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  1. #271
    553CHICAGO -554 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

    555MIAMI -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
    MIAMI is 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

    557MEMPHIS -558 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

    559PORTLAND -560 PHOENIX
    PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

    561CHARLOTTE -562 UTAH
    UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

    563WASHINGTON -564 LA LAKERS

    LA LAKERS are 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.


    ***********************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, February 22


    Chicago @ Houston
    Bulls (13-16)
    — Chicago won three of its last four games SU.
    — Bulls are 10-4 ATS on road this season.
    — Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

    Rockets (11-17)
    — Houston lost its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
    — Rockets covered once in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Rockets won seven of last eight series games.
    — Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
    — Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Memphis @ Dallas
    Grizzlies (13-13)
    — Memphis is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
    — Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
    — Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

    Mavericks (13-15)
    — Mavericks haven’t played in eight days.
    — Dallas won four of its last five games; they’re 1-5 ATS in last six.
    — Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in last 11 home games.
    — Over is 12-2-1 in last 15 Dallas games.

    — Mavericks won three of last four series games.
    — Memphis covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    Miami @ Oklahoma City
    Heat (13-17)
    — Miami won six of its last nine games overall.
    — Heat is 7-9 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    Thunder (12-18)
    — Thunder lost six of last eight games (1-3 ATS last four)
    — OKC is 3-8-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

    — Miami won three of last four series games.
    — Heat is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    Portland @ Phoenix
    Trailblazers (18-11)
    — Portland won nine of last 12 games, covered 10 of last 13.
    — Blazers are 11-4 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 11-5 in Portland’s last 16 games.
    — Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

    Suns (19-10)
    — Phoenix won/covered 11 of its last 13 games.
    — Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Portland won eight of last ten series games.
    — Trailblazers covered once in last four visits to Phoenix.
    — Four of last six series games went over.

    Charlotte @ Utah
    Hornets (14-15)
    — Charlotte won four of its last six games.
    — Hornets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Charlotte’s last seven road games.

    Jazz (24-6)
    — Utah won 20 of its last 22 games (19-2-1 ATS).
    — Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in Utah’s last six games overall.

    — Jazz won last six series games.
    — Hornets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

    Washington @ LA Lakers
    Wizards (10-17)
    — Wizards won their last four games overall.
    — Washington is 7-5 ATS on road this season.
    — Under is 7-1 in Wizards’ last seven road games.

    Lakers (22-9)
    — Lakers lost three of last four games, are 2-6 ATS in last eight.
    — Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
    — Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out here.

    — Washington won five of last eight series games.
    — Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.



    *************************


    NBA

    Monday, February 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Chicago @ Houston
    Chicago
    Chicago is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

    Memphis @ Dallas
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
    Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

    Miami @ Oklahoma City
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Miami

    Portland @ Phoenix
    Portland
    Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

    Charlotte @ Utah
    Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
    Utah
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

    Washington @ LA Lakers
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Washington


    ------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, February 22


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (13 - 16) at HOUSTON (11 - 17) - 2/22/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
    HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (13 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 18) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (13 - 13) at DALLAS (13 - 15) - 2/22/2021, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 272-218 ATS (+32.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
    DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (18 - 11) at PHOENIX (19 - 10) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PORTLAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (14 - 15) at UTAH (24 - 6) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 205-255 ATS (-75.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
    UTAH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (10 - 17) at LA LAKERS (22 - 9) - 2/22/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 182-229 ATS (-69.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 2-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ----------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, February 22







    **********************


    Hoop Trends for Monday February 22
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Trail Blazers are 14-0 ATS (6.79 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Suns are 0-9 ATS (-14.72 ppg) as a home favorite off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Memphis at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Mavericks are 10-0 OU (18.65 ppg) coming off a game as a favorite.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Suns are 0-12-1 OU (-10.81 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win in which they shot at least 50% on three pointers.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  2. #272
    MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CHI at HOU 08:00 PM
    HOU +1.0...........120 - 100....LOSER
    O 226.0...........LOSER


    MEM at DAL 08:30 PM
    MEM +5.5..........92 - 101....LOSER
    O 232.5........LOSER


    POR at PHO 09:00 PM
    POR +6.0.......100 - 132....LOSER
    O 227.0...........WINNER


    MIA at OKC 09:00 PM
    MIA -6.5..........108 - 94
    U 212.0........WINNER

    CHA at UTA 09:00 PM
    UTA -12.5..........110 - 132....WINNER
    O 227.0

    WAS at LAL 10:00 PM
    WAS +7.0..........127 - 124
    U 227.0.........LOSER



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................113 - 96.....-+37.00


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-23-2021 at 12:51 AM.

  3. #273
    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    Odds for the PGA Tour event this week:

    13-2— Dustin Johnson
    9-1— Jon Rahm
    16-1— McIlroy, Schauffele
    18-1— DeChambeau, Thomas
    20-1— Cantlay, Finau, Hatton, Holland
    25-1— Brooks Koepka

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 500,899
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “It’s been great so far. Today was the first day we took the field as a team, and seeing these guys’ work ethic makes you want to elevate your game. I have heard nothing but good things about this group of guys and I just want to be a piece of this puzzle.”
    Francisco Lindor

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Who was the Boston Celtics’ coach, before Brad Stevens?

    Monday’s quiz
    Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Red Holzman was Knicks’ coach when they won their only two NBA titles, in 1970, 1973

    ****************

    Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) There could be more of this to come; Western Kentucky will visit Houston Thursday night, in a hastily-arranged game designed to elevate both teams’ resume for the NCAA Tournament.

    WKU is 15-4, and appears to be a bubble team at best if they don’t win the C-USA tournament. Houston is 18-3, but a win here would help improve their resume.

    12) Oklahoma State 74, Texas Tech 69 OT:

    Oklahoma State was 22-32 on foul line, Texas Tech 8-12.

    Cade Cunningham was the #1 high school recruit in the country last year; he chose to go to Oklahoma State, which “coincidentally” had just hired his brother as an assistant coach.

    All that is perfectly legal, has been done many times before. In the mid’80’s, Kansas hired Ed Manning as an assistant coach, then Ed’s son Danny led the Jayhawks to a national title. Ed Manning played in the NBA, but he was a truck driver when Kansas hired him.

    During this game, ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla had the onions to say that the brother’s hiring wasn’t a “package deal.” In other words, Oklahoma State would’ve hired the brother as an assistant coach, even if Cade Cunningham was a badminton player. Have to call bullshit on that one.

    11) By the way, Oklahoma State will be going on probation soon, just not this year, because the NCAA hasn’t gotten around to hearing OSU’s appeal of the NCAA’s verdict on a previous issue. By the time the Cowboys go on probation, Cade Cunningham will be playing in the NBA.

    In June 2020, after an FBI bribery-and-corruption investigation implicated a former OSU assistant coach- he got a three-month prison sentence, the NCAA gave Oklahoma State a 3-year probation, a one-year postseason ban and the loss of three total scholarships over a three-year period.

    10) Duke 85, Syracuse 71— There is a phrase called “addition by subtraction” where the group does better when one person leaves. Not necessarily that person’s fault, just that roles become more defined, there are fewer people looking over their shoulders to be subbed out.

    Duke, in three games since Jalen Johnson skipped town:
    — won 84-60 at Wake Forest
    — won 66-65 over Virginia
    — won 85-71 over Syracuse

    Duke was 5-8 when Johnson played; they’re 6-0 in games he missed. Those are the facts; they are not in dispute. Decide for yourself why those facts are what they are.

