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  1. #31
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Most popular picks this week in the Westgate SuperContest:
    344— Buffalo +6.5- W
    337— LA Rams +3- W
    304— Atlanta +2.5- L
    303— Tennessee -2.5L
    280— Arizona +6.5- W
    243— Pittsburgh -6- W

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 194,367
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Steelers 26, Giants 16:
    — Pitt led 16-10 late in 3rd quarter; Giants had a 19-play drive that ended on an end zone INT.
    — Last five years, Pittsburgh is 15-6 ATS against NFC teams.
    — 11 of Steelers’ last 14 road openers stayed under the total.

    — Barkley carried ball 15 times for 6 yards; he caught 6 passes for 60 yards.
    — Giants started one drive on Pittsburgh’s 3-yard line but only kicked a FG.
    — Giants started out 0-1 eight of last nine years.
    — Giants are 4-14 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.

    12) Titans 16, Denver 14
    — Titans missed three FG’s and a PAT, but kicked 25-yard FG with 0:17 left for the win.
    — The was the Oilers/Titans’ first win in Denver since 1980 (they also won a 1987 replacement game, but I don’t count that)
    — Tennessee won seven of last eight road openers, covered nine of last 13.

    — Broncos were stopped on downs on the Tennessee 1-yard line in 2nd quarter.
    — Titans converted 7-16 on 3rd down, Denver only 3-9.
    — Denver is 21-10-1 ATS in its last 32 home openers.

    11) Why did the Houston Texans trade DeAndre Hopkins? Isn’t it important to keep your best players, especially when your young QB is growing into being an elite player? Going to be a lot of heat on Texans’ management if they regress on offense this season.

    My high school Chemistry teacher was Bill Warner (no relation to Kurt); he was a great teacher, also a licensed pilot, a basketball referee, a brilliant guy. When something made no sense to him, he would call it “nonsensical” He is the only person I’ve ever heard use that word.

    To me, the Texans trading Hopkins was nonsensical.

    10) No NFL head coach has ever won Super Bowls with two different teams.

    Only two guys (Bill Parcells, Mike Holmgren) made it to a Super Bowl with another team, after winning a title somewhere else.

    9) NFL supposedly wants more scoring in their games, but two huge offensive plays in the last minute of close games were nullified Sunday by offensive pass interference calls. If you want more points to be scored, why would you point the officials towards calling more offensive PI?

    Bengals scored a TD with 0:06 left that was negated; Dallas completed a long pass that would’ve set up a game-tying field goal. Wide receivers pushing off has been overlooked for decades; Michael Irvin is in the Hall of Fame because of that.

    The NFL makes their rules, the officials just enforce them; I don’t understand this apparent change in direction.

    8) Last 16 years, Cleveland Browns are 0-15-1 in their season openers; they threw 10 passes to Odell Beckham Sunday in Baltimore, but completed only three of them.

    7) Mike D’Antoni’s NBA coaching record: 16 years, 672-527 in regular season games, 54-56 in playoff games. If he still wants to coach, hard to believe someone won’t hire him.

    6) Denver Nuggets are first NBA team ever to have four straight playoff series go 7 games.

    5) Overlooked with all the football Sunday was Alec Mills throwing a no-hitter for the Cubs in Milwaukee, in his 15th career start.

    Earlier this season, Lucas Giolito threw a no-hitter for the White Sox; this is the first season ever that both Chicago franchises had a pitcher throw a no-hitter in the same season.

    4) Over the last 21 years, Washington Redskins have started 13 different quarterbacks in their season opener. This isn’t a good thing.

    3) Big day for Mets fans; the Wilpon family and Saul Katz have agreed to sell the Mets to billionaire hedge fund manager Steve Cohen, which has to help the team a lot. The Wilpons were horrendous owners.

    Trivia: If you watch Billions on Showtime, Damian Lewis’ character Bobby Axelrod is loosely based on Cohen. He is a rich guy, really rich.

    2) Atlanta Braves signed Pablo Sandoval to a minor league deal, after the Giants released him. Sandoval could be a DH for the Braves down the stretch.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Cleveland, New York

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Philadelphia, San Francisco

  2. #32
    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, September 15


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (10 - 12) at CHICAGO (12 - 10) - 9/15/2020, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (9 - 13) at PHOENIX (13 - 9) - 9/15/2020, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Tuesday, September 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Connecticut @ Chicago
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago
    Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Connecticut

    Washington @ Phoenix
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Washington


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------


    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, September 15


    Connecticut @ Chicago

    Game 601-602
    September 15, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    111.468
    Chicago
    107.604
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 4
    162
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 3
    165 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+3); Under

    Washington @ Phoenix


    Game 603-604
    September 15, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    105.246
    Phoenix
    115.507
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 10 1/2
    168
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 4 1/2
    165 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (-4 1/2); Over

  3. #33
    TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CONN at CHI 07:00 PM
    CONN +2.5
    O 165.5

    +500 +500

    WAS at PHO 09:00 PM
    PHO -4.5
    U 164.5

    +500 +500

  4. #34
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......36-33-0........52.17%.....-1.50

  5. #35
    Wednesday’s 6-pack

    Odds to win the US Open golf tourney this week:


    8-1— Dustin Johnson

    9-1— Jon Rahm

    14-1— McIlroy, Schauffele, Thomas

    16-1— Collin Morikawa

    25-1— Bryson DeChambeau, Webb Simpson

    30-1— Matsuyama, Fleetwood, Day, Reed, Finau


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 195,354
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “It begins and ends with the general manager. You can talk to me all day long. I personally wouldn’t know what coach to hire. That’s why you have a basketball operations team that’s made of a half a dozen people that use all kinds of analytics and experience. They’ll make a recommendation to me. They do about everything. I’m the sign-off guy. That’s it.

