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    by Published on 06-19-2021 09:32 AM  Number of Views: 192 
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    The model is simple, ďkeep your clients on the hook, and make it an easy decision for prospective clients to say yesĒ. Are ...
    by Published on 06-17-2021 02:35 PM  Number of Views: 167 

    The Montreal Canadiens continue to surprise everyone. The team with the worst record entering the postseason has evened ...
    by Published on 06-11-2021 04:44 PM  Number of Views: 211 

    The Milwaukee Bucks claimed Game 3 in a low-scoring 86-83 win over Brooklyn on Thursday night. Still, the Nets enter Game 4 as a 2-point favorite.
    That is significant, especially in this yearís postseason. Favorites are now 37-15 straight up and 34-18 ATS in this yearís playoffs. Will the trend continue?


    Game: Brooklyn Nets (54-26, 45-35 ATS) at Milwaukee Bucks (51-28, 35-44 ATS)
    When: 3:00 PM ET, Sunday, June 13, 2021
    Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
    Current Line: BKN -2 Total: 229.5
    TV Coverage: ABC

    Bucking Back in the Series
    Milwaukee started strong in Game 3 and opened up a 21-point first-quarter lead. The Bucks watched the Nets chip away at it and ended up watching Kevin Durantís 29-foot three-point attempt go awry at the buzzer to hang on for the win.
    It was the Nets lowest offensive output of the season. The Bucks defense clamped down on Brooklyn and the stars took over on both teams. Khris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 35 and 33 points, respectively, for the Bucks while Kevin Durant had 30 and Kyrie Irving 22 for the Nets.

    Injuries Could Determine Series
    Brooklyn played again without nine-time All-Star James Harden. Jeff Green also didnít play and both are listed as out for Sundayís game. Not having either player didnít affect the Nets all that much, though the team would surely rather see both in uniform.
    Coach Rick picked the Habs to beat the Jets in Game 3 of their NHL Playoff game. Click here to check out last weekís Jets at Canadiens free pick.
    Whatís interesting is that despite shooting miserably in Game 3, the Nets had a chance to win at the buzzer. Brooklyn shot just 36.2 percent from the floor and 25 percent (8-of-32) from beyond the three-point arc. Even if the Nets had shot just five points better - still below their season averages - they would have beaten Milwaukee handily.

    What is Next?

    Heading into Game 4 on Sunday, another interesting tidbit is what happened in Brooklynís first-round series with Boston. The Nets smacked the Celtics around at home in Games 1 and 2. Then, the Game 3 thing happened.
    You know, itís that thing where a team falls behind 0-2 in a playoff series and then returns home. Knowing they canít go down 0-3 (because no NBA team has ever come back to win a seven-game series after losing the first three), the home team gets juiced up and plays much better in Game 3.
    The team ahead may have a slight letdown, but whatever it is, home teams down 0-2 normally always play better in Game 3, at least in the first half. Over the past five seasons in such instances, home teams in Game 3 are 29-6 against the first half spread. Oftentimes, those teams hold on for a win.

    Nets at Bucks Free Pick

    Boston did just that in Game 3 of their first-round series with Brooklyn. Milwaukee didnít cover the first half spread or the game spread, but they did play better and ultimately defeat the Nets.
    What happened next to Boston? They got blown out in two straight and the Nets moved on. Now, Milwaukee is not Boston, but you have to believe the Nets will get right back to business in Game 4.
    Remember, the Nets are the best shooting team in the NBA (49.2 percent) and the second-best three-point shooting team (39.4 percent). Donít expect them to shoot as poorly as they did in Game 3.
    Plus, remember how favorites have done in this yearís playoffs? Yeah, road favorites are 10-3 ATS.

    Take the Nets -2.
    Nets at Bucks Free Pick: NETS -2
    by Published on 06-03-2021 09:35 PM  Number of Views: 221 

    Winnipegís second round playoff series with Montreal got underway Wednesday night.
    There were more surprises from
    by Published on 05-27-2021 09:33 PM  Number of Views: 285 

    At first glance, Sundayís Reds-Cubs matchup might elicit a ďmehĒ response, but upon closer examination there is some betting value there.

    The Cubs are currently second in the NL Central while the Reds are trudging along in fourth-place, just a game-and-a-half behind third-place Milwaukee.