    9) There have been Celtic fans on social media bitching about coach Brad Stevens; Celtics are 15-15, lost six of their last nine games. To this point, they’re underachieving.

    I’ll say this; of the 357 D-I college teams, how many would fire their coach if Stevens became available? He made the Final Four with a HORIZON LEAGUE TEAM (Butler wasn’t in the Big East yet). If he isn’t appreciated in Boston, someone with deep pockets surely will.

    8) West Virginia won six of its last eight games; they’ve won five road games in a row, which is pretty amazing. West Virginia plays in the Big X; of the other nine teams in the league, closest town to West Virginia is Ames, Iowa, which according to Mapquest, is 872 miles away.

    Thats their shortest conference road trip, 872 miles. Yikes.

    7) South Carolina used to be an ACC school; they bolted the league in 1971, stayed independent in football until 1991, when they joined the SEC.

    The basketball Gamecocks joined the old Metro Conference in 1983; that was a pretty good league, with Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, but it was basketball-only.

    You wonder if they could do it all over again, if South Carolina would’ve stayed in the ACC.

    6) Only one major league team ever has had a player wear 0 and another player wear 00 at the same time; the 1985 Blue Jays had Al Oliver (0) and Cliff Johnson (00).

    This season, Marcus Stroman will wear 0 for the Mets; there were rumors that Taijuan Walker was going to wear 00, but he will wear 99 instead, joining Turk Wendell as Mets who wore #99.

    5) Reliever Tyler Clippard is going to sign with Arizona; he must be good at packing:
    2007— Bronx
    2009-14— Washington
    2015— Oakland/NY Mets
    2016— Arizona/Bronx
    2017— Bronx-White Sox-Houston
    2018— Toronto
    2019— Cleveland
    2020— Minnesota
    2021— Arizona

    4) Since 2000, colleges with the most NFL draft picks:
    141— Ohio State
    127— Alabama
    126— LSU
    119— Miami
    109— Florida, Florida State, Georgia, USC
    101— Oklahoma

    3) QB Tyler Shough has bolted Oregon for Texas Tech; Slough started all seven games for the Ducks last year, as Oregon won its 2nd consecutive Pac-12 title, but he was splitting time with Anthony Brown at the end of the season.

    2) Albert Pujols’ wife announced on Instagram that this season will be her husband’s last year in the major leagues; Albert Pujols has had a great career, hitting 662 home runs, a career OPS of .924, winning two World Series rings. He also earned roughly $345M in salary.

    No word from Pujols himself on his career plans, but five years after he retires, he’ll be going to Cooperstown.

    1) Golfer Tony Finau won the 2016 Puerto Rico Open, his only PGA Tour win; since then, he’s finished in the top ten of 37 other tournaments, earned $19.2M, but no more wins.

    During that time, 43 other golfers have won 2+ tournaments. $19.2M is damn good golfing, but you’d think he would have more than one tournament win.

  4. #274
    565ATLANTA -566 CLEVELAND
    CLEVELAND is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

    567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
    ORLANDO is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

    567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
    Steve Clifford is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games (Coach of ORLANDO)

    571BOSTON -572 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

    573SACRAMENTO -574 BROOKLYN
    SACRAMENTO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

    575PHILADELPHIA -576 TORONTO
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

    579PORTLAND -580 DENVER
    PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

    581WASHINGTON -582 LA CLIPPERS
    LA CLIPPERS are 60-39 ATS (17.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.


    ************************


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, February 23









    ************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, February 23


    Atlanta @ Cleveland
    Hawks (13-17)
    — Atlanta lost five of seven, eight of last 11 games.
    — Hawks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — Nine of Atlanta’s ten games went over the total.

    Cavaliers (10-21)
    — Cleveland lost its last ten games (0-13 ATS last 13).
    — Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    — Cavaliers won four of last five series games.
    — Hawks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Cleveland.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Detroit @ Orlando
    Pistons (8-22)
    — Detroit lost eight of its last 11 games (0-3 ATS last three)
    — Pistons are 2-6-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
    — Under is 8-4 in Detroit’s last 12 games.

    Magic (13-18)
    — Orlando won/covered its last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
    — Magic is 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
    — Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

    — Teams split last ten series games.
    — Pistons are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Orlando.
    — Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

    Sacramento @ Brooklyn
    Kings (12-18)
    — Sacramento is 0-7 SU/ATS in last seven games overall.
    — Kings covered five of their last seven road games.
    — Over is 6-0 in Sacramento’s last six games.

    Nets (20-12)
    — Brooklyn won/covered their last six games.
    — Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — 21 of last 26 Brooklyn games went over the total.
    — Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play.

    — Nets won/covered last five series games.
    — Kings are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Brooklyn.
    — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    Golden State @ New York
    Warriors (16-15)
    — Golden State split its last ten games SU.
    — Warriors are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
    — Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Knicks (15-16)
    — New York won four of last five games (7-2 ATS last nine).
    — Knicks are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in New York’s last six home games.

    — Knicks won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
    — Golden State is 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Manhattan.
    — Five of last six series games went over.

    Philadelphia vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
    76ers (20-11)
    — 76ers covered once in their last six games.
    — Sixers are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road games.
    — Over is 7-3 in Philly’s last ten road games.

    Raptors (16-15)
    — Toronto won/covered four in row, nine of its last 12 games.
    — Raptors are 5-8 ATS at home in Tampa this season.
    — Under is 4-1 in last four Toronto games.

    — Toronto won seven of last ten series games.
    — 76ers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
    — Under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.

    Boston @ Dallas
    Celtics (15-15)
    — Boston is 4-7 SU in its last 11 games.
    — Celtics are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
    — Over is 7-4 in last 11 Boston games.

    Mavericks (14-15)
    — Mavericks won five of its last six games.
    — Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in last 12 home games.
    — Over is 13-2-1 in last 16 Dallas games.

    — Celtics won seven of last eight series games.
    — Boston covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
    — Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games played here.

    Minnesota @ Milwaukee
    Timberwolves (7-24)
    — Timberwolves fired their coach Sunday; they have a new coach now.
    — Minnesota lost eight of last nine, 18 of its last 22 games.
    — Wolves are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.

    Bucks (18-13)
    — Milwaukee won last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
    — Bucks are 10-6 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last seven home games

    — Bucks won six of last seven series games.
    — Minnesota is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
    — Five of last seven series games stayed under.

    Portland @ Denver
    Trailblazers (18-12)
    — Portland lost its last two games, after an 8-1 run.
    — Blazers are 11-5 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 11-6 in Portland’s last 16 games.
    — Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

    Nuggets (16-14)
    — Denver lost three of last four games overall.
    — Nuggets won five of their last six home games.
    — Over is 6-3 in Denver’s last nine games.

    — Nuggets won three of last four series games.
    — Portland is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Denver.
    — Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Washington @ LA Clippers
    Wizards (11-17)
    — Wizards won their last five games overall.
    — Washington is 8-5 ATS on road this season.
    — Under is 7-2 in Wizards’ last nine road games.

    Clippers (22-10)
    — Clippers won five of their last seven games overall.
    — Clippers are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games at Staples.
    — Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

    — Clippers won five of last seven series games.
    — Washington is 0-4 ATS in last four series games here.
    — Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.