    “I wouldn’t know how to interview a basketball coach. You want me to go interview a CEO for a company, I’m the first one to tell you I think [I’m] better than anybody else. To be successful in business, and I say this in my book, you better know what you know and you better know what you don’t know. I surely know what I don’t know when it comes to basketball.”
    Houston Rockets’ owner Tilman Fertitta

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Who coached the Steelers before Mike Tomlin?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Joe Girardi has managed the Marlins, Bronx, Philadelphia.

    Monday’s quiz
    Rams’ owner Stan Kroenke also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets and the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche.


    ************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……

    13) ESPN finally found its Monday Night Football crew; Steve Levy, Brian Greise, Louis Riddick are an excellent 3-man team. Smart, unassuming, easy to listen to.

    12) Baseball announced its playoff plan; AL bubble in California, NL bubble in Texas, no days off in the division or league championship series, which is a big deal. Pitching depth is going to be a lot more important than usual. Aces will only pitch once in a best-of-5 series, unless they pitch a game on short rest.

    Air quality in southern California could be become a problem; I’m assuming the backup plan is Arizona’s dome, but that wasn’t mentioned Monday.

    World Series will be in the Rangers’ new domed stadium in Arlington.

    11) Nuggets 104, Clippers 89 (Denver wins 4-3)
    — Denver held LA to 33 points in 2nd half.
    — Nuggets were down 3-1 in both series this year, but won both.
    — Jokic had 16 points, 22 rebounds, 13 assists. Wow.
    — In their 50-year history, Clippers are now 0-8 in games where they had a chance to reach the conference final.

    10) Cincinnati Bengals’ kicker Randy Bullock missed a game-tying 31-yard field goal at the end of Sunday’s 16-13 loss to the Chargers; Bullock then grabbed his leg— a calf strain was given as the reason. Bengals need a new kicker.

    Problem is, Cincinnati plays on Thursday this week and if you bring someone into Ohio from another state, there is a 72-hour thing because of COVID, so the Bengals quickly scooped up kicker Austin Seibert, who was shown the door by the Browns after he missed a PAT and a field goal in Cleveland’s 38-6 loss in Baltimore Sunday.

    Seibert will see his old friends Thursday, when the Bengals visit Cleveland.

    9) Unusual fact: Five QB’s whose team won in Week 1 were led in rushing by their QB. More and more teams are going to running back-by-committee.

    I cringe every time a quarterback takes a hit while running; they’re very valuable players, so there is a fine line between a running QB making his offense more explosive while also risking the whole thing blowing up, if that QB gets hurt.

    8) NFL officials called two huge offensive pass interference penalties Sunday, but they only called offensive holding 18 times in 16 games last week, so that’s an improvement. Thats the 2nd-fewest amount of Week 1 holding calls since 2001.

    7) Why some teams don’t want their head coach also being a coordinator:

    Denver Broncos totally screwed up clock management in the last minute Monday night; once Tennessee got within field goal range, Denver had to use its timeouts, to preserve some time for their offense if the Titans took the lead, which they did.

    Head coach Vic Fangio also coordinates Denver’s defense, and that was what he was thinking about while Tennessee was driving at the end. Game management was botched, depriving the Broncos of a last-gasp chance at a win- remember, the game was in Denver, so longer field goals are more possible.

    6) Orlando’s NBA bubble on the Disney grounds will also host eight early season college basketball tournament:

    — Champions Classic, Jimmy V Classic
    — Wooden Legacy, preseason NIT
    — Orlando Invitational, Charleston Classic
    — Myrtle Beach invitational, Diamond Head Classic

    5) Over the last 10 years, when NFL teams went for it on 4th and 1, they got the first down 64% of the time.

    4) Tennessee Titans missed three field goals and an extra point Monday night; last year, they made only 44.4% of their FG’s, by far the worst %age in the NFL. 2nd-worst %age last year was the Jets, who made 67.9% of their field goals.

    3) My preference for the NFL schedule would be Monday night doubleheaders every week but no Thursday games, except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving Day. Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest.

    2) Michael O’Keefe, the actor who played Danny Noonan in Caddyshack 40 years ago, caddied for club pro Danny Balin this week at practice rounds for the US Open.

    1) If you baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Philadelphia, San Francisco

  6. #36
    Work joyfully and peacefully, knowing that right thoughts and right efforts will inevitably bring about right results.




    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    MLB leaders in RBI:
    49— Jose Abreu, CWS
    46— Freddie Freeman, Atl
    45— Luke Voit, NYY
    44— Marcell Ozuna, Atl
    41— Manny Machado, SD
    40— Mike Trout LAA, Fernando Tatis SD
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 196,103
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: 13 athletes who excelled at more than one sport

    (listed alphabetically)
    — Danny Ainge— Played 14 years in the NBA, after a great career at BYU. He also hit .220 in 211 games over three years for the Toronto Blue Jays.

    — Jim Brown— One of the best running backs in NFL history, he led the NFL in rushing in 8 of his 9 seasons. Brown also played basketball, ran track, and was a great lacrosse player while in college at Syracuse.

    — Wilt Chamberlain— Scored 31,419 points in his NBA career; once scored 100 points in a game- he averaged over 30 ppg for his career. He preferred track in high school, high jumping, long jumping, running the quarter-mile and half-mile events while also throwing the shot put.

