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Week 2

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Top 13 games of the week
Virginia
vs NC State (-3)
Virginia (1-0)
Virginia (-18) routed Coastal Carolina 48-7 at home LW.
Virginia outgained the Chanticleers, 454-254
Cavaliers have had three straight losing seasons.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.


Under Elliott, Virginia is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 15-8 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 8-2 ATS in games coming off a win.


NC State (1-0)
NC State (-13) beat East Carolina LW, 24-17.
ECU threw for 383 yards: total yardage, 423-413, Wolfpack
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY (2,413 PY; 17 TD’s, 10 INTs)


Wolfpack was 6-7 LY, its first losing year since 2019.
Wolfpack is 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.
Last 3 years, State is 4-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-44 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2 years, Wolfpack is 10-6ATS in conference games.


NC State is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six series games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.


Iowa vs Iowa State (-3)
Iowa (1-0)
Iowa drubbed a I-AA team 34-7 last week.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Iowa hasn’t had a losing season since 2012.
Since 2021, Hawkeyes are 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 53-44-4 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 15-9 ATS in non-conference games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.


Iowa State (2-0)
Iowa State nipped K-State 24-21 in Ireland, drilled a I-AA team LW.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


ISU was 11-3 LY, won their first bowl since 2020.
In his career, Campbell is 47-48-2 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, ISU is 6-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2018, Cyclones are 11-14 ATS in non-league games.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.


Iowa won seven of last nine series games.
Hawkeyes are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Ames.
Under is 17-3 in last 20 meetings.


Baylor @ SMU (-3)
Baylor (0-1)
Baylor (+2.5) lost 38-24 at home to Auburn LW.
Auburn ran for 307 yards; Baylor threw for 419 yards.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 10-8 ATS as a road dog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 16-15 ATS as a underdog overall..
Baylor is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 non-league games.
Bears had a positive turnover ratio the last six years.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.


SMU (1-0)
SMU drilled a I-AA team 42-13 last week.
Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.


SMU lost ACC title game LY, 34-31 to Clemson
Last two years, SMU is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 17-10 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 5-10 ATS in non-conference games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.


These teams haven’t met since 2016.

Illinois
(-3) @ Duke
Illinois (1-0)
Illinois drilled a I-AA team 52-3 last week.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


Illinois was 10-3 LY, its second winning year the last 10 years.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-4 ATS on the road.
In his career, Bielema is 17-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 6-8-1 ATS in non-league games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.


Duke (1-0)
Duke poached Tulane’s QB, is paying him $4M this year.
Duke beat a I-AA team 45-17 last week.
QB Mensah threw for 389 yards in that game.
Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.


Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last three years, Duke is 10-6 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 11-3 ATS as an underdog
Since 2020, Duke is 13-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


Ole Miss (-10) @ Kentucky
Ole Miss (1-0)
Ole Miss (-33) gained 695 yards LW, pounded Georgia State 63-7.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
New QB Simmons was 20-31/341 passing last week.


Under Kiffin, Rebels are 22-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 10-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-22-2 ATS in SEC games.


Kentucky (1-0)
Kentucky (-9.5) beat Toledo 24-16 last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 170 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Calzada started 21 games at Texas A&M in 2021, then was at Auburn, I-AA Incarnate Word the last three years.


Kentucky is 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
In his career, Mark Stoops is 11-15-2 ATS as a home dog.
Last four years, Kentucky is 17-15 ATS in SEC games.
Last 4+ years, Wildcats are minus-23 in turnovers.


Ole Miss won seven of last 10 series games.
This is Rebels’ first visit to Lexington since 2020.


Kansas @ Missouri (-6)
Kansas (2-0)
Kansas beat Fresno State 31-7, whacked a I-AA team 46-7.
Jayhawks have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Kansas has 82 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 12 games last year.


In his career, Leipold is 13-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 12-8-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.


Missouri (1-0)
Mizzou drubbed a I-AA team 61-6 last week.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.


Mizzou was 6-2 ATS as a favorite last season.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 19-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 9-10-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS


These former rivals haven’t met since 2011.


Fresno State @ Oregon State (-3)
Fresno State (1-1)
Fresno split its first two games, despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
FSU’s new coach won two I-AA national titles at North Dakota State.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
EJ Warner (Kurt’s son) is the new QB; he has 31 career starts (Temple/Rice)


Since 2017, Fresno is 12-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Fresno is 15-8-1 ATS in its last 24 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 13-10 ATS in their last 21 non-conference tilts.
Bulldogs ran ball for 37 yards vs Kansas, 351 vs Georgia Southern.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.


