%, Boston 36%), but Nate McMillan’s squad misfired on 21-of-27 attempts from three-point range, while Cory Joseph led the way with 14 points.

    Boston ended a seven-game ATS slide at TD Garden, marking its first home cover since March 1 against Washington. The 74 points allowed by the Celtics marks the best defensive effort this season as Boston yielded 77 points to Chicago on December 8, while Brad Stevens’ team gave up 83 points twice to Cleveland in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

    VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia checks in with his take on this matchup, “It’s easy to go into Game 2 and ride the UNDER eyes-closed given the series-opening result, but keep in mind that the Pacers were only held under 90 points three times this season and bounced back to top the century mark each time they took the floor next. Since the Celtics have only had two instances where they held opponents under 100 points in consecutive games in 2019, trends favor Indiana bouncing back, but it is going to need a better game plan than it came out with to open the second half after leading at the break.”

    From the Pacers’ perspective, Mejia breaks down what they need to do in order to bounce back, “Tyreke Evans will have to be more aggressive and Indiana will need Bojan Bogdanovic and Doug McDermott to shoot far better than they managed in shooting a combined 0-for-7 from 3-point range.”

    Boston has won and covered in all four Game 2’s under Stevens after coming up victorious in Game 1, as all four wins came by double-digits. Indiana suffered only second ATS loss in the last 11 road playoff games dating back to 2016, while the Pacers were dealt their first postseason defeat by at least 10 points since Game 3 of the 2016 first round against the Raptors.

    Game 2 – Pistons at Bucks – 8:05 PM EST – NBA TV
    Milwaukee leads series, 1-0


    It feels like this series was over even before it began when news broke that Pistons’ All-Star Blake Griffin was sidelined due to a lingering knee injury. Detroit didn’t have much of a chance even with Griffin available as the Pistons lost all four regular season meetings with the top-seeded Bucks, but Sunday’s Game 1 at Fiserv Forum was enough proof this series will be done quickly.

    Milwaukee jumped out to a 38-18 advantage after one quarter and cruised to a 121-86 blowout over Detroit to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS the last five matchups. All five Bucks’ starters finished in double-figures, led by MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 24-point, 17-rebound performance. The Bucks shot 49% from the floor and knocked down 15 three-pointers, while limiting Detroit to 38% shooting as reserve Luke Kennard led the Pistons with 21 points.

    In the three losses at Fiserv Forum this season, the Bucks have outscored the Pistons by 23, 23, and 35, which doesn’t give Detroit backers a lot of faith even as hefty 15-point underdogs in Game 2. The last double-digit ‘dog that lost a first round series opener by more than 30 points and covered in Game 2 was the Mavericks in 2016, who tripped up the Thunder as 14-point underdogs, 85-84.

    Game 2 – Jazz at Rockets – 9:35 PM EST – TNT

    Houston leads series, 1-0


    Last season, Houston needed five games to eliminate Utah in the second round of the playoffs. The Rockets continued their postseason domination of the Jazz in Sunday’s 122-90 rout to easily cash as 6 ½-point favorites. Seven Rockets posted double-figures, paced by James Harden’s 29 points, while Houston knocked down 15-of-41 three-pointers for its third consecutive victory over Utah since losing the first two meetings with the Jazz this season.

    Utah was limited to 39% shooting from the floor, while getting outscored, 39-19 in the fourth quarter. Rudy Gobert led the Jazz with 22 points and 12 rebounds, but the Jazz misfired on 20 three-point attempts. Quin Snyder’s team lost each of their series openers last season, as they managed to grab Game 2 victories as underdogs against Oklahoma City in the first round and Houston in the second round.

    Mejia is back with his thoughts for Game 2 at the Toyota Center, “This is definitely one of those matchups where the old cliché about the series not starting until the home team loses a game applies, but the Jazz need to at least save a little face before heading back to Salt Lake City. Donovan Mitchell and Joe Ingles shot a combined 8-for-22 while the bench finished an incredible 4-for-26, which included a pair of missed Grayson Allen layups that helped the Game 1 total remain just UNDER the closing number of 212.5. Jae Crowder and Royce O’Neale have been reliable all season and must be better. Considering the likelihood that they bounce back, the OVER may be the way to go in this one.”

