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    Recap: Hell of a 2-1 day yesterday. With a...

    Recap: Hell of a 2-1 day yesterday. With a 28-point first quarter it looked like N Dame/NC might be over by halftime, but NC only scored three points the rest of the way and the game stayed under by...
  2. Thread: BASON's PLAYs

    by RBD
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    "I have no idea what Tom Herman is doing. " ...

    "I have no idea what Tom Herman is doing. "

    Bason,

    I commented on the same thing.

    You could make an argument for going for it on 4th down. I wouldn't have done it, and I said it was a...
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    Thanks, Coach, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving,...

    Thanks, Coach, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving, too.

    New Play (records in Post #84):

    Overs in Iowa St/Tex, G South/ G St, SMU/E Car, B Green/Ohio, Mia-Oh/Akron, K St/Baylor, TCU/Kansas
    ...
  4. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    6,056

    Recap: Got a W with the first half of a teaser,...

    Recap: Got a W with the first half of a teaser, using Denver.
    And, just like the first time this system popped up this year, I teased it but didn't need to.
    I'm going to be extra careful selecting...
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    Post below contains updated accounting and...

    Post below contains updated accounting and records.

    Recap: Hit my buy, App St/CC Ov.

    Record: 32-23, + $760

    Audit: Did a full double check/accounting, found a few errors, factored in juice,...
  6. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    Yes, Coach, it still fits. Unlike the New Play...

    Yes, Coach, it still fits.
    Unlike the New Play I've been posting in the college thread, line changes from the books or the numbers that I make on a game have no effect. This is a play based on how...
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    Thanks Coach. Yeah, the TD that turned out to...

    Thanks Coach.
    Yeah, the TD that turned out to be a fumble at the goal line had me cursing out the TV.
    The Over was definitely closer than the final score showed, had to sweat it out a little bit...
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    Update: Doing my Saturday morning double check...

    Update:
    Doing my Saturday morning double check on the new system, not finished yet but adding App State/Coastal now because the line is jumping. There are a couple 46', 47, 47', and 48.
    I bought...
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    Finished 'capping New System. Overs in E...

    Finished 'capping New System.

    Overs in E Car/Temp, Ore St/Cal, Iowa St/ K St, Wash/Az

    Unders in UCLA/Ore, USC/Utah, Wash St/Stan.

    Temple was in an Over twice, 1-1.
    E Car was in an Over and...
  10. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    6,056

    Update: For the first time this season nothing...

    Update:
    For the first time this season nothing fits for Play #1.
    Ran the numbers twice, just to be sure.

    Disappointing, as it's been doing well and I was hoping to use something from it as the...
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    Finished 'capping Play #1 for the week. After...

    Finished 'capping Play #1 for the week.
    After an explosion of plays each of the last two weeks, the system kicked out a more normal number of games. Play #1:

    Overs in Geo South/Army, App...
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    Roman, thanks for posting, and yes, I 'll keep...

    Roman, thanks for posting, and yes, I 'll keep 'capping and sharing here all season long.

    Of the 18 Unders in the New Play (gotta get a better name for it) I have played every one except the first...
  13. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    Thanks, Jord. This is why I lobby for more...

    Thanks, Jord.

    This is why I lobby for more people to participate:

    With all the good info being exchanged as we dissected this game, none of us mentioned an angle that came into play late in the...
  14. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    6,056

    Recap - Got a W with Jags/GB Un. Doing a...

    Recap - Got a W with Jags/GB Un.

    Doing a mid-week early buy at 52 saved a full 5 points as the game closed at 47.
    In the end, didn't need the extra pts as the game landed on 44, but it's always...
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    Replies, Recap, Records, Review, and Rejoicing: ...

    Replies, Recap, Records, Review, and Rejoicing:

    Replies:

    Samson, thank you, and you're welcome. Continued success to you also.

    Tenpin, thanks for stopping by. With the Tue play on Akron and...
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    Being dead honest, I find myself a little too...

    Being dead honest, I find myself a little too "wordy."
    Thankfully I'm a good editor or my posts would be just as long and boring as War and Peace.
    Thanks for stopping by.

    Recap: Got a W with...
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    Great season, congrats and continued success to...

    Great season, congrats and continued success to you.
    I'll ride the Over with you,
    thanks.
  18. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    Arrow, Good point on UCF, with only Temple and...

    Arrow,
    Good point on UCF, with only Temple and Tulsa left on their schedule, UCF is their toughest spot.
    It's something to factor in.

    To me, wagering is like chess - I try to see all the...
  19. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    Yanno: "I would also admit that you know a whole...

    Yanno: "I would also admit that you know a whole lot more than I do."

    Chas: "It's clear to me at least, that you know what you're talking about."

    There's a LOT I don't know about.

    I know a...
  20. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    Jord20: "I think the original poster is referring...

    Jord20: "I think the original poster is referring to the "sandwich spot" or "look-ahead game" and not so much the number."


    Yes, that's what I thought also, it referred to the look ahead spot,...
  21. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    You're welcome, glad to help. The "TRAP!" game...

    You're welcome, glad to help.

    The "TRAP!" game people are still out there, I see them from time to time but I don't try to explain it to them because as they say, "There are none so blind as those...
  22. Thread: TRAP GAME ?

    by RBD
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    When I see "Trap" posts I don't usually...

    When I see "Trap" posts I don't usually participate, but since there's a ? in your thread title, I take it you're asking about it, so I'll reply.

    Regarding the betting odds, there is no such thing...
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    New Play: Overs in FAU/FIU, APP St/Geo St, ...

    New Play:
    Overs in FAU/FIU, APP St/Geo St,
    Unders in S. Alabama/La Laf, Louisville/Virg, N'West/Purdue, SMU/Tulsa

    Tonight's FAU/FIU fits the New Play (13-8 on Overs.)