Oregon State (0-1)
Beavers (+1.5) lost 34-15 at home to Cal last week.
Golden Bears outgained OSU, 356-313
Oregon State has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Beavers have 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Murphy started 12 games at Duke.


OSU went 5-7 LY, after three straight winning years.
OSU was 1-3 ATS as a home favorite LY (12-2 from 2021-23)
Beavers aren’t in a league this year; they will be next year.
Beavers are 4-9 ATS last in their last 13 games.


Oregon State (even) won last meeting, 35-32 in 2022.


Western Kentucky @ Toledo (-7)
Western Kentucky (2-0)
WKU (-10.5) beat Sam Houston 41-24, beat I-AA team 55-6 LW.
Hilltoppers have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
WKU has 58 starts back on offensive line- lot of transfers.
Senior QB McIvor (20 starts) comes in with his OC from I-AA Abilene Christian.


In their opener, Hilltoppers threw for 406 yards against the Bearkats.
Since 2018, Hilltoppers are 17-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Helton, WKU is 17-11 as an underdog, 13-8 on road.
Last four years, WKU was 13-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, C-USA teams were 2-2 ATS


Toledo (0-1)
Toledo (+9.5) lost 24-16 at Kentucky last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305
Toledo has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gleason started 12 games LY.


Last three years, Toledo is 9-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In 9 years under coach Candle, Rockets are 38-42 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, Rockets are 6-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, MAC teams were 6-4 ATS, all as underdogs.


Hilltoppers (+2.5) beat Toledo 24-21 at home last year.
Rockets outgained WKU, 325-207


Boston College @ Michigan State (-3)
Boston College (1-0)
BC beat a I-AA team 66-10 LW, throwing for 458 yards.
Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Lonergan was a backup at Alabama LY.


Last 2 years, Boston College is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 35-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, ACC teams are 4-10 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, ACC teams were 4-6 ATS


Michigan State (1-0)
Spartans (-22) beat Western Michigan 23-6 at home last week.
MSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Spartans have 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Chiles started 12 games last year.

Last three years, Spartans were 5-7/4-8/5-7.
MSU is 0-5 ATS last five games as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Smith is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Spartans are 9-4 ATS in last 13 non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


Michigan vs Oklahoma (-6)
Michigan (1-0)
Michigan (-34) beat New Mexico 34-17 last week.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 251 yards in his college debut.


Since 2020, Michigan is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Michigan was 3-3 ATS as an underdog in Moore’s first year as coach.
Last 3 years, Wolverines were 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS


Oklahoma (1-0)
Oklahoma beat a I-AA team 35-3 last week.
Sooners finished 6-7 two of the last three years.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 14-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 9-4 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


UCLA (-2.5) @ UNLV
UCLA (0-1)
UCLA (+5) lost 43-10 at home to Utah last week.
Utah outgained the Bruins, 492-220.
UCLA has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bruins have 91 returning starts on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Soph QB Iamaleava started 14 games at Tennessee.


UCLA was 5-7 LY, after three straight winning seasons.
Since 2021, UCLA is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
UCLA was 0-2 ATS as a favorite last year.
Last 10+ years, Bruins are 10-21-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS.


UNLV (2-0)
UNLV beat a I-AA team 38-31, won 38-21 at Sam Houston.
UNLV has 3 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
New coach Mullen is 105-61 in his college career.
Rebels have 37 starts returning on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Junior QB Colandrea started 11 games at Virginia LY.


Last week, Rebels outgained Sam Houston 404-332.
UNLV was 9-5/11-3 last 2 years, but most of those people are gone.
Last four years, UNLV is 17-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Mullen is 15-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.


These teams haven’t met since 2016.


San Diego State @ Washington State (-1.5)
San Diego State (1-0)
Aztecs blanked a I-AA team 42-0 last week.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.


Aztecs went 4-8/3-9 the last two seasons.
Since 2021, San Diego State is 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Lewis is 12-17 ATS as a home favorite.
San Diego State is 5-9 ATS last 14 non-conference games.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.