    When he was in the NBA, Wilt got annoyed that he was criticized for shooting too much so the next season (1967-68) he led the league in assists.

    — Bob Hayes— Played wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys for 11 years; he also won two gold medals in track at the 1964 Olympics. Hayes caught 371 passes for 20 yards/catch in his NFL career, scoring 73 touchdowns.

    — Bo Jackson— Was a great running back at Auburn, and played 38 games for the Raiders, averaging 5.4 yards/carry. He played eight years in the major leagues, hitting 141 homers- he played the last two years with an artificial hip.

    — Michael Jordan— Not much to add here; won a national title at North Carolina, six NBA titles with the Chicago Bulls, and out of nowhere, he hit .202 for the AA Birmingham Barons in 1994, as an outfielder, during his sabbatical from the NBA.

    Hitting .202 doesn’t sound like much, but I was an official scorer for two years at the AA level; there are guys who were career baseball players who didn’t hit .200 at that level. Jordan also stole 30 bases that season.

    — Kenny Lofton— Played 17 years in the big leagues, with a .372 on-base %age and 622 stolen bases— hell of a ballplayer, a 6-time All Star. Lofton also played college basketball at Arizona; he is one of only two people EVER to play in the Final Four and World Series.

    — Nate Robinson— Played 11 years in the NBA, he won the Slam Dunk title three times even though he is only 5-9; he scored 11 ppg for his professional career. Robinson originally went to U of Washington on a football scholarship; he played football for the Huskies as a freshman, but gave football up after that season.

    — Bill Russell— Played 13 seasons in the NBA, won 11 titles, lost in the finals another year. San Francisco won consecutive NCAA titles with Russell as their center in 1955-56. Russell also was a high jumper at USF; at one time, he was ranked as the 7th-best high jumper in the world, but had to choose between track and basketball as far as the Olympics went- he chose basketball.

    — Deion Sanders— Played 14 years in the NFL for five teams; he picked off 53 passes in his pro career, running back nine of them for touchdowns. He also played baseball, playing nine years in the major leagues, hitting .263 for four teams, with 186 stolen bases.

    — Tim Stoddard— First person ever to play in a Final Four and a World Series; he was a starting forward on NC State’s championship team in 1974. He also pitched in the major leagues for 13 years, winning a World Series ring with the ’83 Orioles. He also got a hit in his only at-bat in a World Series game.

    — Charlie Ward— He won the 1993 Heisman Trophy, leading Florida State to their first-ever national title on the gridiron. Ward also played 11 years in the NBA for three teams, mostly the Knicks, scoring 6.3 ppg for his career.

    — Dave Winfield— Played both baseball/basketball for the Minnesota Gophers; his college basketball coach was Bill Musselman, who later coached in the NBA. Winfield was also drafted by the NFL’s Vikings, but he never played college football.

    Winfield was a great baseball player; he played 22 years in the majors, hit .283 with 465 career homers and an on-base %age of .353.

  7. #37
    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 17


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (14 - 9) at MINNESOTA (14 - 8) - 9/17/2020, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (11 - 12) at LOS ANGELES (15 - 7) - 9/17/2020, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 8-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 7-4 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Thursday, September 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Phoenix @ Minnesota
    Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Phoenix is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Phoenix
    Minnesota is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    Connecticut @ Los Angeles
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 17


    Phoenix @ Minnesota

    Game 605-606
    September 17, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    111.581
    Minnesota
    110.189
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 1 1/2
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3
    164 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+3); Under

    Connecticut @ Los Angeles


    Game 607-608
    September 17, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    106.582
    Los Angeles
    115.789
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 9
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 4 1/2
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (-4 1/2); Over

  8. #38
    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    PHO at MIN 07:00 PM
    MIN -4.5
    U 167.5

    +500 +500

    CONN at LA 09:00 PM
    LA -5.0
    U 159.5

    +500 +500

  9. #39
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......38-35-0........52.05%.....-2.50
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 09-20-2020 at 11:02 PM.

  10. #40
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Major league leaders in strikeouts:
    112— Shane Bieber, Clev
    88— Trevor Bauer, Cin
    87— Gerrit Cole, NYY
    86— Lucas Giolito, CWS
    84— Lance Lynn Tex, Aaron Nola Phil
    83— Tyler Glasnow TB, Corbin Burnes MIl

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 198,921
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Louisiana 34, Georgia State 31 OT— Ragin’ Cajuns sprung an upset at Iowa State last week; but had to fight like hell to avoid being upset here- they trailed 21-7 midway thru the third quarter.

    Louisiana outgained Georgia State by 100 yards, but converted only 3-14 on third down. Both teams ran the ball for 200+ yards.

    12) Back in the day when ESPN first started, 1980 or so, one of the first leagues that let ESPN show its basketball games was the Sun Belt Conference. ESPN needs to show the Sun Belt some love and give their games more airtime. Besides, Sun Belt football is at a pretty high level and is fun to watch.

    By the way, and I’m rambling here because its 2:30am and Korean baseball is on, but in 1980, Sun Belt basketball included VCU, South Alabama, Charlotte, South Florida, among others. Some of those teams are lot higher on the food chain now, but it is still a good league, and ESPN needs to give the league its own weekly time slot.

    11) Dodgers 6, Rockies 1— In his career, LA’s Clayton Kershaw has started 43 games against Colorado; the Dodgers are 32-11 in those games.