    **************************


    NBA

    Tuesday, February 23


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Atlanta @ Cleveland
    Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Detroit @ Orlando
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
    Orlando
    Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    Sacramento @ Brooklyn
    Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Boston @ Dallas
    Boston
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
    Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
    Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home

    Golden State @ New York
    Golden State
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
    Golden State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
    New York
    New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Golden State

    Philadelphia @ Toronto
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Minnesota @ Milwaukee
    Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

    Portland @ Denver
    Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
    Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Denver
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

    Washington @ LA Clippers
    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


    -------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, February 23


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (13 - 17) at CLEVELAND (10 - 21) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 4-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (8 - 22) at ORLANDO (13 - 18) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (16 - 15) at NEW YORK (15 - 16) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (15 - 15) at DALLAS (14 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 462-378 ATS (+46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    BOSTON is 65-50 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (12 - 18) at BROOKLYN (20 - 12) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
    BROOKLYN is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 82-61 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 5-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (20 - 11) at TORONTO (16 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 9-8 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 11-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (7 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 13) - 2/23/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 300-361 ATS (-97.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (18 - 12) at DENVER (16 - 14) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 10-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (11 - 17) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 10) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ---------------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 23
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS (7.80 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Timberwolves are 0-14-1 ATS (-6.50 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 10-0-2 OU (11.46 ppg) as a road dog when they have lost at least four straight meetings vs the current opponent.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Detroit at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Magic are 0-12 OU (-14.25 ppg) at home off a home game in which Evan Fournier had the highest plus/minus on the team.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  5. #275
    TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 23
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DET at ORL 07:00 PM
    ORL -3.5..........105 - 93......LOSER
    O 210.5............LOSER


    ATL at CLE 07:00 PM
    CLE +7.5......111 - 112
    O 228.0............LOSER

    GS at NY 07:30 PM
    NY +3.0.......114 - 106.....LOSER
    U 219.5...........LOSER


    PHI at TOR 07:30 PM
    TOR +1.5..........109 - 102
    U 221.5............WINNER

    SAC at BK 07:30 PM
    BK -6.5.........118 - 127......WINNER
    U 242.0...........LOSER


    BOS at DAL 07:30 PM
    BOS -1.5...........107 - 110.......LOSER
    O 224.5...........LOSER

    MIN at MIL 08:00 PM
    MIL -10.5.........112 - 139....WINNER
    O 231.0.............WINNER


    POR at DEN 10:00 PM
    POR +6.5............106 - 111......WINNER
    O 232.0..........LOSER

    WAS at LAC 10:00 PM
    WAS +12.0..........116 - 135............LOSER
    O 233.5.............WINNER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................119 - 106.....+12.00


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-24-2021 at 12:33 AM.

  6. #276
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the college basketball title:

    3-1— Gonzaga, Baylor
    7-1— Michigan
    11-1— Villanova
    14-1— Houston, Ohio State, Texas
    16-1— Florida State
    18-1— Illinois, Iowa

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “We all wish we could have more rest. I’m here to work. I’m here to punch my clock in and be available to my teammates.”
    Lebron James

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Which college team did Brad Stevens lead to two Final Fours?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Doc Rivers was the Boston Celtics’ coach before Brad Stevens.

    Monday’s quiz
    Fred Thompson played a District Attorney on Law and Order; in real life, he was a US Senator from Tennessee, and unsuccessfully tried to run for President.

    *************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

    13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.

    The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.

    12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72— That was the Bears’ first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We’re about to find out.

    11) March’s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they’re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I’ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

    10) NBA trends on back/backs:
    — Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
    — Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
    — Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
    — Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
    — Home teams 38-38-1………favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2

    9) I’d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.

    Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach— lot more of that in college.

    Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.

    8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.

    7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
    1) Golden State
    2) Houston
    3) Chicago
    4) Minnesota
    5) Philadelphia

    6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?

    5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.

    Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I’m guessing this year’s number will be around 1,500.

    4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
    — Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
    — Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

    NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games

    3) Michigan’s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh’s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.

    2) Georgia 91, LSU 78— Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG’s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.

    1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn’t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn’s chances of winning again this season. They’ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-24-2021 at 01:09 PM.

  7. #277
    501GOLDEN STATE -502 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

    503TORONTO -504 MIAMI
    MIAMI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

    505HOUSTON -506 CLEVELAND
    CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

    507BOSTON -508 ATLANTA
    BOSTON is 156-113 ATS (31.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

    509SAN ANTONIO -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 285-232 ATS (29.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

    511MINNESOTA -512 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
    Dwane Casey is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 (Coach of DETROIT)

    513DETROIT -514 NEW ORLEANS
    DETROIT is 22-40 ATS (-22 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.

    517LA LAKERS -518 UTAH
    UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more in the current season.


    **************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, February 24


    Golden State @ Indiana
    Warriors (17-15)
    — Golden State won five of its last eight games SU.
    — Warriors are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs TY.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

    Pacers (15-14)
    — Indiana won three of its last four games.
    — Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 3-0 in Indiana’s last three games.

    — Pacers won four of last six series games.
    — Warriors covered three of last four trips to Indiana.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Boston @ Atlanta
    Celtics (15-16)
    — Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
    — Celtics are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
    — Over is 3-1 in last four Boston games.

    Hawks (13-18)
    — Atlanta lost six of eight, nine of last 12 games.
    — Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Nine of Atlanta’s 11 games went over the total.

    — Boston won eight of last nine series games.
    — Celtics covered their last three visits to Atlanta.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Houston @ Cleveland
    Rockets (11-18)
    — Houston lost its last eight games (1-7 ATS).
    — Rockets covered twice in their last seven road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    Cavaliers (10-21)
    — Cleveland snapped an 0-10 skid last nite (1-13 ATS last 14).
    — Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    — Houston won five of last six series games.
    — Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
    — Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

    Toronto @ Miami
    Raptors (16-16)
    — Toronto won/covered four of five, nine of its last 13 games.
    — Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen road games.
    — Under is 4-0 in last four Toronto games.

    Heat (14-17)
    — Miami won three in row, seven of its last ten games overall.
    — Heat is 0-8-1 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

    — Toronto won six of last nine series games.
    — Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
    — Last four series games stayed under the total.

    Minnesota @ Chicago
    Timberwolves (7-25)
    — Minnesota lost nine of last ten, 19 of its last 23 games.
    — Wolves are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
    — Four of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.

    Bulls (14-16)
    — Chicago won four of its last five games SU.
    — Bulls are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

    — Minnesota won eight of last ten series games.
    — Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Detroit @ New Orleans
    Pistons (9-22)
    — Detroit lost eight of its last 12 games (1-3 ATS last four)
    — Pistons are 3-6-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
    — Under is 9-4 in Detroit’s last 13 games.

    Pelicans (13-17)
    — New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
    — Pelicans are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 15-2-2 in their last 19 games.

    — Detroit won three of last four series games.
    — Pistons covered their last three visits to Bourbon Street.
    — Four of last six series games stayed under.

    San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
    Spurs (16-11)
    — Spurs haven’t played in ten days.
    — San Antonio won five of its last six games overall.
    — Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in Spurs’ last six games.

    Thunder (12-19)
    — Thunder lost seven of last nine games (1-4 ATS last five)
    — OKC is 4-9-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

    — San Antonio won six of last nine series games.
    — Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
    — Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

    Charlotte @ Phoenix
    Hornets (14-16)
    — Charlotte won four of its last seven games.
    — Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
    — Over is 6-2 in Charlotte’s last eight road games.

    Suns (20-10)
    — Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 14 games.
    — Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    — Suns won last two series games, after losing previous five.
    — Charlotte is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
    — Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    LA Lakers @ Utah
    Lakers (22-10)
    — Lakers lost four of last five games, are 2-7 ATS in last nine.
    — Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Under is 13-3 in their road games this season.

    Jazz (25-6)
    — Utah won 21 of its last 23 games (20-2-1 ATS).
    — Jazz is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Utah’s last six games overall.

