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  • NOVEMBER'S CFB OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

    11/22/2022.........................2-2-0.................................50.00%.......... ...............- 1.00
    11/19/2022......................53-50-3................................51.42%........... .............- 10.00
    11/18/2022..........................4-0-0..............................100.00%............ ...........+20.00
    11/17/2022..........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ............- 0.50
    11/16/2022...........................3-3-0...............................50.00%............ ............- 1.50
    11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ........... -11.50
    11/12/2022.......................44-38-2.............................53.65%.............. ..........+11.00
    11/11/2022...........................2-4-0..............................33.33%............. ...........- 12.00
    11/10/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ..........- 11.50
    11/09/2022...........................4-2-0..............................66.66%............. .........+ 9.00
    11/05/2022.......................54-47-0.............................53.46%.............. ........+ 11.50
    11/04/2022............................1-4-0.............................20.00%.............. .........- 17.00
    11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00
    11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... .........- 11.50
    11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

    TOTALS........................175-164-2............................51.62%............... . ........-26.00

    *****************************************

    BEST BETS !

    11/21/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ..............- 1.00
    11/19/2022.......................19-19-1...............................50.00%............ .............- 9.50
    11/18/2022...........................4-0-0.............................100.00%............. ............+ 20.00
    11/17/2022...........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ .............- 0.50
    11/16/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ............- - 1.00
    11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ............- 11.50
    11/12/2022.......................18-17-0.............................51.42%.............. ...............-3.50
    11/11/2022...........................2-4-0.............................33.33%.............. ............- 12.50
    11/10/2022...........................1-3-0.............................25.00%.............. ............-.11.50
    11/09/2022...........................3-1-0.............................75.00%.............. ...........+ 9.50
    11/05/2022.......................26-18-0............................59.09%............... ..........+ 31.00
    11/04/2022............................1-4-0............................20.00%............... ..........- 17.00
    11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ...........- 1.00
    11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... ..........- 11.50
    11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... . .........- 1.00

    TOTALS...........................85-81-0............................51.20%.............. .... .......- 20.00

    Comment


    • Armadillo Sports


      Miami OH 18, Ball State 17

      Red Hawks trailed 17-3 with 6:00 left in third quarter.

      Miami scored winning TD on 34-yard pass with 1:42 left.

      Miami is now bowl eligible.


      Ohio 38, Bowling Green 14

      Bobcats clinch their division, will play Toledo in MAC title game.

      Ohio converted 11-18 on third down, was +4 in turnovers.

      Comment


      • College Football Betting Trends - Week 13
        Bruce Marshall


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        • xx
          Last edited by Udog; 11-23-2022, 10:00 AM.

          Comment


          • NCAAF
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 13


            Thursday’s game
            Mississippi State @ Ole Miss

            Mississippi State (7-4)
            — Bulldogs scored 39+ points in wins, 19 or less in losses.
            — Miss State is 1-3 SU on road, losing by 15-10-24 points.
            — Miss State’s only road win was 39-17 (-11) at Arizona.
            — Under Leach, they’re 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
            — In his career, Leach is 39-28 ATS as a road underdog.
            — 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
            — 82 starts back on offensive line; soph QB 19 starts
            — Under Leach, Bulldogs are 9-7 ATS coming off a win.
            — Over is 5-2 in Bulldogs’ last seven games.

            Ole Miss (8-3)
            — Rebels lost three of last four games after a 7-0 start.
            — There are rumors that Kiffin is interested in the Auburn job.
            — Ole Miss scored 31+ points in six of its eight wins.
            — Rebels gave up 45-30-42 points in their three losses.
            — Rebels gave up 441+ total yards four of last five games.
            — Under Kiffin, Rebels are 5-7 ATS as a home favorite.
            — In his college career, Kiffin is 29-26-2 ATS as a home favorite.
            — 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
            — 111 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 3 games at USC.
            — Last five games, Ole Miss allowed average of 35.8 ppg.
            — Five of their last six games went over the total.

            — Ole Miss won last two series games, 31-21/31-24
            — Bulldogs covered their last three visits to Oxford.
            — Last five meetings stayed under the total.
            — SEC home favorites are 14-15 vs spread.




            NCAAF
            Weather Report

            Week 13







            Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Analysis

            This is Will Rogers' third season in Mike Leach's offense. Rogers knows what Leach expects from him at this point, but he hasn't been as efficient at the helm as he was last year. He is completing 68.1% of his passes for 3,474 yards (6.6 YPA) with 32 touchdowns and five interceptions. Rogers is not a mobile threat, so that makes it easier for defensive coordinators to gameplan against him.

            Unlike previous years, Leach has a somewhat respectable ground game this season. Jo'Quavious Marks and Dillon Johnson are both averaging over 5.0 YPC, and they have combined to run for 871 yards and 11 touchdowns. Both Marks and Johnson are consistent targets out of the backfield too with both players recording 40 receptions in Leach's Air Raid offense. Nine players have at least 20 receptions for Mississippi State as this offense doesn't target one receiver in particular but instead looks to find mismatches against defenses.

            Mississippi State is much better than expected on defense. The Bulldogs rank 34th in Defensive SP+, as they have done a solid job stopping opposing quarterbacks. Cornerback Emmanuel Forbes has been outstanding with six interceptions, returning three for touchdowns, so all-conference honors are in line for him. Tyrus Wheat looks like a potential pro too, so it won't be easy for Ole Miss' offense to move the football.