Washington State (1-0)
Wazzu snuck past I-AA Idaho 13-10 last week.
Coogs were outgained 221-211, ran ball for only 3 yards.
Coogs have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Potter was 23-30/208 in his first college start.


Last three years, Wazzu is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.
New coach Rogers was HC at I-AA South Dakota State.
Coogs have had winning seasons in 7 of last 10 years.
Since 2021, Wazzu is 14-10-1 ATS in games coming off a win.


Coogs (+14.5) upset San Diego State 29-26 last year.
Aztecs outgained Wazzu, 414-371
That was teams’ first meeting since 2011.


Arizona State (-7) @ Mississippi State
Arizona State (1-0)
ASU beat a I-AA team 38-19 last week.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Sun Devils were 11-3 LY, after 3-9/3-9 seasons.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 4-3 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.


Mississippi State (1-0)
Miss State (-14) won 34-17 at Southern Miss last week.
Bulldogs outgained USM, 465-301
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.


Since 2019, MSU is 2-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU was 5-5 ATS as a dog last year, Lebby’s first year as HC.
Bulldogs are 8-4-1 ATS in last 15 games non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS, 1-1 as an underdog.


Arizona State (-5.5) beat the Bulldogs 30-23 last year.
ASU ran ball for 346 yards, outgained Miss State, 415-292
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chargers’ history:
59,271—Philip Rivers
43,040— Dan Fouts
26,938— John Hadl
21,093— Justin Herbert
16,085— Stan Humphries
12,348— Drew Brees

Quote of the Day
“I ain’t talked to Aaron (Rodgers) since he left, so wish him the best this season. Yeah, but we ain’t chopped it up since he left.”
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson

Friday’s quiz
Which city does the movie Good Will Hunting take place in?

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.

Wednesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was QB for the Jets, last time they played in a playoff game.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…..

Eagles 24, Cowboys 20
There was an hour-long lightning delay in the third quarter.
Eagles’ DL Jalen Carter got ejected before the first play; he spit on Dallas QB Prescott, while standing right next to an official.
There were 7 possessions in first half: 5 TD’s, 2 field goals. Eagles led 21-20 at half.
Eagles in first half: 30 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Eagles in second half: 34 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
Cowboys lost five of their last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last seven years, Eagles are 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS in home openers.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
Dallas in second half: 26 plays, 136 yards, no points.
Cowboys have covered their last five road openers.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten season openers.

— Buffalo Bills signed K Matt Prater to their practice squad; their regular kicker, Tyler Bass, has been banged-up with a hip injury. This would be Prater’s 20th year in the NFL.

— Bill Belichick has banned New England Patriots’ staff from watching his North Carolina team practice; his disdain towards the Patriots’ organization after his departure from the team two years ago apparently hasn’t lessened any.
Scouts from other teams are limited to watching just three sessions of UNC practice, but three sessions are better than none; not sure how this will help his recruiting going forward.

— Obscure Stat of the Day:
Milwaukee P Jose Quintana faced three batters in an inning Wednesday; all three guys hit a ground ball back to Quintana, the first time that happened in a 1-2-3 inning since 2017.

— New York Mets are going all-in on young starting pitchers; they’re calling up Brandon Sproat to start Sunday’s game in Cincinnati. Sproat is 8-6, 4.24 in 25 AAA starts this season.

— Detroit Lions signed QB CJ Beathard to their practice squad, to be their #3 QB, behind Jared Goff and Kyle Allen. Beathard has started 13 NFL games, for the 49ers/Jaguars.

— 20-year-old Kendall George, the 36th overall pick in the 2023 baseball draft, has stolen 97 bases in 110 games this year- he is hitting .290 with a .406 on-base percentage. George is one of the LA Dodgers’ top minor league prospects.

— Washington Nationals VP of Amateur Scouting Danny Haas has bolted Washington for the Baltimore Orioles.

Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 86
Billy Kilmer, 86
Michael Keaton, 74
Willie Gault, 65
Jeff Brantley, 62
Brad Hopkins, 55
Ryan Spilborghs, 46
Colt McCoy, 39
TJ Warren, 32
Jarren Duran, 29
Steven Kwan, 28
Mac Jones, 27
William Devane is a great actor who grew up here in Albany; his father was Franklin D Roosevelt’s chauffeur when FDR was governor of New York.

