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  1. #1

    Cnotes 2020 NHL Playoffs Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

    mlb forum...

  2. #2
    RECORD IN SEPT.

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail

  3. #3
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Most career regular season home runs in Dodger Stadium:
    130- Eric Karros
    123- Ron Cey
    118- Steve Garvey
    117- Matt Kemp
    106- Andre Ethier
    92- Mike Piazza

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,895
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) This is baseball, 2020:
    In the Miami-Tampa Bay game Sunday, the Marlins’ 41st game this year:
    — Miami’s Trevor Rogers threw 100 pitches.
    — Tampa Bay’s Tyler Glasnow threw 105 pitches.

    It was the first time this season, in Miami’s 41 games, that both starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches in the same game.

    12) Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman hit two grand slams in the last three games; in 10 years in the major leagues before this weekend, Freeman had never hit a grand slam.

    11) Umpire Joe West threw Washington Nationals’ GM Mike Rizzo out of the game Sunday; the thing is, Rizzo was sitting in a luxury box in the third level of the stadium. With no fans in the ballpark, umpires can hear a lot more of what their critics think of them.

    Rizzo got a 3-year contract extension Saturday, so he can afford the fine he’ll get.

    10) Astros-Angels played a doubleheader Saturday; it was 109 degrees in Anaheim when the first pitch was thrown. Tough weekend for the catchers in Orange County- it was 106 degrees for Sunday’s game in Anaheim.

    9) Toronto leads the Bronx Bombers by a game in the race for 2nd place in the AL East; they play 10 of their last 20 games against each other, starting Monday in Buffalo.

    8) Interesting conversation on the YES Network Sunday; top of 7th inning, Orioles led New York 4-1, but the visitors have two men on, with catcher Erik Kratz at bat, tying run at the plate.

    Kratz is a career backup, but Gary Sanchez is having a dreadful season, so he’s been benched; if they pinch-hit for Kratz, they pretty much had to put Sanchez in the game, which they obviously didn’t want to do.

    The three TV guys then discussed why this was happening, and how manager Aaron Boone isn’t making all the decisions as far as who plays and who doesn’t, the type of manager/front office issues we saw in the movie Moneyball.

    It was an unusually frank discussion, and it was good stuff.

    7) Sunday was the 25th anniversary of Cal Ripken Jr surpassing Lou Gehrig’s record for most consecutive games played, with 2,131.

    Longest current active streak of consecutive games played? Whit Merrifield, 288 games.

    6) SMU 31, Texas State 24— Imagine being Texas State and being on ESPN Saturday at 4:30, the only televised football game at that time? What a recruiting bonanza for the Sun Belt’s Bobcats, who hung in with SMU but couldn’t spring the upset- they got good exposure, though, and that sure helps their recruiting.

    5) Villanova basketball coach Jay Wright made it known that he doesn’t want to be the 76ers’ head coach. He already has a lucrative gig with more job security.

    4) They opened a new sportsbook in the Treasure Island casino in Las Vegas, one of the few strip casinos I’ve never been in. I look forward to seeing it someday.

    3) Pittsburgh Steelers cut QB Devlin Hodges, who started six games for them LY and brought back QB Josh Dobbs, who had been a backup in Jacksonville.

    2) From Ralph Michaels:
    Since 2014 in the NFL, Week 1 divisional underdogs are 21-5-1 ATS.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Colorado, Mia/SF

  4. #4
    NHL public betting, odds movement September 7
    Patrick Everson

    Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Lightning are coming off a week's rest entering Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Islanders. PointsBet USA has Tampa Bay a -160 favorite.

    NHL betting odds heat up as the Stanley Cup playoffs reach the opening game of the Eastern Conference finals Monday. The second-seeded Tampa Bay Lightning are right where they expected to be, while the sixth-seeded New York Islanders are perhaps a surprise in this spot.

    PointsBet USA provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s contest.

    NHL odds movement

    Tampa Bay wasted little time getting to this point, winning each of their first two playoff series in five games. So the Lightning are well-rested after finishing off Boston with a 3-2 overtime win Aug. 31. New York got out to a 3-1 lead over Philadelphia in the East semis, but needed seven games to advance, wrapping it up with a 4-0 victory Saturday.