            Ole Miss Rebels Betting Analysis

            The Rebels have lost three of their last four games after winning seven straight tilts to start the season. They were somewhat fortunate to beat Texas A&M too, as the Aggies were in the middle of an epic collapse.

            USC transfer Jaxson Dart has had a lot of success in Kiffin's system, leading to Ole Miss being ranked 14th in Offensive SP+. Dart is completing 60.4% of his passes for 2,363 yards (8.4 YPA) with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is a mobile threat too, averaging 5.2 YPC, and that has made this ground game a big threat. However, Ole Miss hasn't scored more than 31 points in a game since October 15 as defenses have adapted to this system somewhat.

            Ole Miss has the second-best ground game in the nation. The Rebels are averaging 5.7 YPC and 282.8 YPG on the ground. Quinshon Judkins has been one of the top running backs in the conference with 1,385 yards and 16 touchdowns, and backup Zach Evans has been even more efficient with 899 yards (6.9 YPC) and eight touchdowns. Jonathan Mingo is averaging 18.7 YPR as the top target in the passing game, while Malik Heath is averaging 16.0 YPR as the other deep option.

            This defense isn't that great though. Ole Miss ranks 55th in Defensive SP+, and the Rebels have had a tough time forcing turnovers. Opponents have been able to run on this front seven this season, but the Rebels have been able to stop Leach's offense in each of the last two Egg Bowl games. The Rebels are able to get pressure and disrupt passing lanes, so don't expect this game to be a shootout.

            Comment



            • Enjoy the day, everyone!

              Comment


              • THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 24
                MSST at MISS 07:00 PM MISS -1.5
                O 62.0
                +500 +500

                Comment


                • NCAAF
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 13


                  13 of the best games Friday/Saturday
                  Tulane @ Cincinnati

                  Tulane (9-2)
                  — Green Wave won six of its last seven games.
                  — Tulane scored 35.9 ppg in its last seven games.
                  — Tulane is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
                  — Green Wave’s losses (27-24 So Miss/38-31 UCF) were both at home.
                  — 9 starters back on offense; 9 on defense
                  — 108 starts back on OL; soph QB has 18 starts
                  — Green Wave is 6-2 ATS TY coming off a win.
                  — In his career, Fritz is 13-15-1 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — Last two games, Tulane allowed 468-470 total yards.
                  — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

                  Cincinnati (9-2)
                  — Bearcats won nine of their last ten games SU.
                  — Cincy is 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite (1-3 TY).
                  — Last two games, Bearcats ran ball 81 times for 221 yards (2.7/carry).
                  — 8 starters back on offense; 5 on defense; 107 starts back on OL
                  — junior QB started 11 games at Eastern Michigan LY; he was backup here in ’19/’20.
                  — Last 4+ years, Bearcats are 53-9 SU
                  — Cincy is 9-11-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
                  — Cincy is 1-5-1 ATS in AAC games this season.
                  — Six of Bearcats’ last seven games stayed under the total.
                  — Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or less points.

                  — Cincinnati won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
                  — Green Wave is 1-2 SU/ATS in last three visits to Cincinnati.
                  — Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
                  — AAC home teams are 12-24-1 ATS this season.

                  Baylor @ Texas
                  Baylor (6-5)
                  — Baylor is 6-1 scoring 31+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t.
                  — Bears lost last two games, gave up 31 ppg in last three.
                  — Baylor is 1-5 SU this year when it allows 26+ points.
                  — Bears are 8-3 ATS last eleven games as a road dog.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
                  — You’re reading armadillosports.com
                  — 119 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 2 starts
                  — Bears are 5-1 ATS last six games coming off a loss.
                  — Baylor is 23-14 ATS in its last 37 conference games.
                  — Six of last eight Baylor games went over the total.

                  Texas (7-4)
                  — Longhorns split their last four games, after a 5-2 start.
                  — Texas is 1-3 in games decided by less than 7 points.
                  — Texas gained 426+ TY in seven of last nine games.
                  — Under Sarkisian, Longhorns are 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.
                  — 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
                  — 72 starts back on offensive line.
                  — went 32-18 SU with Herman as HC; are 12-11 SU with Sarkisian.
                  — Texas is 2-4 this year in games decided by 7 or less points.
                  — Longhorns are 6-10 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
                  — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

                  — Texas won five of last seven meetings.
                  — Baylor is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Austin.
                  — Last nine series games stayed under the total.
                  — Big X home favorites are 13-10 ATS this year.

                  NC State @ North Carolina
                  NC State (7-4)
                  — State lost last two games after starting season 7-2.
                  — Wolfpack lost last three road games SU, scoring 16.3 ppg.
                  — State is 6-0 when it scores 21+ points, 1-4 if it doesn’t.
                  — Wolfpack is 10-15-2 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
                  — 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
                  — 95 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 20 starts
                  — State’s only road win: 21-20 (-12) over East Carolina in their opener.
                  — Wolfpack is 6-3 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.
                  — Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

                  North Carolina (9-2)
                  — UNC won six of its last seven games, scoring 33.1 ppg.
                  — Tar Heels threw for 300+ yards in six of last eight games.
                  — Tar Heels’ last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points.
                  — Carolina is 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
                  — 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
                  — 104 starts back on offensive line; they have a redshirt freshman QB.
                  — UNC is 2-11 SU last 13 times they scored less than 34 points (2-2 TY).
                  — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
                  — Carolina is 7-3 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.

