Round 2 play (4pts):
Jeff Overton to beat Ben Curtis -130 @ 5Dimes
Curtis led the field in greens in regulation and won his matchup against Stenson, but now that he is 3rd, I will oppose him in the second round with a player one shot back. It is two years since he last finished the first round in the top-10 of any event, and he only did that once in 2010 (he finished the event outside the top-10). By contrast, this is the 11th time that Overton has finished the first round in the top-10 over the same period and in all but two occasions he has gone on to finish the event in the top-10. With Overton's round all the more impressive as he found water and took a double-bogey early in his round, I'll back him as the more likely player to stay in the top-10.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Taylor tb Ishikawa -110; Stadler tb Cabrera -135]