LETS GO OVER

[Crookity]

Going to start posting some more thoughts, and try to contribute some insights to the board.

Let's get it let's get it rolling

- Everton/Leeds Over 2.5/3 -135 **

- Bayern Leverkusen/Hertha Berlin Over 2.5/3 -135 **

- Roma/Napoli over 2.5/3 -135

[tt boy]

useless outfit this Everton score in every match and when you need them to come through with a goal they get shut out

[Crookity]

Yes, that was a tough one to swallow. This is the second week in a row Leeds has been flying all over the pitch, with chances for teams at both ends, and the game flies under. I have to say that I would play that Over given the circumstances, each and every time. We will get them next time!

I like the way the line has been moving in the Bayern Lev/Hertha game, and I am adding to that total. I REALLY like this game. We all know about Lev's form, they have been on fire. These guys have been popping goals with ease, their last 5 matches they have notched 4, 4, 4, 2, 4. Both teams combine for an avg of about 4 goals a game. Hertha can certainly score as well, their problems lie more on the back. Against teams at the top end of the table they are real leaky. BVB just popped 5 on them last week, Munich put up 4, Frankfurt 3, Red Bull 2. I think Lev is good for atleast 2-3 in this one. Let's see what happens. I have been playing these 2 teams over quite a bit, and there is no reason to stop now.

I am going with my gut and going to also make a play on :

Man United/Southampton over 2.5 - 125. This one is a little sketchy, as you never know when Man United can lay an egg, and shit the bed. I would be more comfortable with this if Ings and Redmond were fit and playing. I will go with the gut though.

Happy Sunday Gents!

[tt boy]

United over hits easy Leverkusen not so much

[Crookity]

United over hits easy Leverkusen not so much

Yup.absolutely brutal . The game was mucked up in the mid field a good chunk of the first half. There were still a few chances, but going to need some serious luck in 2nd half.

[tt boy]

need one before 60' to have a chance

[Crookity]

need one before 60' to have a chance

Man United with Cavani , Telles, Van de Beek could pose a problem. This team is generally hot/cold, and I see them trending upwards right now. I will have my eye on some of their totals to Over in the next few games.

Going to add a small play on Chelsea/Tottenham Over 2.5 - 125. I fear the 1-1 draw, and Spurs have been extremely efficient on the defensive side, they are #1 in the EPL in Goals against. Chelsea has also been clocking clean sheets lately. With that said I am going with my gut and making a small play on the over, lots of firepower here. Despite the possibility of a tactical, close fought match, these are still 2 of the top 3 scoring teams in the EPL, and I will take my chance at this price.

[Crookity]

Jeeez another scoreless draw, ridiculous. Real dud of a weekend over here, hoping Roma and Napoli can muster up something to salvage something from a rather piss poor past few days. One thing I can say is that there have been plenty of lame performances from some of the bigger teams in Europe. There appeared to be a real hangover here from Champions League, Juventus, Dortmund, Chelsea, Atalanta, Liverpool, Lazio with lackluster results.

[Crookity]

Jeeez another scoreless draw, ridiculous. Real dud of a weekend over here, hoping Roma and Napoli can muster up something to salvage something from a rather piss poor past few days. One thing I can say is that there have been plenty of lame performances from some of the bigger teams in Europe. There appeared to be a real hangover here from Champions League, Juventus, Dortmund, Chelsea, Atalanta, Liverpool, Lazio with lackluster results.

Thank goodness for Napoli.

I like the spot for Leicester tomorrow. A win would put them right at the top of the table. I expect they will come out strong. Fulham is trash, ill take it at this price.

Leicester -1 -110

[Crookity]

Running cold, hoping things turn soon.

Going with these for Champions League the lines are starting to move on these:

Lokomotiv / Salzburg Over 2.5 - 163

MGladbach / Inter Milan Over 3 - 115

Man Utd / PSG Over 2.5 - 125

[Crookity]

For all the VAR haters out there:

https://www.theguardian.com/football...-with-football

[Crookity]

Good day today, with Man U/PSG over going tomorrow.

