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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators Betting Pick

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What has been lost with all the unusual circumstances surrounding the 2020 college football season is Alabama’s dominance. The Crimson Tide are undefeated. No one has come closer than 17 points to them, and they have a Heisman Trophy candidate at quarterback.
The Tide swept through an all-SEC opponent schedule with barely a challenge.
Fifth-ranked Texas A&M lost to Alabama by four touchdowns. Kentucky went down by 60. Three teams failed to score a touchdown against the Tide.


Alabama’s opponent in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday is seventh-ranked Florida. The Gators are 8-2 and coming off a 37-34 loss to LSU, who Alabama defeated 55-17 the week before.
They also have a Heisman Trophy candidate at quarterback and are looking to crash the playoff party.
Our last free pick went 1-1, hitting the OVER in our Colts at Raiders betting pick.

Betting Lines

Florida is a 17.5-point underdog to Alabama, which is 8-2 against the spread this season. The over/under is 73.5 for two teams that combine for over 90 points a game.
The moneyline on Alabama is -750 at most online sportsbooks, making it a significant favorite. Florida pays out odds of +490 if it can pull the upset.

Game Preview

Alabama is third in the nation in scoring at 49.5 points a game. Its average winning margin is almost 33 points. The Tide are outgaining opponents by an average of just under 200 yards a game.
Junior quarterback Mac Jones is completing 76% of his passes and has thrown for 27 touchdown passes and three interceptions. Running back Najee Harris has run for almost 110 yards a game and 22 touchdowns.
Defensively, Florida is giving up over 26 points a game, which ranks it 48th in the nation in scoring defense. The biggest vulnerability of the Gator defense is against the run. Alabama is averaging 190 yards a game, with all of it coming from the running back position.
Gators quarterback Kyle Trask will need to be as good as he’s been all season to keep his team in the game. Trask is a leading Heisman candidate with an SEC-record 40 touchdown passes against five interceptions. He’s thrown for 372 yards a game and is the only reason Florida has a chance in this one.

Although no team has been able to challenge Alabama in 2020, Florida has a team that’s capable of doing it. It will need a strong defensive effort and a less than characteristic game from the Alabama defense. Florida is the best team and Trask is the best quarterback Alabama has faced this season.
In its final six games, Alabama gave up an average of just under nine points a game. Florida is going to have to figure out how to penetrate that defense. Trask is the best weapon in the SEC outside of Alabama’s own Jones and Harris.

Game Pick

Alabama is the most complete college football team since the Nebraska teams of the mid 1990s, and was a favorite for handicappers offering free picks.
It’s unfortunate the Tide won’t get the credit they deserve because of the distractions of the COVID-19-influenced 2020 season. If the Florida rush defense was better, it might be able to cover the spread.

But take the Tide, give the points, go with the under.
Alabama 44, Florida 24.
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