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NFL Week 5 Best Bets

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Week 5 in the NFL is somewhat in flux, with COVID-19-related postponements of some games still possible. In addition, key players continue to test positive and are being held out of action, potentially impacting outcomes.
Following NFL Week 4, six teams were still undefeated, with five of them playing in Week 5. The Green Bay Packers are one of the two teams with a scheduled bye week. The Steelers and Titans, both 3-0, return to action after their Week 4 game was postponed to Oct. 25.


Big Spreads, Big Picks
Only three favorites face point spreads of less than six points, with three teams favored by double digits. In the closest game of the week, Indianapolis is a 1.5-point favorite on the road at Cleveland. Both teams are 3-1 and have recovered with three straight wins after opening-week losses.
While the Browns' record is impressive, especially for Cleveland, the wins are all against 1-3 teams. The Colts are coming off a win over the previously undefeated Bears. They also have the league's best scoring defense, giving up just 14 points a game.

Indianapolis, led by quarterback Philip Rivers, is 3-0 against the spread since an opening-week loss to Jacksonville. The Browns' feasts on weak defenses and wins over second-division teams come to an end this week. The visiting Colts should easily cover the small spread on their way to a big win for bettors looking for a free pick.
Biggest Spread
The biggest spread of Week 5 is 4-0 Kansas City being 12.5-point favorites against the 2-2 Las Vegas Raiders.
The Chiefs have a 3-1 record against the spread, 2-0 in games at home at Arrowhead Stadium. The Raiders are giving up 30 points a game, while the Chiefs' defense allows just 17.5 points a game.
After a strong start, the Raiders have lost their last two games, failing to cover either time. The Chiefs are on a roll on both sides of the ball. I like the defending champs to win big and cover to put a stranglehold on the AFC West.

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Tennessee (3-0) is again scheduled to take on an undefeated team, this time playing host to the 4-0 Buffalo Bills. The Bills are favored by 8.5 points, a big line considering the Titans haven't lost a game. But Buffalo is 3-1 against the spread, while Tennessee has yet to cover in its three close wins.

The combined records of the Titans' three opponents is 3-9, and their average margin of victory is two points. Top handicappers know the Bills' schedule hasn't been that much stronger, but they have a win over the NFC West-contending Rams. Against a depleted Titans team, I like the chances of the Bills to win and cover on Sunday.

The Rams head east to take on Washington, which just benched second-year quarterback Dwayne Haskins. Washington, a seven-point underdog at home, has struggled offensively under Haskins. It now turns to Kyle Allen to try to generate some offense against the Rams.
Washington will be breaking in a new quarterback against a ferocious pass rush. What could possibly go wrong for the home team? Take the Rams and give the points.
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