                  — NC State won four of last six series games.
                  — Wolfpack is 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Chapel Hill.
                  — Three of last four meetings went over the total.
                  — ACC home favorites are 17-16-1 ATS this year.

                  Arkansas @ Missouri
                  Arkansas (6-5)
                  — Arkansas is 6-0 scoring 31+ points, 0-5 if they score less than 31.
                  — Arkansas won two of three true road games (lost 40-17 at Miss St)
                  — Last 11 years, Hogs are 1-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
                  — Arkansas gained 483+ TY in five of its last six games.
                  — 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
                  — 101 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
                  — Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 9-6-1 ATS coming off a win.
                  — Razorbacks are 15-9-1 ATS in last 23 SEC games (4-3 TY).
                  — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

                  Missouri (5-6)
                  — Mizzou is 0-5 SU in SEC games if they allow more than 14 points.
                  — Under Drinkwitz, Tigers are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
                  — 83 starts back on OL (4 starters); senior QB started 27 games at Southern Miss
                  — Missouri needs this win to be bowl eligible.
                  — Under Drinkwitz, Missouri is 6-9 ATS coming off a win.
                  — Mizzou is 4-2 SU at home TY, with both losses by four points.
                  — Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
                  — Tigers held five of last six foes under 300 TY; the other game, Tennessee hung 724 yards on Missouri in a 66-24 debacle.

                  — Missouri won seven of last nine series games.
                  — Razorbacks covered once in last four visits to Columbia.
                  — Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
                  — SEC home underdogs are 13-9-1 ATS this year.

                  Florida @ Florida State
                  Florida (6-5)
                  — Florida is 6-1 giving up less than 30 points, 0-4 if they allow 30+.
                  — Gators are 1-3 SU away from home TY (won 41-24 at Texas A&M)
                  — Underdogs covered all four of their road games TY.
                  — Last five years, Florida is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
                  — 98 starts back on offensive line (4 starters); soph QB has 1 start
                  — Gators are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
                  — Florida is 7-9 ATS in last sixteen SEC games.
                  — In his career, Napier is 11-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — Over is 3-1 in Florida’s road games this year.

                  Florida State (8-3)
                  — Seminoles won last four games, scoring 43.3 ppg.
                  — FSU is 7-0 scoring 35+ points, 1-3 when they score less.
                  — 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
                  — 101 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
                  — Seminoles are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite TY.
                  — In his career, Norvell is 19-17 ATS as a home favorite.
                  — Under Norvell, they’re 10-3-1 ATS coming off a win.
                  — Since 2019, FSU is 19-14 ATS in ACC games.
                  — Last six games, Seminoles ran ball for 228 yards/game.

                  — Florida won last three meetings (2-0-1 ATS), scoring 35 ppg.
                  — Gators are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Tallahassee.
                  — Three of last four series games went over the total.

                  Michigan @ Ohio State
                  Michigan (11-0)
                  — Michigan has two wins this year by less than 13 points (Maryland/Illinois).
                  — Michigan ran ball for 264+ yards in its last four games.
                  — Last three games, Wolverines allowed 138.3 passing yards/game.
                  — 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
                  — 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
                  — Under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 5-6 ATS as an underdog.
                  — Michigan is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight road games.
                  — Michigan is 13-7-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
                  — Under is 8-2-1 in their games this season.

                  Ohio State (11-0)
                  — Buckeyes scored 43+ points in nine of their eleven games.
                  — 21-10 win over Notre Dame is Ohio State’s closest game this year
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
                  — 45 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
                  — Day is 27-14-1 ATS as a favorite, 7-4 TY.
                  — Last 10 years, Ohio State is 128-13 SU
                  — Under Day, Ohio State is 19-13-1 ATS in conference games.
                  — OSU is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
                  — Eight of Buckeyes’ last nine games went over the total.

                  — Michigan beat Ohio State LY, for first time in last nine years.
                  — Wolverines are 3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Columbus.
                  — Last eight meetings went over the total.
                  — Big 14 home favorites are 12-17-2 ATS this year.

                  Oregon @ Oregon State
                  Oregon (9-2)
                  — Oregon won nine of its last ten games, scoring 34+ in 9 of 10.
                  — Ducks gave up 49-37 points in their two losses.
                  — Last six games, Ducks are +7 in turnovers.
                  — 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
                  — 86 starts back on offensive line; senior QB had 34 starts at Auburn
                  — Ducks are 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite (3-1 TY).
                  — Oregon is 6-2 ATS in Pac-12 tilts this season.
                  — Oregon is 17-14-2 ATS last 33 games coming off a win.
                  — Oregon’s last three games stayed under the total.

                  Oregon State (8-3)
                  — Oregon State won five of last six games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
                  — OSU was held to 14-16-21 points in losses to USC/Utah/Washington.
                  — Beavers are 8-0 when they score 24+ points.
                  — Beavers are 5-1 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
                  — Last 3+ years, Oregon State is 21-11-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
                  — 76 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 15 starts
                  — Beavers are 13-3 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
                  — Oregon State held three of last four foes under 300 TY.

                  — Oregon won 12 of last 14 meetings.
                  — Ducks are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Corvallis.
                  — Over is 14-4 in last 18 series games.
                  — Pac-12 home underdogs are 9-12 ATS this year.