    Cincinnati is sort of an enigma. With hitters like Jesse Winker and Nick Castellanos and solid pitching rotation; one would think the Reds would be a lot better than they are. They are pretty good at something and that is where baseball bettors should look for success on Sunday.


    Game: Cincinnati Reds (21-25) at Chicago Cubs (26-22)
    When: 2:20 PM ET, Sunday, May 30, 2021
    Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
    Current Line: OFF Total: OFF
    Probable Pitchers: CIN Tyler Mahle (3-2) vs. CHI Jake Arrieta (5-4)
    TV Coverage: MLB.TV
    The Reds are one of the best Over teams in baseball. For a time, they were No. 1 in Over percentage, but were recently overtaken by the Minnesota Twins. The Over is 29-15-2 in Redsí games this season.
    The reason why the Reds have seen so many totals go Over is actually two-fold. Cincinnati is one of the better hitting teams in MLB. As a team, the Reds hit .248, which is seventh-best in baseball.
    Castellanos (.359) and Winker (.346) are No. 1 and 2 in batting average in the majors. Both are near the top of the home run chart as well. Winker is sixth with 13 homers and Castellanos isnít far behind with 12.


    All of that hitting success has led Cincy to fourth-place on the runs per game list. The Reds put up 5.04 runs per game.
    Thatís not all. The Reds are also very good at giving up runs. Collectively, Cincinnati pitchers are 29th in MLB in ERA at 5.08. Only the Los Angeles Angels (5.26) are worse. Cincinnati gives up 5.52 runs per game.
    For the math people out there, in a given Cincinnati Reds game you are likely to see 10 or 11 runs scored by both teams. The Reds have seen some high game totals, but they donít consistently see totals of 9, 10, and 11 runs.
    Go see how we did on our Canadiens at Maple Leafs free pick.
    The Reds faced the Cubs in one series already this season. The game totals were 9, 9, and 8.5. Chicago isnít as prolific as Cincinnati, but the Cubs do manage to score 4.60 runs per game.
    The Cubs had a recent run of four straight Unders, but two of those games were against Pittsburgh, the worst scoring team in MLB.
    Both Mahle and Arrieta are solid pitchers with winning records, but they do give up a lot of runs. Mahle got shelled for seven earned runs in a recent loss to San Francisco. Arrieta has given up nine runs in his last three starts.
    The Over is 13-7-2 in Cincinnati games played on the road this season. In the previous series between the two teams, the Reds won two of three. In their two wins, Cincy scored 21 runs. Look for more of the same on Sunday and take the Over (up to 9).

    MLB FREE PICK: OVER up to 9

    by Published on 05-20-2021 02:20 PM  Number of Views: 333 

    The Canadiens-Maple Leafs first-round playoff series didnít start until Thursday. Thatís fine since the two teams have been waiting 54 years to play each other in the NHL postseason.
    Thatís right. Two of the Original Six of the NHL have not met in a Stanley Cup playoffs since 1967. Toronto got the better of Montreal and won its last Stanley Cup that year. Could the Maple Leafs win it all this year?
    They have to get past Montreal first. Saturday, the two teams meet in Game 2 of the series.


    Game: Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11, 24-32 ATS) at Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-7, 22-34 ATS)
    When: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, May 22, 2021
    Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
    Current Line: OFF Total: OFF
    TV Coverage: CNBC

    Recent History
    Getting past the Canadiens shouldnít be all that difficult for Toronto, which beat Montreal in seven of ten games this season. The Leafs went 4-1 against the Habs at home where they were 18-7-3 for the season.

    Toronto has one of the deepest lineups in all of hockey. Mitchell Marner (67 pts) and Auston Matthews (66) are two of the top scorers in the NHL. Matthews led the league in goals with 41.
    Centermen John Tavares and William Nylander are also very capable scorers. Tavares totaled 50 points and Nylander had 42 during the regular season.
    Interestingly, Montreal has the worst winning percentage of all 16 playoff teams. The Canadiensí 24 wins during the regular season was fewer than the New York Rangers, Philadelphia Flyers, and Calgary Flames. All three of those teams failed to make the postseason.
    In addition, the Habs scratched 2018 second-round draft pick Alexander Romanov, 2019 first-round pick Jesperi Kotkaniemi, and 2020 first-rounder Cole Caufield.
    Coach nailed his last pick when he took the Caps in game 1. Go check out his Bruins at Capitals free pick.