    All three matchups in Houston have finished UNDER the total, as the oddsmakers did not move off the 212 ½ number from Game 1. The Rockets moved to 7-1-1 to the UNDER in the past nine games at the Toyota Center, while improving to 6-0-1 ATS the last seven home contests. The Jazz were riding a five-game ATS hot streak as a road underdog prior to Sunday’s blowout loss, as Utah owns a 9-4 ATS mark under Snyder in the playoffs when receiving points away from Salt Lake City.

  22. #1132
    537Indiana -538 Boston
    BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.

    539Detroit -540 Milwaukee
    MILWAUKEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

    541Utah -542 Houston
    UTAH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 17



    Indiana @ Boston

    Game 537-538
    April 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    116.191
    Boston
    121.586
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 5 1/2
    199
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 7 1/2
    203
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Detroit @ Milwaukee


    Game 539-540
    April 17, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    113.588
    Milwaukee
    124.780
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 11
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 15
    212
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+15); Over

    Utah @ Houston


    Game 541-542
    April 17, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    121.589
    Houston
    133.113
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 11 1/2
    204
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 6 1/2
    212 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-6 1/2); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, April 17


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (48 - 35) at BOSTON (50 - 33) - 4/17/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 99-79 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 69-54 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 92-78 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 7-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (41 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (61 - 22) - 4/17/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 427-494 ATS (-116.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 398-473 ATS (-122.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 92-125 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 10-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (50 - 33) at HOUSTON (54 - 29) - 4/17/2019, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    UTAH is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    UTAH is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 12-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 17


    Indiana was up 7 at half Sunday, then got outscored 46-29 in 2nd half, scoring 8 points in third quarter of brickfest where both teams shot under 37%. Pacers are 4-10 in its last 14 games overall; they covered three of last four road games. Celtics won seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in their last nine home games. Over is 11-6 in in their last 17 games. Pacers lost their last four games with Boston; they’re 3-3 vs spread in its last six visits to Beantown. Seven of last 11 series games went over. Pacers are in playoffs for 8th time in nine years; they lost their first round series the last three years.

    Milwaukee crushed Detroit by 35 in Game 1; game was 70-43 at the half. No one on the Bucks played more than 25:00. Unless Blake Griffin can play, Pistons are lost cause here. Bucks won nine of last 11 games with Detroit; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Pistons are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven visits to Milwaukee. Detroit is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Bucks won eight of last 11 games; six of their last eight games went over. Milwaukee is in playoffs for 3rd year in row; they lost last eight first round series- their last series win was in ’01.

    Houston made 15-41 on arc in easy 122-90 Game 1 win over Utah; Jazz shot only 39%. Utah won eight of last 11 games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of last three Jazz games went over the total. Rockets won/covered seven of its last eight games; they’re 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Houston won eight of its last 11 games with the Jazz; six of last eight series games stayed under. Jazz is 3-2-1 vs spread in its last six visits to Houston. All five Rocket starters scored in double figures in Game 1; Harden had “only” 29, a good sign for Houston.




    NBA

    Wednesday, April 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
    Indiana is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
    Indiana is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
    Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Indiana is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games
    Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    Boston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
    Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
    Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Milwaukee is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
    Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Utah is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
    Utah is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
    Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Utah is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Houston
    Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Utah is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 21 games
    Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games at home
    Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
    Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
    Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

  23. #1133
    WEDNESDAY, APRIL 17
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    IND at BOS 07:00 PM
    BOS -7.5
    U 204.0


    DET at MIL 08:00 PM
    MIL -15.5
    O 213.0


    UTA at HOU 09:30 PM
    HOU -7.0
    O 214.0

  24. #1134
    Celtics beat Pacers 99-91 to take 2-0 series lead
    April 17, 2019
    By The Associated Press


    BOSTON (AP) Kyrie Irving scored 37 points and the Boston Celtics rallied late in the fourth quarter to beat the Indiana Pacers 99-91 on Wednesday night for a 2-0 lead in the first-round series

    Coming out of a timeout with a chance for Indiana to tie it, the Pacers' Wesley Matthews threw an inbounds pass into the bench on the other side of the court with 12.1 seconds left. On the ensuing play, the Celtics' Al Horford passed to Jayson Tatum, who was fouled on a two-handed dunk. He completed the three-point play to make it 97-91 with 8.8 seconds left.

