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  1. #1

    Cnotes 2020 Playoff's News. Trends. Picks !

    Monday’s 6-pack

    Most career regular season home runs in Dodger Stadium:


    130- Eric Karros

    123- Ron Cey

    118- Steve Garvey

    117- Matt Kemp

    106- Andre Ethier

    92- Mike Piazza


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,895
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “In the end, Mitch won the job and I think that’s very important for him, for us, for everybody to understand that he worked really hard to get to this point. We know that we all — in a lot of different areas — struggled in 2019. What I think was most impressive from the end of the season until this past weekend was to be able to see some of the growth in practice and off the field that Mitch had.”
    Bears coach Matt Nagy

    Monday’s quiz
    What team did Lou Brock begin his major league career with?

    Sunday’s quiz
    Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies in their only World Series appearance.

    Saturday’s quiz
    Houston Astros were originally the Houston Colt 45’s in their first few years as a major league franchise.


    ******************************

    Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) This is baseball, 2020:
    In the Miami-Tampa Bay game Sunday, the Marlins’ 41st game this year:
    — Miami’s Trevor Rogers threw 100 pitches.
    — Tampa Bay’s Tyler Glasnow threw 105 pitches.

    It was the first time this season, in Miami’s 41 games, that both starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches in the same game.

    12) Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman hit two grand slams in the last three games; in 10 years in the major leagues before this weekend, Freeman had never hit a grand slam.

    11) Umpire Joe West threw Washington Nationals’ GM Mike Rizzo out of the game Sunday; the thing is, Rizzo was sitting in a luxury box in the third level of the stadium. With no fans in the ballpark, umpires can hear a lot more of what their critics think of them.

    Rizzo got a 3-year contract extension Saturday, so he can afford the fine he’ll get.

    10) Astros-Angels played a doubleheader Saturday; it was 109 degrees in Anaheim when the first pitch was thrown. Tough weekend for the catchers in Orange County- it was 106 degrees for Sunday’s game in Anaheim.

    9) Toronto leads the Bronx Bombers by a game in the race for 2nd place in the AL East; they play 10 of their last 20 games against each other, starting Monday in Buffalo.

    8) Interesting conversation on the YES Network Sunday; top of 7th inning, Orioles led New York 4-1, but the visitors have two men on, with catcher Erik Kratz at bat, tying run at the plate.

    Kratz is a career backup, but Gary Sanchez is having a dreadful season, so he’s been benched; if they pinch-hit for Kratz, they pretty much had to put Sanchez in the game, which they obviously didn’t want to do.

    The three TV guys then discussed why this was happening, and how manager Aaron Boone isn’t making all the decisions as far as who plays and who doesn’t, the type of manager/front office issues we saw in the movie Moneyball.

    It was an unusually frank discussion, and it was good stuff.

    7) Sunday was the 25th anniversary of Cal Ripken Jr surpassing Lou Gehrig’s record for most consecutive games played, with 2,131.

    Longest current active streak of consecutive games played? Whit Merrifield, 288 games.

    6) SMU 31, Texas State 24— Imagine being Texas State and being on ESPN Saturday at 4:30, the only televised football game at that time? What a recruiting bonanza for the Sun Belt’s Bobcats, who hung in with SMU but couldn’t spring the upset- they got good exposure, though, and that sure helps their recruiting.

    5) Villanova basketball coach Jay Wright made it known that he doesn’t want to be the 76ers’ head coach. He already has a lucrative gig with more job security.

    4) They opened a new sportsbook in the Treasure Island casino in Las Vegas, one of the few strip casinos I’ve never been in. I look forward to seeing it someday.

    3) Pittsburgh Steelers cut QB Devlin Hodges, who started six games for them LY and brought back QB Josh Dobbs, who had been a backup in Jacksonville.

    2) From Ralph Michaels:
    Since 2014 in the NFL, Week 1 divisional underdogs are 21-5-1 ATS.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Colorado, Mia/SF

  2. #2
    RECORD AT THE START OF SEPT>

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail

    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail

    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail

    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail

    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail

    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100

  3. #3
    NBA public betting, line movement September 7
    Patrick Everson

    Jayson Tatum and Kyle Lowry renew hostilities when the Celtics and Raptors meet Monday in Game 5. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Toronto -1, but the line flipped to Boston -1 Sunday.

    NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a couple of Monday conference semifinal playoff games. The Toronto Raptors meet the Boston Celtics in a pivotal Game 5, followed by the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets tangling in Game 3.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s matchups.

    NBA line movement

    Toronto lost Games 1 and 2 against Boston, but bounced back to tie the series by winning the next two matchups, including Saturday’s 100-93 Game 4 victory. The defending NBA champion Raptors opened -1 for Game 5 at The SuperBook, but the line flipped to Celtics -1 Sunday morning. Game time is 6:30 p.m. ET.

    After getting thumped 120-97 in Game 1, Denver rebounded with a 110-101 Game 2 victory over Los Angeles on Saturday night. The SuperBook opened the Clippers -7.5 for Game 3, and that line stretched to -9 Sunday afternoon, spurred by news that Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is questionable with a right wrist injury. Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET.

    NBA public betting

    The Consensus indicated two-way play on Celtics-Raptors, with a lean toward Toronto, which was landing 56 percent of picks through Sunday night. Jokic’s status notwithstanding, the Nuggets were drawing 63 percent of early Consensus picks.

  4. #4
    701BOSTON -702 TORONTO
    BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the current season.

