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    by Published on 11-27-2020 03:34 PM  Number of Views: 8 

    It is the oldest rivalry in the NFL. Bears-Packers. Packers and Bears. They have played almost every season since 1921. They rekindle the gridiron romance on Sunday night in prime time.


    The Packers lead the NFC North Division and the Bears are trodding through a so-so season. Green Bay leads the series 99-95-6 and looks to increase that lead on Sunday night.
    Game: Chicago Bears (5-5, 5-5 ATS) at Green Bay Packers (7-3, 6-4 ATS)
    When: 8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 29, 2020
    Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
    Current Line: GB -7.5 Total: 45.5
    TV Coverage: NBC
    Bears vs. Packers Head to Head
    The Bears at one time - actually two times - owned a 24-game lead in their series with the Packers. The last 24-game advantage was held in 1992. The Packers, of course, have had a ton of success recently in the series with their long-time rival.
    Since beating Chicago in the 2010 playoffs - the Packers would go on to win Super Bowl XLV that year - the Bears have recorded just three wins. Thatís a span of 20 games.
    Green Bay won both games last season eliminating the Bears from postseason contention with a 21-13 win late in the 2019 season.
    We almost nailed the exact score in our Bills at Cardinals preview! Go check it out.
    Is it an UNDER Game?
    Bears-Packers games have typically been low-scoring affairs, and a favorite of cappers offering free picks. In addition to the 21-13 Packers victory last year, the two teams played a defensive battle in their first meeting. Green Bay won 10-3. Over the past five seasons - a total of ten games - the Total has gone Under 50 in all but two games.
    Chicagoís defense is the reason why the Bears are 5-5 this season. The offense is horrible. Head coach Matt Nagy opted to bench starting QB Mitchell Trubisky in favor of former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles after three games.
    Foles has a hip injury and Trubisky actually got all of the first team reps in practice earlier this week. Nagy has not yet named a starter for Sunday nightís game. It might not matter.
    The Bears have the worst rushing offense in the league averaging just 78.2 yards a game on the ground. If not for the hapless Jets, Chicago would have the lowest-scoring offense in the NFL too. The Bears average 19.1 points per game.

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    A-Rod is the Key

    The real key though is Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers. The Packers star has only lost to Bears four times and one of those came after he injured a collarbone.
    Rodgers excels, from a fanís and a bettorís standpoint, in a few different situations. One is playing at home at Lambeau Field. Rodgersí career record against the spread is 55-32-3 in games on the Frozen Tundra.
    The Green Bay quarterback also excels in games against NFC North Division opponents. His career record ATS in division games is 44-26.
    When you break it down further, Rodgers is 22-12 ATS against division opponents at Lambeau Field. Beating the Bears by more than a touchdown might seem like a stretch considering Chicagoís defense and the history of this matchup.
    However, Bears opponents are 17-8-1 ATS since the beginning of last season and Nagyís Bears are 0-2 ATS coming off a bye.
    Bears @ Packers NFL Free Pick: PACKERS -7.5 at Americaís Bookie
    by Published on 11-13-2020 07:37 PM  Number of Views: 115 

    Tom Brady is no longer playing quarterback in the AFC East, and the Buffalo Bills are in first place. That may just be a coincidence, but it doesn't matter much to the 7-2 Bills.

    After beating the Seattle Seahawks 44-34, the Bills are looking for another win over an NFC West team. They'll visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.

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    Buffalo's lead is two games over the Miami Dolphins, who are surging behind rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

    The 5-3 Cardinals were the latest victims of the Dolphins. They lost 34-31 last week despite gaining 442 yards of total offense. That was 20 yards above their league-leading 422 yards per game.

    Betting Lines

    The Cardinals are 2.5-point favorites at online sportsbooks
    , and the over/under is a Week 10 high of 56.5 points. Buffalo is 4-5 against the spread, while the Cardinals are 5-3. The moneyline has the Cardinals at -140 and the Bills at +120.

    In the Cardinals' eight games, the point total has only paid on the over two times. The Bills games are 6-2-1 for the over, so something will have to give in this matchup. The teams have a combined scoring average of 59.1, and their games have averaged just under 54 points.

    Game Preview

    The key statistic that jumps out is that the Cardinals are averaging 163 yards on the ground. The average yards per carry for Arizona is a stout 5.2. Both figures are second in the league.

    The Bills aren't exactly tough against the run. They give up an average of 126 yards a game and 4.6 yards a carry, 25th in the league. On Sunday afternoon, that could be the key to victory for the Cardinals.

    Despite their record and big win last week, the Bills are giving up almost 27 points a game. Five of their wins have been by one possession, and the losses were by a combined 35 points.