    The Pacers turned it over again and the Celtics were able to close out the game at the free throw line.

    Tatum scored 26 points, including a thunderous dunk down the stretch to help punctuate a 10-0 run by Boston over the final five minutes. Bojan Bogdanovic led Indiana with 23 points, and Thaddeus Young had 15.

    Game 3 is Friday night at Indiana.

    ROCKETS 118, JAZZ 98

    HOUSTON (AP) - James Harden put on an MVP performance with 32 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists to lead Houston to a second straight rout of Utah for a 2-0 series lead.

    Harden had his third career playoff triple-double. He had 25 points in the first half.

    Harden controlled the game from the start as the Rockets raced to a 39-19 lead after a first quarter where he scored just two points fewer than the Jazz. Houston made 6 of 13 3-pointers in the first and Utah hit just one of its 14 tries. The Rockets didn't let up in the second quarter and led 70-44 at halftime.

    Ricky Rubio and Royce O'Neale each had 17 points for the Jazz.

    Game 3 is Saturday night at Utah.

    BUCKS 120, PISTONS 99

    MILWAUKEE (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 13 of his 26 points in Milwaukee's big third quarter and the Bucks beat Detroit to take a 2-0 series lead.

    Eric Bledsoe led the Bucks with 27 points, and Khris Middleton had 24. Milwaukee is trying win a series for the first time since 2001. Luke Kennard had 19 points for Detroit. Reggie Jackson and Andre Drummond each added 18, and Drummond had 16 rebounds. Detroit star Blake Griffin sat out again with a left knee injury, but received a technical for the second straight game for arguing from the bench.

    After scoring 10 points and playing only 14 minutes in the first half because of foul trouble, Antetokounmpo scored Milwaukee's first seven points in the third quarter. The Bucks outscored Detroit 35-17 in the period to take a 93-76 lead into the fourth.

    Game 3 is Saturday night in Detroit.

  25. #1135
    SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY APRIL 18, 2019
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:05 PM Philadelphia 76ers Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
    9:05 PM Denver Nuggets San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
    10:35 PM Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center


    **************************


    NBA PLAYOFF RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    04/17/2019 6-0-0 100.00% +30.00
    04/16/2019 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
    04/15/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    04/14/2019 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
    04/13/2019 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50

    Totals..............20-10-0 66.66% +45.00


    ******************************


    BEST BETS:

    DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

    04/17/2019.............3 - 0....................+15.00..................3 - 0................+15.00.............+30.00
    04/16/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50...............-1.00
    04/15/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50....................0 - 1.................-5.50...............-11.00
    04/14/2019.............2 - 2.....................-1.00....................2 - 2.................-1.00...............-2.00
    04/13/2019.............3 - 0.....................+15.00.................3 - 0.................+15.00............+30.00

    Totals.....................9 - 4.....................23.00....................9 - 4.................23.00.............+46.00

  26. #1136
    Thursday’s 6-pack

    — Rays 8, Orioles 1— Tampa Bay has won 14 of its first 18 games.

    — Cubs 6, Marlins 0— Miami is 4-15 and sinking fast.

    — Indians 1, Mariners 0— Seattle started season 13-2, has now lost six in a row.

    — A’s 2, Astros 1— Oakland beats its division rival for first time in five tries.

    — Royals 4, White Sox 3 (10)— Tim Anderson homered, tossed his bat, then got drilled his next time up and the benches emptied. Go figure.

    — Pacers (+7.5) were up 2 with 0:51 left in Boston, and not only lost….they didn’t cover the spread, losing 99-91.