    10) Sounds like both the NBA/NHL might not start next season until January; college basketball is rumored to be starting November 25, which means the first part of November is going to pretty desolate for sports, except for football on the weekends.

    Good thing I have a very large stack of books to read; you’ll be getting some book reports in November, and lots and lots of football stats.

    9) Navy 27, Tulane 24— Midshipmen were down 24-0 at halftime, after losing their opener 55-3 at home, so this was an emotional win for them after a huge second half.

    8) Astros’ P Justin Verlander will have Tommy John surgery, will miss next season, then he’ll be a 39-year old free agent.

    7) Miami 47, Louisville 34— Miami’s kicker made 48 and 57-yard field goals, which means we’ll be seeing him kick on Sundays fairly soon. Hurricanes were +3 in turnovers.

    6) Best wishes to Florida State football coach Mike Norvell, who tested positive for COVID and is on the shelf for a while. Seminoles play Miami next week, leaving deputy head coach Chris Thomsen as the interim coach.

    Thomsen was the head coach at Abilene Christian from 2005-11; he spent the past three years coaching the offensive line at TCU.

    5) NC State 45, Wake Forest 42— Deacons stormed back from down 35-21 in third quarter to lead 42-38, but State scored with 5:51 left and held on for the win.

    4) Lot of carping on social media about individual awards and who certain people voted for; to me, this is a total waste of time. I don’t give a rat’s ass about individual awards, other than who gets into the Halls of Fame. Too much drama about these NBA awards; its a team game, people.

    3) Tigers manager Ron Gardenhire abruptly retired Saturday for health reasons; he has a career record of 1,068-1,039 in regular season games. Lot of people posted stuff on social media about how well-liked and well-respected Gardenhire is. We wish him well.

    2) Celtics 117, Heat 106 (Miami leads 2-1)
    — Four starters scored 20+ points for the Celtics.
    — Only six Celtics played double figure minutes.
    — Miami was 12-44 behind the arc; no bueno.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Philadelphia, Cincinnati

  11. #41
    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, September 20


    Connecticut @ Las Vegas

    Game 611-612
    September 20, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    113.902
    Las Vegas
    117.248
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 3 1/2
    170
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 6 1/2
    163 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+6 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Seattle


    Game 613-614
    September 20, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    116.228
    Seattle
    114.607
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1 1/2
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 6 1/2
    162 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+6 1/2); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, September 20


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (12 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (18 - 4) - 9/20/2020, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LAS VEGAS is 4-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    LAS VEGAS is 4-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (15 - 8) vs. SEATTLE (18 - 4) - 9/20/2020, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 8-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Sunday, September 20


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Connecticut @ Las Vegas
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Connecticut's last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
    Las Vegas
    Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Las Vegas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

    Minnesota @ Seattle
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

  12. #42
    SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CONN at LV 01:00 PM
    LV -6.0
    O 163.5

    +500 +500

    MIN at SEA 00 PM
    SEA -8.0
    U 163.0

    +500 +500

  13. #43
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......38-37-0........50.66%.....-8.50

  14. #44
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six interesting spreads for Week 3 NFL games:
    — Miami @ Jacksonville (-3, 47.5)
    — Las Vegas @ New England (-6.5, 47)
    — LA Rams @ Buffalo (-2.5, 47)
    — Houston @ Pittsburgh (-3.5, 45)
    — San Francisco (-4.5, 41) @ NJ Giants
    — Tennessee (-2.5, 47.5) @ Minnesota

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 199,938
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Las Vegas 34, Saints 24
    — Penalties: Saints 10-129 yards, Raiders 3-13 yards
    — Saints averaged 7.4 yards/play, converted 7-11 on 3rd down.
    — New Orleans lost eight of its last ten road openers.

    — Raiders converted 16-28 on 3rd down, scored 68 points in winning their first two games.
    — Las Vegas ran 76 plays, the Saints only 57, but were outgained by 49 yards.
    — AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS outside their division.

    12) Raiders have spent $52.6M of their salary cap on their offensive line, the most of any team in the league.

    When the Raiders’ move to Las Vegas was approved by the league, the vote was 31-1; for some unknown reason, Miami Dolphins were the team that voted against the move.

    11) Being a head coach involves having both onions and a feel for your team.

    3rd quarter Sunday, Rams lead 21-16 at Philly, 6:51 left in 3rd quarter. LA has 4th and a foot on their own 29, after intercepting a Wentz pass in the end zone on the Eagles’ previous drive. Most coaches, maybe 90%, maybe higher, punt the ball there.

    McVay has the Rams go for it, Goff sneaks for the first down, and Rams go down and kick a FG on a drive that went 68 yards on 16 plays and gave his defense a nice rest.

    10) NFL injury issues:
    — Giants’ RB Saquon Barkley is out for the year.
    — Panthers’ RB Christian McCaffrey is out 4-6 weeks.
    — Broncos’ QB Drew Lock is out for 3-5 weeks.

    9) With Lock out for a while, Jeff Driskel figures to be backed up by Brett Rypien, who played college ball at Boise State but has to make his NFL debut.

    8) So far this season, NFC West reams are 6-0 ATS outside their division; AFC West teams are 5-0-1 ATS. NFC East teams are 1-5.

    7) Deion Sanders is going to be the football coach at Jackson State, where his son will undoubtedly follow him to play quarterback.

    Shedeur Sanders has verbally committed to play at Florida Atlantic, but that’s about to change; the kid is an accurate passer, a 4-star recruit. He played on ESPN a few weeks ago, and looked pretty good. Deion Sanders is the offensive coordinator for his son’s high school team.