    703LA CLIPPERS -704 DENVER
    DENVER is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, September 7


    Boston @ Toronto

    Game 701-702
    September 7, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    126.600
    Toronto
    127.105
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 1
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    212
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+2); Under

    LA Clippers @ Denver


    Game 703-704
    September 7, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    129.720
    Denver
    113.234
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 16 1/2
    230
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-9); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, September 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (54 - 26) vs. TORONTO (59 - 21) - 9/7/2020, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a division game this season.
    BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 156-116 ATS (+28.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    TORONTO is 228-279 ATS (-78.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (54 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 31) - 9/7/2020, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 45-34 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 79-64 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 76-62 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 6-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 6-6 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA

    Monday, September 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston @ Toronto
    Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
    Toronto is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

    LA Clippers @ Denver
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
    Game 5 Odds: Celtics vs. Raptors
    Michael Crosson

    The Eastern Conference semifinals will continue on Monday and the 2-3 matchup between Toronto and Boston has now become a best-of-three series with the pair locked up at 2-2.

    The third-seeded Celtics captured the first two games before the Raptors have rebounded with back-to-back wins. Even though these games are playing in the NBA Bubble from Orlando, the designated road team is now 4-0 in this series.

    Betting Resources

    Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 5
    Second Round: Series tied 2-2
    Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
    Location: Orlando, Florida
    Date: Monday, Sept. 7, 2020
    Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
    TV: TNT

    The Raptors stepped up defensively in their Game 4 victory, holding the Celtics to a playoff-low of 93 points. (AP)
    Betting Odds - Celtics vs. Raptors

    Line Movements

    After watching Boston combine consecutive victories with consecutive losses, Vegas decide to lean with the Raptors heading into this Game 5 bout, setting the opening spread at Toronto -1. Early action on the Celtics (65%) though, has led to the line swinging to Boston -1.

    The Raptors and Celtics have split the first two games of this series SU 2-2, but the same can’t be said for the ‘over-under’ as this series has been all about defense, cashing ‘under’ tickets in all four games. The total for Game 5 sits more than three points lower than any ‘over-under’ we have seen so far in this series – OU 212.

    The series price for Boston advancing to the next round soared all the way up to -500 following its back-to-back victories against Toronto to open the Eastern Conference Semis, but has now fallen all the way back down to -120 as these teams begin what has become a best of three series between inner-conference rivals.

    Spread: Boston -1
    Money-Line: Boston -110 Toronto -110
    Total: 212
    Updated Series Price: Boston -120, Toronto +100

    Game 4 Recap

    The Celtics were just a couple ticks on the clock away from going up 3-0 on the second-seeded Raptors in the Eastern Conference Semis, but OG Anunoby was there to save the day with a game-winning buzzer beater in Game 3, which was followed up with a 100-93 victory on Saturday to knot up this series 2-2 heading into the fifth contest of this series.

    Game 4 was a bit of a roller coaster ride as Toronto came out on top in the first and third periods of the contest and the Celtics caught the edge in the second and fourth stanzas.

    Boston’s edge was not enough though as the Raptors rumbled to a 12-point advantage in the periods in which they were victorious compared to the Celtic’ five-point margin. This series has been a hard-nosed, defensive-minded battle so far as the ‘under’ has easily cashed in all four contests.

    It will be interesting to see if these teams let up a little on defense on Monday, with a sixth matchup between these teams guaranteed now.

    Game 4 Betting Results

    Game 4 was a tale of two quarters as Toronto scored 31 and 32 points in the first and third respectively and those efforts helped the Canadian club cash tickets.

    While it looked like we would finally see an 'over' ticket in this series, a combined 40 and 39 points scored in the second and fourth quarters helped the 'under' improve to 4-0 in the first four games.

    Outcome: Raptors 100 Celtics 93

    Game: Raptors Win, Raptors Cover Cover (+2), Under (215.5)
    First Quarter: Raptors Win (31-27), Raptors Cover (PK), Over (54.5)
    First-Half: Tied (49-49), Raptors Cover (+1), Under (108.5)
    Second-Half: Raptors Win (51-44), Raptors Cover (+1.5), Under (105)

    Celtics Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 11-5 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, 5-10-1 O/U
    Playoffs: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 1-7 O/U

    A stunning four-game sweep of the defending champs appeared to be hanging in the balance as Brad Stevens’ group possessed a 2-0 series advantage, leading Toronto 103-102 during the closing seconds of Game 3 and in what felt like a blink of an eye, a two-game advantage became none.

    The Celtics looked like the clear-cut, better unit in the first two games of this matchup, winning Games 1 and 2 by an average of 10.5 points per game, and controlled the pace/flow for the majority of Game 3 only to be nabbed at the last second.

    Boston shot 7 of 35 from downtown in its Game 4 loss, and the odds of an efficient team on offense like the Celtics shooting at that clip in consecutive contests is not very likely – No need to sweat if you are a Celtics series bettor unless they drop another one here.

    Raptors Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS, 4-11-1 O/U
    Playoffs: 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U

    When Kawhi Leonard walked away from the Raptors this past off-season, many thought he would be leaving behind an empty shell of what was once a championship lineup.

    And while that is true to an extent, Toronto clearly still has the swagger on defense of a title-contender, holding the Celtics to an average of 98 points per game in its last two contests.

    Nick Nurse’s team might not have the quick-strike ability on offense that his championship unit from last season possessed, but if they can guard Boston tight on the perimeter and hold them to 20% shooting from deep like the Raptors did in Game 4, there is no reason Toronto shouldn’t be able to complete the full comeback in this series.

    Key Injuries

    Boston


    PG Tremont Waters: Knee - Out
    C Vincent Poirier: Personal - Out
    SG Javonte Green: Knee - Out
    SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle - Out

    Toronto

    SF Oshae Brissett: Knee - Out
    SF Patrick McCaw: Knee - Out

    The Celtics are still without small-forward, Gordon Hayward, who has missed this series in its entirety with an ankle injury. He is not likely to return to the lineup before the conclusion of this round, but if Boston advances to the Eastern Conference Finals, look out for news regarding his status.