    Quote of the Day
    “There’s the media. I meet the media twice each day — before batting practice, and then after the game. I think it’s gone well so far. I really like the group of media members in Baltimore. I also feel like I’m getting better at it. It’s something I’ve never really had any experience with. People ask me if there’s anything I didn’t realize I was getting myself into, and it’s that I’m talking a lot more than I ever have. To the media. To players. To coaches. To a lot of people. You talk a lot as a manager.”
    Orioles manager Brandon Hyde

    Thursday’s quiz

    Miami Marlins have won two World Series; how many times have they won the NL East?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    When Gerald Ford became President in 1974, Nelson Rockefeller was his Vice President.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Terry Francona has managed the Phillies, Red Sox and Indians.

    ************************

    Week 1 NFL spreads
    Packers @ Bears (-3.5, 46)
    Falcons @ Vikings (-4.5, 47.5)
    Redskins @ Eagles (-8, 46.5)
    Bills @ Jets (-3.5, 38.5)
    Ravens (-3.5, 37) @ Dolphins
    49ers @ Buccaneers (-2.5, 49)
    Chiefs (-5.5, 52.5) @ Jaguars
    Titans @ Browns (-5, 45)
    Rams (-2.5, 51) @ Panthers
    Lions @ Cardinals (even, 49)
    Bengals @ Seahawks (-7.5, 43.5)
    Colts @ Chargers (-3.5, 48)
    Giants @ Cowboys (-7.5, 46.5)
    Steelers @ Patriots (-6, 51.5)
    Texans @ Saints (-7.5, 53.5)
    Broncos @ Raiders (-2.5, 43)

    **************************

    Thursday’s List of 13: Quick comments on the 2019 NFL schedule

    13) 100th season of the NFL starts with league’s oldest rivals (Packers/Bears) opening the season with a Thursday night game in Chicago September 5.

    12) Monday night doubleheader in Week 1: Texans @ Saints, Broncos @ Raiders.

    11) Cleveland Browns have four primetime games:
    — Week 2, at Jets (Monday night)
    — Week 3, Rams (Sunday night)
    — Week 5, at 49ers (Monday night)
    — Week 11, Steelers (Thursday night)

    10) Reunion games:
    — Bears @ Raiders, Week 5 (Khalil Mack against his old team)
    — Redskins @ Vikings, Week 8 (Kirk Cousins against his old team)

    9) Teams that open with two straight home games:
    Panthers-Dolphins-Jets-Raiders

    Teams that open with two straight road games:
    Bills-Colts-Chiefs-49ers

    8) Teams that finish with two straight home games:
    Broncos-Vikings-Patriots-Seahawks-Buccaneers.
    Teams that finish with two straight road games:
    Cardinals-Packers-Saints-Raiders-Steelers.

    7) Thanksgiving Day games:
    Bears-Lions, Bills-Cowboys, Saints-Falcons

    6) Pittsburgh plays five of its last seven games on road; they play Cleveland twice in three weeks, in Weeks 11, 13.

    5) Teams with three straight weeks on road:
    — Eagles, Week 6-8. This appears to be the only one in the whole league. Am guessing Philly brass won’t be happy with this.

    4) Miami plays one road game in the first six weeks; they have four home games and a bye, with only road game in in Week 3 at Dallas.

    3) Divisional games in Week 1:
    Packers-Bears, Bills-Jets, Giants-Cowboys, Broncos-Raiders, Redskins-Eagles

    2) Earliest byes: Jets, 49ers in Week 4.
    Latest byes: Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings in Week 12.

    1) No Thursday night game in Week 16-17.

  27. #1137

  28. #1138
    543Philadelphia -544 Brooklyn
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after a division game in the current season.

    545Denver -546 San Antonio
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the current season.

    547Golden State -548 La Clippers
    GOLDEN STATE is 87-59 ATS (22.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.