    6) They were talking on a ballgame the other night how hitters are no longer allowed to watch videos in between their at bats, and it has screwed up some hitters, who are used to doing that and need it to adjust their approach. Thank the Astros and their garbage can for that.

    5) ESPN had Ian Happ miked while he played the outfield Sunday night; this bothers me, it is an intrusion on the game. Alex Rodriguez actually was busting Happ’s chops because he roots for the Cleveland Browns. Who in the commissioner’s office thinks BS like that is a good idea?

    4) I’m thinking that if the expanded baseball playoffs that start next week are popular with fans, they’ll become a permanent part of the major leagues, in combination with a slightly shorter regular season (154 games?)

    One thing I DO NOT want to see ever are automated umpires for balls/strikes; no thank you.

    3) 203 ballplayers have made their major league debut this season, 18 of them play for the Miami Marlins. Someone’s going to write an interesting book about this unusual season.

    2) Of the 30 current major league managers, Colorado’s Bud Black is the only one who was a pitcher in the major leagues. 10 of the 30 skippers were catchers in their playing days.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central: Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Philadelphia, Cincinnati

  15. #45
    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, September 22


    Connecticut @ Las Vegas

    Game 617-618
    September 22, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    111.948
    Las Vegas
    119.202
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 7 12
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 5
    163
    Dunkel Pick:
    Las Vegas
    (-5); Over

    Minnesota @ Seattle


    Game 615-616
    September 22, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    110.228
    Seattle
    120.607
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 10 1/2
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 8
    164
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (-8); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, September 22


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (15 - 8) vs. SEATTLE (18 - 4) - 9/22/2020, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 8-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (13 - 12) vs. LAS VEGAS (18 - 5) - 9/22/2020, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-4 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Tuesday, September 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Connecticut @ Las Vegas
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas
    Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Las Vegas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

  16. #46
    TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CONN at LV 07:00 PM

    CONN +5.5

    O 160.5

  17. #47
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......38-39-0........49.35%.....-19.50

  18. #48
    At the heart of each of us, whatever our imperfections, there exists a silent pulse of perfect rhythm, which is absolutely individual and unique, and yet which connects us to everything else.



    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Six interesting spreads for this week’s college games:
    — Florida State @ Miami (-14)
    — Louisville @ Pittsburgh (-3)
    — Tennessee (-3.5) @ South Carolina
    — West Virginia @ Oklahoma State (-7)
    — Kentucky @ Auburn (-8)
    — Duke @ Virginia (-5.5)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 201,617
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) We talked yesterday about the LA Chargers’ QB situation; Wednesday afternoon, word came out that on Sunday, Tyrod Taylor was getting a pain-killing shot for bruised ribs before the game, when the Chargers’ team doctor accidentally punctured Taylor’s lung with the needle.

    Oy.

    Rookie QB Justin Herbert is likely to start again this week; it’ll be interesting to see how this plays out, going forward. I’m thinking the Chargers might also have a new team doctor soon.

    12) Thinking out loud here, but is it better to be the #3 seed in the American League than the #2 seed?

    #3 seed would play the 2nd-place team with the worst record, which right now would be the Astros, who are 28-28.

    #2 seed would play the #1 Wild Card team, which right now would be Cleveland, which is 32-24.

    The #1 Wild Card team figures to be a team that ended the regular season on a roll; this is such a unique situation, no real way of knowing until it all plays out.

    11) There could be extra games before the playoffs begin; St Louis may have to play a doubleheader on Monday if they’re still in contention to make the playoffs, then there is the possibility that three teams tie for the two Wild Cards in the National League- that could be very cumbersome.

    10) Tuesday night in Washington, the Nationals beat Philly 9-8 when 32-year old rookie Yadiel Hernandez hit a walk-off homer for Washington. Hernandez is now the oldest player in MLB history whose first career home run was also a walk-off blast.

    9) Tampa Bay 8, New York Mets 5— Rays win their first AL East tile since 2010.

    8) RIP to the great running back Gale Sayers, 77, who passed away this week after suffering from dementia the last few years. RIP, sir.

    Sayers was a great running back, fast, elusive- he scored six TD’s in a game against the 49ers, but he also hurt his knee in a later game against San Francisco and played only seven years in the NFL. Sayers was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame when he was 34.

    7) Back in the early 70’s, ABC had a Tuesday night movie of the week, where the movies were made just for showing on TV, not in theaters. Brian’s Song was one of those, but what a cast: Billy Dee Williams, James Caan, Jack Warden.

    The movie chronicled a great friendship between Sayers and teammate Brian Piccolo; Piccolo replaced Sayers when he got hurt, but Piccolo was discovered to have cancer, and he passed away way too young. Very sad movie, but Brian’s Song is one of the best-ever sports movies.

    6) Miami 112, Boston 109 (Heat leads 3-1):
    — Tyler Herro scored 37 points in 36:00 off the bench.
    — Miami was +11 (19-8) in turnovers.
    — Celtics took 40 3-point shots, 42 2-point shots.

    5) It is interesting to me the total lack of major league catchers who are good hitters; JT Realmuto is far and away the best of the bunch, everyone else is hit-and-miss. Modern baseball values defense more than offense behind the plate.

    4) Tuesday night was a rough night for an Australian gambler; this is from Ben Fawkes, who works for VSIN:

    – This person wagered $228,733 on Lakers money line (-263) pre-game

    – The person then cashed out for $97,624 in the 2nd quarter with Denver leading 44-32

    – The person placed all that money on Denver -9.5

    Denver won 114-106 after Alex Caruso made an unguarded layup w/ 1.6 sec left. Not good.