Looking to possibly do something with the early game Red Bull / Instanbul. Both teams in a must win. You would expect RB to come through, but they have been garbage on road last few times out which complicates it for me. Instanbul leaking goals lately, and need to press forward for the win as well. I am going to see where things go overnight with the lines.

[Crookity]

Good day today, with Man U/PSG over going tomorrow.

Looking to possibly do something with the early game Red Bull / Instanbul. Both teams in a must win. You would expect RB to come through, but they have been garbage on road last few times out which complicates it for me. Instanbul leaking goals lately, and need to press forward for the win as well. I am going to see where things go overnight with the lines.

I think RB is good for atleast 2-3 here, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in awhile. Rb also has incentives to pump as many goals as possible because goal differential could end up coming into play. Istanbul has been really lacking defensively giving up lots of goals. They know a loss and their eliminated so I expect them to open it up, leaving vulnerabilities on the back. If not for RB piss poor travel record I would unload on them.

RB/Istanbul over 3 -120

PSG/MAN U over -125 as previously posted, the line really took off on this. I show it as - 200 now!

Good luck everyone

Nice way to end the day, Champions League 4 pack in the books! Starting to get some momentum over here. I have a few circled for this weekend, will have them up in a day or so.

[BASON]

Good work Crook.

Looks like we are all on this Man U/PSG Over!!

[johnnyb]

I think RB is good for atleast 2-3 here, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in awhile. Rb also has incentives to pump as many goals as possible because goal differential could end up coming into play. Istanbul has been really lacking defensively giving up lots of goals. They know a loss and their eliminated so I expect them to open it up, leaving vulnerabilities on the back. If not for RB piss poor travel record I would unload on them.

RB/Istanbul over 3 -120

PSG/MAN U over -125 as previously posted, the line really took off on this. I show it as - 200 now!

Good luck everyone

Great call on that over. Thx for posting


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[yyz]

25 minutes to spare!

[Crookity]

I think RB is good for atleast 2-3 here, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in awhile. Rb also has incentives to pump as many goals as possible because goal differential could end up coming into play. Istanbul has been really lacking defensively giving up lots of goals. They know a loss and their eliminated so I expect them to open it up, leaving vulnerabilities on the back. If not for RB piss poor travel record I would unload on them.

RB/Istanbul over 3 -120

PSG/MAN U over -125 as previously posted, the line really took off on this. I show it as - 200 now!

Good luck everyone

This played out exactly as expected. Thanks for the kudos everyone. I was dealt tons of winners from Bason and Kidd over the last 3 years, so it feels good to return the favor for whoever is out there. Hopefully Man U/PSG can light it up. I like line ups, the line move , everything, let's get it!

[Crookity]

Champions League 4 pack is in the bag, starting to get some momentum back! I have a few circled this weekend across Premier League, Serie A, Bundesliga, should have something up in the next day or two.

[Crookity]

I couldn't help myself, and dipped my toes into the Europa waters. I don't go heavy in this space, as all to often some of the big names don't show up. However, there is one that I like.

AC MILAN / CELTIC OVER 3 - 130

ACM is one of my favorite teams in Europe to watch. They have also been a huge money maker on the side and the over during the last 30 games or so, very prolific offense. Celtic lost 3-1 in the reverse fixture, now travel to Milan. Celtic has given up 10 goals the last 3 Europa contests, and they generally find the net themselves. ACM has scored 2 or more goals in their last 9 Serie A matches. At first I was a little concerned about playing this due to the fact that Celtic is pretty much eliminated from the competition, and may be lacking motivation. However, a closer look reveals that Celtic has been in shambles, not only in Europa, but domestically. They just suffered a very embarrassing defeat in their domestic league, and their coach is on the hot seat. I would expect them to play with some pride today, and should get a decent effort. Couple that in with the fact that Milan hasn't kept a clean sheet in a bit, and I think it is worth a try.