  6. #6
    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    BOS at TOR 06:30 PM
    TOR +1.5
    U 212.0
    +500 +500

    LAC at DEN 09:00 PM
    LAC -9.0
    O 220.5
    +500 +500

  7. #7
    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail

    Sept Totals.....11-17-0.......39.28%.....-38.50

  8. #8
    Tuesday’s 6-pack

    Over/under win totals for NFL teams:


    Arizona— 7.5

    Atlanta— 7.5 (under -120)

    Baltimore— 11.5 (under -140)

    Buffalo— 9 (over -120)

    Carolina— 5.5 (over -140)

    Chicago— 8 (-135)


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,941
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “Dustin is one of the greatest Chiefs of all-time and I’m grateful I had the opportunity to coach him these past seven years. The longevity of his career here in Kansas City shows you just how consistently he has performed at a high level. Beyond his impact on the field, he was a great teammate and leader. I will always be a huge Dustin Colquitt fan.”
    Chiefs’ coach Andy Reid, who signed with the Steelers Monday

    Tuesday’s quiz
    In the 70’s, a guy named Ray Kroc owned the McDonald’s hamburger chain; which major league team did he also own?

    Monday’s quiz
    Lou Brock began his major league career with the Chicago Cubs.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies in their only World Series appearance.

    *************************************

    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Southern Mississippi’s football team lost its first game last week, 32-21 to South Alabama as a 13-point home favorite; no idea what happened behind the scenes, but Jay Hopson is out as the Golden Eagles’ head coach. After one game.

    12) When Freddie Freeman hit his first career grand slam Friday, it came on his 232nd career home run; only Sammy Sosa waited longer to hit his first grand slam— his first one was on his 246th career homer.

    11) Jacob deGrom got 35 swings/misses from the Phillies Sunday, tied for most by any pitcher since they started keeping track of such things in 2008.

    Danny Duffy (2016), Clayton Kershaw (2015) also got 35 whiffs in a game.

    10) Eagles signed 41-year old Josh McCown as their emergency QB for this season; he’ll bank $204,000 for that task, all while he lives in Texas. If something happens and the Eagles need him, he’ll take a private plane to Philly; until then, he’ll participate in Zoom meetings with the Eagles’ offense and do his film study at home in the Lone Star State.

    9) Toronto 12, Bronx 7— Blue Jays trailed 6-2, then scored 10 runs in the bottom of the 6th inning; they’re two games up in the battle for 2nd place in the AL East.

    8) Celtics 111, Raptors 89 (Boston leads 3-2)
    — Game was 62-35 at the half, so not much of a game at all.

    7) Clippers 113, Nuggets 107 (LA leads 2-1)
    — Clippers outscored Denver 29-19 in 4th quarter.
    — Lou Williams was +20 in 28:00 off the bench.

    6) Washington Redskins named Dwayne Haskins their starting QB.

    5) Duke Blue Devils named Chase Brice their starting QB; the last two years, Brice was Trevor Lawrence’s backup at Clemson.

    4) Josh Rosen signed on as a backup QB with Tampa Bay, where he re-unites with Byron Leftwich, who was his OC with the Arizona Cardinals.

    3) When this baseball season started, no one figured that Kyle Tucker would be the Astros’ best player, but it is September 8th, and here we are. Tucker is a very good hitter.

    2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

    1) RIP to the great Lou Brock, who passed away over the weekend; he was one of the great leadoff hitters of all time, stole over 900 bases, won two World Series rings with St Louis. He was also the all-time stolen base leader, until Rickey Henderson passed him. RIP, sir.

    RIP to poker Hall of Famer Mike Sexton, a recognizable face on TV who also passed away this weekend. Sexton won a bracelet at the 1989 World Series of Poker, won over $6M in tournaments; he was one of the TV voices of poker for the last 20 years. RIP, sir.

  9. #9
    NBA public betting, line movement September 8
    Patrick Everson

    LeBron James and the Lakers meet Jeff Green and the Rockets on Tuesday in Game 3 of the Western Conference semifinals. The SuperBook opened Los Angeles 5.5-point chalk and moved to -5.

    NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs roll on with a pair of conference semifinal games on the Tuesday docket. The Los Angeles Lakers meet the Houston Rockets in a prime-time Game 3, preceded by Game 5 of the Miami Heat-Milwaukee Bucks series.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.

    NBA line movement

    After getting dumped by 15 in Game 1, the Lakers fended off the Rockets 117-109 in Game 2 to draw even in the best-of-7 series. For Game 3, Los Angeles opened as a 5.5-point favorite, the line ticked to -5 Monday morning and stuck there through Monday night at The SuperBook. The total opened at 224 and reached 225.5 in fairly short order before dialing back to 225 late Monday night.

    Milwaukee lost Giannis Antetokounmpo to a sprained ankle in the first half of Sunday’s Game 4, yet stunningly avoided a series sweep. The Bucks forced overtime against the Heat and ultimately prevailed 118-115 to move within 3-1 in the best-of-7 series.

    Antetokounmpo is questionable for Tuesday’s 6:30 p.m. ET start, but the line movement would indicate bettors and oddsmakers expect him to play. The SuperBook opened at Heat -3, initially moved to -3.5, then dialed down to -2 by Monday night.

    NBA public betting

    The Consensus, often a good indicator of public betting, is once again on the Rockets, with Houston landing 60 percent of early picks against the Lakers. Heat-Bucks was almost dead two-way late Monday evening, with a slight lean to Miami, which was grabbing 52 percent of Consensus picks.