    — Lakers won/covered last four series games.
    — Lakers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Utah.
    — Three of last four series games went over.


    ------------------------------


    NBA

    Wednesday, February 24


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Golden State @ Indiana
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
    Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana
    Indiana is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Golden State

    Boston @ Atlanta
    Boston
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
    Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

    Houston @ Cleveland
    Houston
    Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

    Toronto @ Miami
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
    Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto

    Minnesota @ Chicago
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

    Detroit @ New Orleans
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home

    San Antonio @ Oklahoma City
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home

    Charlotte @ Phoenix

    Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    LA Lakers @ Utah
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 19 games on the road
    Utah
    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


    -----------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, February 24


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (17 - 15) at INDIANA (15 - 14) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    INDIANA is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (16 - 16) at MIAMI (14 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 255-208 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (11 - 21) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (15 - 16) at ATLANTA (13 - 18) - 2/24/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 65-51 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (16 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 19) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-44 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1139-1010 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 384-304 ATS (+49.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 458-383 ATS (+36.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (7 - 25) at CHICAGO (14 - 16) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 37-56 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    CHICAGO is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 147-195 ATS (-67.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (9 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 17) - 2/24/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (14 - 16) at PHOENIX (20 - 10) - 2/24/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 205-256 ATS (-76.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (22 - 10) at UTAH (25 - 6) - 2/24/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games this season.
    UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    UTAH is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, February 24







    ---------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Wednesday February 24
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Jazz are 19-0 ATS (9.16 ppg) as a favorite off a win.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Timberwolves are 0-15-1 ATS (-7.06 ppg) after Karl-Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Golden State at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Warriors are 12-0 OU (16.54 ppg) with no rest off a win as a favorite in which they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Houston at Cleveland (7:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-16.15 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Eric Gordon shot worse than 33 percent.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


    -----------------------------------


    Breaking Down the Utah Jazz's Historic ATS Run
    Jason Logan

    The Jazz have been steamrolling teams and have an NBA-best 25-6 record and 23-8 ATS mark. They're winning by an average of 9.8 points per game and have been betting favorites in all but three contests.

    The Utah Jazz are making sweet, sweet NBA betting music this season. Heading into Wednesday's home game versus the Los Angeles Lakers, the Jazz are not only the NBA’s top team at 25-6 SU but also its best bet at 23-8 against the spread.

    That red-hot ATS record has earned +12.9 units for NBA bettors or a windfall of $1,290 if you wagered $100 on each of Utah’s 31 games this season at flat -110 juice.

    Those earnings are bolstered by two winning streaks: an 11-game ATS run between January 8 and January 29 and an eight-game ATS streak that was snapped in Friday's 116-112 road loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, with Utah closing as a 1-point road underdog.

    Utah's historic ATS run

    The Jazz were 18-2 ATS in the 20 games heading into last Thursday's 114-96 win in the first of two road stops versus Clippers (failing to cover in back-to-back outings on January 31 and February 2), which ranked as the second-best 20-game ATS stretch in the past 30 NBA seasons. And, depending on the closing spread used for grading Utah's 117-105 win over Detroit on February 2 (-12 or -12.5), that mark could have been 18-1-1 ATS.

    The 2014-15 Atlanta Hawks own the top 20-game ATS run in that span, posting a 19-1 ATS mark from December 15 to January 21 (a streak that went 20-1 ATS before coming to an end). Those Hawks also strung together 15 consecutive ATS wins – another NBA betting record.

    Utah boasted an average margin of victory of 15.6 points during that 11-game ATS stretch versus an average point spread of -5.5. On the year, the Jazz own an average margin of victory of 9.8 points per game and closed as betting favorites in all but three of their 31 contests.

    Can the Jazz keep covering?

    As the momentum builds and the bettors get wise to Utah's profitable push (now 20-3 ATS in the past 23 outings), oddsmakers will pad those spreads knowing that public money is coming. And once that money comes in, these spreads can make major moves before tipoff.

    Take Utah's recent eight-game ATS run for example. The Jazz faced an average closing spread of -6.6 but those lines opened at an average of -5.1, moving up 1.5 points per game. Utah opened -3.5 at L.A. Thursday (the first of two road games vs. the Clippers) and jumped to -4.5 before moving to -6.5 upon news that Los Angeles would be without stars Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.

    According to Consensus numbers, Utah garnered an average of 57 percent of bets placed during those eight contests, including 60, 57, 69, and 59 percent of bets in four of those outings, despite taking on three of the tougher teams in the Eastern Conference in the Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat, and Milwaukee Bucks—as well as the Clippers.

    Eventually, there will be a tipping point when public perception pushes the spreads too high, opening up value on the other side of the board. Friday's loss to L.A. could have started the dominoes falling, however, that game saw different line movement as past outings due to the available statuses of George and Leonard (Utah opened as low as -2 and climbed as high as -5 before L.A.'s star were given the thumbs up, shrinking this line as low as Jazz +1).

    One thing working for Utah backers during this magical season is that the Jazz aren't a very popular team among casual NBA fans. If the Los Angeles Lakers or Boston Celtics had started stringing together ATS wins left and right, you could be sure the public players would be all over it and any value would dry up faster than a ShamWow in the middle of the Utah salt flats.

    Looking at the 2014-15 Hawks (another team outside of the NBA public darlings), they opened with a 33-12 ATS record in the first 45 games of the schedule, another NBA betting best.

    As Atlanta's streak gained attention from the betting public, however, the spreads grew and the betting bonanza eventually came to an abrupt halt when the Hawks were installed as 17.5-point home favorites versus Minnesota on January 25, 2015, winning the game 112-100 but falling short of that pile of chalk. That tipped off a 1-4 ATS skid for the Hawks, who also faced lofty spreads of -14 and -16 in that span.

    Atlanta would finish the season with a 50-31-1 record against the spread, going 17-19-1 ATS in its final 37 games (then falling flat with a 6-10 ATS mark in the playoffs). The Hawks boasted an average margin of victory of +4.5 points per game that season.

    Looking at the all-time best bets in NBA gambling history, the 2009-10 Bucks are at the top of the mountain with a 52-28-2 ATS record in an 82-game season (the 2011-12 San Antonio Spurs went 43-22-1 ATS in a 66-game lockout-shortened schedule).

    The Bucks, who covered at an incredible 65 percent clip that year, strung together 10 straight covers and went on an 11-0-1 ATS tear between February 19 and March 12. Milwaukee, which went 46-36 SU, owned an average margin of victory of only +1.3 points per game.

  8. #278
    WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 24
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    BOS at ATL 07:30 PM
    BOS -2.0.........112 - 127..........LOSER
    O 224.0...........WINNER


    GS at IND 07:30 PM
    GS +2.0............111 - 107........WINNER
    O 231.5.......LOSER


    HOU at CLE 07:30 PM
    CLE +4.0 .............96 - 112
    O 220.0..........LOSER

    SA at OKC 08:00 PM
    SA -1.0.........99 - 102
    O 217.0........LOSER

    MIN at CHI 08:00 PM
    MIN +4.0........126 - 133......LOSER
    O 227.5............WINNER


    DET at NO 08:00 PM
    NO -9.5.......118 - 128.....WINNER
    O 222.5.................WINNER

    TOR at MIA 08:00 PM
    MIA -2.0............108 - 116
    U 213.5............LOSER

    CHA at PHO 09:00 PM
    PHO -10.0..........124 - 121.....LOSER
    O 224.0..............WINNER


    LAL at UTA 10:00 PM
    LAL +9.0......89 - 114........LOSER
    O 218.5.................LOSER



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
    Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................125 - 114.....-2.00


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00


    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-25-2021 at 12:36 AM.