    PointsBet USA opened the Lightning -150 and quickly moved to -160 Sunday morning, with the Islanders +135. A little later Sunday, news broke that standout Tampa forward Steven Stamkos – yet to play since the NHL’s restart began – would not play in this series, still recovering from what’s been termed a core muscle injury.

    The Stamkos news had no impact on the Game 1 line, but PointsBet USA made a slight series price adjustment on the Islanders, from +170 to +165, with Tampa Bay -200 to advance.

    NHL public betting

    The Consensus often provides a good indication of where public opinion is, and not surprisingly, the Game 1 lean is toward Tampa Bay. As of Sunday night, the Lightning were landing 63 percent of early Consensus picks.

  5. #5
    33NY ISLANDERS -34 TAMPA BAY
    TAMPA BAY is 28-10 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, September 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS (46-25-0-13, 105 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (53-24-0-6, 112 pts.) - 9/7/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 115-54 ATS (+176.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 18-7 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 98-76 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 57-39 ATS (+14.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 24-18 ATS (+46.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 11-5 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 19-11 ATS (+32.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 27-24 ATS (+59.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 4-5 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 5-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Monday, September 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay
    NY Islanders
    NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  6. #6
    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, September 7


    NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay

    Game 33-34
    September 7, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    13.852
    Tampa Bay
    12.450
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Islanders
    by 1 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -150
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Islanders
    (+130); Over

  7. #7
    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    NYI at TB 08:00 PM

    TB -155

    O 5.0

  8. #8
    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    09/08/2020 0-0-0 0.00% +0 Detail
    09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail

  9. #9
    Tuesday’s 6-pack

    Over/under win totals for NFL teams:


    Arizona— 7.5

    Atlanta— 7.5 (under -120)

    Baltimore— 11.5 (under -140)

    Buffalo— 9 (over -120)

    Carolina— 5.5 (over -140)

    Chicago— 8 (-135)


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 188,941
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “Dustin is one of the greatest Chiefs of all-time and I’m grateful I had the opportunity to coach him these past seven years. The longevity of his career here in Kansas City shows you just how consistently he has performed at a high level. Beyond his impact on the field, he was a great teammate and leader. I will always be a huge Dustin Colquitt fan.”
    Chiefs’ coach Andy Reid, who signed with the Steelers Monday

    Tuesday’s quiz
    In the 70’s, a guy named Ray Kroc owned the McDonald’s hamburger chain; which major league team did he also own?

    Monday’s quiz
    Lou Brock began his major league career with the Chicago Cubs.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies in their only World Series appearance.

    *************************************

    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Southern Mississippi’s football team lost its first game last week, 32-21 to South Alabama as a 13-point home favorite; no idea what happened behind the scenes, but Jay Hopson is out as the Golden Eagles’ head coach. After one game.

    12) When Freddie Freeman hit his first career grand slam Friday, it came on his 232nd career home run; only Sammy Sosa waited longer to hit his first grand slam— his first one was on his 246th career homer.

    11) Jacob deGrom got 35 swings/misses from the Phillies Sunday, tied for most by any pitcher since they started keeping track of such things in 2008.

    Danny Duffy (2016), Clayton Kershaw (2015) also got 35 whiffs in a game.

    10) Eagles signed 41-year old Josh McCown as their emergency QB for this season; he’ll bank $204,000 for that task, all while he lives in Texas. If something happens and the Eagles need him, he’ll take a private plane to Philly; until then, he’ll participate in Zoom meetings with the Eagles’ offense and do his film study at home in the Lone Star State.

    9) Toronto 12, Bronx 7— Blue Jays trailed 6-2, then scored 10 runs in the bottom of the 6th inning; they’re two games up in the battle for 2nd place in the AL East.

    8) Celtics 111, Raptors 89 (Boston leads 3-2)
    — Game was 62-35 at the half, so not much of a game at all.

    7) Clippers 113, Nuggets 107 (LA leads 2-1)
    — Clippers outscored Denver 29-19 in 4th quarter.
    — Lou Williams was +20 in 28:00 off the bench.

    6) Washington Redskins named Dwayne Haskins their starting QB.