                  Minnesota @ Wisconsin
                  Minnesota (7-4)
                  — Minnesota won three of last four games, giving up 0-13-3-13 points.
                  — Gophers are 0-3 when they give up 20+ points.
                  — Gophers are 6-1 when they run for 200+ yards, 1-3 if they do not.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
                  — 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
                  — In his career, Fleck is 19-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — Gophers are 4-2 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.
                  — Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
                  — Gophers are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.

                  Wisconsin (6-5)
                  — Badgers won three of last four games SU.
                  — Last three games, Wisconsin ran ball for 188 yards/game.
                  — Wisconsin is 1-4 when it allows 20+ points.
                  — Badgers are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
                  — Badgers are 12-17 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite.
                  — 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
                  — 57 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 20 starts
                  — Wisconsin was held under 300 TY in last four losses.
                  — Badgers’ last three games stayed under the total.

                  — Teams split last four meetings, after Wisconsin won 14 in a row.
                  — Gophers are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Madison.
                  — Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
                  — Big 14 home favorites are 13-10 ATS.

                  Iowa State @ TCU
                  Iowa State (4-7)
                  — Iowa State lost 7 of last 8 games, after a 3-0 start.
                  — Cyclones are 1-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
                  — In their wins, Cyclones allowed 10-7-10-14 points.
                  — 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
                  — 66 starts back on offensive line.
                  — Iowa State’s last seven games stayed under the total.
                  — Iowa State is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
                  — Under Campbell, they’re 22-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
                  — Under Campbell, Cyclones are 34-27-2 ATS in conference games.

                  TCU (11-0)
                  — TCU scored 34+ points in 9 of 11 games this season.
                  — TCU gave up 501 TY in 29-28 win at Baylor LW.
                  — TCU is 8-21-2 ATS last 31 games as home favorites (2-1 TY).
                  — Dykes is 23-18 ATS as a home favorite.
                  — 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
                  — 113 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 29 starts
                  — Horned Frogs gained 400+ TY in 10 of their 11 games.
                  — In his career, Dykes is 82-63 SU; this is his 4th HC job.
                  — Last three TCU games stayed under the total.

                  — TCU won last three series games, scoring 44.7 ppg.
                  — Cyclones are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Fort Worth.
                  — Last three meetings went over the total.
                  — Big 14 home favorites are 13-10 ATS.

                  LSU @ Texas A&M
                  LSU (9-2)
                  — Tigers won their last five games, scoring 35.2 ppg.
                  — LSU is 7-0 when it scores more than 23 points.
                  — LSU held last two opponents to 249-259 TY.
                  — Tigers are 2-2 SU when they score less than 31 points.
                  — LSU is 6-6 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
                  — 41 starts back on offensive line; QB started 29 games at Arizona State
                  — In his career, Kelly is 29-26-2 ATS as a road favorite.
                  — LSU is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
                  — Four of last five LSU games went over the total.

                  Texas A&M (4-7)
                  — Aggies lost six of their last seven games.
                  — A&M is 1-5 in games decided by 6 or less points.
                  — A&M is 0-5 when it allows more than 21 points.
                  — Last four games, Aggies gave up 266 rushing yards/game.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
                  — 37 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 14 games at LSU.
                  — Aggies are 3-1-1 ATS last five games as a home underdog.
                  — Under Fisher, A&M is 20-18-1 ATS in SEC games.
                  — Under Fisher, A&M is 10-8-1 ATS coming off a loss.
                  — Under is 6-4 in their I-A games.

                  — LSU won nine of last 11 series games.
                  — Tigers covered their last five visits to College Station.
                  — Four of last six meetings went over the total.
                  — SEC hope underdogs are 13-9-1 ATS this season.

                  Notre Dame @ USC
                  Notre Dame (8-3)
                  — Notre Dame won eight of last nine games, after an 0-2 start.
                  — Irish are 8-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
                  — Notre Dame 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
                  — Notre Dame has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
                  — Notre Dame has freshman backup QB; this is his 6th start.
                  — Since 2017, Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
                  — Last four games, Notre Dame is +6 in turnovers.
                  — Last 3+ years, Notre Dame is 26-12 ATS coming off a win.
                  — Their last five games went over the total.

                  USC (10-1)
                  — USC won its last four games, scoring 47.3 ppg.
                  — Trojans scored 41+ points in nine of their eleven games.
                  — USC has a +20 turnover margin this season.
                  — Last five games, USC gave up 35.2 ppg.
                  — 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
                  — 109 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 7 games at Oklahoma
                  — Trojans are 4-2 ATS this year as a home favorite.
                  — In his career, Riley is 22-15 ATS as a home favorite.
                  — Since 2017, USC is 17-24 ATS in games coming off a win.
                  — USC is 4-1 ATS in last five non-conference games.
                  — Over is 6-1 in Trojans’ last seven games.

                  — Notre Dame won last four series games, scoring 33.5 ppg.
                  — Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in last nine visits to USC.
                  — Last four meetings stayed under the total.
                  — This is first time since 2016 USC is favored in this series.