  9. #279
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Six of the Baltimore Orioles’ best prospects:
    1) Adley Rutschman, C
    2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
    4) Heston Kjerstad, OF
    5) Ryan Mountcastle, OF
    7) Yusniel Diaz, OF
    9) Dean Kremer, P

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 506,030
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) Since the AFL/NFL merger 50+ years ago, only one NFL quarterback who has started 50+ games hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6. The answer is surprising; I’ll post it down below.

    12) May 17, 1979; Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in ten innings, with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. One of the craziest ballgames ever:

    — Neither starting pitcher finished the first inning.
    — Cubs’ #3-4 hitters went a combined 7-13, with seven runs scored, 13 RBI and Chicago still lost.
    — Cubs’ #3 hitter was Bill Buckner, who was a very good big league hitter.
    — For some reason, Larry Bowa hit 2nd, Pete Rose 3rd for the Phillies. Bowa was a good fielder but a less-than-average hitter. Bake McBride batted leadoff for Philly.

    —Tug McGraw gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in 0.2 innings; you may have heard of his son, Tim McGraw, the great singer. Tug McGraw saved 180 games in his 19-year MLB career.
    — Rawly Eastwick got the win in relief, throwing two perfect innings in a 23-22 game.
    — Six different players knocked in 4+ runs.
    — Bob Boone (Aaron Boone’s father) was the Phillies’ catcher.
    — The game took 4:03 to play; 14,952 fans watched it.

    11) Jazz 114, Lakers 89:
    — Jazz have played 32 games; they’re had a 20+ point lead in 20 of them.
    — In its last 23 games, Utah is 20-2-1 against the spread.

    10) NBA will host two 4-team play-in tournaments May 18-21, to determine the last four playoff teams this season, two in each conference:
    — #7-seed hosts the #8-seed; winner is in.
    — #10-seed visits the #9-seed; loser is out.
    — Loser of the 7-8 game hosts the 9-10 winner; winner of that game gets in playoffs.

    9) Arkansas 81, Alabama 66:
    — Free throws: Arkansas 27-43, Alabama 3-8. Seems fair.
    — One kid on Arkansas was 16-19 on the line; Alabama’s whole team was 3-8.
    — Arkansas has won five in row, 8 of last 9 games.
    — Alabama is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.

    8) Rutgers 74, Indiana 63— The pundits on the Big 14 Network preach endlessly about how great their league is; I’m a skeptic. FS1’s Doug Gottlieb was saying how fewer kids from the Big 14 jump early to the NBA, so they have an advantage early in the season, their teams have more continuity, an advantage that erodes as the season goes on.

    7) ESPN missed the boat when they let Gottlieb walk; he is a way better analyst than Jay Bilas, who somehow is ESPN’s #1 analyst. Bilas played for Duke, which seems to mean a lot at ESPN.

    Gottlieb speaks his mind, has some humor and doesn’t bitch about the refs every 90 seconds, the way Bilas does. Always learn stuff listening to Gottlieb.

    6) NC State 68, Virginia 61:
    — Virginia lost three in row, after a 15-3 start.
    — Wolfpack won three in row, after an 8-9 start.
    — NC State played seven guys the whole game. Not many teams have depth these days.

    5) Wednesday night’s biggest upsets:
    — Western Carolina (+14) 81, NC-Greensboro 80
    — NC State (+12) 68, Virginia 61
    — Marquette (+8.5) 83, North Carolina 70
    — St Joe’s (+8) 97, Dayton 84
    — Butler (+7.5) 61, Seton Hall 52
    — Fresno State (+7) 67, UNLV 64

    4) SNY in New York City does it right; they replay a classic Mets’ game every weekday at 3pm. Watching ballgames is the fun thing to do, listening to Cohen-Darling-Hernandez is a fine way to spend a winter afternoon, at least until exhibition games start this weekend.

    3) Blue Jays’ 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr has lost 42 pounds since last season; he turns 22 next month, has hit .269 in his first 183 big league games, over two seasons. Curious to see if being so much lighter will make him a better hitter.

    2) I’m amazed that people bet on the NFL Draft; you can wager on how many QB’s will get taken in the first round, what pick in the first round will the last QB be taken, basically anything you can think of.

    Over the last 50 years, Mitch Trubisky is the only NFL quarterback with 50+ starts who hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6.

    1) Conference tournaments start tonight; the Horizon League has four first-round games.
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-25-2021 at 01:54 PM.

  10. #280
    519DALLAS -520 PHILADELPHIA
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

    523SACRAMENTO -524 NEW YORK
    NEW YORK is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

    525LA CLIPPERS -526 MEMPHIS
    MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

    527WASHINGTON -528 DENVER
    WASHINGTON is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    529NEW ORLEANS -530 MILWAUKEE
    MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.


    *************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, February 25


    Dallas @ Philadelphia
    Mavericks (15-15)
    — Mavericks won six of its last seven games, all at home.
    — Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
    — Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 Dallas games.

    76ers (21-11)
    — 76ers won three of their last four games.
    — Sixers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in Philly’s last three games.

    — Dallas won last three series games, covered last five.
    — Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last five visits to Philly.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

    Orlando @ Brooklyn
    Magic (13-19)
    — Orlando won/covered three of its last four games, after a 1-8 skid.
    — Magic is 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
    — Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

    Nets (21-12)
    — Brooklyn won/covered their last seven games.
    — Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
    — 22 of last 27 Brooklyn games went over the total.

    — Nets are 6-4 in last ten series games.
    — Orlando covered its last four visits to Brooklyn.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Sacramento @ New York
    Kings (12-19)
    — Sacramento is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight games overall.
    — Kings lost last three road games, by 8-13-9 points.
    — Over is 7-0 in Sacramento’s last seven games.

    Knicks (15-17)
    — New York won four of last six games (7-3 ATS last ten).
    — Knicks are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.

    — Sacramento won five of last six series games.
    — Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
    — Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    LA Clippers @ Memphis
    Clippers (23-10)
    — Clippers won six of their last eight games overall.
    — Clippers are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

    Grizzlies (13-14)
    — Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last dozen games.
    — Grizzlies are 6-8-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

    — Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
    — LA is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Washington @ Denver
    Wizards (11-18)
    — Wizards won/covered five of their last six games overall.
    — Washington is 8-6 ATS on road this season.
    — Over is 4-1 in Wizards’ last five games.

    Nuggets (17-14)
    — Denver split its last six games overall.
    — Nuggets are 6-9 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 4-2 in Denver’s last six home games.

    — Washington won three of last four series games.
    — Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
    — Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    New Orleans @ Milwaukee
    Pelicans (14-17)
    — New Orleans won three of its last five games overall.
    — Pelicans are 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Over is 16-2-2 in their last 20 games.

    Bucks (19-13)
    — Milwaukee won/covered last three games, after an 0-5 skid.
    — Bucks are 11-6 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 6-2 in Milwaukee’s last eight home games

    — Bucks won four of last five series games.
    — Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
    — Eight of last nine series games went over.