    It will be important for the Bills to contain the Cardinals early and stay in the game. Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray is a dual-threat, leading the team in rushing at 68 yards a game. He's also averaging over seven yards an attempt.

    Murray will pose significant problems for a Bills defense that's ranked in the bottom half of the league. To Buffalo's credit, its schedule is ranked as the 11th-most difficult so far in 2020. The Cardinals have faced the second easiest schedule, which could explain the lofty offensive numbers.

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    Game Pick

    The Bills have found a way to keep winning and have only been out of one game all season. Their losses have been to the Chiefs and the Titans, nothing to be embarrassed about.

    The weakness of the Cardinals' schedule should be a concern, but they were able to defeat the Seahawks. The Bills are probably more battle-tested and have found a way to come away with seven wins.

    This should be a high-scoring game, and the Bills pose a tough challenge for the Cardinals defense. I like the Cardinals, but the Bills look like they can cover. Take Buffalo and the over in a 34-31 Bills victory.

    We didnít do quite so well on our last pick, but hereís our .
    Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
    by Published on 11-12-2020 05:43 AM  Number of Views: 118 

    Premier League recap

    Itís been a crazy start of the 2020-2021 English Premier League season, but
    by Published on 11-09-2020 12:04 PM  Number of Views: 145 

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    by Published on 11-04-2020 11:10 PM  Number of Views: 172 

    This week's free pick
    comes from the Thursday Night Football game that will see the Green Bay Packers on the road against the San Francisco 49ers.

    The Packers began the season with four consecutive wins but have lost two of their last three. Last week, Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook single-handedly beat them with 163 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The 28-22 loss left the 5-2 Packers a half-game ahead of the Chicago Bears in the NFC North.

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    After an opening loss to the Arizona Cardinals, the 49ers are trying to play themselves back into playoff contention. They gave up 30 consecutive points last week in a 37-27 loss to Seattle to fall to 4-4. The Niners are in last place in the very tough NFC West.

    Betting Lines

    The Thursday night matchup between the 49ers and Packers is a rematch of last season's NFC Championship Game. San Francisco won that game 37-20 and went on to lose to Kansas City in the Super Bowl.

    This season is shaping up a little differently, especially for San Francisco. As a five-point underdog, San Francisco finds itself in an almost must-win situation. Halfway through their season, the 49ers are looking up at four teams in the Wild Card race.

    Did you see our last free pick here on We crushed our pick.

    The 49ers play three of them, plus a couple of division leaders, in a brutal remaining schedule. The combined record of the teams they play in their last eight games is 36-23. Only Washington and Dallas have losing records, while all of the others are currently in playoff contention.

    The over/under is at 50, a total that Packers games have reached five times. San Francisco's games have only topped 50 points twice, averaging 47.6 on the season. The moneyline has Green Bay at -240 and the Niners at +200.

    This season, Green Bay is 5-2 and San Francisco is 4-4 against the spread and the over/under.

    Check out some more NFL week 9 best bets.

    Game Preview

    Before last week, the Packers were giving up a respectable 110 yards a game on the ground. San Francisco doesn't have a running back that poses the same threat as Cook. The Niners are averaging 127 yards a game rushing, just about the same as Green Bay.

    This game should really come down to whether Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers can execute in the passing game. San Francisco is fourth in the league in pass defense, posing a real challenge for the future Hall of Famer.

    In a 38-10 loss to Tampa Bay, Rodgers completed 16-of-35 for 160 yards. He also threw two interceptions and was sacked four times, half of his season total. If San Francisco can have the same kind of success on defense, it will be a long night for Rodgers.

    The 49ers have had a difficult time protecting their quarterback, giving up a total of 22 on the season. Green Bay has 16 sacks so far, led by Za'Darius Smith with six. The Packers will be looking to keep the pressure on starting quarterback Nick Mullens.

    These teams have struggled against good competition, recording just one victory apiece against a winning team. This game has the potential to be close, but the 49ers will find a way to shut down Rodgers. The Packers have rushed for more than 100 yards just once in their last five games.

    The 49ers defense will do to Green Bay what it did in January and pull out a close, low-scoring win.

    Take San Francisco and the under.
    by Published on 10-28-2020 04:16 PM  Number of Views: 220 

    The 2020 NFL Draft from Thursday, April 23 through Saturday, April 25 presents an excellent betting opportunity for private bookies working with a quality pay per head site. As quiet as things are right now in the absence of live sporting events, this yearís draft should prove to be the biggest sports betting event of the spring.

    There is no limit to the amount of draft props you can post on your NFL betting board as an independent sports bookmaker. Your PPH service should be able to provide everything you need to rival what the big commercial online sportsbooks have on their draft board.