                  Oklahoma @ Texas Tech
                  Oklahoma (6-5)
                  — Oklahoma lost two of last three games, with losses both by 2 points.
                  — Sooners allowed 200+ rushing yards in five of last eight games.
                  — Oklahoma held three of last four foes to 23 or less points.
                  — Sooners are 8-13-1 ATS in last 22 games as a road favorite.
                  — Oklahoma is 2-6 ATS in conference games this year.
                  — 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
                  — 125 starts back on offensive line; soph QB had 25 starts at UCF
                  — Last three games, Oklahoma gained average of 453 yards/game.
                  — Sooners are 7-8 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
                  — Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

                  Texas Tech (6-5)
                  — Red Raiders won last two games, are now bowl eligible.
                  — Texas Tech is 5-0 scoring 33+ points, 1-5 if they score less than 33.
                  — Tech is 1-3 SU if it gains less than 468 yards.
                  — 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
                  — 124 starts back on offensive line; junior QB had 11 starts at Oregon
                  — Tech is 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
                  — Red Raiders allowed 422+ TY in seven of last eight games.
                  — Last four games, Texas Tech is minus-4 in turnovers.
                  — Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

                  — Oklahoma won last ten meetings (7-3 ATS)
                  — Sooners are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Lubbock.
                  — Last 11 series games went over the total.
                  — Big X home underdogs are 9-6-2 ATS this year.

                  Washington @ Washington State
                  Washington (9-2)
                  — Washington won its last five games, scoring 38.4 ppg.
                  — Huskies gained 458+ TY in nine of 11 games.
                  — 398 yards vs Oregon State is least they’ve gained this year.
                  — 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
                  — 82 starts back on offensive line; junior QB started 17 games at Indiana
                  — Since 2020, Huskies are 0-5 ATS as a road favorite.
                  — In his career, DeBoer is 5-5 ATS as a road favorite.
                  — Last 4+ years, they’re 13-27 ATS in conference games (3-5 TY).
                  — Three of their last four games stayed under.

                  Washington State (7-4)
                  — Coogs won their last three games, scoring 37 ppg.
                  — Coogs ran for 65.5 ypg in losses, 145.7 in wins.
                  — Wazzu is 7-0 giving up 20 or less points; 0-4 if allow more than 20.
                  — Coogs are 5-1 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
                  — Coogs are 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 Pac-12 games.
                  — 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
                  — 31 starts back on offensive line; new QB was I-AA All-American at Incarnate Word
                  — Wazzu is 9-3-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
                  — Under is 8-2 in Wazzu’s last ten games.

                  — Washington won 10 of last 12 series games.
                  — Huskies covered four of last five visits to Pullman.
                  — Under is 5-3 in last eight Apple Cup games.
                  — Pac-12 home underdogs are 9-11 ATS this season.

                  Comment


                  • NCAAF
                    Weather Report

                    Week 13




                    Comment


                    • FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 25
                      TULN at CIN 12:00 PM TULN +1.0
                      O 45.0
                      +500 +500
                      USU at BSU 12:00 PM BSU -17.0
                      O 52.0
                      +500 +500
                      BAY at TEX 12:00 PM BAY +9.0
                      O 55.0
                      +500 +500
                      TOL at WMU 12:00 PM TOL -7.5
                      U 52.0
                      +500 +500
                      CMU at EMU 12:00 PM EMU -1.0
                      U 54.5
                      +500 +500
                      ASU at ARIZ 03:00 PM ASU +4.0
                      U 66.5
                      +500 +500
                      UNM at CSU 03:30 PM CSU -7.5
                      U 36.0
                      +500 +500
                      ARK at MIZZ 03:30 PM MIZZ +3.5
                      O 55.0
                      +500 +500
                      NCST at UNC 03:30 PM UNC -6.0
                      U 56.0
                      +500 +500
                      NEB at IOWA 04:00 PM IOWA -11.0
                      O 38.5
                      +500 +500
                      UCLA at CAL 04:30 PM UCLA -11.0
                      U 61.5
                      +500 +500
                      FLA at FSU 07:30 PM FSU -10.0
                      U 57.5
                      +500 +500
                      WYO at FRES 10:00 PM WYO +15.0
                      O 50.5
                      +500 +500

                      Comment


                      • North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Analysis

                        Freshman M.J. Morris is atop the depth chart at quarterback coming into this week. Morris didn't play last Saturday against Louisville due to injury, and the Wolfpack would love to have him available against North Carolina. He is 2-1 as a starter and has completed 60.5% of his passes for 648 yards (7.5 YPA) with seven touchdowns and one interception coming into this game. If he is unable to go, then fellow freshman Ben Finley will likely start under center for the Wolfpack. Finley saw his first action last week against Louisville, replacing an ineffective Jack Chambers, and he completed 16 of 35 passes for 201 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

                        Thayer Thomas is the only real threat in the passing game with 51 receptions for 586 yards and four touchdowns. No one else on NC State has more than 25 receptions or 300 receiving yards. Meanwhile, Jordan Houston is the top running back with 500 yards (4.2 YPC). Demie Sumo-Karngbaye is out due to injury, so the No. 2 running back will be Michael Allen.

                        This NC State defense is ranked 14th in SP+. They are allowing just 20.3 PPG, and their front seven has been one of the best in the nation at stopping the run. Drake Thomas has been excellent and leads the team with 80 tackles and 5.5 sacks, while cornerback Aydan White has four interceptions and eight passes defensed.