  10. #10
    705MIAMI -706 MILWAUKEE
    MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    707LA LAKERS -708 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, September 8


    Miami @ Milwaukee

    Game 705-706
    September 8, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    121.861
    Milwaukee
    120.952
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 3
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (+3); Over

    LA Lakers @ Houston


    Game 707-708
    September 8, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    119.306
    Houston
    119.964
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 5
    224 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+5); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, September 8


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (51 - 30) vs. MILWAUKEE (61 - 21) - 9/8/2020, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 99-76 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 80-62 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 78-61 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
    MIAMI is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 224-274 ATS (-77.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 9-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (57 - 21) vs. HOUSTON (49 - 32) - 9/8/2020, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA

    Tuesday, September 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Miami @ Milwaukee
    Miami
    Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Milwaukee is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home

    LA Lakers @ Houston
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
    LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  11. #11
    TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MIA at MIL 06:30 PM
    MIA -4.0
    U 218.5

    +500 +500

    LAL at HOU 09:00 PM
    HOU +4.5
    O 222.0

    +500 +500

  12. #12
    SEPT NBA DAILY DAILY RECORD

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/08/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail


    Sept Totals.....13-19-0.......40.62.......-39.50

  13. #13
    .........

  14. #14
    NBA public betting, line movement September 9
    Patrick Everson

    Kyle Lowry and Jaylen Brown collide when the Raptors meet the Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals Wednesday. The SuperBook opened Boston -2.5 and moved to -3.

    NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs continue Wednesday in a pair of conference semifinal games. The Boston Celtics can punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals with a win over the Toronto Raptors, and the Los Angeles Clippers aim to take control of their series against the Denver Nuggets.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s matchups.

    NBA line movement

    Boston rolled over Toronto 111-89 in Monday’s Game 5 to take a 3-2 lead in the best-of-seven series, so the defending NBA champion Raptors must win Wednesday night to keep their season going. The SuperBook opened the Celtics -2.5 Tuesday morning and moved to -3 a few hours later, where the line remained through Tuesday night. Tipoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET.

    Los Angeles fended off Denver 113-107 Monday to take a 2-1 series lead in the West semis. The Clippers opened -7.5 at The SuperBook and inched to -8 early Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET Wednesday start.

    NBA public betting

    The Consensus reveals the public isn’t overwhelmingly high on Boston, but expects Team Green to finish off this series. Through Tuesday night, the Celtics were attracting 62 percent of picks against the Raptors. However, in the late game, the underdog Nuggets were drawing 74 percent of picks against the Clippers.

  15. #15
    709TORONTO -710 BOSTON
    BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the current season.

    711LA CLIPPERS -712 DENVER
    LA CLIPPERS are 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, September 9


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (59 - 22) vs. BOSTON (55 - 26) - 9/9/2020, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 228-280 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game this season.
    BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
    BOSTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    TORONTO is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 11-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (55 - 26) vs. DENVER (51 - 32) - 9/9/2020, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 79-65 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 7-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA

    Wednesday, September 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Toronto @ Boston
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

    LA Clippers @ Denver
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Denver
    Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, September 9


    Toronto @ Boston

    Game 709-710
    September 9, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    123.105
    Boston
    130.600
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 7 1/2
    206
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Denver @ LA Clippers


    Game
    September 9, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    113.283
    LA Clippers
    129.671
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 16 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 8
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-8); Over

  16. #16
    WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TOR at BOS 06:30 PM
    BOS -3.5
    U 209.5

    +500 +500

    LAC at DEN 09:00 PM
    LAC -8.0
    O 221.5

    +500 +500

  17. #17
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/09/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/08/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail

    Sept Totals.....14-22-0.......38.88.......-51.00

  18. #18
    NBA public betting, line movement September 10
    Patrick Everson

    The Rockets' Russell Westbrook and the Lakers' Anthony Davis will have plenty to say about how Game 4 of the Western Conference finals plays out Thursday. Los Angeles is -5 at The SuperBook.

    NBA betting odds are up for a slimmed-down Thursday playoffs schedule, with just one matchup on the docket. The Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets clash in Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinal series.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contest.

    NBA line movement

    The Lakers got rolled by 15 points in Game 1, then bounced back with a pair of victories, including a 112-102 win in Game 3 Tuesday night. Los Angeles opened -5 at The SuperBook for Game 4, and there was no line movement as of late Wednesday for a 7 p.m. ET Thursday tipoff.

    The total also had zero movement through Wednesday, sticking at 220.5 at The SuperBook.

    NBA public betting

    In what’s become a pattern this series, Consensus is showing point-spread support for the underdog Rockets. As of late Wednesday night, there was two-way play, but Houston was attracting 55 percent of picks. The total had a more clear differentiation, with 67 percent of early Consensus picks on the Over.

    ---------------------------------------

    715LA LAKERS -716 HOUSTON
    LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS (-13 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 10


    LA Lakers @ Houston

    Game 715-716
    September 10, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    120.171
    Houston
    119.098
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 1
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 5 1/2
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+5 1/2); Over



    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 10


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (58 - 21) vs. HOUSTON (49 - 33) - 9/10/2020, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 53-37 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 8-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NBA

    Thursday, September 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA Lakers @ Houston
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  19. #19
    Game 4 Odds: Lakers vs. Rockets
    Michael Crosson

    The second round of the NBA Playoffs in the Western Conference will continue Thursday as the No. 4 Houston Rockets look to bounce back in Game 4 against the top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers.

    Betting Resources

    Matchup: Western Conference Game 4
    Second Round: Lakers lead 2-1
    Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
    Location: Orlando, Florida
    Date: Thursday, Sept. 10, 2020
    Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
    TV: TNT

    LeBron James scored 36 points in Game 3 and the L.A. Lakers used that effort to take a 2-1 series lead over the Houston Rockets. (AP)

    Line Movements

    After winning and covering in back-to-back contests to take a 2-1 series lead, Vegas has the Los Angeles Lakers listed as five-point favorites heading into Game 4 of this seven-game series as Frank Vogel’s crew will look to earn a commanding two-game advantage over the Rockets on Thursday night.