Good luck Gents!

[Crookity]

I couldn't help myself, and dipped my toes into the Europa waters. I don't go heavy in this space, as all to often some of the big names don't show up. However, there is one that I like.

AC MILAN / CELTIC OVER 3 - 130

ACM is one of my favorite teams in Europe to watch. They have also been a huge money maker on the side and the over during the last 30 games or so, very prolific offense. Celtic lost 3-1 in the reverse fixture, now travel to Milan. Celtic has given up 10 goals the last 3 Europa contests, and they generally find the net themselves. ACM has scored 2 or more goals in their last 9 Serie A matches. At first I was a little concerned about playing this due to the fact that Celtic is pretty much eliminated from the competition, and may be lacking motivation. However, a closer look reveals that Celtic has been in shambles, not only in Europa, but domestically. They just suffered a very embarrassing defeat in their domestic league, and their coach is on the hot seat. I would expect them to play with some pride today, and should get a decent effort. Couple that in with the fact that Milan hasn't kept a clean sheet in a bit, and I think it is worth a try.


Good luck Gents!

Ahhhh if only they were all that easy, only took 26 minutes to cash! Starting to really heat up, I will put a few more out tonight or tomorrow for the weekend.

[jdg226]

Ahhhh if only they were all that easy, only took 26 minutes to cash! Starting to really heat up, I will put a few more out tonight or tomorrow for the weekend.

Nice work. Thanks.

[Crookity]

Let's keep it rolling, I have 2 ready to go for the EPL so I thought I may as well post them.

MAN UNITED / WEST HAM - OVER 2.5 - 130

I had 2 posted Over winners with Man Utd games during the last week. I see no reason to let up now. With the attacking talent the team possess, they are always capable of putting up lots of goals. At the same time they are just as capable of being defensively inefficient. This combination has caused a perfect storm of overs recently. Man Utd games have gone over 6 of the last 8 games, with some of these game totals - 3, 4, 5, 5, 4. On the flip side we have a Hammers team who has been in pretty damn good form. They have found the net 8 games in a row, so I think I can count on them to notch at least one, if not 2 goals.

CHELSEA / LEEDS OVER 3 - 120

I wrestled with this one for a bit, but I have to listen to my gut. Chelsea is the 2nd best Goal Scoring team averaging a shade over 2 goals per game. They have really been heating up. Here are their goal scoring totals across all competitions in the last 8 games, 4, 3, 3, 4, 2, 2, 0, 4. The rare 0 was against the Spurs who going into the match had the best goals against in the EPL. I think Chelsea can get me 3 alone in this one. I watched the last 2 Leeds games, and got burned both times on the Over. These guys play aggressive, free football, and I think they can create some chances of their own. Chelsea has really cleaned up the defensive side of things, I just feel Leeds can probably notch 1 to get us over the hump.

I should be back with another in Serie A - looking at Roma/Sass over 3.

[Crookity]

Let's keep it rolling, I have 2 ready to go for the EPL so I thought I may as well post them.

MAN UNITED / WEST HAM - OVER 2.5 - 130

I had 2 posted Over winners with Man Utd games during the last week. I see no reason to let up now. With the attacking talent the team possess, they are always capable of putting up lots of goals. At the same time they are just as capable of being defensively inefficient. This combination has caused a perfect storm of overs recently. Man Utd games have gone over 6 of the last 8 games, with some of these game totals - 3, 4, 5, 5, 4. On the flip side we have a Hammers team who has been in pretty damn good form. They have found the net 8 games in a row, so I think I can count on them to notch at least one, if not 2 goals.

CHELSEA / LEEDS OVER 3 - 120

I wrestled with this one for a bit, but I have to listen to my gut. Chelsea is the 2nd best Goal Scoring team averaging a shade over 2 goals per game. They have really been heating up. Here are their goal scoring totals across all competitions in the last 8 games, 4, 3, 3, 4, 2, 2, 0, 4. The rare 0 was against the Spurs who going into the match had the best goals against in the EPL. I think Chelsea can get me 3 alone in this one. I watched the last 2 Leeds games, and got burned both times on the Over. These guys play aggressive, free football, and I think they can create some chances of their own. Chelsea has really cleaned up the defensive side of things, I just feel Leeds can probably notch 1 to get us over the hump.

