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  1. #301
    551DENVER -552 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    553MILWAUKEE -554 MEMPHIS
    MEMPHIS are 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) in home games off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog since 1996.

    555OKLAHOMA CITY -556 SAN ANTONIO
    SAN ANTONIO is 45-16 ATS (27.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

    557MIAMI -558 NEW ORLEANS
    MIAMI is 56-37 ATS (15.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

    559SACRAMENTO -560 PORTLAND
    PORTLAND is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) when the total >=230 in the current season.

    563DETROIT -564 NEW YORK
    NEW YORK is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

    565GOLDEN STATE -566 PHOENIX
    GOLDEN STATE is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.


    *************************


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 4


    Toronto @ Boston
    Raptors (17-18)
    — Toronto lost three of its last its four games.
    — Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Last three Toronto games went over the total.
    — Toronto was missing five guys for last night’s game.

    Celtics (18-17)
    — Boston won its last three games SU.
    — Celtics are 11-5 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 6-2 in last eight Boston games.

    — Celtics won four of last five series games.
    — Raptors are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    LA Clippers @ Washington
    Clippers (24-13)
    — Clippers lost five of their last eight games overall.
    — Clippers are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    Wizards (13-20)
    — Wizards won seven of their last ten games (8-2 ATS)
    — Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.
    — Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

    — Clippers won four of last five series games.
    — LA is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
    — Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

    Denver @ Indiana
    Nuggets (20-15)
    — Denver is 8-4 in its last 12 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in Denver’s last six road games.

    Pacers (16-18)
    — Indiana lost nine of its last 13 games.
    — Pacers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    — Over is 6-1-1 in Indiana’s last eight games.

    — Denver won five of last eight series games.
    — Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
    — Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    Milwaukee @ Memphis
    Bucks (21-14)
    — Milwaukee won five of its last six games (4-2 ATS).
    — Bucks are 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Over is 5-3 in Milwaukee’s last eight road games

    Grizzlies (16-15)
    — Memphis won three of its last four games.
    — Grizzlies are 7-9-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 7-0 in their last seven games.

    — Milwaukee won six of last nine series games.
    — Bucks covered three of last four visits to Memphis.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Oklahoma City @ San Antonio
    Thunder (14-21)
    — Thunder lost six of its last nine games.
    — OKC is 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

    Spurs (18-13)
    — San Antonio won seven of last ten games overall.
    — Spurs are 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Under is 6-3-1 in Spurs’ last ten games.

    — Spurs won seven of last ten series games.
    — Thunder is 1-4 ATS in last five trips to San Antonio.
    — Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

    Miami @ New Orleans
    Heat (17-18)
    — Miami won six of seven, 10 of its last 14 games overall.
    — Heat is 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    Pelicans (15-20)
    — New Orleans is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games overall.
    — Pelicans are 5-4 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 19-3-2 in their last 24 games.

    — Miami won four of last five series games.
    — Heat covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street.
    — Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    Sacramento @ Portland
    Kings (14-21)
    — Sacramento is 2-10 SU/1-11 ATS in last 12 games overall.
    — Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 10-1 in Sacramento’s last 11 games.

    Trailblazers (20-14)
    — Portland won ten of its last fifteen games SU.
    — Blazers are 7-9 ATS at home this season.
    — Over is 6-3 in Portland’s last nine home games.

    — Blazers won five of last seven series games.
    — Kings are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Portland.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Detroit @ New York
    Pistons (10-25)
    — Detroit lost six of its last eight games (3-4-1 ATS last eight)
    — Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Under is 6-2 in Detroit’s last eight games.

    Knicks (18-18)
    — New York won seven of last ten games (10-4 ATS last 14).
    — Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Under is 4-1-2 in New York’s last seven games.

    — Knicks won/covered last three series games.
    — Detroit covered three of last four visits to Manhattan.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

    Golden State @ Phoenix
    Warriors (19-17)
    — Golden State split its last 10 games overall.
    — Warriors are 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

    Suns (23-11)
    — Phoenix won/covered 15 of its last 18 games.
    — Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

    — Suns won four of last six series games.
    — Golden State is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Phoenix.
    — Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.


    ------------------------------------


    NBA

    Thursday, March 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Detroit @ Carolina
    Detroit
    Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina
    Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Carolina
    Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

    Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

    Winnipeg @ Montreal
    Winnipeg
    Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games

    NY Rangers @ New Jersey
    NY Rangers
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    New Jersey
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

    Buffalo @ NY Islanders

    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
    NY Islanders
    NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

    Tampa Bay @ Chicago
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

    Florida @ Nashville
    Florida
    Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Nashville
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Florida
    Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

    Columbus @ Dallas
    Columbus
    Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
    Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Columbus

    Ottawa @ Calgary
    Ottawa
    Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
    Calgary
    Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

    Toronto @ Vancouver
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    Vancouver
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto


    ---------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (17 - 18) at BOSTON (18 - 17) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 67-53 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (24 - 13) at WASHINGTON (13 - 20) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 83-60 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (20 - 15) at INDIANA (16 - 18) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (21 - 14) at MEMPHIS (16 - 15) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 302-363 ATS (-97.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 186-143 ATS (+28.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 13) - 3/4/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1012 ATS (+27.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 582-492 ATS (+40.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 101-69 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 385-305 ATS (+49.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 226-175 ATS (+33.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 459-384 ATS (+36.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (17 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 20) - 3/4/2021, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (14 - 21) at PORTLAND (20 - 14) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    PORTLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (10 - 25) at NEW YORK (18 - 18) - 3/4/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (19 - 17) at PHOENIX (23 - 11) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ---------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 4






    ----------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Thursday March 4
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Denver at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (11.90 ppg) at home with no rest after playing as a road favorite.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Denver at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Nuggets are 0-11-1 ATS (-8.88 ppg) on the road with rest when they shot better than 50 percent from the field in each of their last two games.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Golden State at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Suns are 11-0 OU (13.36 ppg) as a favorite off a win in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 0-12 OU (-12.08 ppg) off a win as a favorite in which Buddy Hield was their high scorer.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  2. #302
    THURSDAY, MARCH 4
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    LAC at WAS 07:00 PM
    WAS +5.5................117 - 119.........WINNER
    O 236.0...........................WINNER


    TOR at BOS 07:00 PM
    TOR +8.0............125 - 132
    O 220.5.....................WINNER

    DET at NY 07:30 PM
    DET +7.0.............104 - 114.....LOSER
    O 207.5....................WINNER


    DEN at IND 08:00 PM
    IND +4.0.............113 - 103
    O 227.0...................LOSER

    MIL at MEM 08:00 PM
    MEM +6.0............112 - 111
    U 234.0.....................WINNER

    MIA at NO 08:30 PM
    NO -2.5............103 - 93.....LOSER
    U 227.0.........................WINNER


    OKC at SA 09:00 PM
    SA -6.5.............107 - 102.....LOSER
    O 219.5.............LOSER


    SAC at POR 10:00 PM
    SAC +4.0............119 - 123
    O 236.5.................WINNER

    GS at PHO 10:00 PM
    PHO -6.5.............98 - 120...WINNER
    O 226.5..............LOSER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    Mar. 04.............8 - 6...........57.14%.............+7.00
    Mar. 03............10 - 4...........71.42%............+28.00
    Mar. 02.............4 - 6............40.00%............-.13.00
    Mar. 01.............5 - 4............55 .55%...........+ 3.00

    Totals.............27 - 20...........67.50%............+19.00


    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-05-2021 at 12:49 AM.

  3. #303
    Friday’s 6-pack
    Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)

    6) UMBC (14-5)
    5) Texas Southern (12-8)
    4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
    3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
    2) Nicholls State (17-6)
    1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “He’s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He’s a point guard.”
    Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic

    Friday’s quiz
    Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?

    Thursday’s quiz
    In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year.

    ************************

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

    13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday’s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

    According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ”Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can’t have anybody leave the plantation.” Ummmm……not an outstanding choice of words.