    And it hits that "ideal...
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    Thanks Coach and Bigs for dropping by, much...

    Thanks Coach and Bigs for dropping by, much appreciated.

    Yes, a nice W last night, almost talked myself off of it due to conflicting numbers (specifically the situation that said "games with only...
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    Play #1: Overs: Kent St/B Green, Col St/Boise...

    Play #1:

    Overs: Kent St/B Green, Col St/Boise St, Army/Tulane, B Dame/BC, Georgia/Missouri, S Ala/LA Laff, Tex A&M/Tenn, Tex St/Geo South, S Miss/W Kent, Aub/Miss St

    Unders: Akron/Ohio, E...
  26. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    Thanks, Speed. And good luck to you with your...

    Thanks, Speed.
    And good luck to you with your plays this week.
  27. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    I guess it's time to put a little faith into my...

    I guess it's time to put a little faith into my college-system-converted-to-the-NFL.
    With the W on the Over in NE/NYJ last night, Play #1 is now 16-6; 7-2 Ov, 9-4 Un.

    I haven't used them much...
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    Recap: 3-2-1. (F me for that Push on S Fla. Did...

    Recap: 3-2-1.
    (F me for that Push on S Fla. Did ANYBODY buy it, and if so - at what #?)
    Record: 27-21

    The pop quiz question from Saturday: "What is the record on Unders in the New Play now?"...
  29. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    Recap: Winner. Best/oldest system I have. ...

    Recap: Winner.

    Best/oldest system I have.

    Didn't even need the extra pts from the teaz.

    Atlanta did get their first home win, despite trying to lose by giving up 21 pts in the 4th quarter....
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    Recap: I screwed up. Got lucky on Ark State...

    Recap: I screwed up.
    Got lucky on Ark State game. Had under 68.
    With 40 scored at halftime I was ready to write it off as an L.
    But got a 10-point third quarter.
    Two touchdowns and a field goal...
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    I'm not going anywhere, Guy, thanks. Looks...

    I'm not going anywhere, Guy, thanks.

    Looks like the New Play will take its first loss on an Under with Memphis, but I'm going to try one more spot.

    Adding BC/Syr Un 54.
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    Thanks for stopping by and contributing, Coach,...

    Thanks for stopping by and contributing, Coach, Bad Angel & Idabdou.

    I'm not going anywhere. I'll post if even just one person finds my stuff helpful. I'm altruistic by nature. Just felt like...
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    I stopped by to say "Don't second guess yourself,...

    I stopped by to say "Don't second guess yourself, you went with the right math, just got the wrong outcome."
    But, just saw that you didn't hedge, so . . congrats!
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    My request for a lurker or two to stop by isn't...

    My request for a lurker or two to stop by isn't about people posting to say they bet with me, or against me.
    It's just good to know that someone/anyone finds the posts useful or interesting....
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    Great overall record, and anything above 67%...

    Great overall record, and anything above 67% (like your BB's) is awesome.
    Congrats and good luck tonight.
  36. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
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    Play #1: NE/NYJ Ov NO/TB Un Record on these is...

    Play #1:
    NE/NYJ Ov
    NO/TB Un
    Record on these is 14-6; Ov 6-2, Un 8-4.
    (Note - last week, both games could have been a W or L depending on when you bought them. If I buy a game, it gets graded at...
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    With a four pt differential, and the key # of 7...

    With a four pt differential, and the key # of 7 in there - middle it.

    "Also could see the Packers defense letting me down again and 49ers keeping it close."

    Remember - it wasn't the D that only...
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    Good point, Trucker. I missed that; did a lot of...

    Good point, Trucker.
    I missed that; did a lot of channel flipping between games, mostly between C. Mich and the Toledo games, had no action on the Buf game so I didn't watch it, didn't catch the...
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    Thanks for the replies. Here's the thing - if no...

    Thanks for the replies.
    Here's the thing - if no one is interested, there's no sense taking time to post.
    Yesterday I saw the # of views and thought, there's a lot of views, so there is some...
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    I want to see at least one lurker step up and...

    I want to see at least one lurker step up and post something/add to the conversation this week.
    A question, a "Hello," or even a "You give too much analysis and it gives me a headache" note.
    ...
  41. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
    Replies
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    Coach, I'm buying it, but I'll wait to see if it...

    Coach, I'm buying it, but I'll wait to see if it goes to -14.
    If I see it starting to go the other way, I'll grab the 13' and probably buy the hook to get it to two TD'S - Dallas is going to need...
  42. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
    Replies
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    6,056

    Recap: Got back the morning teaser L with an easy...

    Recap: Got back the morning teaser L with an easy W on Seattle second half/garrapolo sucks play.
    Record 11-7.

    From post #1 in this thread: "I do have one NFL system I use, the oldest one I have...
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    Recap: 8-1 on Saturday. Record 24-19. Play...

    Recap: 8-1 on Saturday.
    Record 24-19.

    Play #1 went 6-5; Ov 2-2, Un 4-3.
    Season now 24-26. Ov 13-15, Un 11-11.
    I only used two of these, the Wake & Hou games Under; good choices as both won....
  44. Thread: NFL Buys for 2020

    by RBD
    Replies
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    Views
    6,056

    Recap: Missed with the morning teaser, hit with...

    Recap: Missed with the morning teaser, hit with the total in Cincinnati but missed with the Rams +3 when Goff look like the new fish, not Tua.

    Add:
    Sea +3 -120 second half.

    If the entire...
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    Update: I've been recommending waiting to buy the...

    Update: I've been recommending waiting to buy the last game I intended to buy today, La Laff/Tex St Un. But after hitting with UCF & the Under, I'm sitting at 5-1 on the day, with three games left,...
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