    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, April 18


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (52 - 32) at BROOKLYN (43 - 41) - 4/18/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    BROOKLYN is 46-38 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BROOKLYN is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    BROOKLYN is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BROOKLYN is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 141-116 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 159-124 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a division game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 76-56 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 7-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (55 - 29) at SAN ANTONIO (49 - 35) - 4/18/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1091-957 ATS (+38.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 860-735 ATS (+51.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 27-8 ATS (+18.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 196-145 ATS (+36.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (58 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (49 - 35) - 4/18/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 36-47 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 32-44 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 46-60 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 46-37 ATS (+5.3 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 61-45 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 137-101 ATS (+25.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 87-59 ATS (+22.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 230-291 ATS (-90.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, April 18


    76ers scored 80 points in 2nd half of Game 2 after leading by 1 at half; Brooklyn missed defensive ace Dudley, who was +16 in 28:00 in Game 1. Philly shot 56% from floor in Game 2 win; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall, 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Brooklyn’s bench was +74 in Game 1, -7 in Game 2; Nets won four of last five games overall- they’re 35 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Six of 76ers’ last eight games went over. Sixers won five of their last eight games with Brooklyn; three of last four series games went over

    Denver ended Game 2 on a 55-27 run, coming back from 19 down to win 114-105, evening series 1-1. Murray scored 24 points, 21 in 4th quarter, after going 8-24 in Game 1. Home team has now won 11 of last 12 series games. Nuggets split their last 14 games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six road games; they were 10-24 on arc in Game 2, after going 6-28 in Game 1. Denver lost its last four visits (2-2 vs spread) to the Alamo. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Spurs’ four subs were +32 in Game 1, -34 in Game 2; they gave up 39 points in 4th quarter Tuesday. Nuggets are in playoffs for first time in six years; their last first round series win was in ’09.

    Golden State led by 23 at half, by 31 with 7:30 left in 3rd quarter, but lost Game 2 at home, biggest comeback win in NBA playoff history. Warriors had 69-73 points at halftime of first two games; they lost Cousins (quad) early in Game 2. Warriors won seven of its last nine games (under 5-3-1). Clippers lost four of last six games; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games. Williams scored had 36 points off bench in Game 2. Warriors won nine of last 12 games with the Clippers, but LA covered five of last eight. Nine of last 12 series games went over. LA is 3-6 vs spread in its last nine games at Staples.




    NBA

    Thursday, April 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia 76ers
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
    Brooklyn is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games at home
    Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Denver Nuggets
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Denver's last 25 games
    Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games on the road
    Denver is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
    San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games at home
    San Antonio is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Golden State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Golden State's last 23 games
    Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 11 games on the road
    Golden State is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 13 games when playing LA Clippers
    Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
    LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 15 games
    LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    LA Clippers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games at home
    LA Clippers is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Clippers's last 13 games when playing Golden State
    LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
    LA Clippers is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

  29. #1139
    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, April 18



    Philadelphia @ Brooklyn

    Game 543-544
    April 18, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    119.667
    Brooklyn
    119.219
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    Even
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 3
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+3); Under

    Denver @ San Antonio


    Game 545-546
    April 18, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    120.212
    San Antonio
    118.967
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 1 1/2
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 4
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (+4); Over

    Golden State @ LA Clippers


    Game 547-548
    April 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    126.276
    LA Clippers
    113.678
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 12 1/2
    245
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 8 1/2
    237
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-8 1/2); Over

  30. #1140
    Thursday's Playoff Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Eastern Conference First Round – Game 3

    No. 3 Philadelphia at No. 6 Brooklyn (TNT, 8:10 p.m. ET) -- Series tied 1-1

    Apr. 13 - Nets (+7.5) 111 at 76ers 102 (Under 228)
    Apr. 15 - 76ers (-8.5) 145 vs. Nets 123 (Over 224.5)

    2018-19 Regular Season (Split 2-2, Over 3-1)
    Nov. 4 – Nets (+4) 122 vs. 76ers 97 (Under 224)
    Nov. 25 – 76ers (-4.5) 127 at Nets 125 (Over 226)
    Dec. 12 – Nets (+6) 127 at 76ers 123 (Over 224.5)
    Mar. 28 - 76ers (-7) 123 vs. Nets 110 (Over 231.5)

    The Nets got the split they coveted in Philadelphia and now hope that shooting on familiar rims at Barclays Center will help them take down a division rival in the Eastern Conference series that has seen the most bad blood develop. While bickering in Warriors-Clippers and Trail Blazers-Thunder has crossed the line at times, this series has seen the most hostile act of the playoffs to date.