    As a private bookie, you also have the option to create your own prop bet options tailored to your sports betting customer base. This is a one-time event to cash-in on when things are rather lean, so you should be pulling out all the stops to make it even bigger than it appears.

    Prop bet options for the NFL draft can be broken down into different categories as follows:

    Individual Player Props

    Your goal as a private bookmaker is to create as much interest as possible for each category. Highlighting the actual draft position for the most popular players should add a spark to the player prop options.

    Maybe you put a very favorable number on former LSU quarterback Joe Burrow not being the first overall pick in the opening round. Along with odds to be the first player off the board at their position add in OVER/UNDER options for when each of these top prospects do come off the board.

    Since there is so much emphasis on the first 32 picks of Thursdayís opening round, work with your pay per head site to feature players all the way into the second and third round on Friday.

    Individual Conference Props

    These are props tied to the five major football conferences. The OVER/UNDER on how many offensive players will be drafted from LSU in the first round? A YES/NO option for more defensive players drafted between Clemson and Alabama in the first round.

    The only restriction here is your imagination. Take a closer look at what some of the big commercial online sportsbooks have posted and then add in some unique options on your board. Look to include a few props for Mid Major conferences to help expand the appeal.

    Individual Position Props

    The OVER/UNDER on total quarterbacks, wide receivers and running backs taken in the first round are the most common examples of position props. This is another category that can be expanded in a number of different ways.

    You can include all the positions on either side of the ball. Pit total defensive picks vs. offensive picks for the opening round. Anything that creates more interest from your overall betting base will help drive the overall draft handle.

    Other Betting Options

    This category can include any prop option that falls outside the realm of the three covered above. This is going to be a virtual draft with live coverage from key playerís living rooms and personal homes. This creates the stage for major technical issues that may arise. Will a player curse on live TV? Will their pet dog or cat jump on the couch with them?

    Momís crying, dadís crying, a crowd of way more than 10 people stuffed into the family room will all be part of this yearís drama. Why not let your customers bet on all of it?

    More information at:

    by Published on 10-22-2020 09:39 PM  Number of Views: 256 

    There is some serious history behind this AFC West rivalry. It wasnít all that long ago that Denver QB Peyton Manning led the Broncos to seven straight wins over the Chiefs.

    Since Manning left, the tide has turned and Kansas City head coach Andy Reid and the Chiefs have owned the series. KC has now won nine in a row, the last four with QB Patrick Mahomes under center.

    Will it be more of the same in Week 7?

    Game: Kansas City Chiefs (5-1, 4-2 ATS) at Denver Broncos (2-3, 4-1 ATS)

    When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2020

    Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado

    Current Line: KC -9.5 Total: 45.5

    TV Coverage: CBS

    Broncos Winning Streak

    Denver has won two straight after losing its first three games of the season. Last week, the Broncos went to New England, didnít score a touchdown, and still won 18-12. Kicker Brandon McManus kicked six field goals and the Broncos defense played well.

    When playing the Chiefs though, teams have to be prepared to score. Kansas City averages over 29 points per game. In the two games with the Chiefs last year, Denver managed a grand total of nine points.

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    Denver QB Drew Lock came back after a shoulder injury and played last week. Thatís good news for the Broncos. Guard Dalton Risner, tight end Andrew Beck, and WR Diontae Spencer all missed practice on Wednesday. All are listed as questionable for Sunday.

    Full Go for Chiefs

    Kansas City will have most of its full contingent of stars on hand for Sunday. Only WR Sammy Watkins will be out of the lineup. Plus, recent pickup LeíVeon Bell might be ready to go for the first time as a Chief.

    There is no question the better roster belongs to Kansas City. The big difference though comes from above - head coach Andy Reid.

    As the head coach in Kansas City, Reidís teams have excelled in each of the following situations:

    Playing on the Road: 37-19-1 ATS

    Playing in the Division: 28-15-1 ATS

    The Chiefs will be on the road in the AFC West Division on Sunday. How have they fared in those games under Reid? 16-5 ATS. That is a solid record and one worth backing with our freepick

    A look at Kansas Cityís recent record against the spread and its ATS record when playing Denver cements this pick. The Chiefs are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games. In the series with Denver, Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in the last nine games.

    We can also take a look at the Chiefs performance against the spread in games played at Denver. In the last six Chiefs-Broncos games played in the Mile High city, take a guess at Kansas Cityís ATS record.

    Anything lower than 6-0 ATS is wrong. Yes, itís a 9.5-point spread at sportsbooks, but Denver averages just 20 points a game and only managed nine points against the Chiefs in two games last year. The only blip on the Chiefs radar is a Week Five loss to the Raiders, also a divisional opponent.

    Stick with the Chiefs and their head coach who dominates in this type of game.

    NFL Free Pick: CHIEFS -9.5

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