    Despite cashing ‘over’ tickets in the second game of this series (117-109 – LAL), the ‘over-under’ for this matchup has been on a steady decline since it opened at OU 227 for Game 1. The line for Thursday night’s matchup sits at the lowest total between these units all season – OU 220.

    Prior to Game 2, we saw the price for Houston’s potential advancement to the Western Conference Finals climb all the way up to +180 back when the Rockets owned a 1-0 lead. That mark has fallen significantly heading into Game 4 though, as Mike D’Antoni’s team is now a +525 underdog to knock off the top-seeded Lakers, trailing now 2-1.

    Spread: Los Angeles -5
    Money-Line: Los Angeles -210, Houston +180
    Total: 220.5
    Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -750 Houston +525

    Game 3 Recap

    Another high-quality basketball game took place between the Rockets and Lakers in the bubble on Tuesday night, as the first and fourth seeds in the Western Conference entered the final quarter of Game 3 deadlocked on the scoreboard and in the series. LeBron James finished with another jaw-dropping stat line of 36 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists in Tuesday’s contest as he became the NBA’s all-time playoff wins leader (161) – but anyone who actually watched the game will confirm that Rajon Rondo was the MVP for the Lakers in the contest.

    Anthony Davis and James were rather loud in the opening two stanzas of Game 3 as the superstar-duo combined for 44 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists in the first half on Tuesday – but the closing minutes of the contest belonged to “Playoff Rondo” as he tallied 12 points, 5 assists, and played tremendous defense down the stretch to help secure the victory and a 2-1 lead for Los Angeles.

    Following Game 1, the Lakers appeared to be lacking the depth at the guard position to keep up with the explosive scoring ability of the Rockets, but it looks like they might have found a neutralizing factor if Rondo is able to contribute similarly to the way he did on Tuesday night.

    Game 3 Betting Results

    Outcome:
    Lakers 112 Rockets 102

    It was déjà vu for bettors backing the Rockets in Game 3 as the club ran out of gas in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles outscored Houston by exactly 10 points (30-20) in the final 12 minutes for the second consecutive game.

    Houston was outscored 51-38 in the second-half and the offensive struggles helped 'under' bettors connect even though the 'over' appeared to be the right side in this contest.

    Game: Lakers Win, Lakers Cover (-4), Under (222)
    First Quarter: Rockets Win (33-32), Rockets Cover (+1), Over (57.5)
    First-Half: Rockets Win (64-61), Rockets Cover (+2), Over (114)
    Second-Half: Lakers Win (51-38), Lakers Cover (-4.5), Under (107.5)

    Los Angeles Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 9-7 SU, 6-10 ATS, 10-7 O/U
    Playoffs: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 7-9 O/U

    It was great to see LeBron and AD finally get some help scoring the ball on Tuesday night as Kuzma and Rondo combined for 35 points off the bench in the Lakers’ crucial Game 3 victory – 20 of those points coming in the fourth quarter.

    In LAL’s 112-97 loss to Houston in Game 1, Alex Caruso appeared to be the only Laker role-player with a pulse as he led his team’s non-superstars in scoring with 14 points on 57% shooting. On Tuesday, LeBron kept his team in contention during Houston’s scoring outbreaks, going for 29 points in the first half, but then we saw him turn the ball over to the hot-hands coming off the bench down the stretch as he coasted to the finish line with just five points in the fourth quarter.

    The Lakers are easily the best team in the NBA when all the pieces come together for them like they did on Tuesday night. It is crucial for LAL to get serviceable play out of its role-players (especially its guards) for the remainder of this series, because we have seen what the Rockets are capable of when teams get lazy defensively against them.

    Houston Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS, 6-12 O/U
    Playoffs: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U

    I am not sure who I should be mad at in the Rockets organization for this, but regardless, the Rockets’ approach on offense in this series is driving me crazy and something clearly needs to change. There is no way Houston traded away Clint Capela to the Hawks so a 25% 3-point shooter in Russell Westbrook can jack up an increased volume of longballs per game. The ex-Thunder point-guard has outshot Harden 63-55 over the course of this series and that cannot continue to happen if Houston wants to remain competitive.

    What the Rockets have done with this team should inspire front offices with inferior talent-levels to engineer unique offensive schemes and ride with them, but the way Houston is currently executing its strategy is atypical for them in a playoff sense. Westbrook averaged over 38 points per game against LAL in the regular season, but the Rockets know now they are dealing with an evolutionarily advanced version of the unit as the post-season intensity continues to ramp up.

    James Harden NEEDS to shoot the ball more in Game 4 for Houston – whether he is feeling it or not (4 for 9 – G3). If Westbrook continues to take more shots than Harden for the remainder of this series, you can go ahead and chalk this series up to a victory for the Lakers because that is basically Houston waving the white flag on the season.

    Key Injuries

    Los Angeles


    SG/SF Dion Waiters: Groin - Game-time decision

    Houston

    SF Danuel House: Personal - Game-time decision

    Tyson Chandler and Danuel House Jr. both elected to sit out during Houston’s Game 3 loss to the Lakers on Tuesday for “personal reasons,” and House Jr. is listed as questionable again for Thursday night’s matchup with the same tag. House Jr. suffered a minor face injury in the opening game of this series, but has returned to the Rockets lineup since then, leading me to believe the forward’s status is unrelated to concussion protocol etc.

    If any players listed on the injury report miss Thursday night’s contest, it should not have a large impact on the final outcome of the game – likely a slight uptick in volume for Harden and Westbrook.