    Joel Embiid could have certainly been thrown out for swinging his elbow on a post move against Brooklyn center Jarrett Allen late in the second quarter. He caught Allen squarely, rocking him backward, and ended up receiving a Flagrant 1 that could’ve just as easily been determined as a Flagrant 2, which comes with an immediate ejection. Only the officials truly know why they pardoned Embiid, be it the fact that he’s an All-Star or that the game was being played in Philly, but there’s no question that if they would’ve been well within their rights to throw him out. It looked excessive. In my opinion, if it had happened in a regular-season game, he would’ve been gone.

    After the game, Embiid and Ben Simmons broke up in laughter as he attempted a half-hearted apology for catching Allen so viciously, so there’s no question the Nets feel disrespected and a little slighted since the favorite caught a break and then proceeded to break off a 51-point third quarter to avoid falling in a potentially insurmountable hole in the series. The incident hovers as a factor that must be taken into account prior to tonight’s game since it’s likely to affect how the game is called early.

    James Capers, Courtney Kirkland and Scott Wall are on the whistle for this one.

    Embiid is once again listed as ’questionable’ due to his lingering knee issues but he appears more certain to play than he was before either of the two home games, where his availability won’t be determined until close to tip-off. If I were Nets coach Kenny Atkinson, I’d funnel the ball inside and see if I can’t get an early call or two on the 76ers star simply because officials are going to be on high alert to curb any potential nonsense immediately.

    Embiid has made no secret of the fact that he’s playing through pain and soreness. He’s dealing with a minutes restriction that may ultimately be lifted if he continues to feel better but is expected to remain in place tonight. Boban Marjanovic has played a large role and should continue to be a major x-factor, particularly if Embiid lands in foul trouble. On the Brooklyn’s side, backup forward Ed Davis’ tremendous play off the bench was a major factor in the opener but he struggled to get going in Game 2.

    After slowing Ben Simmons down in Game 1, his physical gifts proved to be too tough to stop on Monday night as he helped key a 14-0 run to open the second half, helping even the series. He notched his second career triple-double, so part of Brooklyn’s game plan will be to keep him from getting into the paint or in transition as easily as he did. Although the Nets were known as a high-tempo team throughout the regular-season, finishing 10th in pace, it might benefit them to slow the game down some since the 76ers have looked ordinary when being forced to employ their typical offense in halfcourt sets.

    Phladelphia ranked eighth in pace this season and has been streaky shooting it early on in the series. On the road, that could certainly be an issue, which is why my lean would ordinarily favor the ‘under’ (59) in the first quarter, especially if officials throw off rotations by utilizing their whistles frequently early on. That could, however, lead to both teams getting into the penalty early, which could pose a concern since both lineups are filled with strong free-throw shooters outside of Simmons. Philadelphia shot 3-for-25 from 3-point range in Game 1 but finished 9-for-23 from beyond the arc on Wednesday.

    The Nets are just 7-8 at home since February began and have played at Barclays only eight time since March 1 since they had to survive longest road trip of the season last month. At 23-18, Brooklyn had the worst home mark of any team that reached the postseason this season, so it isn’t exactly surprising to see them in an underdog role here. The 76ers finished 20-21 on the road and dropped three of their final four games in opposing gyms, losing to the likes of Dallas, Atlanta and Miami while winning only in Chicago.

    Philadelphia was -800 to get out of this first round according to series prices set at the Westgate Superbook prior to Saturday’s start to the postseason but came all the way down to -220 after dropping the opener. The Nets were moved to +180 after opening at +550 prior to Game 1.

    The over has prevailed in six of the last eight games involving Philadelphia, so I don’t think it’s a reach to expect them to push tempo whenever possible after their Game 2 exploits. Conversely, Brooklyn is 5-1 SU/ATS in games that have failed to surpass the posted total since March 22, which includes their Game 1 upset.

    Jarrett Dudley, who missed Game 2 with calf soreness, is expected to return.


