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    Recap: 0-1, missed with Central Florida, but...

    Recap: 0-1, missed with Central Florida, but still playing with house money today.
    Record: 10-8

    Buys:
    N'Western/Duke Ov 49'
    Coastal Carolina -14
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    Just finished Saturday update 'capping, no drops...

    Just finished Saturday update 'capping, no drops from the New Play, one spot added, Kent St/Iowa Ov.

    Buys:
    Miss St/Memphis Un 64
    Utah St/A Force Un 54
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    Record: 3-0 Updated charts (with correction -...

    Record: 3-0

    Updated charts (with correction - last week I gave an L to an OP Ov spot, should be in the NP record):

    CP: 4-10, Ov 2-6, Un 2-4
    NP: 3-4, Ov 2-4, Un 1-0
    OP: 1-4, Ov 0-1, Un 1-3
    ...
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    Correction: I think I made an error on my formula...

    Correction: I think I made an error on my formula for week one.
    I can't recreate the data used at that time, I'm not sure if I made an error or what the error is if I did, so I'm going to eliminate...
  5. Thread: NFL Buys 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    459

    No buys week one, just charting data. Records...

    No buys week one, just charting data.

    Records for the charted plays (using the same mnemonics as college plays, to keep things simple):


    CP 2-3, Ov 1-2, Un 1-1

    NP 1-0, Ov 1-0

    OP 1-1, Ov...
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    Recap: 1-0 Record: 3-0 Posted spots went...

    Recap: 1-0
    Record: 3-0

    Posted spots went 3-10, and that's okay because all I want is consistency. Win or lose makes no difference.
    Everyone is sooo hung up and focused on looking for plays that...
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    Recap: 6-3 Upping the $ size of my base unit to...

    Recap: 6-3
    Upping the $ size of my base unit to jump on these before they level out was the right move

    Posted spots went 7-8, a small win, but I did a good job at picking which ones to buy and...
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    Saturday morning update: One drop, no add-ons,...

    Saturday morning update:

    One drop, no add-ons, and unfortunately the drop is the Geo South/Fla Atl Un. It stands as a buy because I already bought it, but not in the record for this play. The...
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    This week's fade spots to choose from: A has...

    This week's fade spots to choose from:

    A has Mid Tenn St, U Mass, UAB

    B has Tex A&M, G South, S' Bama, SD St

    C1 has E Car, Miss St, SD St

    C2 has E Car, G South, Tex St, SD St, Vandy
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    This week . . . Friday: CP has Kan/CC Un...

    This week . . .

    Friday:

    CP has Kan/CC Un (record on this spot is 2-3)

    Saturday:

    CP has Purdue/U Conn Ov, Hou/Rice Ov (record on this spot is 2-4)
  11. Thread: NFL Buys 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    459

    NFL Buys 2021

    I'm mainly a college football guy, but I tried some things in the NFL here last year and came out okay at 18-10 in the regular season. Gave a little back with a 2-4 post season.

    From last year's...
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    Recap: 4-4, -$40 (based on a $100 unit) It was...

    Recap: 4-4, -$40 (based on a $100 unit)

    It was a simple plan for the week, as posted: Fade all the C spots.
    They went 3-4, my record should be 4-3, with a profit.
    So, why is it 4-4 and minus...
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    Thanks, Grid. Recap: 2-0 A nice start to the...

    Thanks, Grid.

    Recap: 2-0
    A nice start to the season.
    With 41 scored at the half, W Virg looked to be a sure loser, but a scoreless 3rd quarter helped get a W.

    The reason I put qualifying...
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    Update, with changes (added plays/dropped...

    Update, with changes (added plays/dropped plays.)

    Thursday:
    CP has Ov in Rutgers, Tenn
    Un in Minn

    Saturday:
    CP has Ov in Ark, Ill, S 'Bama, Az
    Un in Purdue, Navy, Tex
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    NCAA footbal sides project 2021

    My posts on Ov/Un's usually contain a lot of info - records, stats, picks, reasons, etc, and they run long.
    I don't want to add to it with more of the same on sides, so I'm going to post sides in...
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    Gridman and Mike - thanks for stopping in, good...

    Gridman and Mike - thanks for stopping in, good luck to you both this season!