                        North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Analysis

                        Drake Maye was a fringe Heisman Trophy contender until he laid an egg in last week's loss to Georgia Tech. Maye completed just 16 of 30 passes for 202 yards and an interception, as he was sacked six times by the Yellow Jackets. He has been one of the most productive passers in college football this season though, completing 68.8% of his passes for 3,614 yards (9.2 YPA) with 34 touchdowns and four interceptions in his first season as a starter. Additionally, Maye leads the team with 597 rushing yards, and he is averaging 4.1 YPC with five rushing TDs.

                        The top target in this offense is Josh Downs. He could be a first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, and he leads the Tar Heels with 77 receptions for 878 yards and 11 touchdowns. Antoine Green is a scary deep threat that is averaging 22.6 YPR, and Maye likes to use tight ends Bryson Nesbit and Kamari Morales too. Underclassmen Omarion Hampton and Elijah Green are the two running backs to watch for UNC.

                        North Carolina has a great offense that is ranked 9th in SP+, but this defense is 100th in SP+. The Tar Heels are surrendering a shocking 464.7 YPG, and they rank outside the top 100 nationally in both run defense and pass defense. Linebacker Cedric Gray has done his best, but there just isn't a lot of talent on this side of the ball in Chapel Hill.



                        Florida Gators Betting Analysis

                        There's no denying that Anthony Richardson has the potential to succeed at the next level. Richardson has the size and skillset that NFL teams covet, and he has drawn comparisons to Buffalo's Josh Allen. However, he doesn't always make the best decisions as a passer, and he struggles with his accuracy. Richardson is completing just 55.7% of his passes this season, and he hasn't completed more than 61% of his passes against an FBS opponent since Week 1 against Utah. Additionally, he showed a reticence to take off and run last week against Vanderbilt. Richardson may already have the NFL on his mind, and if he decides that he isn't comfortable running the ball often against FSU, it's going to be a long night for Florida's offense.

                        Florida is going to be without a number of wide receivers this weekend too. Xzavier Henderson and Justin Shorter have both been declared out, and they have been the top two receivers for the Gators this season. Three other receivers have been ruled out, so the pressure will be on Arizona State transfer Ricky Pearsall. Pearsall isn't 100% himself, but Billy Napier has stated that he expects his top remaining receiver to be on the field. Montrell Johnson Jr. and Trevor Etienne might see more carries than usual as a result of those injuries, and both Johnson and Etienne have been efficient on the ground.

                        The Gators' defense is ranked 71st in SP+. They have been awful on third down, ranking 127th nationally in third down defense, and they have had trouble stopping the run and the pass. Florida has just 19 sacks this season, and the Gators will be without top linebacker Ventrell Miller for the first half after he was ejected in last week's loss against Vanderbilt.

                        Florida State Seminoles Betting Analysis

                        Jordan Travis has had a superb season under center for Florida State. Travis was a very unpolished passer in 2021, but Mike Norvell has been able to play to his strengths, and we have seen considerable improvement from the dual-threat quarterback. He is completing 65.3% of his passes for 2,526 yards (8.9 YPA) with 21 touchdowns and four interceptions. Additionally, Travis is averaging 4.7 YPC and is still dangerous when he decides to try and make something happen with his legs.

                        The Seminoles can run the ball very well too. This is a top 25 rushing offense powered by Trey Benson and Treshaun Ward. Benson has run for 854 yards (7.1 YPC) and six touchdowns, while Ward has run for 538 yards (6.6 YPC) and five TDs. Lawrance Toafili is a solid runner too, but he isn't as effective as either Benson or Ward. Meanwhile, Johnny Wilson is clearly the top target in the passing game, averaging 19.7 YPR.

                        Florida State is ranked 27th in Defensive SP+. The Seminoles have a potential first-round pick in Albany transfer Jared Verse who has 7.5 sacks on the season. They do a solid job of stopping the run, but they are great against the pass, allowing just 5.8 YPA and 163.8 YPG through the air. Greedy Vance has three of FSU's seven interceptions on the season.

                        Comment


                        • NOVEMBER'S CFB OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

                          11/25/2022.....................13-13-0.................................50.00%.......... ...............- 6.50
                          11/22/2022.........................2-2-0.................................50.00%.......... ...............- 1.00
                          11/19/2022......................53-50-3................................51.42%........... .............- 10.00
                          11/18/2022..........................4-0-0..............................100.00%............ ...........+20.00
                          11/17/2022..........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ............- 0.50
                          11/16/2022...........................3-3-0...............................50.00%............ ............- 1.50
                          11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ........... -11.50
                          11/12/2022.......................44-38-2.............................53.65%.............. ..........+11.00
                          11/11/2022...........................2-4-0..............................33.33%............. ...........- 12.00
                          11/10/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ..........- 11.50
                          11/09/2022...........................4-2-0..............................66.66%............. .........+ 9.00
                          11/05/2022.......................54-47-0.............................53.46%.............. ........+ 11.50
                          11/04/2022............................1-4-0.............................20.00%.............. .........- 17.00
                          11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00
                          11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... .........- 11.50
                          11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

                          TOTALS........................188-177-2............................51.50%............... . ........-32.50

                          *****************************************

                          BEST BETS !