  20. #20
    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    LAL at HOU 07:00 PM
    HOU +5.0
    O 218.0

    +500 +500

  21. #21
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/10/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/09/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/08/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail

    Sept Totals.....14-24-0.......36.84.......-62.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 09-11-2020 at 11:25 PM.

  22. #22
    Friday’s 6-pack

    NFL teams with most room under the salary cap:


    $34.74M— Cleveland

    $32.24M— New England

    $31.31M— NJ Jets

    $30.95M— Jacksonville

    $26.03M— Washington

    $25.43M— Denver


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 190,589
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “With the NFL starting, I find myself pulling for the offense so maybe someone will need a defensive coach!”
    Wade Phillips, currently unemployed

    Friday’s quiz
    In the 1976 movie All the President’s Men, which famous actor played Bob Woodward?

    Thursday’s quiz
    William Henry Harrison was President for only 31 days, before he died of pneumonia.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Kevin Durant began his NBA career with the Seattle SuperSonics, before they moved to Oklahoma and became the Thunder


    *****************

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

    13) Chiefs 34, Texans 20:
    — Chiefs ran ball 34 times for 166 yards; they threw 32 passes.
    — KC scored four of the first times they had the football.
    — 15,895 fans attended this game on a drizzly night at Arrowhead Stadium.
    — In first three series for both teams, KC ran 35 plays, Houston 16

    12) With no teams having an off-season program, I’m thinking its going to take a few weeks for offenses to catch up to where they normally are. 34-20 sounds high-scoring, but Houston got couple of scores in garbage time. Pass patterns mostly seemed a lot shorter than normal.

    11) Tigers 6, Cardinals 3— Detroit scored five runs in the top of the 7th to earn the split of this twinbill, after losing their previous two games by a combined score of 31-2.

    10) Red Sox 3, Rays 2— Rookie Bobby Dalbec homered in his 5th consecutive game.

    9) A’s 3, Houston 1— Sean Manaea got thru seven innings on 61 pitches; you just never see that anymore, less than 9 pitches per inning.

    8) Miami 31, UAB 14:
    — Total yardage was 495-285, Miami
    — Hurricanes ran ball for 337 yards.

    7) Royals 11, Indians 1— Rookie Brady Singer had a no-hitter into the 8th inning.

    6) White Sox are 13-0 vs lefty pitchers; Arizona is 2-10.

    5) Atlanta 7, Washington 6— Freddie Freeman knocked in 10 runs the last two games; he is the first Brave to knock in 4+ runs in consecutive games since Mark Teixeira, in 2007.

    4) Arizona 5, Dodgers 2— If you have Mookie Betts on your fantasy team, last night was your lucky night; Betts played 2B, so now he’s eligible at 2B in a lot of fantasy leagues, which would be a large advantage over most teams. It was his 16th career game at second base, first one in two years.

    LA put Walker Buehler (blister) on the IL before this game, then Dustin May left one inning after he was hit in the foot by a line drive.

    3) Longest NFL playoff droughts:
    17 years- Cleveland
    12- Tampa Bay
    9- NJ Jets

    2) Lakers 110, Houston 100 (LA leads 3-1)
    — Davis had 29 points, 12 rebounds five assists for LA.
    — Harden was 2-11 from the floor, 16-20 on foul line. Harden was only Rocket starter with a =/- better than minus-10; he was even.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

  23. #23
    NBA public betting, line movement September 11
    Patrick Everson

    Jayson Tatum and the Celtics meet Norman Powell and the Raptors in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Friday. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Boston -2 and moved to -2.5.

    NBA betting odds are up for a two-game Friday schedule in the playoffs, including a Game 7 in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The defending NBA champion Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics collide in prime time, preceded by a Game 5 in which the Los Angeles Clippers can knock out the Denver Nuggets in the Western Conference semis.

    The SuperBook provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s matchups.

    NBA line movement

    Toronto was in a must-win Game 6 and found a way to get it done, posting a 125-122 overtime victory against Boston on Wednesday to force a winner-advances Game 7 at 9 p.m. ET Friday. The SuperBook opened the Celtics -2 and moved to -2.5 Thursday afternoon.

    The total opened at 205 and dropped to 203.5 Friday morning, where it remained the rest of the day.

    NBA public betting

    Reyna Hernandez, manager at The SuperBook, said the book got a $10,000 wager on Celtics moneyline -135. Should the Celtics win, that customer would win $7,407. Beyond that, there was only modest public play through Thursday, most of it on Boston.

    The Consensus indicated two-way play through Thursday night, though with a lean to Team Green, with the Celtics drawing 57 percent of early picks. The Over was more popular, getting 67 percent of early Consensus picks.

  24. #24
    717BOSTON -718 TORONTO
    TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less in the current season.

    719DENVER -720 LA CLIPPERS
    LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, September 11


    Denver @ LA Clippers

    Game 719-720
    September 11, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    112.821
    LA Clippers
    130.132
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 17 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 8
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-8); Under

    Boston @ Toronto


    Game 717-718
    September 11, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    129.468
    Toronto
    124.237
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 5
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    204
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-2 1/2); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, September 11


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (55 - 27) vs. TORONTO (60 - 22) - 9/11/2020, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a division game this season.
    BOSTON is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
    BOSTON is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    TORONTO is 229-280 ATS (-79.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 11-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-8 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (51 - 33) vs. LA CLIPPERS (56 - 26) - 9/11/2020, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 77-63 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-7 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA

    Friday, September 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Denver @ LA Clippers
    Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

    Boston @ Toronto
    Boston
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

  25. #25
    Game 7 Odds: Celtics vs. Raptors
    Michael Crosson

    The NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida will have another Game 7 on Friday, the third one in this year's postseason.