    No buys last week, and that was a mistake.
    It's usually 3-4 weeks into the season before I post a "mea culpa"...
  17. Thread: 8-28-21

    by RBD
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    Trucker, Good luck to you this season...

    Trucker,
    Good luck to you this season...
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    Trucker and Cruncher - thanks for stopping in,...

    Trucker and Cruncher - thanks for stopping in, good luck to you both this season.

    Trucker, you're not really going against a play of mine, I have no buys this weekend. We're on the same play in...
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    College Football buys for 2021

    As always, a few picks in a few different situational spots I track,
    analysis, stats, when-to-buy strategy, and money management tips.
    And hopefully, by season's end, more W's than L's.

    I employ...
  20. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    25,183

    You're welcome Tkj, thanks for stopping by to let...

    You're welcome Tkj, thanks for stopping by to let me know you liked the spot and rode it with me.

    Recap: 1-0.
    An easy one with SF putting up a snowman and the Mets putting up a doughnut.
    ...
  21. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    25,183

    Still 'capping MLB daily, just not seeing...

    Still 'capping MLB daily, just not seeing anything I'm interested in as football 'capping is taking up most of my time and thoughts.

    Updated charts:
    GP: 72-70, +$920
    BB: 245-216, +$832

    My...
  22. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
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    25,183

    Still waiting for a really good spot, one that...

    Still waiting for a really good spot, one that fits multiple systems for my next MLB play.
    I want one more W to reach 1k in profits before calling it a season and going full time football.

    One of...
  23. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    You're welcome Tkj. I've already started...

    You're welcome Tkj. I've already started crunching #'s for the games of 8/28 through 9/6, working on sides as I wait for totals to be more widely released. I'm also reviewing last year's logbook,...
  24. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 1-0 Record: 67-71, +$815 Today . . ....

    Recap: 1-0
    Record: 67-71, +$815

    Today . . .

    GP has Chi C, BB has Atl.
    I'm not using either, I have another system I track that has a strong fade on Tex, I'm buying LAA.

    Also . . .
    Taking...
  25. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    25,183

    Picking up where I left off . . . Here's where...

    Picking up where I left off . . .

    Here's where the charts were last time in:
    GP: 62-57, +$1,059
    BB: 157-135, +$1,434

    Here's where the charts are today:
    GP 67-58, +$1,470
    BB: 195-177, +846
  26. Thread: A live dog?

    by RBD
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    Something interests me tonight on Showtime, right...

    Something interests me tonight on Showtime, right before the main event. When a guy hasn't fought in two years, and comes in over the contracted weight, it's usually a sign that he's not serious...
  27. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    33,020

    Okay, Sun's Ov, again. Third time lucky, or...

    Okay, Sun's Ov, again.
    Third time lucky, or three strikes I'm out?

    Buy: Suns Ov 111'
  28. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 1-1, -$2.00 Record: 66-71, +$715 ...

    Recap: 1-1, -$2.00
    Record: 66-71, +$715

    Brutal day for posted plays, GP spots went 1-0, but BB's got crushed, 1-6, -$594. They were +$3,601 on July 2, +$1,434 today.
    Nothing lasts forever sooner...
  29. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    25,183

    Okay, second half, here we go. Goal #1 - do not...

    Okay, second half, here we go.
    Goal #1 - do not give back first half profit
    Goal #2 - add to first half profit

    Sounds simple, though it's easier said than done.
    But what the hell - let's give...
  30. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    33,020

    Recap: 0-2 Record 18-22, -$580 And this is...

    Recap: 0-2
    Record 18-22, -$580

    And this is where my post season will likely end.
    I still have a way to go before hitting the limit I set that would force me to shut down the season, but unless...
  31. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 0-2, -$200 (wrong $ on TB in Sunday's...

    Recap: 0-2, -$200 (wrong $ on TB in Sunday's post, they were a dog, not -120)
    Record: Record: 65-70, +$717

    Well, that (0-2) was an ugly way to end the first half, but if you asked me at the...
  32. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    182
    Views
    33,020

    Recap: 0-1 Playoff record: 18-20, -$360 A 17...

    Recap: 0-1
    Playoff record: 18-20, -$360

    A 17 pt second quarter, sandwiched between a 28 pt Q1 and a 38 pt Q3 killed any chance at an Over.