— Phillies 2, Brewers 0
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Trea Turner had the go-ahead hit in the 7th.
Jhoan Duran got his 26th save this season.

— Pirates 5, Dodgers 3
Paul Skenes threw six shutout innings.
Dodgers got swept three straight in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 42-30 at home, 22-47 on the road.

— Rays 4, Guardians 2
Tampa Bay has won seven games in a row.
Ryan Pepiot threw five no-hit IP (90 PT), got the win.
Rays are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.

— Royals 4, Angels 3
Bobby Witt’s 8th inning home run was a game-winner.
Adam Frazier got his 1,000th career hit.
Royals are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.

— New York 8, Astros 4
Trent Grisham hit his career-high 30th home run.
New York holds the AL’s #1 Wild Card slot.
Astros still lead AL West by 3.5 games.

— White Sox 11, Twins 8
Minnesota led 7-4 after six innings.
Kyle Teel was 3-4 with three runs scored, four RBI
White Sox sweep the four game series in the Twin Cities.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
 

Udog

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Dunkel

Week 2

FCS - Friday

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WESTERN ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN

Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 54.681; Northwestern 74.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Northwestern by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Northwestern by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+28); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR EASTERN WASHINGTON AT BOISE STATE
Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 62.695; Boise State 81.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Boise State by 18 1/2; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Boise State by 29 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+29 1/2); Over
 

Cnotes53

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Friday, September 5

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
JMU at LOU07:00 PMJMU +14.5
O 55.5
+500 +500
WIU at NW07:30 PMWIU +31.5
O 49.5
+500 +500
NIU at MD07:30 PMNIU +16.5
O 45.0
+500 +500
EWU at BSU09:00 PMEWU +32.0
O 58.5
+500 +500
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR SEPTEMBER !

09/05/2025.........3 - 4 - 0..............42.85%............- 7.00

TOTALS...............3 - 4 - 0..............42.85%............- 7.00


**********************************

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR AUGUST !


08/23/2025..........................5 - 1 - 1.........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50

TOTALS................................5 - 1 - 1 ........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chiefs’ history:
32,352— Patrick Mahomes
28,507— Len Dawson
21,459— Trent Green
17,608— Alex Smith
17,277— Bill Kenney
11,873— Steve DeBerg

Quote of the Day
“We knew it was going to be a dogfight, so we showed up today with our best effort. It was fun to see.”
Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert

Saturday’s quiz
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin was once the head coach of which NFL team?

Friday’s quiz
The movie Good Will Hunting take place in Boston.

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.

***********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..

— Chargers 27, Chiefs 21
Loss snaps Chiefs’ 11-game win streak in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Chiefs’ first three drives: 12 plays, 28 yards, three punts.
Last 5+ years, Chiefs are 10-21 ATS vs AFC West rivals.
Over last 23 years, team that lost the Super Bowl is 6-17 ATS in its season opener the next year.
Chargers in first half: 31 plays, 181 yards, 13 points.
Bolts were 7-13 on third down, Chiefs 5-14.
Just 4th win for the Chargers in last 23 games vs Kansas City.
Last seven years, Chargers started season 1-0 six times.

— Louisville 28, James Madison 14
Game was tied 14-all after the third quarter.
Louisville’s winning TD was scored by their defense with 13:05 left.
JMU had 12 penalties for 95 yards, Cardinals 5-49.

— Maryland 20, Northern Illinois 9
Maryland won its 17th consecutive non-conference game.
Malik Washington threw for 254 yards, two TD’s.
NIU ran ball for 180 yards, but averaged only 4.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Three NFL teams have two #1 picks in next year’s draft:
Rams, Cowboys, Browns

— August 30, 1990, the Astros traded 37-year old reliever Larry Andersen to the Red Sox, for a young 1B who was playing AA ball.
Andersen helped the Red Sox win the AL East that season, making 15 relief appearances and posting a 1.23 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 22 IP, but the young player wound up in the freakin’ Hall of Fame.
You may have heard of Jeff Bagwell; he hit 449 home runs, with an OPS of .948, while playing his whole 15-year career for Houston. Pretty good deal for the Astros.

— St Louis 1B Willson Contreras had his six-game suspension reduced to four games; he started serving it Friday night, won’t be back until Tuesday’s game.

— Still strikes me as weird when I see a pitcher with a single-digit uniform number; not sure why, but it does. Jack Flaherty, MacKenzie Gore, Blake Snell come to mind.