    3) Random stat: Yu Darvish is having a great season for the Cubs; nine of his 11 starts have been at home at Wrigley Field, but in his two road starts, he’s allowed only one run in 13 innings.

    2) Here is some obscure trivia: In many East Asian cultures, including China, Korea, Japan and Taiwan, the number 4 is considered unlucky.

    You probably wouldn’t see a button indicating the 4th floor on an elevator because most apartment buildings and hospitals skip the number four altogether. In Beijing, it’s not even possible to get a vehicle license plate that has the number 4 on it. The Chinese word for the number 4 sounds much like the Chinese word for death., and that is why it is considered unlucky.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central: Minnesota, Chicago
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Cleveland, Toronto

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Cincinnati, San Francisco

  19. #49
    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 24


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (19 - 5) vs. CONNECTICUT (13 - 13) - 9/24/2020, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-5 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 5-5 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (15 - 9) vs. SEATTLE (19 - 4) - 9/24/2020, 9:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 8-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 9-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Thursday, September 24


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota @ Seattle
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Seattle
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    Las Vegas @ Connecticut
    Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


    ------------------------------------------------------------


    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 24


    Las Vegas @ Connecticut

    Game 619-620
    September 24, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    114.634
    Connecticut
    116.516
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 2
    165
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 6 1/2
    161
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+6 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Seattle


    Game 631-632
    September 24, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    112.866
    Seattle
    117.969
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 5
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 7 1/2
    164
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+7 1/2); Under

  20. #50
    Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces

    The Sun are a bit of an improbable story. While the 2019 runners-up probably fall short of a “Cinderella” moniker, it would be understandable if their tumultuous offseason and 0-5 start to 2020 left you with a bit of doubt regarding their chances to get back to the WNBA Finals.

    Nevertheless, the Sun overcame that slow start and early depth concerns to peak at the right time. The team’s 10-12 regular-season record means little at this point; after 13- and 14-point victories over Chicago and Los Angeles, respectively, Connecticut is once again forging ahead with a workmanlike, underdog mentality, affectionately dubbed “DISRESPECT.”

    Don’t expect that to stop anytime soon. Standing in the Connecticut’s way is a Las Vegas team that earned the No. 1 overall seed in the twilight of the regular season. After star forward A’ja Wilson was named league MVP on Thursday, the Aces are surely more confident than ever and they’re well-rested, too. Sunday will mark exactly a week since they last took the court. This could be a significant advantage for Las Vegas.

    Then again, it’s the postseason and Connecticut’s Alyssa Thomas has a way of shrugging off heavy workloads when the stakes are the highest. Her performance in 2019’s postseason was the stuff of legend: 16 points, 9.3 rebounds, 6.6 assists and 2.4 steals per game in 37 minutes per contest, with several games featuring her for the entire 40. The Sun will no doubt be leaning on Thomas’ durability once again as they fight for the upset.

    2020 regular season: Aces win, 2-0

    The regular-season series between Connecticut and Las Vegas was one-sided in favor of Vegas. The Aces defeated the Sun 99-78 in mid-August, then won by double-digits again two weeks later. Wilson was magnificent in the series, shooting a combined 18-of-26 from the field and scoring 45 points, but it was big performances from Kayla McBride, Dearica Hamby and Jackie Young that put the Aces over the top.

    The high scores of those games indicate a problem for Connecticut — a team that has relied on defense to win its games. The Aces want to get out and run — they led the WNBA in pace this season — and with a 46.9 percent effective field goal percentage, the Sun do not have the firepower to get into a shootout. They’ll need to load up on Wilson and try to make these games stingy half court battles to avoid a repeat of those regular-season results.

    Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

    The fourth-seeded Lynx played like a top-four team for most of the regular season, and, although their second-round victory over the Mercury was a bit too close for comfort, all that matters in a single-elimination round is a win and they got it.

    Cheryl Reeve’s team will now face its toughest test yet and one it has yet to solve in 2020: the No. 2 seed Storm. Seattle entered the 2020 season as one of the favorites to win the title and though the No. 1 overall seed ultimately slipped through its fingers, the extended period of dominance it showed in the regular season did little to dispel the notion that it is the team to beat.

    With Breanna Stewart, Natasha Howard, Sue Bird and Jewell Loyd, the Storm boast a blend of length, athleticism and skill that, on paper, is unmatched. Factor Swiss-army knife forward Alysha Clark and a deep bench into the equation and you have all the makings of a championship team — especially in a season in which most other contenders are missing significant pieces.

    Seattle hasn’t been invincible, however. It dropped both games to Las Vegas in the regular season and the health of Bird and Stewart has been a worry for weeks now. While the duo has played up to par while on the court, both players have missed time down the stretch due to nagging injuries.

    Storm fans hope that was precautionary. Lynx fans hope it’s a sign of weakness. Minnesota recently got center Sylvia Fowles back from a calf injury after she missed much of the regular season; if she remains good to go while Seattle remains limited, it could help turn a mismatch on paper into a much more evenly-matched series.

    2020 regular season: Storm win, 2-0
    Just like the Sun and Aces’ regular-season series, recent history strongly favors the higher-seeded team here. Seattle dominated Minnesota 90-66 in late July and won comfortably again in their second meeting — a game in which Fowles did not play.