    When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won’t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

    12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

    Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation’s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

    Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that’s assuming they graduated high school.

    Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite’s board of directors.

    11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers’ QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team— it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

    10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70— Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham’s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

    Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

    9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
    — This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
    — UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they’re ranked #135.

    8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65— Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

    7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64— This score doesn’t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

    6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70— Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

    5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

    4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

    3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

    2) Since 2015, Astros’ C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

    1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117— Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They’re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

  4. #304
    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)

    342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
    343) Presbyterian (7-15)
    344) Duke (11-10)
    345) Stetson (11-14)
    346) Auburn (12-14)
    347) Alabama A&M (6-8)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “It’s about the money. And when they say it’s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.”
    Former Giants’ GM George Young

    Saturday’s quiz
    In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season?

    Friday’s quiz
    Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.

    Thursday’s quiz
    In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

    *********************

    Saturday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point…….

    Atlanta:
    — Won both their games since changing coaches.
    — 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

    Boston:
    — Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
    — 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
    — 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Five of last six home games went over.

    Brooklyn:
    — Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
    — Won/covered last seven home games.
    — 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.

    Charlotte:
    — 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
    — 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
    — 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.

    Chicago:
    — Won six of their last nine games.
    — 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
    — 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.

    Cleveland:
    — Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
    — 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
    — 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

    Dallas:
    — Won nine of their last 11 games.
    — 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

    Denver:
    — Won/covered their last four games.
    — 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
    — Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

    Detroit:
    — Lost seven of their last nine games.
    — 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
    — 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Last three road games went over the total.

    Golden State:
    — Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
    — 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Last six road games stayed under the total.

    Houston:
    — Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
    — 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
    — 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.

    Indiana:
    — Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
    — 6-12 ATS at home.
    — 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
    — Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

    LA Clippers:
    — Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
    — 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
    — 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    LA Lakers:
    — Lost six of their last eight games.
    — 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
    — 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
    — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Memphis:
    — 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
    — 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Last eight games stayed under the total.

  5. #305
    Monday’s 6-pack
    Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% offense (W-L record)


    64.4%— Gonzaga (24-0)
    60.8%—Furman (16-9)
    59.4%—Belmont (26-4)
    58.0%— Loyola, Chi (24-4)
    57.6%— Weber State (17-5)
    57.4%— Colorado State (17-5)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Fact of the Day
    This is the first time since 1996 where no ACC team is ranked in the nation’s top 10, heading into the ACC tournament. Only 5th time it has ever happened.

    Monday’s quiz
    What was the name of the domed stadium where the Mariners/Seahawks used to play?

    Sunday’s quiz
    Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

    Saturday’s quiz
    In the movie Little Big League, Ken Griffey Jr makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season.

    *****************************

    Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……

    13) An underrated aspect of this college basketball season is that EVERY SENIOR in the country can come back and play in college again next season. The better seniors will take their talents and try to make money playing pro ball, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Will be curious to see what I think will be a huge amount of player movement this spring/summer.

    12) Liberty 79, North Alabama 75— Liberty won the Atlantic Sun title here; they had already clinched the league’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, because North Alabama just moved to D-I and isn’t eligible yet to play in March Madness.

    Liberty has been in the A-Sun three years; they’ve won the league title all three years.

    11) Michigan State 70, Michigan 64— This win makes the next week a little easier for fans, players and coaches in East Lansing. Would appear that this win gets the Spartans into the field of 68, but the more they do this coming week the better- playing Maryland Thursday afternoon in the Big 14 tournament is next on Michigan State’s calendar.

    10) NCAA Tournament, like everything else, will be different this year; the second weekend of the tournament, usually Thursday-Sunday, will now be Saturday-Tuesday, with the regional finals being played Monday/Tuesday night, March 29-30.

    9) USC 64, UCLA 63— Trojans swept their crosstown rivals this year; they’ll be the #2-seed in the Pac-12 tournament. UCLA lost its last three games and is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 12-2 start.

    8) From 2006-08, under coach Ben Howland, UCLA made the Final Four three years in a row, going 97-17 those three years, but five years later, Howland got fired after a 25-10 season, saying his style of play wasn’t exciting enough. When a team wins seven national titles in a row, like UCLA did under John Wooden, the fanbase has unrealistic expectations.

    In those three Final Four years, UCLA ranked #298-251-209 in tempo, but they went 97-17, so no one said anything. Howland’s last year, the 25-10 season, they were #35 in tempo, but they lost in the first round of the NCAA’s, and a change was made. They played faster, like people wanted, but they didn’t make the Final Four.. Some people are never happy.

    7) My point is this: Mick Cronin is now UCLA’s coach; he is 36-20 at UCLA, 25-12 in Pac-12 games, solid numbers. But this is a fanbase who didn’t like Ben Howland’s style; here are the tempos that Mick Cronin’s teams have played the last eight years:

    2021: #333 17-8 record (13-6 Pac-12)
    2020: #325 19-12, 12-6 (no NCAAs)
    2019: #338 28-7, 14-4 AAC (0-1 NCAA)
    2018: $330 31-5, 16-2 (1-1)
    2017: #330 30-6, 16-2 (1-1)
    2016: #333 22-11, 12-6 (0-1)
    2015: #339 23-11, 13-5 (1-1)
    2014: #328 27-7, 15-3 (1-1)

    Cronin went 6-9 in NCAA tourney games at Cincinnati, made one Sweet 16. At this time next year, the UCLA fanbase is going to start mumbling, if they aren’t already. Cronin wins a lot, his teams defend well, but fact of the matter is, he is no Ben Howland.

    6) St Bonaventure-VCU are going to play in the A-14 championship game, but that game isn’t until Sunday in Dayton. Both teams are expected to make the NCAA Tournament, which will be held entirely in Indiana, and Dayton is close to Indiana, so the teams can get on a bus and go right from Dayton to their hotel where they’ll hunker down for the NCAA Tournament.

    5) Florida basketball coach Mike White played college basketball at Ole Miss, where his roommate was teammate Keith Carter, who is now the athletic director at Ole Miss. Athletic director is a nice way of saying “lead fundraiser”; Carter raised a record $45.6M in cash contributions for the Rebels, in 2015-16.

    Couple of very successful friends there; you wonder how many college roommates are both making six-figure salaries these days (White makes seven figures).

    4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Foxboro next season, which obviously is Tom Brady going back home to face his former employers. Would love to see the backroom negotiating with the TV networks who want to televise that game; it won’t be in Week 1- the Super Bowl champ opens the next season at home. But you know NBC/ESPN/FOX all want that game.

    3) Speaking of which, apparently the NFL schedule will be released in May this year, a little later than usual. Schedule usually comes out before the draft, but with the COVID situation still developing, it makes sense to release the schedule a little later.

    2) 31-year old Blake Griffin signed on with the Brooklyn Nets, after accepting a buyout from Detroit; Griffin has already earned $255M in his playing career and is due another $29.5M next year, so he is joining Brooklyn for the rest of this year, to try and win a championship.

    1) Astros have injury issues in their pitching rotation; they signed Jake Odorizzi this weekend to a 2-year deal. Odorizzi has a 62-56 career record, was 15-7 for Minnesota in 2019- he started only four games LY, because of bruised ribs and a blister.

  6. #306
    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:

    +150- USC
    +200- Colorado
    +350- Oregon
    +400- UCLA
    +2000- Stanford
    +2500- Arizona State
    +3300- Utah
    +8000- Washington State
    +10000- Oregon State
    +20000- California, Washington

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “I might have to get into that space … it’s very humbling. I mean, it’s a great honor to have one of my cards sell for that much.”
    Lakers star Anthony Davis, after his rookie card sold for $1.045M last month

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?

    Monday’s quiz
    Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

    *******************

    Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark…….

    Miami
    — Won seven of last eight games SU.
    — 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
    — Last three games stayed under the total.