    5) Duke Blue Devils named Chase Brice their starting QB; the last two years, Brice was Trevor Lawrence’s backup at Clemson.

    4) Josh Rosen signed on as a backup QB with Tampa Bay, where he re-unites with Byron Leftwich, who was his OC with the Arizona Cardinals.

    3) When this baseball season started, no one figured that Kyle Tucker would be the Astros’ best player, but it is September 8th, and here we are. Tucker is a very good hitter.

    2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

    1) RIP to the great Lou Brock, who passed away over the weekend; he was one of the great leadoff hitters of all time, stole over 900 bases, won two World Series rings with St Louis. He was also the all-time stolen base leader, until Rickey Henderson passed him. RIP, sir.

    RIP to poker Hall of Famer Mike Sexton, a recognizable face on TV who also passed away this weekend. Sexton won a bracelet at the 1989 World Series of Poker, won over $6M in tournaments; he was one of the TV voices of poker for the last 20 years. RIP, sir.

  10. #10
    35DALLAS -36 VEGAS
    DALLAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, September 8


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (47-31-0-8, 102 pts.) vs. VEGAS (50-29-0-8, 108 pts.) - 9/8/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 242-166 ATS (+38.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 29-22 ATS (+5.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    DALLAS is 22-17 ATS (+43.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 96-80 ATS (+178.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 7-3 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 7-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Tuesday, September 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Dallas @ Vegas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
    Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  11. #11
    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, September 8


    Dallas @ Vegas

    Game 35-36
    September 8, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    13.580
    Vegas
    11.860
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 1 1/2
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -160
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+140); Under

  12. #12
    TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DAL at VEG 08:00 PM
    DAL +135
    U 5.5

    +500 +500

  13. #13
    SEPT NHL DAILY RECORD:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
    09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail

    SEPT. TOTALS...11-11-0......50.00%....+6.75

  14. #14
    Wednesday’s 6-pack

    Over/under win totals for NFL teams:


    Cincinnati— 5.5 (over -150)

    Cleveland— 8.5

    Dallas— 10

    Denver— 7.5 (over -130)

    Detroit— 7 (over -130)

    Green Bay— 8.5 (-120)


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 189,323
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “For the first time in my life, I really have a quarterback……”
    Leonard Fournette, who recently signed with Tampa Bay

    Wednesday’s quiz
    What team did Kevin Durant begin his NBA career with?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    In the 70’s, a guy named Ray Kroc owned the McDonald’s hamburger chain; he also owned the San Diego Padres for a while.

    Monday’s quiz
    Lou Brock began his major league career with the Chicago Cubs.


    *****************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Have to be some basketball coaches, both in college and the NBA, who are a little queasy about their jobs today; Billy Donovan won’t be coming back to the Oklahoma City Thunder next year. Thunder went 243-157 under Donovan, 18-23 in playoff games, but may be headed towards a rebuild, so someone else will coach their team going forward.

    If Donovan announced he wants to go back to college coaching, how many schools wouldn’t fire their coach to bring him in? His Florida teams are the last back/back NCAA champs.

    12) Nigel Richards is a man from New Zealand who memorized every French word in the French scrabble dictionary and won the French Scrabble Championship without being able to speak any French. Why would you even attempt that, and how long did it take him?

    Is there big money in Scrabble? Hope the guy made a fortune.

    11) Sounds like college basketball could begin this season with a series of events in bubbles around the country, much like the NBA has done in Orlando, giving teams a few games to play out of conference before Christmas.

    I’ve heard Mohegan Sun in Connecticut, Sioux Falls SD, Houston as potential bubble sites.

    10) It snowed in Colorado, South Dakota this week; it is freakin’ September 9 and it snowed. No bueno.

    Denver Broncos had to practice indoors and right before the end of practice, their star LB Von Miller hurt his ankle and is probably out for the season.

    9) Orioles 11, Mets 2— This has obviously been a weird season, but right now Baltimore is only a half-game out of a playoff spot in the American League. They lost 115, 108 games the last couple of seasons, but now they’re vastly improved at 20-21.

    Random observations; Orioles have very nice hats. Also, their utility guy Pat Valaika is 8-12 against the Mets this season.