    ************************





    ***********************

    NBA

    Thursday, February 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Dallas @ Philadelphia
    Dallas
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Orlando @ Brooklyn
    Orlando
    Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Sacramento @ New York
    Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    LA Clippers @ Memphis
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games

    Washington @ Denver
    Washington
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Denver
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Washington

    New Orleans @ Milwaukee
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
    Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans


    ------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, February 25







    ***********************


    Hoop Trends for Thursday February 25
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bucks are 15-0-1 ATS (8.28 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days of rest.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Orlando at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Magic are 0-12 ATS (-14.21 ppg) after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (14.00 ppg) after Zion Williamson shot better than 58 percent from the field last game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-19.18 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  11. #281
    THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 25
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DAL at PHI 07:00 PM
    PHI -5.0........97 - 111......WINNER
    O 229.0.........LOSER


    SAC at NY 07:30 PM
    SAC +1.5...........121 - 140........LOSER
    U 224.5..........LOSER


    ORL at BK 07:30 PM
    BK -8.5...........92 - 129
    U 229.0.............WINNER

    LAC at MEM 08:00 PM
    MEM +8.0...........94 - 122....WINNER
    O 225.5...........LOSER


    WAS at DEN 09:00 PM
    DEN -7.5............112 - 110
    O 238.0...........LOSER

    NO at MIL 09:30 PM
    MIL -9.0.........125 - 129....WINNER
    U 242.5.............LOSER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Feb.25,2021...........4 - 6.......-13.00
    Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
    Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................129 - 120.....-15.00


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00


    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 02-26-2021 at 12:23 AM.

  12. #282
    Friday’s 6-pack
    Six of the Boston Red Sox’ best prospects:

    1) Triston Casas, 1B
    3) Bobby Dalbec, 1B/3B
    4) Bryan Mata, P
    5) Jarren Duran, OF
    7) Gilberto Jimenez, OF
    8) Tanner Houck, P

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 507,803
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “He who cannot be a good follower,, cannot be a good leader.”
    Aristotle

    Friday’s quiz
    Oakland A’s have won four World Series, under three different managers; two of the three are in the Hall of Fame (Dick Williams, Tony LaRussa). Who is the third manager?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in basketball was 1995, when UCLA won.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Before heading to the NBA, Brad Stevens led Butler to two Final Fours.

    ***********************

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) Read a good story this week, we don’t hear enough positive stuff these days.

    Matthew Berry writes for ESPN, mostly about fantasy sports, but his first job out of college was production assistant for The George Carlin Show. It was uplifting when Berry wrote an article saying what a great guy Carlin was, and how nice the great comedian was to Berry .

    There is too much hostility in our world; we need to be nicer to each other. Seriously.

    12) NBA TV showed the replay of a 1977 Jazz-Knicks game from New Orleans, when the great Pete Maravich hung 68 points on the Knicks- this was before there were 3-pointers.

    I remember watching the game with my dad, who was a big Knicks fan. It was fun watching the replay; Maravich would dribble up the floor and take a lot of quick, pull-up jumpers. Picture Steph Curry time traveling back 44 years; that’s what it was like.

    Knicks had some interesting subs that year:
    — Phil Jackson obviously became one of the NBA’s best-ever coaches.
    — Tom McMillen wound up as a US Congressman for six years.
    — Ticky Burden was one of the best-ever basketball players from here in Albany.
    — Dean Meminger was the first head coach of the Albany Patroons of the CBA, a team that Phil Jackson would later coach, before his great run in the NBA.

    11) Michigan 79, Iowa 57:
    — Michigan is 17-1; they’ve won six in a row. Wolverines are very good.

    10) Michigan State 71, Ohio State 67:
    — Spartans won last three games, are 13-9; imagine the #1-seed who is going to see the Spartans in their bracket, in a potential 2nd-round game?

    — Michigan State scored 65 or less points in six of their last seven losses; they scored 78-81-71 points in their last three games.

    9) Cincinnati Bearcats won five of their last six games; none of the five wins was by more than three points. They still don’t shoot well, but they’ve saved their season.

    8) Horizon tournament opened last night; three of the four home teams won. Fort Wayne was the only road winner; they won 89-84 in double OT at Green Bay, after trailing by 8 points in the second half. Mastodons made 10-21 3-pointers; they won for only second time in their last 11 games.

    7) Illinois star Ayo Dosunmu broke his nose, is out for a while; he’ll probably be wearing a mask when he comes back. Dosumnu is Illinois’ best player, a 40% shooter on the arc; this isn’t great timing for the Illini.

    6) Colorado 80, USC 62— Buffaloes are an experienced team with good guards, but they play better against the good teams than weak sisters. Thats not a good recipe for March. Colorado has now won six games in a row over USC, which lost for only second time in their last 10 games.

    5) Upsets of the Night:
    — Tennessee Tech (+8.5) 81, Austin Peay 76
    — Eastern Kentucky (+8) 81, Belmont 67
    — SE Missouri State (+6) 94, Eastern Illinois 88
    — Fort Wayne (+5.5) 89, Green Bay 94, 2OT
    — Northwestern (+4.5) 67, Minnesota 59
    — LMU (+4.5) 81, Pepperdine 74

    4) Bad Beat of the Night: San Diego State (-6) 78, Boise State 66, OT— Aztecs led by 17 early in the second half, blew the lead, then covered in overtime. Boise was 12-40 on the arc, 12-26 inside the arc.

    3) Shin-Soo Choo retired from the major leagues and went home to Korea, where he’ll play for the Wyverns in the KBO this season. Choo had a .377 on-base %age in 16 big league seasons, and now he gets to finish his career at home. Good for him.

    2) Sportsbooks in New Jersey banked an $82.6M profit in January; sportsbooks in Nevada raked in $52.4M. Tough times for gamblers; too many variables. I’m not picking games on this site these days because I don’t think there is a realistic expectation of coming out ahead right now, and I like coming out ahead.

    1) There is a good program on ESPN2 most weekdays; Daily Wager, that talks about gambling and handicapping. Handicapping is a grind, it is fun, but there are ups and downs, and dealing with those determines who wins and who loses over the long haul. It is well worth watching.

  13. #283
    531SACRAMENTO -532 DETROIT
    SACRAMENTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

    533INDIANA -534 BOSTON
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

    535HOUSTON -536 TORONTO
    HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots in the last 3 seasons.

    537PHOENIX -538 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

    539LA CLIPPERS -540 MEMPHIS
    MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

    541UTAH -542 MIAMI
    UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

    543ATLANTA -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
    ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

    545PORTLAND -546 LA LAKERS
    LA LAKERS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

    547CHARLOTTE -548 GOLDEN STATE
    GOLDEN STATE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.


    **************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, February 26


    Indiana @ Boston
    Pacers (15-15)
    — Indiana lost six of its last nine games.
    — Pacers are 8-5 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 3-1 in Indiana’s last four games.

    Celtics (15-17)
    — Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
    — Celtics are 9-4 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five Boston games.

    — Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
    — Pacers are 1-1-1 ATS in last three visits to Boston.
    — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

    Houston @ Toronto
    Rockets (11-19)
    — Houston lost its last nine games (1-8 ATS).
    — Rockets covered twice in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five road games.

    Raptors (16-17)
    — Toronto split last its eight games, is 9-5 SU in last 14.
    — Raptors are 5-9 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five Toronto games.

    — Houston won six of last nine series games.
    — Rockets covered four of last six road series games.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

    Sacramento @ Detroit
    Kings (12-20)
    — Sacramento is 0-9 SU/ATS in last nine games overall.
    — Kings are 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Over is 8-0 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

    Pistons (9-23)
    — Detroit lost nine of its last 13 games (6-4 ATS last ten)
    — Pistons are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games.

    — Sacramento won three of last four series games.
    — Kings are 2-1-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under total.