    Minnesota does have the talent to make this series interesting though, and it goes well beyond Fowles. Second-year forward Napheesa Collier has been excellent all season long, averaging 16.1 points and nine rebounds per game while scoring the ball on a highly efficient 60.5 true shooting percentage. Meanwhile, point guard Crystal Dangerfield took home Rookie of the Year honors as the 2020 WNBA Draft’s No. 16 overall pick. She provided an unusually steady hand for a rookie in such a position and gave the Lynx the boost they needed before Odyssey Sims came back from pregnancy. The Lynx will need all these players to be consistent and at their best if they’re going to overcome the Storm’s waves of talent.


    Semifinals – Begin Sunday, Sept. 20

    Game 1 Seattle – 88 Minnesota – 86 (Storm leads series 1-0)
    Game 2 Thursday, Sept. 24 Minnesota (4) at Seattle (2) 4:30PM PT ESPN2
    Game 3 Sunday, Sept. 27 Seattle (2) at Minnesota (4) Noon PT ABC
    *Game 4 Tuesday, Sept. 29 Seattle (2) at Minnesota (4) TBD
    *Game 5 Thursday, Oct. 1, Minnesota (4) at Seattle (2) TBD

    * – If Necessary

    ************************************


    Series Schedule

    Game 1: CON 87, LVA 62: Recap | Box Score | Charts
    Game 2: LVA 83, CON 75: Recap | Box Score | Charts
    Game 3: Thursday, Sept. 24 – 9:30 PM ET (ESPN2)
    Game 4: Sunday, Sept. 27 – 1:00PM ET (ESPN)
    Game 5: TBD

  21. #51
    [B]THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS[/B]

    LV at CONN 09:30 PM

    CONN +6.5

    O 160.5


  22. #52
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......39-40-0........49.36%.....-20.00

  23. #53
    That best portion of a good man's life; His little, nameless, unremembered acts Of kindness and of love.


    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Major league leaders in hits:
    76— Jose Abreu, Trea Turner
    75— Marcell Ozuna
    72— Freddie Freeman
    70— Whit Merrifield
    69— DJ LeMahieu
    68— Trevor Story, Manny Machado

    I apologize for not posting the SuperContest picks; as of 3am Saturday night, they haven’t been posted- they haven’t been posting them on Saturday this year.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 203,481
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Mississippi State 44, LSU 34:
    — Stanford transfer Costello was 36-60 for 623 yards, five TD’s; 623 freakin’ yards.
    — Three different MSU receivers had 120+ receiving yards.
    — Bulldogs turned ball over four times (-2), still scored 44 points.

    12) Mike Leach is a legend, as far as coaching quarterbacks goes; his record against the spread as a road underdog:
    — Texas Tech 15-12 ATS
    — Washington State 19-11 ATS
    — Mississippi State 1-0 ATS
    — total 35-23, 60.3%

    11) Kansas State 38, Oklahoma 35:
    — Sooners led 35-14 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
    — K-State upset Oklahoma for second year in a row.
    — Wildcats blocked a punt for second week in a row.

    Since 2009, Oklahoma has lost six games when they were favored by 20+ points; during that time, no one else in the country has lost more than three such games.

    10) Texas 63, Texas Tech 56 OT:
    — Seems like lot of teams haven’t practiced tackling much this fall.
    — Tech led 56-41 with 3:00 left in the game; quite a comeback.

    9) Upsets of the Day:
    — Kansas State (+28) 38, Oklahoma 35
    — Mississippi State (+16.5) 44, LSU 34
    — UTEP (+9.5) 31, UL-Monroe 6
    — Syracuse (+7.5) 37, Georgia Tech 20

    8) Lakers 117, Nuggets 107 (LA wins 4-1)
    — James/Davis combined for 65 points.
    — Lakers held Jamal Murray to 19 points.
    — Caruso was +16 in 26:00 off the bench.

    7) AL Central update:
    — Twins 7, Reds 3— Minnesota leads division by a game
    — White Sox 9, Cubs 5— Pale Hose snapped a six-game skid.
    — Pirates 8, Indians 0— Cleveland needs a win Sunday and a Chicago loss to get home field in the first round of the playoffs.

    6) Iowa State 37, TCU 34— Horned Frogs scored a TD at the gun to make it 37-34; spread was either TCU +2.5 or +3, but they didn’t kick the PAT, which made some people happy, and other people very unhappy.

    5) Louisiana 30, Georgia Southern 28— Ragin’ Cajuns’ kicker split the uprights with a 53-yard field goal on the last play of the game, as Louisiana improved to 3-0- their last two wins were by a total of five points, and they were a 13-point underdog in the other game.

    4) Georgia 37, Arkansas 10— Hogs led 7-5 at halftime. Here is Georgia’s QB situation:
    — Presumptive starter Jamie Newman opted out of this season.
    — USC transfer JT Daniels hasn’t been cleared to play yet.
    — 3rd-stringer D’Wan Mathis went 8-17 for 55 yards, was benched.
    — 4th-stringer Stetson Bennett, a 5-10 former walk-on, was 20-29 for 211 yards, two TD’s.

    3) UCF 51, East Carolina 28— Officials in this game may need rotator cuff surgery soon; Golden Knights were penalized 19 times for 139 yards. ECU was penalized 11 times for 105 yards.