    Western Conference First Round – Game 3

    No. 2 Denver at No. 7 San Antonio (NBA TV, 9:10 p.m. ET) -- Seiries tied 1-1

    Apr. 13 - Spurs (+5.5) 101 vs. Clippers 96 (Under 210.5)
    Apr. 16 - Nuggets (-7) 114 vs. Clippers 105 (Over 210.5)

    2018-19 Regular Season (Split 2-2, Under 4-0)
    Dec. 26 – Spurs (-4) 111 vs. Nuggets 103 (Under 216)
    Dec. 28 – Nuggets (-4.5) 102 at Raptors 99 (Under 216.5)
    Mar. 4 – Spurs (-1.5) 104 vs. Nuggets 103 (Under 229.5)
    Apr. 3 – Nuggets (-5) 113 at Spurs 85 (Under 214.5)

    The Spurs were outscored by 16 points in the fourth quarter and only managed to beat Nuggets’ point guard Jamal Murray 23-21 in coughing up an opportunity to venture into this Game 3 with a commanding 2-0 lead.

    Despite coughing up a 78-59 third-quarter lead in the most un-Spurs like fashion possible, getting sloppy and allowing a single player to find a rhythm and get to whatever shot he wanted, San Antonio remains in a position of strength. Gregg Popovich has a history of pressing the right buttons following a loss and has to take some blame since he failed to make the proper adjustments and drew an ill-timed technical foul to further aid Denver’s cause.

    There’s also the fact that the Nuggets haven’t defeated the Spurs in a playoff series since 1985, dropping four straight, or that they haven’t won at the AT&T Center since March 4, 2012, carrying a 13-game losing streak in the building into Thursday’s Game 3. After stealing homecourt in a game where neither LaMarcus Aldridge or DeMar DeRozan played well, shooting 33 percent combined, San Antonio saw both improve in Game 2 as they combined for 55 points. Paul Millsap was much better for Denver after a dismal Game 1, so we’ll see what adjustments are made at both ends here.

    After watching the ‘under’ connect in Game 1, the ‘over’ cashed in Game 2 on Tuesday and that was helped with 61 and 62-point efforts by the pair in the second and fourth quarter respectively. Chris David of VegasInsider.com weighed in on the total for Game 3 and offered up his handicap.

    “Bettors continue to bet into the ‘under’ in this series and I can’t disagree with the lean based on the offensive form for Denver and San Antonio’s reluctance to shoot from 3-point land, which is a rarity in the NBA. Even though Nuggets ended up with 114 in Game 2, the offense only had 56 points in the first 30 minutes,” David said. “The stars aligned for ‘everybody’ and they put up 58 points in the final quarter and a half of action. Will that confidence and momentum travel to San Antonio? It certainly could but backing the high side seems iffy, especially knowing that Denver watched the ‘under’ go 25-16 outside of the Pepsi Center this season and that included a 9-4 mark to the low side in away games since the All-Star break.” The ‘under’ is on a 22-8 run over the past few months of Denver games and all five of the six meetings between these teams resulted in games that failed to eclipse the posted total, so trend-trackers are right to favor the low-side. The ‘under’ is 17-6 in the last 23 games involving San Antonio and likely wouldn’t have gotten there in Game 2 if it weren’t for Murray’s flurry. It’s worth wondering whether finding his stroke will lead to his team turning the corner and playing like the favorite in this series that they were expected to be or if his outburst was simply a band-aid masking how bad the Nuggets have otherwise been, not only against San Antonio but down the stretch as they seemed to fade some despite finishing as Northwest Division champs.

    “Denver’s final six road games of the season all came against playoff teams. Not only did the team struggle to a 1-5 record in those contests, they allowed 115 PPG. Make a note that Denver had a 6.2 difference (103.6, 109.8 PPG) in its home and away defensive scoring numbers this season, which was ranked 28th in the league. Coincidentally, San Antonio was 30th in difference and the unit was much stronger at home (106 PPG),” VI’s David points out. “That defensive effort helped the Spurs close the season with a 16-4 mark at the AT&T Center and that included five straight wins against playoff teams. In those victories, they only allowed 105.4 PPG and the top two betting choices to win the NBA Finals (Bucks, Warriors) were in that group too. With all those numbers considered, I would lean to the Denver Team Total Under (104) on Thursday.”