    Utah @ Miami
    Jazz (26-6)
    — Utah won 22 of its last 24 games (21-2-1 ATS).
    — Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten road games.
    — Over is 7-4-1 in Utah’s last dozen road games.

    Heat (15-17)
    — Miami won four in row, eight of its last 11 games overall.
    — Heat is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

    — Jazz won three of last four series games.
    — Utah covered three of last four visits to Miami.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

    Phoenix @ Chicago
    Suns (20-11)
    — Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 15 games.
    — Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    Bulls (15-16)
    — Chicago won five of its last six games SU.
    — Bulls are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

    — Phoenix won five of last eight series games.
    — Suns covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    LA Clippers @ Memphis
    Clippers (23-11)
    — Clippers won six of their last nine games overall.
    — Clippers are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

    Grizzlies (14-14)
    — Memphis is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
    — Grizzlies are 7-8-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

    — Clippers lost 122-94 here last night.
    — Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
    — LA is 2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Memphis.
    — Over is 6-5 in last 11 series games.

    Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
    Hawks (14-18)
    — Atlanta won three of its last five games.
    — Hawks are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
    — 10 of Atlanta’s 12 games went over the total.

    Thunder (13-19)
    — Thunder lost seven of last ten games (2-4 ATS last six)
    — OKC is 5-9-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

    — Thunder won six of last eight series games.
    — Hawks are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
    — Last six series games went over the total.

    Charlotte @ Golden State
    Hornets (15-16)
    — Charlotte won five of its last eight games.
    — Hornets are 2-3 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 7-2 in Charlotte’s last nine road games.

    Warriors (17-15)
    — Golden State won six of its last nine games SU.
    — Warriors are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

    — Charlotte won/covered last three series games.
    — Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
    — Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

    Portland @ LA Lakers
    Trailblazers (18-13)
    — Portland lost its last three games, after an 8-1 run.
    — Blazers are 12-5 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 11-7 in Portland’s last 18 games.
    — Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

    Lakers (22-11)
    — Lakers lost five of last six games, are 2-8 ATS in last ten.
    — Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Lakers won four of last five series games.
    — Trailblazers are 4-2 ATS in last six series games played here.
    — Four of last six series games stayed under.


    **************************


    NBA

    Friday, February 26


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Indiana @ Boston
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston
    Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

    Houston @ Toronto
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

    Sacramento @ Detroit
    Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
    Detroit
    Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Phoenix @ Chicago
    Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
    Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Chicago
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    LA Clippers @ Memphis
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games

    Utah @ Miami
    Utah
    Utah is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    Utah is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Miami
    Miami is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Utah
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
    Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

    Charlotte @ Golden State
    Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Portland @ LA Lakers
    Portland
    Portland is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Portland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games


    -----------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, February 26


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (12 - 20) at DETROIT (9 - 23) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (15 - 15) at BOSTON (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 102-70 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (11 - 19) at TORONTO (16 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 114-81 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (20 - 11) at CHICAGO (15 - 16) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (23 - 11) at MEMPHIS (14 - 14) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 185-142 ATS (+28.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (26 - 6) at MIAMI (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    UTAH is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (14 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 19) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (18 - 13) at LA LAKERS (22 - 11) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 8-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (15 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 15) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 206-256 ATS (-75.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, February 26







    **************************


    Hoop Trends for Friday February 26
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Utah at MIami (8:05 p.m. ET)

    --The Jazz are 20-0 ATS (9.50 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Portland at L.A. Lakers (10:05 p.m. ET)

    --The Lakers are 0-11 ATS (-8.09 ppg) at home after Lebron James was their high scorer and had a negative plus/minus last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Detroit (8:05 p.m. ET)

    --The Pistons are 13-0 OU (9.27 ppg) at home with rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Phoenix at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bulls are 0-12 OU (-21.58 ppg) coming off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  14. #284
    FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 26
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    HOU at TOR 07:30 PM
    TOR -8.0.............111 - 122.....WINNER
    U 220.0

    IND at BOS 07:30 PM
    IND +2.5.........112- 118
    O 219.0....................WINNER

    LAC at MEM 08:00 PM
    MEM +6.5............119 - 99.....LOSER
    O 225.0.......LOSER

    UTA at MIA 08:00 PM
    UTA -6.5.......116 - 124....LOSER
    U 218.5.........LOSER


    ATL at OKC 08:00 PM
    OKC +5.0........109 -118
    O 228.0..........LOSER

    PHO at CHI 08:00 PM
    PHO -7.0........100 - 97.....LOSER
    O 226.0.......LOSER


    SAC at DET 08:00 PM
    DET +2.0.........110 - 107....LOSER
    O 227.5.........LOSER


    CHA at GS 10:00 PM
    GS -6.0..........121 - 130...WINNER
    U 233.5..........LOSER

    POR at LAL 10:00 PM
    POR +5.0.........93 - 102.......LOSER
    O 222.0..............LOSER



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:


    Feb.26,2021...........2 - 13.....-61.50
    Feb.25,2021...........4 - 6.......-13.00
    Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
    Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................131 - 133.....-76.50


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00


    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; Yesterday at 12:39 AM.

  15. #285
    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Six of the Washington Nationals’ best prospects:

    1) Cade Cavalli, P
    3) Cole Henry, P
    4) Yasel Antuna, SS
    5) Andry Lara, P
    7) Tim Cate, P
    8) Eddy Yean, P

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 508,750
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “It’s not the referee’s fault when you run into a guy shooting a 3. I told the guys I don’t want anymore reactions to calls period. I’m going to screw calls up in practice on purpose just to see if you can move on to the next play.”
    Nate Oats

    Saturday’s quiz
    Who managed the Colorado Rockies, in their one World Series appearance?

    Friday’s quiz
    Oakland A’s have won four World Series, under three different managers; two of the three are in the Hall of Fame (Dick Williams (1972-73), Tony LaRussa (1989)). Alvin Dark was the A’s manager when they won it all in 1974.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Last time a Pac-12 team won the national title in basketball was 1995, when UCLA won.

    *******************

    Saturday’s Den: NCAA tourney notes, and random thoughts on a winter night

    13) Lady Gaga’s two French bulldogs, stolen Thursday by thieves who shot and wounded a dog walker,, were recovered unharmed Friday in Los Angeles. The dog walker is expected to recover from his gunshot wounds; they didn’t say if the woman who returned the dogs banked the $500,000 reward Lady Gaga posted.

    12) Georgia State 84, South Alabama 81— When ESPN first started 40 years ago, they showed a lot of Sun Belt games early on. I’m thinking they should give the league a weekly time slot now, either on Friday nights or Sundays:

    a) They play good basketball; this game was fun to watch.
    b) to show appreciation for helping ESPN get off the ground 40 years ago

    This loss snapped South Alabama’s 8-game winning streak.

    11) Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan are heavy favorites to be #1-seeds in the NCAA Tournament, but it is totally unclear who the fourth #1-seed will be.

    10) Saint Louis 72, Richmond 67— Teams in A-14 are cannibalizing each other; I’m not even sure the A-14 will get more than one team in the tournament. Top six teams in the standings all have either three or four conference losses.

    9) New Mexico fired basketball coach Paul Weir, but he’ll finish the season. Lobos are 16-36 in Mountain West games the last three years. Firing a coach after this screwed-up season could be judged as hasty; Lobos are very inexperienced this year, a bad season for that to happen.

    8) Wichita State removed the interim tag from basketball coach Isaac Brown’s job title, named him the full-time head coach. Shockers have won five in a row, are 13-4 this season.

    7) Random fact: actor Jim Belushi owns a cannabis farm in Oregon.