    8) Padres 14, Rockies 5— If you bet over 8.5, you got to go to bed early; game was 5-3 after the first inning, 10-3 after the second. San Diego won 1-0 Monday night; they scored 10 runs in first two innings of this game.

    7) September 7, 1993, guy on the Cardinals named Mark Whiten hit four home runs in one game, knocked in 12 runs. Imagine going up against him in fantasy that week? Quite a night.

    I bring this up because two of the four home runs that night were hit against a Reds’ pitcher named Mike Anderson, who was making his major league debut.

    Mike Anderson is the brother of Brian Anderson, who is now the play-by-play guy for the Milwaukee Brewers; he also does NBA games on TNT. Brian Anderson was talking about that game with Stan Van Gundy on the NBA broadcast the other night; they were laughing, but if Mike was listening at home, maybe he wasn’t.

    6) Marlins 8, Braves 0— Rookie Sixto Sanchez threw six shutout innings; Miami is 19-18 and would be in the playoffs if they started today.

    5) NBA Draft was pushed back to October 16; no way the next NBA regular season starts before Christmas, maybe not even until Martin Luther King Day in January.

    4) NBA players apparently bring their own food to the bubble every day; Celtics’ star Jayson Tatum brings his lunch in a Lion King lunchbox, the square, metal kind of lunchbox we all used when we were kids. Pretty cool.

    I had a Volkswagen bus lunchbox back in the day; they opened a new VW dealership near my house and they were giving them away.

    3) Miami 103, Milwaukee 94 (Heat wins 4-1)
    — Giannis Antetokounmpo sat this one out with a bad ankle.
    — Miami’s four subs were a combined +68.

    2) Lakers 112, Houston 102 (LA leads 2-1)
    — Kuzma/Rondo shot a combined 15-21 off the bench.
    — Rockets’ starters other than Harden/Westbrook shot combined 7-19.
    — Houston scored 64 points in first half, 38 in second half.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

  15. #15
    NHL public betting, odds movement September 9
    Patrick Everson

    The Islanders got belted 8-2 in Game 1 and hope to rebound against the Lightning in Wednesday's Game 2. The SuperBook at Westgate opened the moneyline at Tampa Bay -160/New York +145.

    NHL betting odds are on the board as the race for the Stanley Cup continues Wednesday with Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals. The New York Islanders aim to bounce back against the Tampa Bay Lightning inside the Edmonton playoff bubble.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s contest.

    NHL odds movement

    Tampa Bay got a week’s worth of rest ahead of Monday’s East finals opener, and it showed as the Lightning boatraced the Islanders by a whopping 8-2 count. The SuperBook opened the Lightning -160 for an 8 p.m. ET Game 2 start, with the Islanders +145, and there was no line movement through Tuesday night.

    The total opened at 5.5, with the Under juiced to -130, and that price went to -135 for several hours Tuesday before going back to -130.

    NHL public betting

    The Consensus indicates the public expects more of the same in Game 2, with favorite and Over proving popular. As of late Tuesday night, the Lightning were landing 72 percent of moneyline picks against the Islanders, and the Over was attracting 75 percent of picks.

  16. #16
    37NY ISLANDERS -38 TAMPA BAY
    TAMPA BAY is 29-10 ATS (15.6 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, September 9


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY ISLANDERS (46-26-0-13, 105 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (54-24-0-6, 114 pts.) - 9/9/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 116-54 ATS (+178.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 17-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 19-7 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 98-77 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 24-19 ATS (+47.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 27-25 ATS (+60.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 6-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Wednesday, September 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay
    NY Islanders
    NY Islanders is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, September 9


    NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay

    Game 37-38
    September 9, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    13.151
    Tampa Bay
    12.116
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Islanders
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Islanders
    (+145); Over

  17. #17
    WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    NYI at TB 08:00 PM
    NYI +145
    O 5.5

    +500 +500

  18. #18
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
    09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail

    SEPT. TOTALS...11-13-0......45.83%....-3.75

  19. #19
    NHL public betting, odds movement September 10
    Patrick Everson

    The Golden Knights hope to have more to celebrate after Thursday night's Game 3 against the Stars. Vegas opened a -165 favorite at The SuperBook, briefly went to -160, then returned to -165.

    NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes Thursday with Game 3 of the Western Conference finals. The Vegas Golden Knights go for a second straight win in their series against the Dallas Stars.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contest.

    NHL odds movement

    The Golden Knights got shut out 1-0 in Game 1, then returned the favor Tuesday night in Game 2, notching a 3-0 victory to knot the series. Vegas opened -165 at The SuperBook for Game 3, spent about 30 minutes Wednesday at -160, then returned to the opening price for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop. The Stars are +150.

    On the total, The SuperBook was stable at 5.5 through late Wednesday night, although the Under is juiced to -135.

    NHL public betting

    The Consensus, often indicative of public action, showed a lean toward Vegas by late Wednesday night. The Knights were drawing 64 percent of early picks, while the Over/Under was almost dead two-way play, with 51 percent of picks on the Over.


    *******************************

    39VEGAS -40 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 10


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VEGAS (51-29-0-8, 110 pts.) vs. DALLAS (47-32-0-8, 102 pts.) - 9/10/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 97-80 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 272-180 ATS (+74.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 242-167 ATS (+29.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 20-16 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 8-3 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 8-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Thursday, September 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Vegas @ Dallas
    Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NHL
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 10


    Vegas @ Dallas

    Game 39-40
    September 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    13.897
    Dallas
    11.551
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 2 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-165); Under

  20. #20
    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    VEG at DAL 08:00 PM
    DAL +150
    U 5.5

    +500 +500

  21. #21
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
    09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
    09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


    SEPT. TOTALS...13-13-0......50.00%....+8.75

  22. #22
    Friday’s 6-pack

    NFL teams with most room under the salary cap:


    $34.74M— Cleveland

    $32.24M— New England

    $31.31M— NJ Jets

    $30.95M— Jacksonville

    $26.03M— Washington

    $25.43M— Denver


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 190,589
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    Tweet of the Day
    “With the NFL starting, I find myself pulling for the offense so maybe someone will need a defensive coach!”
    Wade Phillips, currently unemployed

    Friday’s quiz
    In the 1976 movie All the President’s Men, which famous actor played Bob Woodward?

    Thursday’s quiz
    William Henry Harrison was President for only 31 days, before he died of pneumonia.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Kevin Durant began his NBA career with the Seattle SuperSonics, before they moved to Oklahoma and became the Thunder


    *****************

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

    13) Chiefs 34, Texans 20:
    — Chiefs ran ball 34 times for 166 yards; they threw 32 passes.
    — KC scored four of the first times they had the football.
    — 15,895 fans attended this game on a drizzly night at Arrowhead Stadium.
    — In first three series for both teams, KC ran 35 plays, Houston 16

    12) With no teams having an off-season program, I’m thinking its going to take a few weeks for offenses to catch up to where they normally are. 34-20 sounds high-scoring, but Houston got couple of scores in garbage time. Pass patterns mostly seemed a lot shorter than normal.

    11) Tigers 6, Cardinals 3— Detroit scored five runs in the top of the 7th to earn the split of this twinbill, after losing their previous two games by a combined score of 31-2.

    10) Red Sox 3, Rays 2— Rookie Bobby Dalbec homered in his 5th consecutive game.

    9) A’s 3, Houston 1— Sean Manaea got thru seven innings on 61 pitches; you just never see that anymore, less than 9 pitches per inning.

    8) Miami 31, UAB 14:
    — Total yardage was 495-285, Miami
    — Hurricanes ran ball for 337 yards.

    7) Royals 11, Indians 1— Rookie Brady Singer had a no-hitter into the 8th inning.

    6) White Sox are 13-0 vs lefty pitchers; Arizona is 2-10.

    5) Atlanta 7, Washington 6— Freddie Freeman knocked in 10 runs the last two games; he is the first Brave to knock in 4+ runs in consecutive games since Mark Teixeira, in 2007.

    4) Arizona 5, Dodgers 2— If you have Mookie Betts on your fantasy team, last night was your lucky night; Betts played 2B, so now he’s eligible at 2B in a lot of fantasy leagues, which would be a large advantage over most teams. It was his 16th career game at second base, first one in two years.