    There are no injury concerns for this one. Ed Malloy, David Guthrie and Mark Lindsay will be the NBA’s officials.


    Western Conference First Round – Game 2

    No. 1 Golden State at No. 8 L.A. Clippers (TNT, 10:40 p.m. ET) -- Series tied 1-1

    Apr. 13 - Warriors (-13.5) 121 vs. Clippers 104 (Under 233)
    Apr. 15 - Clippers (+13.5) 135 at Warriors 131 (Over 234)

    2018-19 Regular Season (Warriors 3-1, Split 2-2)
    Nov. 12 - Clippers (+3.5) 121 vs. Warriors 116 (Over 226.5)
    Dec. 23 – Warriors (-11) 129 vs. Clippers 127 (Over 234)
    Jan. 18 – Warriors (-7.5) 112 at Clippers 94 (Under 241.5)
    Apr. 7 – Warriors (-11.5) 131 vs. Clippers 104 (Under 237.5)

    Losing DeMarcus Cousins hurt the Warriors since it’s always painful to lose a teammate, especially a popular one, but his departure to a torn quad that will likely keep him out for the remainder of the postseason played absolutely no role in what transpired over the game’s final quarter-and-a-half. Cousins’ injury came in the first quarter, long before Golden State built a 31-point lead it would eventually blow as the Clippers engineered the biggest playoff comeback in league history.

    Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell continued to have their way in the series, which is what Steve Kerr and his staff must find a way to neutralize most, but it’s hard to imagine this series against the eight-seed Clippers becoming too complicated for the two-time defending champs. Kevon Looney, who is in line to split time with Andrew Bogut in replacing Cousins inside, shot 6-for-6 and finished with a career-high 19 points, while Patrick Beverley’s pesky defense against Kevin Durant proved to be a nuisance but certainly wasn’t keeping the Warriors from executing in the manner they wanted to for the better part of three quarters. They simply took their foot off the gas, lost focus and were caught by a team that has one of the league’s most gifted playmakers and individual scorers in Sixth Man of the Year lock Lou Williams, not to mention a number of knock-down shooters in veteran Danilo Gallinari and rookie Landry Shamet, whose late 3-pointer gave the Clippers the stunning upset.

    Oddsmakers stopped short of making the Warriors a double-digit favorite in L.A. but are expecting a high-scoring affair in placing this total at 237 as an opener – the highest figure we’ve seen to date throughout all eight matchups.

    Can Golden State, embarrassed and angry at the fact they’ve guaranteed themselves at least another game in this first-round series, respond on the road better than they did at Oracle, where they followed up a 21-turnover Game 1 by committing 22 in Monday’s loss? Durant was the main culprit with nine miscues and fouled out of Game 2 after being ejected in Game 1, so it’s clear that Doc Rivers’ plan to have Beverley pester him for the entire time he’s on the floor has worked to take him out of his game.

    Durant addressed the situation on Wednesday and vowed to be better, but stopped short of saying he’d look to shoot more or deviate in any way from his typical style.

    Golden State opened the postseason as a 2-to-7 favorite (-350) at Westgate to win the West and 1-to-2 (-200) to win the NBA title, so we’ll see whether their odds decrease given Cousins’ injury and their erratic showing in this series. They still have more than enough to win a third straight title and become the first team in league history to participate in five straight Finals, but the contrast between how they’ve opened the postseason and how potential semifinal opponent Utah has handled their business has been glaring.

    This first road game of the 2019 postseason thus becomes a statement game for the Warriors, so it’s no surprise to see bettors have jumped all over them pushing the number from its opener (7.5) up to 8.5 where it resides at most shops.

    Scott Foster, Jason Phillips and Scott Twardoski are the officials for Game 3, which is worth knowing since Foster has a reputation for being pro-Warriors and Phillips is a noted ‘over’ ref. The high-side has prevailed in 11 of the last 15 games involving Golden State.

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