Famous birthdays, September 6th:
Ron Boone, 79
Jane Curtin, 78
Kevin Willis, 63
Rosie Perez, 61
Idris Elba, 53
Eric Zeier, 53
Derrek Lee, 50
Jerry Blevins, 42
Mitch Moreland, 40
Sam Acho, 37
John Wall, 35
Dustin May, 28

— AL Wild Card race:
as of now, the three Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
0.5 games behind- Rangers
1 game behind- Royals
2 games behind- Rays
2.5 games behind- Guardians

— White Sox 7, Tigers 5
Not for nothing, but the White Sox are 5-0 this week.
Colson Montgomery homered, had four RBI.
Detroit still leads AL Central by 8.5 games.

— Mets 5, Reds 4
Cincinnati had bases loaded, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Mets now lead the fading Reds by six games in the NL Wild Card race.
Mets are 7-4 in last 11 games, Cincinnati 3-11 in its last 14.

— Orioles 2, Dodgers 1
Samuel Basallo hit a walk-off homer for Baltimore.
Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games.

— Blue Jays 7, New York 1
Kevin Gausman allowed four hits in 8 IP.
Toronto extends its AL East lead to four games.
Blue Jays are 8-3 vs New York this season.

— Giants 8, Cardinals 2
San Francisco has won 11 of its last 12 games.
Rafael Devers has homered four times in his last five games.
Giants trail the Mets by four games for the NL’s last Wild Card spot.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
 

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MAY ADD MORE AS THE DAY GOES ALONG!

Saturday, September 6

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UVA at NCST12:00 PMUVA +3.0+500
IOWA at ISU12:00 PMISU -3.5+500
FIU at PSU12:00 PMPSU -42.0+500
ILL at DUKE12:00 PMDUKE +2.5+500
USU at TAM12:45 PMUSU +32.5+500
FRES at ORST03:30 PMFRES +2.5+500
MISS at UK03:30 PMMISS -8.5+500
TROY at CLEM03:30 PMTROY +31.0+500
KU at MIZZ03:30 PMKU +5.5+500
USF at FLA04:15 PMUSF +18.0+500
LT at LSU07:30 PMLSU -37.5+500
BC at MSU07:30 PMBC +3.5+500
GASO at USC07:30 PMUSC -29.0+500
ASU at MSST07:30 PMASU -6.5+500
MICH at OKLA07:30 PMOKLA -5.0+500
VAN at VT07:30 PMVT -2.5+500
UCLA at UNLV08:00 PMUNLV +1.5+500
SDSU at WSU10:15 PMSDSU +2.0+500
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR SEPTEMBER !

09/06/2025.......7 - 11 - 0..............38.88%............- 24.00
09/05/2025.........3 - 4 - 0..............42.85%............- 7.00

TOTALS............10 -15 - 0..............40.00%............- 31.00


**********************************

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR AUGUST !

08/23/2025..........................5 - 1 - 1.........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50

TOTALS................................5 - 1 - 1 ........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Since 2023, TD rates on plays run inside the 3-yard line:
85.7%— Ravens
70%— Saints
61.5%— Bears
61.1%— Cardinals
58.8%— Broncos
57.7%— Buccaneers

Quote of the Day
“You don’t demand respect, you earn it.”
Steve Spurrier

Tuesday’s quiz

Who played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they won a playoff game?

Monday’s quiz
Before Sunday, Andrew Luck was Colts’ QB the last time they won a Week 1 game, in 2013.

Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson managed five different major league teams, led four of them to the postseason; Dodgers were the only team he didn’t make the playoffs with.

***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Vikings 27, Bears 24
Vikings’ first nine drives: 30 plays, 122 yards, 6 points (and a pick-6)
Vikings’ last four drives: 21 plays, 183 yards, 21 points
Vikings are 15-11-4 ATS in last 30 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Chicago led 17-6 when they got a pick-6 early in third quarter.
Bears in second half: 33 plays, 145 yards, 7 points
Vikings won nine of last ten series games.
Minnesota is 6-0 SU/5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Chicago.

— Biggest questions for teams who draft a QB; when do you start him?
Titans. Giants. Saints. Browns.
Tennessee’s Cam Ward is the only one of the four who started this week; all four of these teams lost in Week 1. It is a fascinating decision as to when the rookie QB becomes a starter.