    LA put Walker Buehler (blister) on the IL before this game, then Dustin May left one inning after he was hit in the foot by a line drive.

    3) Longest NFL playoff droughts:
    17 years- Cleveland
    12- Tampa Bay
    9- NJ Jets

    2) Lakers 110, Houston 100 (LA leads 3-1)
    — Davis had 29 points, 12 rebounds five assists for LA.
    — Harden was 2-11 from the floor, 16-20 on foul line. Harden was only Rocket starter with a =/- better than minus-10; he was even.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

  23. #23
    NHL public betting, odds movement September 11
    Patrick Everson

    The Lightning's Tyler Johnson and the Islanders' Matt Martin will likely exchange pleasantries again in Game 3 Friday night. The SuperBook at Westgate has Tampa Bay a -153 favorite.

    NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase continues with Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. The Tampa Bay Lightning can put a stranglehold on the series with a win over the New York Islanders on Friday night.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s contest.

    NHL odds movement

    Tampa Bay led New York for only nine seconds in Game 2, but it was the right nine seconds, as a very late goal gave the Lightning a 2-1 victory and a 2-0 lead in the best-of-7 series. The SuperBook opened Game 3 at Lightning -155/Islanders +140, with a modest move Thursday night to -153/+138.

    The total opened at 5 (Over -135), and that’s where it remained through Thursday for this 8 p.m. ET Friday puck drop.

    NHL public betting

    With Game 2 as close as it could be, ending on the final-seconds Tampa Bay goal, it should come as no surprise that Game 3 is almost dead two-way in Covers Consensus. As of late Thursday night, the underdog Islanders were drawing 51 percent of picks to bounce back in Game 3.

    On the total of 5, 60 percent of early Covers Consensus picks were on the Over.

  24. #24
    41TAMPA BAY -42 NY ISLANDERS
    TAMPA BAY is 20-1 ATS (18.9 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, September 11


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (55-24-0-6, 116 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (46-27-0-13, 105 pts.) - 9/11/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY ISLANDERS are 98-78 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 102-113 ATS (+268.8 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 117-54 ATS (+23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 18-5 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 20-7 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Friday, September 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Islanders
    NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


    -------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, September 11


    Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

    Game 41-42
    September 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    14.818
    NY Islanders
    11.485
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 3 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -150
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-150); Over

  25. #25
    FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TB at NYI 08:00 PM
    NYI +125
    O 5.0

    +500 +500

  26. #26
    COMPLETED PICKS

    Past Completed Picks

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
    09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
    09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
    09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
    09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
    09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
    09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
    09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


    TOTALS....15-13-0.......53.57%....+20.00

  27. #27
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Major league leaders in OPS:
    1.257— Juan Soto, Wash
    1.089— Nelson Cruz, Minn
    1.081— Freddie Freeman, Atl
    1.065— Mike Trout, LAA
    1.051— Dominic Smith, NYM
    1.049— Trea Turner, Wash

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 192,616
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo:Saturday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

    13) Boston 92, Toronto 87 (Celtics win 4-3)
    — Celtics held Toronto to 16 points in 4th quarter.
    — Teams combined to make 17-66 on the arc.
    — Jayson Tatum led Boston with 29 points.
    — Celtics advance to the Eastern Conference final.

    12) Nuggets 111, LA Clippers 105 (LA leads 3-2)
    — Denver outscored LA 38-25 in 4th quarter to stay alive.
    — Michael Porter scored Denver’s last 7 points, his only points of the game.

    11) Tampa Bay 11, Red Sox 1— Rays are first team since at least 1900 to start nine lefty hitters in a game, with none of them switch-hitters.

    10) Two more random facts from Thursday’s NFL games:
    — There were only five plays of 20+ yards in Thursday’s game; Chiefs had two of them. Last year, Kansas City averaged 4.25 plays/game of 20+ yards
    — Chiefs had a 15-yard advantage in average field position, which is unusually big.

    9) Happy birthday to the great NBA player Bob Lanier, who turned 72 this week; to show how great Lanier was in college, he led St Bonaventure to the 1971 Final Four. Think about that; St Bonaventure is located in the middle of freakin’ nowhere, in the southern tier of central New York; for them to make the Final Four was amazing.