    2) COVID has made subbing players in/out easier in goal-line situations in college football, since the benches now extend to the 15-yard line, instead of the 30, the way it used to be.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central: Minnesota, Clev/CWS
    AL West: Oakland, Houston
    AL wild cards: Clev/CWS, Toronto

    NL East: Atlanta, Miami
    NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
    NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL wild cards: Cincinnati, Milwaukee

  24. #54
    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, September 27


    Las Vegas @ Connecticut

    Game 623-624
    September 27, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    113.419
    Connecticut
    117.731
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 4 1/2
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 4 1/2
    158 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Seattle @ Minnesota


    Game 625-626
    September 27, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    124.259
    Minnesota
    106.576
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 17 1/2
    172
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 8
    163 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (-8); Over





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, September 27


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (19 - 6) at CONNECTICUT (14 - 13) - 9/27/2020, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 6-5 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 6-5 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (20 - 4) at MINNESOTA (15 - 10) - 9/27/2020, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 9-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 10-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Sunday, September 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Las Vegas @ Connecticut
    Las Vegas
    Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games

    Seattle @ Minnesota
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Seattle

  25. #55
    SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    LV at CONN 01:00 PM
    LV -4.5
    O 158.5

    +500 +500

    SEA at MIN 00 PM
    SEA -8.0
    U 163.5

    +500 +500

  26. #56
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks.....REVISED TOTAL 09/27/20

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/27/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
    09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......43-40-0........51.80%.....-13.00.

  27. #57
    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, September 29


    Connecticut @ Las Vegas

    Game 627-628
    September 29, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    116.233
    Las Vegas
    114.927
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 1 1/2
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 4
    157 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+4); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, September 29


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (14 - 14) vs. LAS VEGAS (20 - 6) - 9/29/2020, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 158-119 ATS (+27.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LAS VEGAS is 6-6 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    LAS VEGAS is 6-6 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Tuesday, September 29


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Connecticut @ Las Vegas
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Las Vegas
    Las Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Las Vegas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

  28. #58
    TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CONN at LV 07:30 PM

    CONN +3.5

    O 157.0


  29. #59
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks.....REVISED TOTAL 09/27/20

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/29/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/27/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
    09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
    09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
    09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
    09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
    09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail

    Totals......44-41-0........51.76%.....-13.50.

  30. #60
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college hoop national title next April:
    10-1— Gonzaga
    12-1— Baylor
    14-1— Villanova
    16-1— Kentucky
    18-1— Virginia
    20-1— Duke, Texas Tech

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 206,005
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday

    13) From James Logan: This week’s NFL games come with an average over/under of 49.9 points; since 2006, that would be the highest average over/under for any NFL weekend.
    48.7- Week 11, 2018
    48.2- Week 3, 2020
    48.0- Week 10, 2018
    47.8- Week 8, 2018
    47.7- Week 9, 2018
    47.3- Week 5, 2018
    47.3- Week 7, 2018
    47.1- Week 13, 2018
    46.9- Week 11, 2014
    46.8- Week 2, 2019

    Ironic thing is that in those ten weeks, under wound up going 85-59-1 (59%)

    12) Penalties per game are down about 1.5 flags per game over the previous four years; holding calls are down roughly 40%. Another reason for more scoring, higher totals.

    11) Reader named Greg sent me this stat Thursday morning: over last 33 NFL games, if you bet first half totals, over is now 26-7, 16-1 in the last 17 games played.

    Good weather is part of it, but is it easier to run an offense with no crowd noise? Fair question.

    10) A’s 6, White Sox 4 (Oakland wins series 2-1)
    — 17 pitchers were used in this game; none of them got more than six outs.
    — Chicago led 3-0 after third inning.
    — A’s win their first playoff series since 2006.
    — For season, White Sox wound up 15-0 vs lefty starters, 23-27 vs righties.
    — Tim Anderson had nine hits in three games for Chicago.

    9) Braves 5, Reds 0 (Atlanta wins series 2-0):
    — Cincinnati scored zero runs in 22 innings in this series. Zero. None. Bupkis.
    — Rookie Anderson threw six shutout innings for Atlanta.
    — Ozuna, Duvall both homered in a 4-run 8th inning.

    8) Padres 11, Cardinals 9 (series 1-1):
    — St Louis led 4-2 after five innings, before the Padres’ bats exploded.
    — Fernando Tatis homered twice, knocked in five runs.
    — 17 pitchers were used in this game, too.

    7) Dodgers 3, Brewers 0 (LA wins series 2-0)
    — Kershaw threw eight shutout innings, struck out 13.
    — Milwaukee had a guy picked off first when they were down 3-0 in 8th inning; no bueno.
    — At no point this season were the Brewers ever over .500.

    6) Sunday’s Steeler-Titans game was postponed until later this season, after more Tennessee players tested positive for COVID.

    5) Marlins’ OF Starling Marte broke his pinkie Wednesday; he can still pinch-run or play the field, but he can’t swing a bat for a while.

    4) Philadelphia 76ers acted quickly, named Doc Rivers their new head coach.

    3) Week or so ago, New York catcher Gary Sanchez was called for catcher’s interference three times in a 5-game stretch; he is the first major league catcher to do that since Vic Roznovsky of the Cubs, on September 28-29, 1965.

    2) Philadelphia Eagles have been outscored 49-16 in second half of games this year.

    1) Denver 37, NJ Jets 28:
    — McManus drilled a 52-yard FG with 3:08 left for the win.
    — Rookie QB Rypien was 19-31/242 in his first NFL start, but he did throw three INT’s.
    — AFC West teams are 7-3-1 ATS outside their division.

    — Jets had six personal fouls in this game, four in the first half.
    — Jets lost their first four games, allowing 32.5 ppg.
    — Jets are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.

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