    Milwaukee:
    — Won six of last seven games SU.
    — 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

    Minnesota:
    — 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
    — Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
    — 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Four of their last five games went over.

    New Orleans:
    — Lost three of their last four games SU.
    — 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
    — 12 of their last 14 games went over.

    New York
    — Won eight of last ten games SU.
    — 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
    — Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.

    Oklahoma City
    — 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
    — 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
    — 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
    — Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    Orlando
    — Lost their last five games SU.
    — 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
    — 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
    — Last four road games stayed under total.

    Philadelphia
    — Won six of their last eight games SU.
    — 13-6 ATS at home.
    — 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

    Phoenix
    — Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
    — 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Covered eight of last nine road games.
    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

    Portland
    — Won their last four games.
    — 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
    — 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

    Sacramento
    — Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
    — 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
    — 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
    — 11 of their last 12 games went over.

    San Antonio
    — Spurs split their last eight games SU.
    — They’re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Covered nine of their 13 road games.
    — Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

    Toronto
    — Raptors lost four of their last five games.
    — 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
    — 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
    — Last four Toronto games went over.

    Utah
    — Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
    — Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
    — Covered only one of last five road tilts.
    — Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.

    Washington
    — Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
    — Covered five of last six home games.
    — Covered five of last six road games.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under.

  7. #307
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:

    +150- Michigan
    +350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
    +1000- Purdue
    +1500- Wisconsin
    +2500- Rutgers
    +3500- Michigan State
    +5000- Maryland, Minnesota
    +6600- Indiana
    +20000- Northwestern
    +30000- Nebraska

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “I don’t really like stats. Exit velocity. I’m more of, exit hits……I dropped out as a sophomore, Look where I am now. I’m OK.”
    Bryce Harper

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Before becoming head coach at Duke, where was Mike Krzyzewski the head coach?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

    Monday’s quiz
    Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

    ********************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
    — BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
    — Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
    — Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.

    One of the first questions I’ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven’t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn’t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.

    Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.

    12) Dallas Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:

    Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
    Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn’t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year’s playoffs.

    11) Interesting discussion on Mets’ TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.

    Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.

    Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn’t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets’ defense for this season.

    10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.

    From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington’s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn’t win make the NCAA tournament— he made it once, in 2008, Cross’ second year there.

    Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.

    I’m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.

    9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.

    Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)

    8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.

    7) Angels’ broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota’s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel’s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels’ broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.

    Looking at the Angels’ website, they haven’t filled Victor Rojas’ play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.

    6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.

    Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that’ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.

    Umpire Brian Gorman’s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.

    5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.

    4) Colorado Rockies’ 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth time in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.

    He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.

    3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.

    2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they’re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don’t give a rat’s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don’t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I’m familiar with Meghan Markle’s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don’t want to hear about it.

    Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.

    1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA’s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.

    The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better— several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that’s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing— we didn’t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.

  8. #308
    501WASHINGTON -502 MEMPHIS
    WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    503SAN ANTONIO -504 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 214-151 ATS (47.9 Units) after scoring 90 points or less since 1996.




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, March 10


    Washington @ Memphis
    Wizards (14-20)
    — Wizards won eight of their last 11 games (9-2 ATS)
    — Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

    Grizzlies (16-16)
    — Memphis won three of its last five games.
    — Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
    — Under is 8-0 in their last eight games.

    — Memphis won four of last five series games.
    — Wizards are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Tennessee.
    — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

    San Antonio @ Dallas
    Spurs (18-14)
    — San Antonio won seven of last 11 games overall.
    — Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs’ last 11 games.

    Mavericks (18-16)
    — Mavericks won nine of their last 11 games.
    — Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six Dallas games.

    — Mavericks won four of last five series games.
    — Spurs covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
    — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.




    NBA

    Wednesday, March 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Washington @ Memphis
    Washington
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
    Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

    San Antonio @ Dallas
    San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Dallas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games



    --------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, March 10





    *****************************


    Eastern Conference 1st Half Records, Trends




    ******************************


    Western Conference 1st Half Records, Trends




    ****************************


    Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 10
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Wizards are 10-0 ATS (9.75 ppg) after Russell Westbrook had at least 10 assists last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Spurs are 0-13-1 ATS (-10.11 ppg) as a road dog after their turnovers increased by at least 10 from the game prior.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: San Antonio at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Spurs are 13-0 OU (12.58 ppg) as a dog off a loss in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Washington at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Grizzlies are 0-12 OU (-17.12 ppg) as a favorite with rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


    **************************


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, March 10


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (14 - 20) at MEMPHIS (16 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 149-191 ATS (-61.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (18 - 14) at DALLAS (18 - 16) - 3/10/2021, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 273-218 ATS (+33.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1013 ATS (+26.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 61-30 ATS (+28.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 233-167 ATS (+49.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  9. #309
    WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    WAS at MEM 08:00 PM
    WAS +3.5...........112 - 127.....LOSER
    O 237.0.......................WINNER


    SA at DAL 08:30 PM
    DAL -4.0................104 - 115....WINNER
    U 224.0...........................WINNER



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


    03/10/2021 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    03/04/2021 9-7-2 55.56% +650 Detail
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 60.00% +1600 Detail
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 37.50% -1850 Detail

    TOTALS............28-23-2.......54.90%.....+13.50


    Totals.............27 - 20...........67.50%............+19.00


    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-10-2021 at 10:11 PM.

  10. #310
    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:

    12-1— Dustin Johnson
    13-1— Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
    15-1— Jon Rahm
    16-1— Justin Thomas
    20-1— Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
    24-1— Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “……..fear and desperation are running neck and neck as the prevailing sentiment within the Bears’ front office right now, as its criminal mismanagement of the quarterback position has come to a crest with few easy ways out.”
    Jason LaCanfora, CBS Sports

    Thursday’s quiz
    Who was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

    **********************

    Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.

    FS1 announcer: “This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.”

    Hahaha. Can’t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you’re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.

    Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT— Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games.

    12) ACC tournament:
    — Syracuse 89, NC State 68— Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
    — Miami 67, Clemson 64— Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
    — North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59— UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.

    11) Big X tournament:
    — Kansas State 71, TCU 50— Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
    — Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73— Cyclones didn’t win a conference game this year.

    10) Big 14 tournament:
    — Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46— Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino’s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State’s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino’s place. Dutcher’s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80’s.

    Here’s my proposal, and I’ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. If you’ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray’s character had with gophers on the golf course.

    Having Bill Murray’s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.

    9) MAAC tournament:
    — Iona 55, Siena 52— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
    — Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60— Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.

    8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels’ home court Thursday.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
    — California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
    — Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
    — Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
    — Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
    — Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66

    6) Pac-12 tournament:
    — Utah 98, Washington 95— Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
    — Cal 76, Stanford 58— Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.

    5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they’re going to trade him, and he’ll be away from the team until that happens.

    Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he’s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.

    4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn’t gone up.

    Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.

    3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren’t patient.

    2) Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn’t superstitious.

    1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.

  11. #311
    505DETROIT -506 CHARLOTTE
    CHARLOTTE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

    507BOSTON -508 BROOKLYN
    BROOKLYN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

    509ATLANTA -510 TORONTO
    ATLANTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

    511ORLANDO -512 MIAMI
    MIAMI is 57-37 ATS (16.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

    513PHILADELPHIA -514 CHICAGO
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

    515MINNESOTA -516 NEW ORLEANS
    MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 130 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

    517NEW YORK -518 MILWAUKEE
    MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games as a favorite of 10 or more in the current season.

    519DALLAS -520 OKLAHOMA CITY
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 89-70 ATS (12 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    521GOLDEN STATE -522 LA CLIPPERS
    LA CLIPPERS are 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.

    523HOUSTON -524 SACRAMENTO
    HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.


    -----------------------------------


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 11


    Detroit @ Charlotte
    Pistons (10-26)
    — Detroit lost seven of its last nine games
    — Pistons are 5-4 ATS in last nine road games.
    — Under is 6-3 in Detroit’s last nine games.