— A quick look back:
Patrick Mahomes started one game (the last game) as a rookie
Jared Goff didn’t start until the 10th game his rookie year.
Jalen Hurts started four games as a rookie.
Justin Herbert started in Week 2 his rookie year.
Josh Allen started in Week 2 his rookie year.
Caleb Williams started every game last year.
Trevor Lawrence, Kyler Murray started every game when they were rookies.

— Week 1 of the NFL:
Home teams were 8-6 ATS
Favorites were 8-7 ATS
Under was 12-3.

— In college football so far:
AAC teams are 8-8 ATS out of conference; 5-1 as road dogs, 1-4 at home.
ACC 8-12 ATS; 3-7 as home favorite, 3-1 as road favorite, 2-4 as an underdog.
Big 18 11-15 ATS; 9-10 as a home favorite.
Big X 8-11 ATS; 3-5 as a home favorite, 1-4 as an underdog.
C-USA 7-4 ATS; 6-3 as a road underdog.
MAC 11-9 ATS; 9-6 as a road underdog.
Mountain West 12-5 ATS; 9-3 as an underdog.
SEC 11-10 ATS; 5-8 as home favorite, 3-1 as underdog.
Sun Belt 8-10 ATS; 2-4 at home.
— Since 2000, Cleveland Browns have started 20 different QB’s; Washington Commanders have started 17 QB’s.

— Russell Wilson is the ninth QB to start for the Giants in the last 5+ seasons.
Sunday vs Washington, Giants ran seven plays inside the 3-yard line; they had a net minus-1 yard on those seven plays.

Famous birthdays, September 9th:
Dick LeBeau, 88
Joe Theismann, 76
Hugh Grant, 65
Jack Trudeau, 63
Todd Zeile, 60
Adam Sandler, 59
Eric Stonestreet, 54
Mike Hampton, 53
Edwin Jackson, 42
Otto Kemp, 26

— Phillies put SS Trea Turner (hamstring), 3B Alec Bohm (shoulder) on the IL; playoffs start in three weeks, Phillies need Turner healthy by then.

— Phillies 1, Mets 0
Aaron Nola allowed only 5 baserunners in six IP.
Nick Castellanos knocked in only run with a 2nd inning single.
Phillies lead Mets by 8 games in NL East; their magic number is 11.

— Nationals 15, Marlins 7
Josh Bell went 4-6 with six RBI; he homered from both sides of plate.

— Giants 11, Diamondbacks 5
San Francisco hit five home runs; game was 4-4 after five innings.
Giants are within three games of Mets for NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mariners 4, Cardinals 2
Seattle was down 2-0, scored four runs in bottom of 6th.
Bryan Woo improved to 13-7, 3.02 with the win.
Mariners lead Texas by 1.5 games for AL’s last Wild Card spot.

— Padres 4, Reds 3 (10)
Cincinnati led 3-0 in sixth inning.
Fernando Tatis had the walk-off sacrifice fly.
Reds are 5-12 in their last 17 games.

— Dodgers 3, Rockies 1
Dodgers lost a no-hitter in 9th inning for second time in three nights.
Tyler Glasnow struck out 11, didn’t allow a hit in his 7 IP.
Ryan Ritter had Colorado’s only hit.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
 

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Week 3


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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL offensive lines that are getting paid the most this year:
$95.3M— Carolina
$81.5M— Kansas City
$67.7M— Giants
$66.1M— Chicago
$64.4M— Minnesota
$63.9M— Detroit

Quote of the Day
“My team meeting got very long after some of the things that happened in that game.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski, talking about the Cowboys-Eagles game, and the spitting incident early in the game

Thursday’s quiz

When was the last season without a no-hitter in the major leagues?

Wednesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears have never had a QB pass for 4,000 yards in a season; Erik Kramer holds the Bears’ single-season record for passing yards, with 3,898 in 1995.

Tuesday’s quiz
Jay Cutler played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they won a playoff game.

***********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— If you’re planning ahead, there are two Monday night football games this week:
7:00 Tampa Bay plays at Houston
10:00 Chargers visit the Raiders in Las Vegas

— Kyle Schwarber is the 34th big leaguer to hit 50+ home runs in a season; he is also a free agent this winter. Really good timing on his part.
Schwarber, Phillies teammate JT Realmuto are both free agents this winter; GM Dave Dombrowski is going to have an interesting winter.