    Heavy Favorites

    With the Leafs a -200 favorite to win Game 1, itís likely Toronto heads into Game 2 on Saturday with a 1-0 series lead. Even though it has been a while, Toronto is 3-0 SU when hosting a playoff series Game 1 against Montreal. With these odds, it can be tough to make money betting NHL playoff hockey.

    Going into Game 2, it is likely Toronto will be favored once again. The Leafs have been favorites of -200, -220, and -230 in the last three meetings with the Canadiens. The question in Game 2 isnít whether Toronto will win, itís can they cover?
    For the season, Toronto was just 22-34 ATS. Against Montreal, the Maple Leafs covered in four of ten games. In the five home games against the Habs, Toronto was just 1-4 ATS.

    Canadiens at Maple Leafs Free Pick

    Faced with the task of going down 2-0 to the best team in the North Division, Montreal is going to have to put up a fight in Game 2. Donít expect players like Caufield to be a healthy scratch in Game 2 either.
    After finishing at Wisconsin and joining Montreal, Caufield scored four goals and had five assists in 10 games with the Canadiens. Thatís the type of production Montreal will need in an attempt to avoid a 2-0 series start.
    Montreal may also have a healthy Carey Price back in net. Price suffered a concussion last month and he is listed as probable for Thursdayís Game 1.

    Now, while all signs point to a Maple Leafs win, look for Montreal to cover in Game 2.
    Pick by Coach Rick
    by Published on 05-13-2021 07:46 PM  Number of Views: 342 

    Itís Game 1 of the NHL playoffs for both teams. Boston heads to Washington where the Bruins enjoyed some success against the Capitals. Boston got the best of Washington this season with a 4-2-2 head-to-head record with two wins on the Capsí home ice.
    Despite Bostonís success against the Caps this season, itís playoff time and Washington has been playing pretty well lately. They may be peaking at just the right time.


    Game: Boston Bruins (33-16-7, 23-33 ATS) at Washington Capitals (36-15-5, 28-28 ATS)
    When: 7:15 PM ET, Saturday, May 15, 2021
    Where: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
    Current ML: WAS -130 Total: 5.5
    TV Coverage: NBC
    Always Finish Strong
    Washington won four of its last five games to end the regular season. The final game of the season was a 2-1 victory over the Bruins. Goalie Tuuka Rask didnít play as Jeremy Swayman stepped in and stopped 30 of the 32 shots he faced.
    The Capitals won seven of their last ten games and have done very well against Boston when facing the Bruins at home. Yes, they lost two games at Capital One Arena to the Bruins this year, but top sportsbooks know in the last 14 home games against Boston they are 11-3.
    The difference in this whole series could come down to Washingtonís power play against Bostonís penalty kill. The Bruins were second in the NHL in penalty kill percentage this season. Washington scored more goals (9) and had more shot attempts (78) than any other team did against Boston on the power play this season. The Caps finished No. 3 in power play percentage scoring 24.8 percent of the time.

    Discipline is Key for Bruins

    Boston will need to stay out of the penalty box and they will need Taylor Hall to continue what he has been doing as of late. Boston acquired Hall at the trade deadline and he has transformed the Bruins offense.
    The Bruins were among the NHLís worst teams in 5-on-5 before Hall. After Hall, they are one of the leagueís elites. With Hall, they own a plus-126 edge in shot attempts at 5-on-5, a plus-65 edge in shots on net, and an incredible 15-1 scoring differential at 5-on-5.
    Offense has been the key for Washington all season long. The Capitals rank fifth in goals per game at 3.44. They also rank 18th in shots on goal and No. 1 in shooting percentage.


    The Caps have plenty of scorers led by one of the best of all-time in Alexander Ovechkin. He led the team in goals with 24. Nikolas Backstrom led the Caps in points with 53. T.J. Oshie scored 23 goals and had 43 points and defenseman John Carlson had 34 assists and was second on the team in points with 44.
    Playing at home in a Game 1, the advantage that Washington has on offense is just going to be too much for Boston to handle. Rask has plenty of playoff experience with 93 games in the postseason, but he only played 24 games in the regular season this year.

    Take the Caps to win Game 1 at home.
    NHL Free Pick: WASHINGTON -130
    We had the UNDER in our Red Wings at Blue Jackets free pick. It didnít go so well, but see why we liked the UNDER.

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