    Hornets (17-18)
    — Charlotte is 7-5 in its last 13 games SU.
    — Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Over is 7-1 in Charlotte’s last eight games.

    — Hornets won last ten series games.
    — Pistons are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
    — Under is 7-1 in last eight series games.

    Boston @ Brooklyn
    Celtics (19-17)
    — Boston won its last four games SU.
    — Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Over is 7-2 in last nine Boston games.

    Nets (24-13)
    — Brooklyn won/covered 10 of their last 11 games.
    — Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Three of last four Brooklyn home games stayed under.

    — Nets won five of last eight series games.
    — Boston is 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Brooklyn.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    Atlanta vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
    Hawks (16-20)
    — Hawks won both their games since they fired their coach .
    — Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
    — 12 of Atlanta’s 16 games went over the total.

    Raptors (17-19)
    — Toronto lost three of its last its four games.
    — Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Last three Toronto games went over the total.

    — Raptors won nine of last ten series games.
    — Hawks are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
    — Last four series games went over the total.

    Orlando @ Miami
    Magic (13-23)
    — Orlando lost five in row, 13 of its last 17 games.
    — Magic is 3-9 ATS in last dozen road games.
    — Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

    Heat (18-18)
    — Miami won seven of its last eight games overall.
    — Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Heat won three of last four series games.
    — Magic covered four of last five visits to Miami.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Philadelphia @ Chicago
    76ers (24-12)
    — Embiid, Simmons are expected to miss this game.
    — 76ers won six of their last eight games.
    — Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 3-0 in Philly’s last three games.

    Bulls (16-18)
    — Chicago won six of its last nine games SU.
    — Bulls are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    — 76ers won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
    — Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Chicago.
    — Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

    New York @ Milwaukee
    Knicks (19-18)
    — New York won eight of last 11 games (11-4 ATS last 15).
    — Knicks are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Under is 7-1-1 in New York’s last nine road games.

    Bucks (22-14)
    — Milwaukee won six of its last seven games (4-3 ATS).
    — Bucks are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in Milwaukee’s last three games

    — Bucks won five of last six series games.
    — Knicks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five trips to Milwaukee.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Minnesota @ New Orleans
    Timberwolves (7-29)
    — Minnesota lost 13 of last 14, 23 of its last 27 games.
    — Wolves are 0-9 ATS in their last eight games overall.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

    Pelicans (15-21)
    — New Orleans lost four of its last five games overall.
    — Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 19-4-2 in their last 25 games.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Minnesota is 2-1 ATS in last three visits to Bourbon Street.
    — Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

    Dallas @ Oklahoma City
    Mavericks (19-16)
    — Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
    — Mavericks are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 6-1 in last seven Dallas games.

    Thunder (15-21)
    — Thunder split their last eight games.
    — OKC is 6-10-1 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.

    — Dallas won seven of last ten series games.
    — Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
    — Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

    Golden State @ LA Clippers
    Warriors (19-18)
    — Golden State is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.
    — Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Under is 8-1 in their last nine road games.

    Clippers (24-14)
    — Clippers lost six of their last nine games overall.
    — Clippers are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Clippers won four of last five series games.
    — Golden State covered three of last four road series games.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Phoenix @ Portland
    Suns (24-11)
    — Phoenix won/covered 16 of its last 19 games.
    — Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

    Trailblazers (21-14)
    — Portland won four in row, 11 of last 16 games SU.
    — Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
    — Over is 7-3 in Portland’s last ten home games.

    — Phoenix won three of last four series games.
    — Suns are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Portland.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Houston @ Sacramento
    Rockets (11-23)
    — Houston lost its last 13 games (1-12 ATS).
    — Rockets covered once in their last seven road games.
    — Over is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

    Kings (14-22)
    — Sacramento is 2-11 SU/ATS in last 13 games overall.
    — Kings are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 11-1 in Sacramento’s last 12 games.

    — Houston won eight of last nine series games.
    — Rockets covered four of last five visits to Sacramento.
    — Four of last six series games went over the total.


    -----------------------------------


    NBA

    Thursday, March 11


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Detroit @ Charlotte
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

    Boston @ Brooklyn
    Boston
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Brooklyn is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

    Atlanta @ Toronto
    Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games
    Toronto
    Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
    Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Orlando @ Miami
    Orlando
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Miami
    Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

    New York @ Milwaukee
    New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games on the road
    New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    Minnesota @ New Orleans
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games at home

    Philadelphia @ Chicago
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago
    Chicago is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Dallas @ Oklahoma City
    Dallas
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

    Golden State @ LA Clippers
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
    LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State

    Houston @ Sacramento
    Houston
    Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 12 games

    Phoenix @ Portland
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Portland
    Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    -----------------------------------------------------


    B]NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 11[/B]

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (10 - 26) at CHARLOTTE (17 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (19 - 17) at BROOKLYN (24 - 13) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BOSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 85-62 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 159-121 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 259-202 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (16 - 20) at TORONTO (17 - 19) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (13 - 23) at MIAMI (18 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (24 - 12) at CHICAGO (16 - 18) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    CHICAGO is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 77-112 ATS (-46.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (7 - 29) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-54 ATS (-31.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (19 - 18) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (19 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 21) - 3/11/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    DALLAS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (19 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (11 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 22) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    HOUSTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (24 - 11) at PORTLAND (21 - 14) - 3/11/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 11





    --------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Thursday March 11
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Phoenix at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Suns are 12-0 ATS (9.92 ppg) on the road coming off a 10+ point win.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 0-12 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Golden State at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Warriors are 10-0-1 OU (13.41 ppg) on the road with more than two days of rest.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Houston at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-8.40 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  12. #312
    THURSDAY, MARCH 11
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    DET at CHA 07:00 PM
    CHA -4.5..........102 - 105.......LOSER
    O 225.0........................LOSER

    BOS at BK 07:30 PM
    BK -2.5................109 - 122.......WINNER
    O 233.5

    ATL at TOR 07:30 PM
    TOR +3.0..................121- 120
    O 226.5......................WINNER

    ORL at MIA 08:00 PM
    MIA -8.0.............103 - 111
    U 211.0...................LOSER

    MIN at NO 08:00 PM
    MIN +8.5..........135 - 105
    O 238.0.................WINNER

    NY at MIL 08:00 PM
    NY +10.5..........101 - 134.....LOSER
    O 222.5.........................WINNER


    PHI at CHI 08:00 PM
    PHI +3.5...........127 - 105....WINNER
    O 227.5

    DAL at OKC 09:00 PM
    OKC +5.5.............108 - 116
    O 219.5.....................WINNER

    GS at LAC 10:00 PM
    GS +7.0...........104 - 130
    O 229.5................WINNER

    PHO at POR 10:00 PM
    POR +4.5...........127 - 121......LOSER
    O 226.5....................WINNER


    HOU at SAC 10:00 PM
    SAC -4.5.......105 - 125......WINNER
    U 231.0...................WINNER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......38-28-4.....57.57%......+36.00

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-12-2021 at 12:23 AM.

  13. #313
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Leading scorers in country in Division I:
    24.2— Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
    24.0— Antoine Davis, Detroit
    23.8— Luke Garza, Iowa
    23.1— Cameron Thomas, LSU
    21.8— Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
    21.8— Marcus Burk, IUPUI

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday

    13) Big East tourney:
    Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
    — Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
    — Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
    — Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don’t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin’ rafters!!!

    Seton Hall 77, St John’s 69 OT— This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA’s.

    12) SEC tourney:
    Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73— Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
    — This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA’s.

    11) ACC tourney:
    — Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke’s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.

    Virginia 72, Syracuse 69— Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman’s only basket of the game.

    10) Big X tourney:
    Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
    — Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
    — Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.

    Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
    — Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
    — Oklahoma limps into the NCAA’s, on a 1-5 skid.

    9) Pac-12 tourney:
    Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT— Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
    — With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
    — UCLA lost its last four games.

    USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
    — Three Trojans played 42:00+.
    — Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30

    8) Big 14 tourney:
    Maryland 68, Michigan State 57— Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they’re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.

    Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
    — Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
    — Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
    — Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
    — Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
    — Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
    — Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
    — Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
    — Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56

    6) Big West tourney:
    Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56— 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.

    Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51— Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.

    5) Conference USA tourney— All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.

    4) MAC tourney:
    Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
    — Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
    — Rockets won five of their last six games.

    3) Mountain West tourney:
    San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
    — Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
    — San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.

    Disappointing that UNLV hasn’t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they’re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.

    2) Big Sky tourney:
    Montana 80, Weber State 75
    — Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
    — Grizzlies can shoot though; they’re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)

    1) AAC tourney:
    South Florida 73, Temple 71— Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.

  14. #314
    527CLEVELAND -528 NEW ORLEANS
    CLEVELAND is 52-72 ATS (-27.2 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

    529PHILADELPHIA -530 WASHINGTON
    PHILADELPHIA is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

    531DENVER -532 MEMPHIS
    DENVER is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

    533ORLANDO -534 SAN ANTONIO
    SAN ANTONIO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

    535MIAMI -536 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    537HOUSTON -538 UTAH
    UTAH is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

    539INDIANA -540 LA LAKERS
    INDIANA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.


    -------------------------------


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, March 12


    Philadelphia @ Washington
    76ers (25-12)
    — 76ers won seven of their last nine games.
    — Sixers are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Over is 4-0 in Philly’s last four games.

    Wizards (14-21)
    — Wizards won eight of their last 12 games (9-3 ATS)
    — Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — 76ers won last four series games, by 5-6-9-17 points.
    — Wizards covered five of last six series games.
    — Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

    Denver @ Memphis
    Nuggets (21-15)
    — Denver is 9-4 in its last 13 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in Denver’s last six games overall.

    Grizzlies (17-16)
    — Memphis won four of its last six games.
    — Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in last nine games overall.
    — Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

    — Denver won four of last five series games.
    — Nuggets covered once in last six visits to Memphis.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Cleveland @ New Orleans
    Cavaliers (14-21)
    — Cleveland won four of last five games, after an 0-10 skid .
    — Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
    — Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    Pelicans (15-22)
    — New Orleans lost five of its last six games overall.
    — Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
    — Over is 20-4-2 in their last 26 games.

    — Pelicans won six of last seven series games.
    — Cavaliers covered once in last five trips to New Orleans.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Miami @ Chicago
    Heat (19-18)
    — Miami won eight of its last nine games overall.
    — Heat is 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
    — Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Bulls (16-19)
    — Chicago lost three of its last four games SU.
    — Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Miami won eight of last ten series games.
    — Heat covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    Orlando @ San Antonio
    Magic (13-24)
    — Orlando lost six in row, 14 of its last 18 games.
    — Magic is 4-9 ATS in last 13 road games.
    — Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

    Spurs (18-15)
    — San Antonio lost four of last six games overall.
    — Spurs are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Under is 7-3-1 in Spurs’ last 11 games.

    — Teams split last six series games.
    — Magic covered four of last five trips to the Alamo.
    — Last four series games went over the total.

    Houston @ Utah
    Rockets (11-24)
    — Houston lost its last 14 games (1-13 ATS).
    — Rockets covered once in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games.

    Jazz (27-9)
    — Utah is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 19-1 run (22-5-1 ATS last 28).
    — Jazz is 12-0-1 ATS in its last 13 home games.
    — Over is 6-1 in Utah’s last seven games.

    — Houston won eight of last ten series games.
    — Rockets covered four of last five visits to Utah.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

    Indiana @ LA Lakers
    Pacers (16-19)
    — Indiana lost 10 of its last 14 games.
    — Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Over is 6-2-1 in Indiana’s last nine games.

    Lakers (24-12)
    — Lakers lost six of their last eight games.
    — Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    — Home side won last nine series games.
    — Pacers are 0-4 ATS in last four series games played here.
    — Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.


    --------------------------------


    NBA

    Friday, March 12


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia @ Washington
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Washington
    Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Cleveland @ New Orleans
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home

    Denver @ Memphis
    Denver
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

    Orlando @ San Antonio
    Orlando
    Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Orlando

    Miami @ Chicago
    Miami
    Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

    Houston @ Utah
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah
    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Indiana @ LA Lakers
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana


    --------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 12


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (14 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 22) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (25 - 12) at WASHINGTON (14 - 21) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (21 - 15) at MEMPHIS (17 - 16) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MEMPHIS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 4-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (13 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (18 - 15) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1141-1014 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 582-493 ATS (+39.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 102-67 ATS (+28.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 382-316 ATS (+34.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 459-385 ATS (+35.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (19 - 18) at CHICAGO (16 - 19) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
    MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (11 - 24) at UTAH (27 - 9) - 3/12/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games this season.
    UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    UTAH is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 8-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (16 - 19) at LA LAKERS (24 - 13) - 3/12/2021, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA LAKERS are 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 182-230 ATS (-71.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 12






    -------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Friday March 12
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Denver at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (8.12 ppg) at home off a win in which they had at least three players with at least 20 points.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Cleveland at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pelicans are 0-19 ATS (-11.61 ppg) at home after they shot worse than 26% on threes last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Philadelphia at Washington (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The 76ers are 13-0 OU (12.69 ppg) as a favorite after playing as a road dog last game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Houston at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 0-9 OU (-6.50 ppg) as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  15. #315
    FRIDAY, MARCH 12
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    PHI at WAS 08:00 PM
    WAS +4.5...........127 - 101.......LOSER
    O 234.0...................LOSER


    CLE at NO 08:00 PM
    NO -7.0............82 - 116
    O 229.0.................LOSER

    DEN at MEM 08:00 PM
    DEN -3.0..............103 - 102
    U 227.5.....................WINNER

    ORL at SA 09:00 PM
    ORL +6.5..........77 - 104.........LOSER
    U 215.5..................WINNER


    MIA at CHI 09:00 PM
    MIA -2.0............101 - 90.........WINNER
    O 220.5......................LOSER


    HOU at UTA 10:00 PM
    UTA -17.0............99 -114
    O 228.5................LOSER

    IND at LAL 10:30 PM
    IND +4.5.........100 - 105......LOSER
    O 217.0....................LOSER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    01/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......41-36-4.....53.24%......+7.00

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-13-2021 at 12:06 AM.

  16. #316
    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Top six scoring teams in Division I:

    92.1— Gonzaga
    86.4— Colgate
    85.0— Iowa
    84.8— Baylor
    84.5— Southern Utah
    83.9— Bryant

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Nobody ever changed the world by doing what everyone else was doing.”
    Mark Cuban

    Saturday’s quiz
    When was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball?

    Friday’s quiz
    Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.

    --------------------------------

    Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day

    13) Pac-12 tourney:
    Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
    — Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they’re playing for the league title Saturday.
    — Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.

    Colorado 72, USC 70
    — Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
    — Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.

    12) Big 14 tourney:
    Michigan 79, Maryland 66
    — 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.

    Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
    — Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
    — Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.

    11) ACC tourney:
    — Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

    Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
    — Florida State has unusually good depth; they’ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
    — North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.

    10) Big X tourney:
    Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
    — Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
    — OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
    — Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.

    Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

    9) Big East tourney:
    Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
    — #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
    — Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.

    Creighton 59, UConn 56
    — Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they’ve never won the Big East tournament- they’re favored to do that tonight.
    — Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
    — Bluejays are #40 experience team; they’re an experienced group.

    8) Big Sky tourney:
    Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
    — Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.

    Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
    — Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
    — Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
    — Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter’s 47
    — Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
    — Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58

    6) SEC tourney:
    — All four favorites won Friday; I’m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren’t going to help their cause any.

    Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
    — Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
    — Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
    — Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he’s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA— the guy is an X’s-and-O’s savant.

    5) MAAC tourney:
    Iona 70, Niagara 64
    — Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
    — Iona didn’t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn’t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they’re favored to win their league title tonight.

    4) MAC tourney:
    Ohio 87, Toledo 80
    — Toledo hasn’t made the NCAA’s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.

    Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
    — Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
    — Bulls have won seven games in a row; they’re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.

    3) Conference USA tourney
    Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
    — Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.

    North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
    — Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They’re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA’s in 2010.

  17. #317
    SATURDAY, MARCH 13
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    NY at OKC 02:00 PM
    NY -5.0...............119 - 97.......WINNER
    O 209.0............................WINNER


    MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
    WAS +11.0.................125 - 119
    O 240.5...........................WINNER

    TOR at CHA 07:00 PM
    CHA -2.5...........104 - 114.........WINNER
    U 233.5

    DET at BK 07:00 PM
    BK -11.0............95 - 100.........LOSER
    O 227.0......................LOSER


    SAC at ATL 07:30 PM
    SAC +4.0..............106- 121.......LOSER
    O 238.0

    POR at MIN 08:00 PM
    POR -4.5............125 - 121..........LOSER
    U 234.0...........................LOSER


    IND at PHO 10:00 PM
    PHO -7.0..........................122 - 111...........LOSER
    U 223.0



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
    03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
    03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......45-42-4.....51.72%......- 6.00

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-14-2021 at 12:02 AM.

  18. #318
    Sunday’s 6-pack
    — Georgetown 73, Marquette 48— #8-seed Hoyas win the Big East.
    — Texas 91, Oklahoma State 86— Longhorns had lost last six Big X title games.
    — Grand Canyon 74, New Mexico State 56— Bryce Drew’s Antelopes win WAC.
    — Iona 60, Fairfield 51— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the NCAAs.
    — North Texas 61, Western Kentucky 57 OT— Mean Green’s first title since 2010.
    — Oregon State 70, Colorado 68— Beavers win Pac-12 tourney for first time.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 533,868
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Try not to do too many things at once. Know what you want, the number one thing today and tomorrow. Persevere and get it done.”
    George Allen

    Sunday’s quiz
    We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; which state was the first state?

    Saturday’s quiz
    2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.

    Friday’s quiz
    Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, four were/are being played in Las Vegas.

    ************************

    Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Last three days have been very excellent; sat around my house in hooded sweatshirts and sweats, watched ball for 14-16 hours a day, ate pizza, took a lot of notes. Life almost seemed normal again.

    In most years, this is my favorite week of the year; last year it was a disaster, when everything shut down because of the pandemic. This week, college basketball was everywhere, the way it is supposed to be in March. Filled in the voids with spring training baseball. Good stuff.

    Sunday night the brackets come out, something we all missed last year.

    Meanwhile, there was other stuff going on besides college basketball:

    12) Every summer, HBO does Hard Knocks, a behind-the-scenes look at NFL training camp, usually one team each summer. They do five one-hour shows during the summer; it is fun to learn some things that normally behind-the-scenes. It helps promote the league.

    Baseball needs to do this!!! Give HBO access to a team every spring; Lord knows there is enough free time for managers/coaches/players to talk on camera. Let HBO spen six weeks with the Angels so America can learn about Trout, and Ohtani. Next year do the Padres.

    Promote the game!!! Young people need to learn how great baseball is; there is so much stuff going on these days, so much competition for the entertainment dollar. Expose baseball to as many people as possible; that would seem like a good business move.

    Speaking of which, why do they black out TV broadcasts of games on MLB Network? Let as many people watch games as want to do it— it is STUPID to black games out.

    11) Major league baseball now controls the minor leagues; starting this season, they’re going to use the minors as a laboratory for new rules. Different levels will have different experiments:
    — All four infielders will have to have both feet on the infield dirt.
    — Teams will have to have two infielders on each side of th einfield.
    — 0:15 pitch clock, which seems to be a bit much.
    — Throws to first base vs baserunners will be limited.
    — Robotic ball/strike umpires (I really dislike this one, maybe even hate it)

    10) The motivation for all this is that MLB wants more baseballs put in play; less strikeouts and walks, more game action. If there are only two fielders on the right side of the infield, guys can go to the other way more— hard grounders that are pulled are more likely to be hits. Fewer batters will try to hit home runs all the time.

    Batting average in the major leagues the last three years:
    2018: .248
    2019: .252
    2020: .245— In 2000, it was .270. Shifts have badly hurt offense; offense makes the game more fun to watch.

    9) Worlds colliding: a guy named Frank McCourt used to own the Dodgers- it didn’t go well. He had to sell the team, after he spent too much money in his personal life, and his toxic divorce proceedings pushed the Dodgers into bankruptcy. No bueno.

    McCourt now owns a soccer team in France, a team previously owned by a guy who was the CEO of Adidas. When the guy passed away in 2009, his wife inherited the team— she is worth $5.9B, according to Forbes magazine, the richest Russian-born woman in the world. She later sold the soccer team to McCourt.

    Anyway, it turns out that the Adidas guy was 2nd-cousins with Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who played Elaine on the Seinfeld TV show. Like I said, worlds colliding.

    8) Chicago Cubs hired Jon Sciambi as their new TV play-by-play guy, a huge upgrade over the last guy, who moved to White Sox radio. Sciambi is awesome and will team with former big league pitcher Jim Deshaies. The reason I care about this a decent amount is that I have both Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant on my fantasy team, so I’m going to be watching the Cubs a lot this season.

    7) Was watching the Milwaukee Brewers play in the middle of the night this week, the replay of an exhibition game, and got this sick feeling that I get every March when I watch the Brewers.

    They’re analytically-driven, which means their front office guys all went to fancy colleges, and they do unusual things with the team, then use their college degrees to defend them when they don’t work. Translation: I will never have another Milwaukee pitcher on my fantasy team.

    6) Random sports trivia; Arkansas hoop coach Eric Musselman is the son of the late coach Bill Musselman, who coached the Minnesota Gophers, also in the NBA and in the CBA, with the Albany Patroons, who played three miles from my house. Musselman’s Gophers won the 1972 Big Ten championship, back before there was a conference tournament.

    When Bill Musselman was at Minnesota, one of the subs on his team was this guy who was pretty good in another sport, a 6-6 outfielder you may have heard of. Guy named Dave Winfield, a baseball Hall of Famer.

    5) Tip of the cap to Nick Markakis, who retired this week after a 15-year career where he hit .288 for the Orioles/Braves, with a career on-base % of .357. Pretty freakin’ good.

    Markakis played in 147+ games in 12 of his 15 seasons; he wound up with 2,388 hits. He was on my fantasy team for several years, was a big help— one of the best “abilities” is dependability.

    4) NCAA Tournament schedule is a little different this year:
    — Play-in games will all be on Thursday.
    — First round games are Friday/Saturday
    — Second round games are Sunday/Monday
    — Second weekend of the tournament will be Saturday-Tuesday.

    3) Georgia Tech 80, Florida State 75
    — This was only second time EVER (Georgia Tech-Virginia in 1990) that the ACC title game didn’t have a team from North Carolina in it.
    — Georgia Tech wins ACC title for first time since 1993.

    2) 12-15 years ago, when I used to go to Florida every summer to watch the AAU national tournament at Disney World, I’d venture to different high schools in the Kissimmee area to watch games. When I went back to work the next week, I’d tell people how I spent my vacation, and more than one person gave me an odd look. Go figure.

    One day I’m at Poinciana HS watching games, sitting on a cafeteria table, behind one of the baskets and this young coach sits on the other end of the table. I struck up a conversation with him and picked his brain for a couple hours, learned a lot. Probably asked too many questions, but learned a lot.

    Maybe 4-5 years ago, I’m at Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas watching games, and once again I’m sitting next to the same guy, and we had another good conversation. Now I’m a nobody, he had no reason to be nice to me, or answer my numerous questions, but he did.

    Josh Pastner is a hell of a nice guy; was so happy to see him win this game and win the ACC title. He was a sub as a player on great Arizona teams under Lute Olson and now has been a head coach for 12 years, seven at Memphis, five at Georgia Tech. Congrats coach!!!