                          11/25/2022...........................9-6-0..............................60.00%............. ..............+12.00
                          11/21/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ..............- 1.00
                          11/19/2022.......................19-19-1...............................50.00%............ .............- 9.50
                          11/18/2022...........................4-0-0.............................100.00%............. ............+ 20.00
                          11/17/2022...........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ .............- 0.50
                          11/16/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ............- - 1.00
                          11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ............- 11.50
                          11/12/2022.......................18-17-0.............................51.42%.............. ...............-3.50
                          11/11/2022...........................2-4-0.............................33.33%.............. ............- 12.50
                          11/10/2022...........................1-3-0.............................25.00%.............. ............-.11.50
                          11/09/2022...........................3-1-0.............................75.00%.............. ...........+ 9.50
                          11/05/2022.......................26-18-0............................59.09%............... ..........+ 31.00
                          11/04/2022............................1-4-0............................20.00%............... ..........- 17.00
                          11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ...........- 1.00
                          11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... ..........- 11.50
                          11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... . .........- 1.00

                          TOTALS...........................94-87-0............................51.93%.............. .... .......- 8.00

                          Comment


                          • Armadillo Sports

                            NC State 30, North Carolina 27 OT
                            Tar Heels scored TD on last play of regulation to force OT.
                            Tar Heels missed a 35-yard FG in overtime that ended the game.
                            UNC converted only 5-20 on 3rd down, but was 3-3 on 4th down.

                            Tulane 27, Cincinnati 24
                            Green Wave is 10-2, will host the AAC championship game.
                            Tulane drove 75 yards, threw 30-yard TD pass to win game with 5:10 left.
                            Cincinnati had to play its backup QB; he was 10-26/102 passing.

                            Florida State 45, Florida 38
                            Seminoles outscored Florida 17-0 in third quarter.
                            Neither QB completed half his passes.
                            Gators had touchdown plays of 52-43-45 yards.

                            Missouri 29, Arkansas 27
                            Razorbacks led 21-20 at halftime.
                            Mizzou ran ball for 226 yards, threw ball for 242 yards.
                            Tigers are now bowl eligible.

                            Boise State 42, Utah State 23— Talk about bad beats, this was one of the worst I’ve seen in a long time. Boise State was favored by 16.5 points; with 1:20 left, they lead only 28-23, but Taylen Green runs 91 yards for a TD to make the score 35-23.

                            38 seconds later, Boise scores again, on a pick-6, to cover the spread. If you took Utah State and the 16.5 points, the betting gods owe you one.

                            Comment


                            • NCAAF
                              Weather Report

                              Week 13




                              Comment


                              • Michigan Wolverines Betting Analysis

                                At the start of the season, Jim Harbaugh announced that J.J. McCarthy and Cade McNamara would split the first two starts to determine who Michigan's starting quarterback would be in 2022. McNamara was the incumbent, but the offense had a governor on it with him under center. Once McCarthy proved that he was ready to take the reins, he became the clear choice and has made this offense a very good unit. The Wolverines rank 28th in Offensive SP+ as McCarthy has completed 66.8% of his passes for 1,952 yards (7.9 YPA) with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. He is averaging 4.3 YPC as a rusher, and he could take off more than usual against Ohio State's defense.

                                Blake Corum is one of the top running backs in the nation. Corum has run for 1,457 yards (5.9 YPC) and 18 touchdowns this season, but his status for this game is up in the air. He tweaked his knee last week against Illinois, and Michigan has sent out mixed signals as to his availability. Donovan Edwards has run for 471 yards (6.7 YPC) and four touchdowns, and he could see a significant uptick in his workload against the Buckeyes. The only receiver to fear in the passing game is Ronnie Bell who has 48 catches for 641 yards and two touchdowns.

                                Michigan ranks 4th in Defensive SP+. The Wolverines' pass rush isn't as menacing without Aidan Hutchinson or David Ojabo, but they have still been lights out when it comes to shutting down opposing offenses. They are surrendering 11.7 PPG, 241.3 YPG, and 3.9 yards per play, and they rank first nationally in all three categories. The Wolverines are conceding a measly 2.8 YPC and 79.5 YPG on the ground too. Mike Morris leads the team with seven sacks, and Michigan has 31 sacks in 11 games. About the only thing the Wolverines don't do is force turnovers, forcing just 11 turnovers this season.

                                Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Analysis

                                C.J. Stroud is one of the best quarterbacks in college football. Stroud is completing 66.4% of his passes for 2,991 yards (9.7 YPA) with 35 touchdowns and four interceptions. That has led to the Buckeyes ranking fourth in Offensive SP+ and first in scoring offense (46.5 PPG). Even though standout receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba has only played in a handful of games, Ohio State has still thrived thanks to its deep receiver pool. Marvin Harrison Jr. has 65 receptions for 1,037 yards and 11 touchdowns, while Emeka Egbuka has 57 catches for 914 yards and eight TDs.

                                TreVeyon Henderson returned from an injury last week against Maryland, and he wasn't as effective as he usually is with the ball in his hands. Henderson carried the ball 11 times for 19 yards, so he might not be much of a factor for Ohio State on Saturday. Leading rusher Miyan Williams didn't play last week due to a lower leg injury, so freshman Dallan Hayden might be the top option at running back for the Buckeyes. Hayden has run for 503 yards and five touchdowns this season.

                                Ohio State currently ranks 10th in Defensive SP+. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles has turned this unit around after a down 2021 campaign, and the Buckeyes are allowing just 16.9 PPG and 4.3 yards per play. They have 31 sacks on the season, and unlike Michigan, they have been able to force turnovers.