I should be back with another in Serie A - looking at Roma/Sass over 3.

ADDING: SERIE A

ROMA / SASSUOLO OVER 3 - 150

I am going to lay the juice on this one, it checks the boxes for me. We have 2 teams in the top 5 in Serie A in goals scored, and also 2 teams in the top 5 for shots on target. Both squads traditionally play attacking, open football, so there should be no shortage of chances. Both matches between these teams last year netted a total of 6 goals in each game. Here is a look at Roma's goal scoring totals the last few times out 5, 3, 3, 2, 0, 3. Outside of the rare clean sheet they have been putting up big #'s. There has been 3 or more goals scored in 7 of 9 Roma matches to date in Serie A. I should also note that at least 3 goals have been netted in 11 of the last 14 homes matches. Roma just got buried 4-0 against Napoli so expect them to be up for this one at home.
On the other side Sassuolo has been one of the best road teams in Serie A, they have won outright 7 of the last 9 times on the road. I would expect a good effort from them as well in this one. They have also scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches. The only concern is they have been blanked 2 of the last 3 matches. IMPORTANT TO NOTE there are plenty of notable injuries on both sides of the ball. I just think there will still be plenty of open football in this one, the line is starting to steam on this over as well so I am pulling the trigger.

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

[Crookity]

Let's keep it rolling, I have 2 ready to go for the EPL so I thought I may as well post them.

MAN UNITED / WEST HAM - OVER 2.5 - 130

I had 2 posted Over winners with Man Utd games during the last week. I see no reason to let up now. With the attacking talent the team possess, they are always capable of putting up lots of goals. At the same time they are just as capable of being defensively inefficient. This combination has caused a perfect storm of overs recently. Man Utd games have gone over 6 of the last 8 games, with some of these game totals - 3, 4, 5, 5, 4. On the flip side we have a Hammers team who has been in pretty damn good form. They have found the net 8 games in a row, so I think I can count on them to notch at least one, if not 2 goals.

CHELSEA / LEEDS OVER 3 - 120

I wrestled with this one for a bit, but I have to listen to my gut. Chelsea is the 2nd best Goal Scoring team averaging a shade over 2 goals per game. They have really been heating up. Here are their goal scoring totals across all competitions in the last 8 games, 4, 3, 3, 4, 2, 2, 0, 4. The rare 0 was against the Spurs who going into the match had the best goals against in the EPL. I think Chelsea can get me 3 alone in this one. I watched the last 2 Leeds games, and got burned both times on the Over. These guys play aggressive, free football, and I think they can create some chances of their own. Chelsea has really cleaned up the defensive side of things, I just feel Leeds can probably notch 1 to get us over the hump.

I should be back with another in Serie A - looking at Roma/Sass over 3.

Yuck don't like the lineups in man u game or the line move, but too late to back out now.

[Crookity]

Yuck don't like the lineups in man u game or the line move, but too late to back out now.

No worries after all, another winner with plenty of time on the board. That is 6 in a row boys, and I am feeling good about the 2 remaining games for the week!

[johnnyb]

Boom! Nice call again bud. Sick run u r having; thx for posting


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[Crookity]

Boom! Nice call again bud. Sick run u r having; thx for posting


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No worries, happy to help!

[johnnyb]

Time to switch the big tv to the Bayern v leipseig match now that the Man U over is a winner.


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[tt boy]

exactly what we needed..Leeds on the board early..should get chelsea's attention

[Crookity]

exactly what we needed..Leeds on the board early..should get chelsea's attention

This is the 3rd match in a row I've watched Leeds wow these guys are lucky. No clue how they aren't down 3 or 4 -1.