    1) Since AFL-NFL merger, most starts for a QB-coach combo without making playoffs:
    85— Jim Zorn/Jack Patera, (expansion Seahawks)
    59— David Carr/Dom Capers (expansion Texans)
    52— Ryan Tannehill/Joe Philbin (Dolphins)
    48— Derek Carr/Jon Gruden (Raiders)

  19. #319
    557MEMPHIS -558 OKLAHOMA CITY
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-70 ATS (13 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    559UTAH -560 GOLDEN STATE
    UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a home win in the current season.

    561SAN ANTONIO -562 PHILADELPHIA
    PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

    563MIAMI -564 ORLANDO
    MIAMI is 34-14 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

    565CLEVELAND -566 ATLANTA
    CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    567BOSTON -568 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    569PORTLAND -570 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    571TORONTO -572 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

    573LA CLIPPERS -574 NEW ORLEANS
    LA CLIPPERS are 40-21 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.


    --------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 14


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (17 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (28 - 9) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 19) - 3/14/2021, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
    UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (19 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 12) - 3/14/2021, 6:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1014 ATS (+26.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 385-306 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 383-316 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (20 - 18) at ORLANDO (13 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 246-201 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (14 - 23) at ATLANTA (18 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 233-288 ATS (-83.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 136-192 ATS (-75.2 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (19 - 18) at HOUSTON (11 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BOSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BOSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (22 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 30) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (17 - 21) at CHICAGO (16 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    TORONTO is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (25 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 84-61 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



    -----------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 14


    Memphis @ Oklahoma City
    Grizzlies (17-17)
    — Memphis split its last eight games.
    — Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
    — Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.

    Thunder (16-22)
    — Thunder split their last ten games.
    — OKC is 2-5-1 ATS if they played night before.
    — Over is 3-0 in their last three home games.

    — Memphis won four of last five series games.
    — Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
    — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Utah @ Golden State
    Jazz (28-9)
    — Utah split its last eight games, after a 19-1 run.
    — Jazz is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
    — Over is 6-2 in Utah’s last eight games.

    Warriors (19-19)
    — Golden State lost its last four games.
    — Warriors are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    — Utah won last five series games.
    — Jazz covered last four visits to the Bay Area.
    — Last five series games went over the total.

    San Antonio @ Philadelphia
    Spurs (19-15)
    — San Antonio is 8-5 in its last 13 games overall.
    — Spurs are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Under is 8-3-1 in Spurs’ last 12 games.

    76ers (26-12)
    — Embiid (knee) is out here.
    — 76ers won eight of their last ten games.
    — Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in Philly’s last five games.

    — 76ers won five of last six series games.
    — Spurs are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
    — Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Miami @ Orlando
    Heat (20-18)
    — Miami won nine of its last ten games overall.
    — Heat is 5-0 ATS in last five road games.
    — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    Magic (13-25)
    — Orlando lost seven in row, 15 of its last 19 games.
    — Magic is 5-7 ATS in last 12 home games.
    — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Miami won four of last five series games.
    — Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Orlando.
    — Last three series games went over the total.

    Cleveland @ Atlanta
    Cavaliers (14-23)
    — Cleveland lost 12 of its last 16 games.
    — Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
    — Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    Hawks (18-20)
    — Hawks are 4-0 SU since they fired their coach .
    — Hawks are 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — 14 of Atlanta’s last 18 games went over the total.

    — Cleveland won/covered last four series games.
    — Cavaliers covered three of last four visits to Atlanta.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Boston @ Houston
    Celtics (19-18)
    — Boston won four of its last five games SU.
    — Celtics are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Over is 7-3 in last nine Boston games.

    Rockets (11-25)
    — Houston lost its last 15 games (2-13 ATS).
    — Rockets are 0-7 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

    — Rockets won last five series games.
    — Celtics 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
    — Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

    Portland @ Minnesota
    Trailblazers (22-15)
    — Portland won five of its last six games SU.
    — Blazers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road games.
    — Over is 5-1 in Portland’s last six games.

    Timberwolves (7-30)
    — Minnesota lost 14 of last 16, 24 of its last 29 games.
    — Wolves are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
    — Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

    — Portland won eight of last ten series games.
    — Blazers covered once in last five visits to Minnesota.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

    Toronto @ Chicago
    Raptors (17-21)
    — Raptors have had COVID issues, may be missing guys.
    — Toronto lost five of its last its six games.
    — Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.

    Bulls (16-20)
    — Chicago lost four of its last five games SU.
    — Bulls are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Toronto won last ten series games (6-4 ATS)
    — Raptors covered five of last six visits to Chicago.
    — Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    LA Clippers @ New Orleans
    Clippers (25-14)
    — Clippers lost four of their last six games overall.
    — Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
    — Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Pelicans (16-22)
    — New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
    — Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
    — Over is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games.

    — Clippers won last four series games.
    — LA covered once in its last four visits to Bourbon Street.
    — Four of last five series games went over the total.



    --------------------------------------


    NBA

    Sunday, March 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Memphis @ Oklahoma City
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

    Utah @ Golden State
    Utah
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

    San Antonio @ Philadelphia
    San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    Miami @ Orlando
    Miami
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
    Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami

    Cleveland @ Atlanta
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

    Boston @ Houston
    Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 11 games at home

    Portland @ Minnesota
    Portland
    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

    LA Clippers @ New Orleans
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home

    Toronto @ Chicago
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 21 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Toronto


    ------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 14






  20. #320
    SUNDAY, MARCH 14
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MEM at OKC 02:00 PM
    MEM -7.5.............122 - 128
    U 220.0.....................LOSER

    UTA at GS 04:00 PM
    UTA -6.5..............119 - 131.....LOSER
    O 232.5...........................WINNER


    SA at PHI 06:30 PM
    SA +4.0...............99 - 134
    O 223.0.......................WINNER

    MIA at ORL 07:00 PM
    ORL +7.5............102 - 97...WINNER
    U 209.0.......................WINNER


    CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
    CLE +6.0............82 - 100
    O 222.5...................LOSER

    POR at MIN 08:00 PM
    MIN +4.5............112 - 114
    O 234.0.................LOSER

    BOS at HOU 08:00 PM
    BOS -11.0.............134 - 107
    U 222.0....................LOSER


    LAC at NO 09:00 PM
    NO +6.0..............115 - 135.....WINNER
    U 232.0..................LOSER


    TOR at CHI 09:00 PM
    CHI -3.0..............95 - 118
    U 230.0.................WINNER



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
    03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
    03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......51-48-4.....51.51%......- 9.00

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-14-2021 at 11:51 PM.

  21. #321
    Hoop Trends for Sunday March 14
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 10-0 ATS (10.10 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Portland at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Timberwolves are 0-17-1 ATS (-6.89 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Clippers at New Orleans (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (12.03 ppg) after Brandon Ingram was their high scorer.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Boston at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 0-14 OU (-10.61 ppg) as a home dog coming off a game as a dog.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  22. #322
    Monday’s 6-pack
    First round games in the NIT, which will begin in Texas:

    — Colorado State-Buffalo
    — Davidson-NC State
    — Boise State-SMU
    — Memphis-Dayton
    — Saint Louis-Mississippi State
    — Richmond-Toledo
    — Saint Mary’s-Western Kentucky
    — Ole Miss-Louisiana Tech

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 534,813
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “I just have to identify qualities and people that I want to go to war with. I need to continue to recruit those guys. I need to find more people like Kimani Lawrence and Remy Martin, and guys that just lay it out on the line and play with their heart. Kimani is blue-collar. We have an opportunity to reshape our team this offseason and we’re going to work hard to do that.”
    Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley

    Monday’s quiz
    Which two NBA teams has Rick Pitino coached?

    Sunday’s quiz
    We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.

    Saturday’s quiz
    2014 was the last time a team that was lower than a #2-seed won the national title in college basketball, when #7-seed UConn won the title.

    ******************************

    Monday’s Den: Random stuff on a Sunday night……..