— Mets have used 45 pitchers this season; 17 of them have started at least one game.

— Since the All-Star break, 57% of the Miami Marlins’ hits have come from rookies; during that time, no other team has more than 35% of its hits from rookies.

— Was watching Cleveland-Tampa Bay game last week; the Guardians’ TV guys were critical of Rays’ star Junior Caminero, citing lackadaisical play by Caminero as a reason Cleveland won a game in Tampa. Seemed like an odd comment at the time.
But back in November 2021, Cleveland traded Caminero to the Rays for P Tobias Myers, who the Guardians dealt to San Francisco the next summer. Not a good look for the Cleveland front office, seeing how Caminero has 41 homers this year and is only 21 years old.

— Rough week for MAC football teams last week; two of them lost to I-AA opponents. LIU beat Eastern Michigan 28-23, UMass lost to Bryant 27-26. Not great.

— If your kid can snap a football 15 yards behind him to a punter, he might want to call up the football office at Oregon State. He might get a scholarship.
Last week against Fresno State, Beavers bounced at least five snaps to their punter or holder for kicks in a 36-27 loss to the Bulldogs. Poor kid who was snapping for Oregon State had never done it in a game before, and it showed- the Beavers’ regular long snapper is hurt.
I’m guessing they held tryouts this week, trying to find another kid to snap the ball.

Famous birthdays, September 11th:
Jeff Newman, 77
Rod Perry, 72
Kristy McNichol, 63
Gerald Wilkins, 62
Ellis Burks, 61
Harry Connick Jr, 58
Bern Brostek, 57
Christopher Bridges, 48 (Ludacris)
Ed Reed, 47
Shaun Livingston, 40
Andrew Cashner, 39
Zay Flowers, 25

— Phillies 11, Mets 3
Max Kepler homered, drove in five runs.
Mets have lost five games in a row.
Phillies’ magic number to clinch NL East is 7.

— Reds 2, Padres 1
Cincinnati scored twice in the 8th inning.
Andrew Abbott allowed five hits in his 8 IP.
Reds are two games behind the Mets for the last NL Wild Card slot.

— Astros 3, Blue Jays 2
Carlos Correa hit his 200th career home run.
Yainer Diaz had the game-winning homer in the 9th inning.
Toronto had tied the game with two runs in bottom of 8th.

— Orioles 2, Pirates 1 (10)
Rookie OF Beavers, hitting .305, had a walk-off single.
Paul Skenes threw only 64 pitches in a short, 5-inning start.
Spencer Horwitz homered for the Pirates’ only run.

— Royals 4, Guardians 3
Royals scored twice in top of 7th for the winning runs.
Vinnie Pasquantino got to 100 RBI for first time in his career.
Cleveland had its five-game win streak snapped.

— A’s 5, Red Sox 4
Lawrence Butler had the walk-off single for the A’s.
Nick Kurtz hit his 30th home run; he is the 32nd rookie to hit 30+ homers.
Just the 5th win for the A’s in their last 21 games against Boston.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: Red Sox, New York, Mariners
 

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, September 11


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Thursday’s game
NC State
(-7.5) @ Wake Forest
NC State (2-0)
NC State won its first two games, scoring 24-35 points.
LW, Virginia ran for 257 yards, outgained State 514-416.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY (2,413 PY; 17 TD’s, 10 INTs)


Wolfpack gained 423-416 yards in its two games.
Wolfpack is 6-14 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
Since 2019, State is 3-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Doeren, Wolfpack is 40-44 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Wolfpack is 11-6 ATS in conference games.


Wake Forest (2-0)
Wake beat Kennesaw State 10-9, beat a I-AA team 42-10.
Deacons’ new coach was 23-20 at Washington State
Deacons have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wake Forest has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
Last 2 years, senior QB Ashford was at Auburn/South Carolina


In his career, coach Dickert is 5-1 as a home underdog.
Wake is 0-6 ATS last six games as a home dog.
Last two years, Wake was 5-10-1 ATS in conference games.
Deacons are 1-6-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Wake outgained Kennesaw 348-307 in its opener.


Teams split the last six series games.
Favorites are 7-3 ATS in last 10 series games.
Wolfpack lost three of last four visits to Wake Forest.
Under is 5-3 in last meetings.
 
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