    For this matchup, it will be the No. 2 Toronto Raptors meeting the No. 3 Boston Celtics in the series finale.

    Betting Resources

    Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 7
    Second Round: Series tied 3-3
    Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
    Location: Orlando, Florida
    Date: Friday, Sept. 11, 2020
    Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
    TV: TNT

    The 'over' connected in Game 6 on Wednesday and that outcome snapped a run of five straight 'under' tickets in this series. (AP)

    Line Movements

    Following an exhilarating 125-122 double-overtime win on Wednesday night to force a Game 7, Toronto heads into the series finale on Friday as 2.5-point underdogs, despite being the higher seed and the victors in the Game 6 contest.

    Game 6 of this series would have been the sixth straight ‘under’ between these teams if it wasn’t for overtime, as the score of Wednesday’s contest was deadlocked at 98 when regulation concluded. The ‘over-under’ for the series finale sits at OU 203.5 as the oddsmakers continue to let this line plummet, attempting to make the line look enticing to ‘over-bettors.’

    Spread: Boston -2.5
    Money-Line: Boston -135, Toronto +115
    Total: 204
    Updated Series Price: Boston -135, Toronto +115

    Game 7 - NBA Bubble Notes

    This year's NBA Playoffs from the neutral courts inside the NBA Bubble has had two Game 7's so far and the designated home team has gone 2-0 but both victories came exactly by two points. The 'under' connected in both games too, rather easily.

    First Round

    Houston (-5.5) 104 vs. Oklahoma City 102, Under 217
    Denver (-1.5) 80 vs. Utah 78, Under 217.5

    If you included the above results, home teams have gone 105-28 all-time in Game 7's of the NBA Playoffs.

    Game 6 Recap

    Basketball fans should be so grateful for NBA coming together and finding a solid plan to finish this season because if they threw in the towel for the year back in March, there would not be any basketball being played right now, and that would be a shame because teams like the Raptors and Celtics are spoiling us with seven-game series that are jam-packed with emotion and action in the heart of September.

    Game 6 was no different as these teams had their most intense battle of the series so far, which resulted in a three-point double-overtime win for Raptors behind a gutsy 33-point outing from Kyle Lowry.

    The ‘under’ is 5-1 in this series so far, with the only ‘over’ cashing in OT on Wednesday night, but take note Toronto and Boston were tied 98-98 when the clock struck zero in the fourth.

    Elimination from the bubble is at stake now for both teams on Friday night – should be a great game.

    Game 6 Betting Results

    Outcome:
    Raptors 125, Celtics 122 (2OT)

    After watching the first quarter and first-half, many would've thought this series should have ended on Wednesday and Boston came out with another great defensive effort.

    Toronto managed to finally solve the Celtics and its offensive efforts helped them keep the series alive, plus the two extra sessions of overtime helped 'over' tickets connect.

    Game: Raptors Win, Raptors Cover (+3), Over (210)
    First Quarter: Celtics Win (25-21), Celtics Cover (-0.5), Under (53.5)
    First-Half: Celtics Win (52-48), Celtics Cover (-1), Under (106)
    Second-Half: Raptors Win (77-70), Raptors Cover (PK), Under (104.5)

    Celtics Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 12-6 SU, 10-7-1 ATS, 6-11-1 O/U
    Playoffs: 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 2-8 O/U

    I am not sure if Brad Stevens drew it up this way or not, but Game 6 was nothing less than the Jaylen Brown show as the Florida State product scored 31 points on 30 shot attempts throughout the course of the game, shooting just 36.7% from the field and 30.8% from deep.

    Jayson Tatum, on the other hand, nearly matched Brown’s point-total on Wednesday night (29 points), but he only attempted 21 field goals during the Celtics’ loss, shooting at a much more efficient clip of 42.9% from the field and 50% from downtown. Tatum appeared content playing second-fiddle to Brown in the first half of Game 6 while Boston led the Raptors, and it came back in the end to bite them in the end.

    The Celtics were never able to create enough separation from the second seed in the West, leading to Toronto forcing OT. I expect Tatum to easily be this game’s leading scorer – win or loss for Boston.

    Raptors Betting Outlook

    Inside the Stats


    Bubble: 14-4 SU, 11-7 ATS, 5-12-1 O/U
    Playoffs: 7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U

    They might not have Kawhi Leonard anymore, but the Raptors have proven in this series that they still are the most resilient team in the NBA, and their toughness was on display again in the bubble during their 125-122 OT victory on Wednesday to force a seventh game with Boston.

    It does not always show up on the stat-sheet, but the Lowry-Van Fleet guard duo carries the perfect mindset and style of play for the Raptors young talent in a defensive series; they are just a little under-sized and short in the talent department compared to the Celtics and it has shown through Marcus Smart’s success over the last six contests.

    I expect Van Fleet and Lowry to step up and have big games in this series finale. The real X-Factor in Game 7 should be Pascal Siakam’s ability to contain Tatum, while the ex-Duke star is in full attack mode in the midst of a desperate situation.

    Key Injuries

    Boston


    PG Tremont Waters: Knee - Out
    C Vincent Poirier: Personal - Out
    SG Javonte Green: Knee - Out
    SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle - Out

    Gordon Hayward continues to be the headliner on the injury report in this series, as the Celtics’ forward is expected to miss at least another week of play if Boston were to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals.

    Other than that, all hands should be on deck for this Game 7 tilt as Toronto and Boston fight for its lives inside the Orlando bubble.