    Some notes to remember for the upcoming NCAA tournament:
    6) Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round, 4-7 ATS in second round

    5) Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round, 6-10 ATS in second round.

    4) Last six years, in 2nd round games in #4-5 seeds’ bracket, favorites are 19-5 ATS.

    3) Last four years, underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

    2) Last six tournaments (obviously, there was no tournament LY), underdogs are 16-8 ATS in Elite 8 games.

    1) Last nine years, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in national semifinals, but favorites covered six of last nine national title games.

  16. #286
    549CLEVELAND -550 PHILADELPHIA
    CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

    551NEW ORLEANS -552 SAN ANTONIO
    SAN ANTONIO is 44-15 ATS (27.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

    553UTAH -554 ORLANDO
    UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

    555MINNESOTA -556 WASHINGTON
    MINNESOTA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

    557INDIANA -558 NEW YORK
    INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    559DENVER -560 OKLAHOMA CITY
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

    561DALLAS -562 BROOKLYN
    BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.


    ************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, February 27


    Cleveland @ Philadelphia
    Cavaliers (11-21)
    — Cleveland won last two games, after an 0-10 skid (2-13 ATS last 15).
    — Cavaliers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    76ers (22-11)
    — 76ers won four of their last five games.
    — Sixers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.
    — Under is 4-0 in Philly’s last four games.

    — Cleveland won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
    — Cavaliers covered four of last five visits to Philly.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

    Minnesota @ Washington
    Timberwolves (7-26)
    — Minnesota lost 10 of last 11, 20 of its last 24 games.
    — Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

    Wizards (12-18)
    — Wizards won/covered six of their last seven games overall.
    — Washington is 6-4 ATS in last ten home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
    — Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    New Orleans @ San Antonio
    Pelicans (14-18)
    — New Orleans lost six of its last nine games overall.
    — Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Over is 17-2-2 in their last 21 games.

    Spurs (16-12)
    — San Antonio won five of its last seven games overall.
    — Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Under is 5-2 in Spurs’ last seven games.

    — Spurs won/covered four of last five series games.
    — New Orleans is 2-2 ATS in last four trips to the Alamo.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Indiana @ New York
    Pacers (16-16)
    — Indiana lost seven of its last ten games.
    — Pacers are 8-6 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five games.

    Knicks (16-17)
    — New York won five of last seven games (8-3 ATS last 11).
    — Knicks are 7-3 ATS in last ten home games.
    — Under is 3-1 in New York’s last four games.

    — Indiana won eight of last ten series games.
    — Pacers covered three of last four visits to Manhattan.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

    Utah @ Orlando
    Jazz (26-7)
    — Utah won 22 of its last 25 games (21-3-1 ATS).
    — Jazz is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games.
    — Utah is 3-1 ATS if it played the night before.
    — Over is 8-4-1 in Utah’s last 13 road games.

    Magic (13-20)
    — Orlando lost 10 of its last 14 games.
    — Magic is 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

    — Utah won seven of last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
    — Jazz is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

    Denver @ Oklahoma City
    Nuggets (17-15)
    — Denver lost four of its last six games overall.
    — Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Under is 3-1 in Denver’s last four games.

    Thunder (14-19)
    — Thunder won three of its last four games.
    — OKC is 6-9-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Thunder is 1-4-1 ATS if they played night before.
    — Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    — Denver won nine of last ten series games.
    — Nuggets covered four of last five trips to Oklahoma.
    — Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

    Dallas @ Brooklyn
    Mavericks (15-16)
    — Mavericks won six of its last eight games.
    — Mavericks are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
    — Under is 3-0 in last three Dallas games.

    Nets (22-12)
    — Brooklyn won/covered their last eight games.
    — Nets are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Three of last four Brooklyn games stayed under.

    — Teams split last six series games.
    — Dallas covered once in last four trips to Brooklyn.
    — Over is 5-1 in last six series games.


    ****************************


    NBA

    Saturday, February 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Cleveland @ Philadelphia
    Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

    Minnesota @ Washington
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    Indiana @ New York
    Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing New York
    New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

    New Orleans @ San Antonio
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

    Utah @ Orlando
    Utah
    Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
    Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
    Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Utah

    Denver @ Oklahoma City
    Denver
    Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Denver is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

    Dallas @ Brooklyn
    Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


    ----------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, February 27


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (12 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (22 - 11) - 2/27/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 79-51 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (14 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 12) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1139-1011 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 580-491 ATS (+39.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 232-167 ATS (+48.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 458-384 ATS (+35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (26 - 7) at ORLANDO (13 - 20) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (7 - 26) at WASHINGTON (12 - 18) - 2/27/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 350-412 ATS (-103.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 148-191 ATS (-62.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (15 - 16) at NEW YORK (16 - 17) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (17 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 19) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    DENVER is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 8-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (15 - 16) at BROOKLYN (22 - 12) - 2/27/2021, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 463-379 ATS (+46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 193-152 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 588-509 ATS (+28.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    DALLAS is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 2-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, February 27



  17. #287
    SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 27
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MIN at WAS 07:00 PM
    WAS -4.0.........112 - 128......WINNER
    O 237.5..............................WINNER


    CLE at PHI 07:00 PM
    CLE +11.0.................112 - 109...WINNER
    O 223.0..................LOSER

    IND at NY 08:00 PM
    NY +1.5.........107 - 110.....WINNER
    O 218.0

    DEN at OKC 08:00 PM
    OKC +7.0...........126 - 96
    O 220.5.................LOSER

    NO at SA 08:00 PM
    NO -3.0..........114 - 117.....PUSH
    O 231.0.....................WINNER


    UTA at ORL 08:00 PM
    UTA -10.5............124 - 109
    U 221.5.............LOSER

    DAL at BK 08:30 PM
    DAL +4.0..........115 - 98.....WINNER
    O 236.0.........................LOSER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Feb.27,2021...........6 - 4.......+8.00
    Feb.26,2021...........2 - 13.....-61.50
    Feb.25,2021...........4 - 6.......-13.00
    Feb.24,2021...........6 - 8.......-14.00
    Feb.23,2021...........6 - 10......-25.00
    Feb.22,2021...........3 - 6........-18.00
    Feb.21,2021...........7 - 6........+2.00
    Feb.20,2021...........7 - 2........+24.00
    Feb.19,2021...........8 - 8.........-4.00
    Feb.18,2021...........3 - 3.........-1.50
    Feb.17,2021...........9 - 5........+17.50
    Feb.16, 2021...........3 - 5.........-12.50
    Feb.15, 2021...........6 - 5.........+2.50
    Feb.14, 2021...........8 - 5.........+12.50
    Feb 13, 2021...........5 - 2........+14.00
    Feb.12.2021...........9 - 7.........+6.50
    Feb.11, 2021..........5 - 3.........+8.50
    Feb.10, 2021..........6 - 5.........+ 2.50
    Feb.09, 2021..........3 - 5.........- 12.50
    Feb.08, 2021..........4 - 4.........- 2.00
    Feb.07, 2021..........6 - 2.........+19.00
    Feb.06, 2021..........7 - 5.........+ 7.50
    Feb.05, 2021..........5 - 6.........- 8.00
    Feb.04, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.03, 2021..........3 - 7.........- 23.50
    Feb.02, 2021..........4 - 2.........+ 9.00
    Feb.01, 2021......... 3 - 4..........- 7.00

    TOTALS.................137 - 137.....-70.50


    January Best Bets Totals............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00


    ****************************************

    December's Best Bet Record:....4 - 6......40%......- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; Today at 12:36 AM.

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