                                Oregon Ducks Betting Analysis

                                After a dismal performance in the season opener against Georgia, many questioned Oregon's decision to put so much faith in Auburn transfer Bo Nix to turn around the offense. Nix completed 21 of 37 passes for 173 yards and threw two interceptions in a 49-3 beatdown at the hands of the defending national champions, seemingly putting an end to the thought of Oregon as a contender. However, he has since thrived out west and is completing 72.4% of his passes for 3,062 yards (9.1 YPA) with 25 touchdowns and six interceptions. Nix has proven himself as a runner too with 513 rushing yards (6.4 YPC) and 14 touchdowns.

                                Bucky Irving is the leading rusher on the Ducks with 851 yards (6.6 YPC) and three TDs. He has split carries with Noah Whittington who has run for 673 yards (6.0 YPC) and four touchdowns. The top receiver by a wide margin is Tony Franklin who has caught 48 passes for 789 yards and seven touchdowns. Kris Hutson is Nix's favorite underneath receiver with 41 receptions for 452 yards, while Dont'e Thornton has been a big play threat in recent weeks and is averaging 22.9 YPR.

                                First-year head coach Dan Lanning was hired away from Georgia to improve this defense. Lanning has the Ducks' defense ranked 44th in SP+ even though Kayvon Thibodeaux left for the NFL. D.J. Johnson leads the Ducks with six sacks, but the Ducks have not been as successful at getting to the quarterback as they were last year with just 15 sacks as a team. They rank second-to-last nationally in sack rate, and that has also hurt this pass defense.

                                Oregon State Beavers Betting Analysis

                                Freshman Ben Gulbranson replaced Chance Nolan as the team's starting quarterback after Nolan threw six interceptions in 36 pass attempts against USC and Utah. That led to Oregon State losing both those games, and the loss to the Trojans really stung since that was a winnable game without the turnovers. This offense has been a lot more toned down with Gulbranson under center, but they have also limited the turnovers. That has allowed Oregon State to win five of its last six games. Gulbranson is completing 63.2% of his passes for 1,230 yards (7.5 YPA) with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this season, and he has only been sacked nine times.

                                Fellow freshman Damien Martinez has thrived since taking over as Oregon State's top running back. Martinez has run for at least 100 yards in each of his last five games, and he has run for 867 yards (6.1 YPC) and seven touchdowns on the season. Jam Griffin has been the No. 2 back in this offense with Deshaun Fenwick injured. Meanwhile, Tre'Shaun Harrison has 50 receptions for 589 yards and four touchdowns as the team's leading receiver.

                                Oregon State's defense is ranked 20th in SP+. The Beavers are allowing just 19.0 PPG and 337.0 YPG, ranking in the top 25 nationally in both categories. The secondary has been very good, allowing 6.1 YPA even though Oregon State has just 16 sacks on the season. Alex Austin is seen as a potential early-round draft pick, but there are five defensive backs with at least six pass defenses this season.



                                Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Analysis

                                The Fighting Irish have a mediocre offense, but they have recovered well after losing starting quarterback Tyler Buchner to a season-ending shoulder injury in Week 2. Drew Pyne is completing 61.8% of his passes for 1,703 yards with 19 touchdowns and five interceptions. He isn't much of a running threat, but he hasn't needed to be in this offense, as Notre Dame has three quality running backs.

                                Audric Estime is the leading rusher for the Fighting Irish with 782 yards (5.8 YPC) and 11 touchdowns on the ground. Logan Diggs has received a few more carries than Estime and is averaging 5.0 YPC, while Chris Tyree is averaging 4.3 YPC as the No. 3 running back. Tight end Michael Mayer is by far the biggest threat in the passing game for the Fighting Irish with 59 receptions for 711 yards and seven touchdowns.

                                Notre Dame is ranked 32nd in Defensive SP+. The Fighting Irish are in the top 20 in scoring defense (20.3 PPG) and total defense (316.8 YPG), but they have only faced two elite offenses this season in Ohio State and North Carolina. Isaiah Foskey leads Notre Dame with 9.5 sacks, while Benjamin Morrison has tried to replace Kyle Hamilton and Morrison leads the team with five interceptions.

                                USC Trojans Betting Analysis

                                Caleb Williams made the decision to join Lincoln Riley in Los Angeles from Norman, and that has been the key to USC's success this season. Williams has been superb under center for the Trojans, completing 64.9% of his passes for 3,480 yards (9.0 YPA) with 33 touchdowns and three interceptions. He has run for 316 yards and seven touchdowns, and we could see him run more as he tends to use his legs more often in big games.

                                Leading rusher Travis Dye was on pace for a 1,000-yard season before he suffered a season-ending injury two weeks ago in a win over Colorado. Austin Jones is the top running back on the team now, and he is averaging 6.2 YPC with five touchdowns. These receivers are arguably the second-best position group in the country behind Ohio State's as Jordan Addison, Tahj Washington, and Mario Williams are all averaging over 15.0 YPR in this big play offense.

                                USC is ranked 64th in Defensive SP+. The Trojans have been extremely fortunate in the turnover department with a whopping 18 interceptions and six recovered fumbles on the season. Calen Bullock leads USC with four picks, but the best player on this defense is lineman Tuli Tuipulotu. He has 11.5 sacks, three passes batted down, and two forced fumbles on the year, and he is in the running for Pac 12 Defensive Player of the Year honors.

                                Comment

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