    Toronto

    SF Oshae Brissett: Knee - Out
    SF Patrick McCaw: Knee - Out

  26. #26
    FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DEN at LAC 06:30 PM
    DEN +8.5
    O 216.0

    +500 +500

    BOS at TOR 09:00 PM
    BOS -2.5
    U 204.5

    +500 +500

  27. #27
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/11/2020 3-0-1 87.50% +1500 Detail
    09/10/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/09/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/08/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/05/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    09/03/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2200 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail

    Sept Totals.....17-24-1...41.46%.....-47.00

  28. #28
    [SIZE=4]Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Major league leaders in OPS:
    1.257— Juan Soto, Wash
    1.089— Nelson Cruz, Minn
    1.081— Freddie Freeman, Atl
    1.065— Mike Trout, LAA
    1.051— Dominic Smith, NYM
    1.049— Trea Turner, Wash

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 192,616
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo:Saturday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

    13) Boston 92, Toronto 87 (Celtics win 4-3)
    — Celtics held Toronto to 16 points in 4th quarter.
    — Teams combined to make 17-66 on the arc.
    — Jayson Tatum led Boston with 29 points.
    — Celtics advance to the Eastern Conference final.

    12) Nuggets 111, LA Clippers 105 (LA leads 3-2)
    — Denver outscored LA 38-25 in 4th quarter to stay alive.
    — Michael Porter scored Denver’s last 7 points, his only points of the game.

    11) Tampa Bay 11, Red Sox 1— Rays are first team since at least 1900 to start nine lefty hitters in a game, with none of them switch-hitters.

    10) Two more random facts from Thursday’s NFL games:
    — There were only five plays of 20+ yards in Thursday’s game; Chiefs had two of them. Last year, Kansas City averaged 4.25 plays/game of 20+ yards
    — Chiefs had a 15-yard advantage in average field position, which is unusually big.

    9) Happy birthday to the great NBA player Bob Lanier, who turned 72 this week; to show how great Lanier was in college, he led St Bonaventure to the 1971 Final Four. Think about that; St Bonaventure is located in the middle of freakin’ nowhere, in the southern tier of central New York; for them to make the Final Four was amazing.

    He was a great college player, but tore his knee up in the regional final, when Villanova’s Chris Ford rolled up on his knee. Ironically, Lanier/Ford later wound up as NBA teammates with the Pistons.

    8) I was at an AAU tournament in Las Vegas a few years ago, at Bishop Gorman HS, two games going on at once. I’m sitting in the bleachers by myself, behind one couple.

    Being AAU ball, when the coach’s cellphone buzzes that he got a text while the game is going on, the guy takes the phone out and reads the text. Why?

    He turns around, looks at the couple in front of me and snaps, “If you text me again, he’ll never get in!!!”

    The couple wanted their kid to play more; I couldn’t laugh in their faces, so I went to the concession stand. Good stuff.

    7) Unsolicited opinions: best-ever play-by-play announcers by sport:
    — MLB— Vin Scully
    — NFL— Al Michaels
    — NBA— Mike Breen
    — NHL— Mike Emrick/Dan Kelly
    — College hoop— Dick Enberg
    — College football— Keith Jackson

    6) Phillies’ pitcher Zach Wheeler makes $22M this year; he is now on the IL after tearing the fingernail on the middle finger of his pitching hand while he was putting his pants on.

    Wheeler is 4-0, 2,47 in 8 starts; he is really good, but he got hurt putting his pants on.

    5) Giant-Padre games for Friday/Saturday were postponed after a Giants’ player tested positive for COVID.

    4) Dr Fauci was on TV today telling the truth, because someone needs to; the moderator said they were glad he was speaking, but they were also afraid he would get fired soon.

    They can’t fire him; every TV network in the country (except FOX) would be throwing lucrative offers at him, to get his commentary on their station. He’d definitely get his own show, if he wanted one.

    3) Sounds like November will be a very quiet month TV-wise, with only football going on until maybe college hoop starts around Thanksgiving. Good news, then, that the NBA now plans to hold their draft November 18, so that’ll provide one night of entertainment.

    2) September 11, 1985— Pete Rose set the all-time hits record, getting a hit off of Eric Show of the Padres. Sadly, September 11 is now an infamous date in American history, because of the terrorist attacks on the Twin Towers and Pentagon.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco[/SIZE]

  29. #29
    NBA public betting, line movement September 12
    Patrick Everson

    LeBron James and Anthony Davis lead the Lakers against the Rockets in Game 5 Saturday. Los Angeles is a 6.5-point favorite. A win would put the Lakers in the West finals against the Clippers.

    NBA betting odds are up for the lone playoff game on the Saturday schedule: Game 5 of the Western Conference semifinals, where the top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers can advance to the West finals with a victory over the Houston Rockets.

    The SuperBook provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s matchup.

    NBA line movement

    After dropping Game 1 by 15 points, the Lakers rebounded with three straight wins over the Rockets, including Thursday’s 110-100 victory. Los Angeles can put away Houston in an 8 p.m. ET tipoff, and The SuperBook opened the Lakers -6.5. There was no line movement through Friday night.

    The total opened 215 at The SuperBook and inched to 215.5 late Friday morning.

    NBA public betting

    The Consensus, often indicative of public play, shows an expectation that Los Angeles will advance, but there’s two-way play, to be sure. Through late Friday night, the Lakers were attracting 56 percent of tickets and the Rockets 44 percent.

    On the total, 71 percent of early Consensus picks were on the Over.

  30. #30
    723HOUSTON -724 LA LAKERS
    HOUSTON is 86-67 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, September 12


    Houston @ LA Lakers

    Game 723-724
    September 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    112.406
    LA Lakers
    126.864
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 14 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 6 1/2
    215
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (-6 1/2); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, September 12


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (49 - 34) vs. LA LAKERS (59 - 21) - 9/12/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 56-30 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 53-38 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 9-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-6 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA

    Saturday, September 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Houston @ LA Lakers
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Houston

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