    Today:

    NP has Phx/Mil Ov, 7-7 record

    Sides has...
  33. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 1-1, -$60 Record: 65-68, +$917 Posted...

    Recap: 1-1, -$60
    Record: 65-68, +$917

    Posted plays went 4-5, -$153

    Today's spots:
    GP has Atl, TB, LAA
    BB has Atl, St L, LAD, Hou, Tex, Sea

    I have a match with Atlanta, matches are 7-5
  34. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
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    33,020

    Today: TR Phx/Mil Ov, record on this spot is 3-3...

    Today:
    TR Phx/Mil Ov, record on this spot is 3-3
    TR Phx team total Ov, record on this spot is 4-2

    One buy for now, may add a prop or two later.

    Buys:
    Phx Ov 109
  35. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    No buys yesterday. Posted plays went 3-3, +$30 ...

    No buys yesterday.
    Posted plays went 3-3, +$30

    My record: 65-67, +$977

    Updated charts:
    GP: 59-55, +$949
    BB: 151-121, +$2,281

    Today...
  36. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    182
    Views
    33,020

    Recap: 1-0 Playoff record: 18-19, -$250 Well,...

    Recap: 1-0
    Playoff record: 18-19, -$250

    Well, the win with the Suns takes some of the sting out of not posting Bridges Ov 11' pts.
    Here's what I came up with yesterday:

    He averaged 13' PPG...
  37. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 0-1, -$100 Record: 65-68, +$877 Posted...

    Recap: 0-1, -$100
    Record: 65-68, +$877

    Posted spots, GP 0-1, -$100; BB 2-2, +$55

    GP: 59-55, +$949
    BB: 151-121, +$2,251

    Time to start fading GP spots? They don't look like they're going to...
  38. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    No buys yesterday. Posted plays went 3-4, -$165...

    No buys yesterday.
    Posted plays went 3-4, -$165

    GP: 59-54, +$1,049
    BB: 149-119, +$2,197
    My record: 65-67, +$977

    LAD bullpen blew it for the third day in a row, giving up 3 in the bottom of...
  39. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    182
    Views
    33,020

    No buys game 1. Today: Sides has Phx...

    No buys game 1.

    Today:

    Sides has Phx
    Sides/favs are 11-12, HF's 8-11

    Tm Total has Phx Ov 113
    Tm Totals Ov are 3-2
  40. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 0-2, -$242 Record: 65-67, +$977 From...

    Recap: 0-2, -$242

    Record: 65-67, +$977

    From Monday, July 5: "A sports betting lesson: On Sunday, June 21, GP plays peaked at +$2,301.
    Today they're at +$934.
    Most plays, over time, balance...
  41. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 2-2, -$109 Record: 65-65, +$1,209 ...

    Recap: 2-2, -$109

    Record: 65-65, +$1,209

    The Braves loss hurt, but it was the Dodgers that screwed me, tied 4-4, bases loaded in the 8th, 1 out and they can't score.
    Still, try to learn...
  42. Thread: NBA 2020-2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    182
    Views
    33,020

    Recap: 0-1 Post season record: 17-19, -$350 ...

    Recap: 0-1
    Post season record: 17-19, -$350

    Tough loss on Atl team total Over 109'.
    The play looked like it had no chance after a slow first quarter and a 19 pt Q2. Then they had a good Q4 and...
  43. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    No buys yesterday. Posted plays went 1-1,...

    No buys yesterday.

    Posted plays went 1-1, +$60. They were thisclose to 2-0, +$330 and I was regretting taking the day off, but Miami blew a 7-3 lead in the bottom of the 9th.

    Updated charts:...
  44. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    From yesterday: "Not much to choose from, and...

    From yesterday:
    "Not much to choose from, and none of these really stand out or fit other systems I use. I'm having a good week, not going to give any units back on games that I don't really like....
  45. Thread: MLB buys for 2021

    by RBD
    Replies
    190
    Views
    25,183

    Recap: 2-1, +$100 Record: 63-63, +$1,318 TB...

    Recap: 2-1, +$100

    Record: 63-63, +$1,318

    TB was a loser early on, SF was never in doubt. Atl was a tight one. The Braves had a 1-0 lead in the ninth, and Miami had the bases loaded, one out. I...
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