    He was a great college player, but tore his knee up in the regional final, when Villanova’s Chris Ford rolled up on his knee. Ironically, Lanier/Ford later wound up as NBA teammates with the Pistons.

    8) I was at an AAU tournament in Las Vegas a few years ago, at Bishop Gorman HS, two games going on at once. I’m sitting in the bleachers by myself, behind one couple.

    Being AAU ball, when the coach’s cellphone buzzes that he got a text while the game is going on, the guy takes the phone out and reads the text. Why?

    He turns around, looks at the couple in front of me and snaps, “If you text me again, he’ll never get in!!!”

    The couple wanted their kid to play more; I couldn’t laugh in their faces, so I went to the concession stand. Good stuff.

    7) Unsolicited opinions: best-ever play-by-play announcers by sport:
    — MLB— Vin Scully
    — NFL— Al Michaels
    — NBA— Mike Breen
    — NHL— Mike Emrick/Dan Kelly
    — College hoop— Dick Enberg
    — College football— Keith Jackson

    6) Phillies’ pitcher Zach Wheeler makes $22M this year; he is now on the IL after tearing the fingernail on the middle finger of his pitching hand while he was putting his pants on.

    Wheeler is 4-0, 2,47 in 8 starts; he is really good, but he got hurt putting his pants on.

    5) Giant-Padre games for Friday/Saturday were postponed after a Giants’ player tested positive for COVID.

    4) Dr Fauci was on TV today telling the truth, because someone needs to; the moderator said they were glad he was speaking, but they were also afraid he would get fired soon.

    They can’t fire him; every TV network in the country (except FOX) would be throwing lucrative offers at him, to get his commentary on their station. He’d definitely get his own show, if he wanted one.

    3) Sounds like November will be a very quiet month TV-wise, with only football going on until maybe college hoop starts around Thanksgiving. Good news, then, that the NBA now plans to hold their draft November 18, so that’ll provide one night of entertainment.

    2) September 11, 1985— Pete Rose set the all-time hits record, getting a hit off of Eric Show of the Padres. Sadly, September 11 is now an infamous date in American history, because of the terrorist attacks on the Twin Towers and Pentagon.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
    AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

    NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

  28. #28
    NHL public betting, odds movement September 12
    Patrick Everson

    Paul Stastny and the Vegas Golden Knights meet Jason Dickinson and the Dallas Stars in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals on Saturday. The SuperBook has Vegas a -160 favorite.

    NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes with Game 4 of the Western Conference finals Saturday. The Dallas Stars look to stretch their lead in the best-of-seven series against the Vegas Golden Knights.

    The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s contest.

    NHL odds movement

    Dallas wasted little time in overtime of Game 3 Thursday, scoring 31 seconds into the extra frame to nab a 3-2 victory and take a 2-1 series lead against Vegas. Still, the Golden Knights opened -160 for Game 4 at The SuperBook, spent a couple of hours Friday at -157, then went back to -160, with the Stars +145.

    The total opened at 5.5 and moved to 5 Friday, with the Over at -140 and the Under +120 for Saturday’s 8 p.m. ET faceoff.

    NHL public betting

    The Consensus, often indicative of public action, showed an expectation of Vegas once again tying up this series. Through Friday night, the Golden Knights were drawing 75 percent of picks, while the total was getting dead-even two-way play.

  29. #29
    1VEGAS -2 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, September 12


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VEGAS (51-29-0-9, 111 pts.) vs. DALLAS (48-32-0-8, 104 pts.) - 9/12/2020, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 97-81 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 30-23 ATS (+56.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    DALLAS is 23-18 ATS (+44.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 8-4 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 8-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Saturday, September 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Vegas @ Dallas
    Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games on the road
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Vegas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NHL
    Dunkel

    Saturday, September 12


    Vegas @ Dallas

    Game 1-2
    September 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    13.258
    Dallas
    12.187
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -165
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-165); Under

  30. #30
    SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    VEG at DAL 08:00 PM
    VEG -165
    U 5.5

    +500 +500

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