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03-19-2012, 02:03 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Sweet 16 (1 BIGG early)
I didn't think they could make this line high enough, although, I thought it would only be about 5.5. This should be a rout. The Bearcats are gritty, but just not talented enough to stay close to the Buckeyes for 40 minutes. I love OSu here...
Buckeyes -7 BIGGG and FH
Get on it.
I still can't get over the beauty of that Florida game. Hopefully people jump on the Bearcats bandwagon, the way they did Norfolk's. This is a mismatch. Cincy squeaked by 2 mediocre teams (well, 1 terrible, and 1 ok). Now, reality checks in.
Lay it with lots of confidence.
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-19-2012, 02:10 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Where it is real F ing COLD
Posts: 13,491
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You have me confident!!!
__________________
3-16-12..... Had my worst beat ever followed by my luckiest win ever 3 hours later.
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03-19-2012, 03:43 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Northern Wisconsin
Posts: 1,991
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I feel the same way about Kentucky v Indiana! After losing to Indiana for their only loss until losing to Vandy in the conference tournament, I would think the powerful Wildcats will be ready to reek revenge on the Hoosiers! Any thoughts on this one. Line opened at 8 1/2, now up to 9 at Pinnacle. Thanks.
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03-19-2012, 04:24 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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I completely agree with you. I will be on this one as well. My only hold back from making it Big is that Indy is actually quite capable of scoring in bunches; and doing it efficiently. Frankly, they are just a much more capable team than Cincy.
That being said, Kentucky should roll them. I will play the first half too because I don't think you will get a chance to add on to Kentucky with any value at halftime. In other words, I don't see a 'comeback' happening.
Lay it
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-19-2012, 07:49 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Northern Wisconsin
Posts: 1,991
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Thank, Jord, and good luck with OSU!!!!
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03-19-2012, 08:53 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Lexington, KY
Posts: 675
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What's your thoughts on Mich St/UofL?
I have a 55-1 future on the Cards and need to hedge it. Sparty at -220. I was thinking of adding UK and maybe even OSU ML to it to get a better price. Prob not smart to bring 2 other teams into the mix. Thoughts?
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03-20-2012, 10:25 AM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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I don't think it is a horrible idea to bring another team into the mix. The buckeyes are NOT losing 
That's the problem with big doggie futures (other than you usually getting screwed on the odds); they are really tough to hedge. That's why I like the futures market trading. You can sell your futures (disclaimer: I traded options and futures professionally for 8 years. Now I just do it for my PA).The kind you are talking about get you stuck with a bet that isn't going to win on its own merits. Hopefully you get a win here and Florida edges out Marquette and you could get a pickem to hedge out next round. I wish you luck. 
I can definitely see Louisville winning this game. I will probably take the points. I see the game as a tossup. MSU has the best player, but Louisville should be able to keep it close all game.
Buckeyes ROLL!
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-20-2012, 12:49 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Lexington, KY
Posts: 675
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Thanks for the feedback, I feel the same about OSU. The next hedge gets a little easier with FL or Marquette. As for this one.....if I throw in UK and OSU with Mich St I'll get around +120 on a ML parlay. Decisions, decisions.
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03-21-2012, 04:57 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Kansas -8 BIG That's right Jedi. I'm coming to the dark side for a night.
Florida +1.5
Louisville +5
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 04:48 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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OK, I don't have quite the time for a write-up, but it's not necessary. Just lay it.
The Bearcats are one of the least efficient offensive shooting teams in the country. They are sloppy and streaky. They are a tough-nosed gritty bunch and certainly won't fear the moment... that being said they are out-coached and out-classed here. They simply don't have the horses to keep up. You can't expect a poor shooting team like this to have the 3 ball keep carrying them. They wouldn't have even got by FSU without some timely 3s and boneheaded turnovers by FSU.
Ohio St. will not present those opportunites to them. They will knock down shots efficiently like they always do. They will play smart ball like they always do. They won't make the mistakes that Cinncy thrives on. Sully should get the best of Yates, and the Buckeyes should own the 3 point line on both sides of the ball.
This is a perfect setup in my mind. Bearcats getting a lot of late love based on a few good performances down the stretch. Buckeyes getting ragged as beneath excellent. Bearcats a HUGE public dog tonight with lots calling for an outright upset. They lay an 8 on the board (actually 7 to start) and it hangs there all week. People are biting on this one hook, line, and sinker. Frankly, if the public was all over OSU, it wouldn't change my mind, but this is certainly icing on the cake of a great matchup and setup.
Buckeyes take it to them early and often.
OSU -7 BIGGGGGG
OSU -4 FH BIGG
73-52
Thunderation
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 04:49 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Where it is real F ing COLD
Posts: 13,491
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LET'S CASH THIS TICKET!!!
ROLL BUCKEYES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
__________________
3-16-12..... Had my worst beat ever followed by my luckiest win ever 3 hours later.
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03-22-2012, 05:38 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Adding Wisconsin small
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 09:38 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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3-0 start. Let's finish
Was actually hoping this stayed within 10 at half so I could reload on 2nd half. But, no worries, I am loaded as loaded could be on this game.
I'm not stopping now. This is a mismatch.
Buckeyes -1.5 2h big
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 10:17 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: So. Cal
Posts: 7,653
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just wondering....where did you get that cincy was one of the least efficient offensive teams in the country?
kenpom has them ranked 49th in offensive efficiency in d1 (out of 350ish)....think he uses overall points per possession not shooting stats or points per game
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Go Cubs Go!
Bear Down Chicago Bears!
Let's Go Hawks!
Bear Down Arizona!
Cheer Cheer for Ole Notre Dame!
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03-22-2012, 10:17 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Wow. I thought the only way this game gets or stays close is a 3 point barrage by a crao shooting team. It happened. Wow. Lots of game to be played, but wow. What a meltdown
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 10:18 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Oh yeah, I forgot the whole point of posting now...
Florida +2 2nd big.
Hopefully I can sweep the rest to make up for this potential debacle.
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 10:21 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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I said least efficient 'shooting' offensive teams. I think they are ranked right near the bottom in fg%. Correct me if I'm wrong. Lots of game to be played.
That run was a ridiculous fluke. Buckeyes So much better I could puke
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
Last edited by Jord20 : 03-23-2012 at 02:12 PM.
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03-22-2012, 10:25 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Where it is real F ing COLD
Posts: 13,491
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Yeah they turned into a second half cluster fuck
__________________
3-16-12..... Had my worst beat ever followed by my luckiest win ever 3 hours later.
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03-22-2012, 10:40 PM
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Destructor
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Kansas City, MO
Posts: 6,952
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Well Jord, you're hot! Sure hope you're right on my alma Mater, Kansas!
__________________
If you aren't gambling to win, then you shouldn't be gambling...
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03-22-2012, 10:54 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Where it is real F ing COLD
Posts: 13,491
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Never a doubt
__________________
3-16-12..... Had my worst beat ever followed by my luckiest win ever 3 hours later.
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03-22-2012, 10:55 PM
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Genuine
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Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Great Lakes
Posts: 4,570
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Good job Jord
__________________
2013 Cle Indian experiment ; cancelled due to lack of interest( and knowledge)
'12/13 college hoops Final record: 363-338 (+24.7)
Final '12 college football regular season : 70-59 (+6.63)
'12-'13 bowls: 14-10 (+15.6)
'12/13 NFL 5-3 +4.5
All Ml plays are dogs. No ML chalk
________________________________________
Hedgehog: "I walk the walk boys"
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03-22-2012, 10:55 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Thanks D. And, yes, I am on Kansas big.
Got yhe 2nd half after all.
Gators hold on for a big sweep here!!
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 10:57 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Haha.
Thanks guys. Damn they made us sweat that one. We'll take it.
I'm smelling a repeat with ku tomm.
Keep rolling guys 
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-22-2012, 11:09 PM
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Destructor
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Kansas City, MO
Posts: 6,952
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Kansas 78-64 is what I'm thinking... Jayhawks will be sky high after winning against Purdue plus over 40% of the crowd will be Kansas based on what I've read. They have been buying all the tickets in St. Louis which isn't a far drive. I also expect Robinson to come out ready to avenge his worst game this season. KU should roll I'm thinking as NC State is happy with their season like Cincy, etc. KU will be pissed after a horrid performance against Purdue and KU is fairly long which will give NC State problems shooting. Also, NC State will play a traditional lineup which doesn't work well vs. KU's height (Withey will have 5 blocks at least IMHO). Keep it up Jord. Don't think I'll fade you much moving forward or Mully for that matter. You guys are locked in for sure.
__________________
If you aren't gambling to win, then you shouldn't be gambling...
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03-22-2012, 11:10 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 202
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great call on OSU YOU HAVE BEEN SOLID LONGTIME LURKER
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03-22-2012, 11:15 PM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Appreciate the insight as always, D.
I agree with everything you said.
I don't trust ku as much as I do Ohio st, but I would be shocked if they didn't play great tomm. Ncst is hot like cincy, but don't have the horses. More tomm ...
Good luck.
Thx big daddy. Stay tuned.
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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03-23-2012, 04:31 AM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: baltimore
Posts: 231
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Thx 4 kansas! Great call
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03-23-2012, 07:41 AM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Milwaukee, WI
Posts: 215
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Thanks for the winner Jord...made me a profit!
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03-23-2012, 10:54 AM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: baltimore
Posts: 231
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Meant to say ohio st. Thx again
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03-23-2012, 11:30 AM
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Sharp
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 7,916
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Alright guys, huge night last night... Tonight is scary because I like all the faves.
I'm on KU -8 BIGGG
Baylor -6 Big
Kentucky -9 Big
I have not played the Carolina game yet, but I will.
I am still deciding on the size of these plays, but I have a lot riding on them already. I have many open parlays from yesterday's games that will fill out with these 3.
Good luck. Be back in a while...
__________________
“IF ONE DOES NOT MOVE, THEY DO NOT NOTICE THE CHAINS”
Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else. – Frederic Bastiat
There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible to live without breaking laws. – Ayn Rand
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