    Every year (except last year) when I see the field of 68 after watching wall-to-wall college basketball for four days, my brain gets scrambled for a few hours. There is a lot of info to go thru before I post knowledge on the first round games later this week.

    For today, here are random, scrambled thoughts/information that crossed my mind at various times today:

    13) Gonzaga is the fifth team since 1977 to enter the NCAA tournament unbeaten:
    1979— Indiana State, lost in finals
    1991— UNLV, lost in semi-finals
    2014— Wichita State, lost in 2nd round
    2015— Kentucky— lost in semi-finals

    12) Over the last 16 years, the overall #1-seed in the country has won three national titles; they also failed to get out of the first weekend four times. 2013 was the last time the overall #1-seed won the national title, when Rick Pitino’s Louisville team won it all.

    11) Speaking of which, Iona is the fifth program Rick Pitino has led to the NCAA Tournament; 31 of his assistant coaches have gone on to become head coaches. Iona plays Alabama in the first round, so they probably won’t be around very long, but they had a 51-day pause this season – they didn’t play a single game in January. Just getting here is a big accomplishment.

    10) Arkansas hasn’t been to a Sweet 16 since 1996; since then, 96 different schools have had teams get to the Sweet 16. Razorbacks need to get by Colgate, then either Texas Tech/Utah State to get to the Sweet 16 this year.

    9) No team has ever won the national title, after losing their first conference tournament game. Purdue/West Virginia are in that boat this season.

    8) This is the first time since 1976 that neither Duke/Kentucky is in the tournament; 1976 is also the last time there was an undefeated national champ (Indiana).

    7) Unusual baseball situation Sunday nite: Dodgers P Julio Urias struck out three batters in the first inning against the Royals, but he only got two outs in the first inning, because of a passed ball after one of the strikeouts. Dodgers took him out after 29 pitches, but because it is spring training, he got to re-enter the game and pitched the second inning.

    Dodgers made couple errors in the first inning that led to Urias’ demise, plus the passed ball; not often a pitcher strikes out three guys but doesn’t finish the first inning.

    6) I’m optimistic about a new baseball rule that would require teams to have two infielders on each side of the diamond; eliminating shifts will discourage guys from just trying to jack the ball over the fence all the time. Fewer strikeouts maes the game more fun to watch.

    5) Add Tampa Bay to the list of teams (Milwaukee) that drive owners in fantasy baseball crazy; in a 9-inning game Sunday, Rays used nine different pitchers. You never have any idea how they are going handle pitchers on a given day— they took Blake Snell out of a World Series last year when he was dominating the other team- they just think differently than most people.

    4) Last repeat champion in college basketball; the 2007 Florida Gators. Virginia is the current defending champ; over half their team was in quarantine Sunday for contact tracing. They hope to travel out to Indianapolis on Friday,

    3) The great quarterback Drew Brees retired Sunday; when you retire on the day the brackets come out, that means you don’t want any attention. Brees will be in Canton in five years.

    2) Sunday night, I’m flipping channels between the shows analyzing the brackets and some spring baseball, and I see that ESPN2 televises freakin’ cornhole!!!! Do people watch this? Please God in heaven, tell me they don’t bet on it (DraftKings is a sponsor). Yikes.

    On a personal note, RIP to former town of Colonie supervisor Fred Field, who passed away this weekend at age 88. Mr Field was an industrial engineer for 30 years, served as town supervisor of my hometown for 18 years— he was a good guy, RIP, sir.

    1) As the week goes on, I’ll be posting information on all the basketball games; takes some time to organize the information I have, then get the TV schedule, but eventually it gets done.

    This is one of my favorite weeks all year; lets hope everyone stays healthy and the tournament is a fun one. Lord knows we could all use some fun.

  23. #323
    501MILWAUKEE -502 WASHINGTON
    WASHINGTON is 35-17 ATS (16.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

    505NEW YORK -506 BROOKLYN
    NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

    507SAN ANTONIO -508 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

    507SAN ANTONIO -508 DETROIT
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

    509INDIANA -510 DENVER
    INDIANA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

    511LA CLIPPERS -512 DALLAS
    LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

    513MEMPHIS -514 PHOENIX
    MEMPHIS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

    515LA LAKERS -516 GOLDEN STATE
    GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.


    ------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, March 15








    -----------------------------------


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, March 15


    Sacramento @ Charlotte
    Kings (15-23)
    — Sacramento is 3-12 SU/ATS in last 15 games overall.
    — Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — Over is 11-3 in Sacramento’s last 14 games

    Hornets (19-18)
    — Charlotte is 9-5 in its last 14 games SU.
    — Hornets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Under is 6-1 in Charlotte’s last seven home games.

    — Hornets won seven of last eight series games.
    — Kings are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
    — Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Milwaukee @ Washington
    Bucks (24-14)
    — Milwaukee won eight of its last nine games (5-4 ATS).
    — Bucks are 0-5 ATS in last five road games.
    — Over is 4-2 in Milwaukee’s last six road games

    Wizards (14-23)
    — Wizards lost four of last five games, are 10-4 ATS in last 14.
    — Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home games.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    — Bucks won last six series games, scoring 125+ points in all six.
    — Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Washington.
    — Last six series games went over the total.

    New York @ Brooklyn
    Knicks (20-19)
    — New York won nine of last 13 games (12-5 ATS last 17).
    — Knicks are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.

    Nets (26-13)
    — Brooklyn won/covered 12 of their last 13 games.
    — Nets are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Five of last six Brooklyn home games stayed under.

    — Nets won five of last seven series games.
    — Knicks covered three of last four visits to Brooklyn.
    — Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

    San Antonio @ Detroit
    Spurs (19-16)
    — San Antonio is 8-6 in its last 14 games overall.
    — Spurs are 5-4 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Under is 8-4-1 in Spurs’ last 13 games.

    Pistons (10-28)
    — Detroit lost nine of its last 11 games
    — Pistons are 5-2 ATS in last seven games overall.
    — Under is 8-3 in Detroit’s last 11 games.

    — San Antonio won eight of last ten series games.
    — Spurs are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
    — Three of last four series games went over.

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    Clippers (25-15)
    — Clippers lost five of their last seven games overall.
    — Clippers are 1-5 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

    Mavericks (20-17)
    — Mavericks won 11 of their last 14 games.
    — Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
    — Under is 7-2 in last nine Dallas games.

    — Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
    — LA covered five of last seven visits to Dallas.
    — Four of last six series games went over.

    Indiana @ Denver
    Pacers (17-20)
    — Indiana lost 11 of its last 16 games.
    — Pacers are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
    — Over is 7-3-1 in Indiana’s last 11 games.

    Nuggets (22-16)
    — Denver is 10-5 in its last 15 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 6-11 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight games overall.

    — Nuggets won six of last nine series games.
    — Indiana covered three of last four visits to Denver.
    — Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Memphis @ Phoenix
    Grizzlies (17-18)
    — Memphis lost three of its last four games.
    — Grizzlies are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games overall.
    — Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

    Suns (25-12)
    — Phoenix won 17 of its last 21 games (16-5 ATS).
    — Suns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
    — Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

    — Memphis won six of last seven series games.
    — Grizzlies covered three of last four visits to Phoenix.
    — Five of last six series games stayed under.

    LA Lakers @ Golden State
    Lakers (25-13)
    — Lakers lost six of their last nine games.
    — Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
    — Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Warriors (20-19)
    — Golden State lost four of its last five games.
    — Warriors are 7-3 ATS in last ten home games.
    — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

    — Lakers won four of last five series games.
    — Lakers are 3-2 ATS in last five trips to the Bay Area.
    — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.


    ------------------------------------


    NBA

    Monday, March 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sacramento @ Charlotte
    Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 14 games
    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
    Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Milwaukee @ Washington
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    New York @ Brooklyn
    New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 10 games when playing New York

    San Antonio @ Detroit
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
    San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Indiana @ Denver
    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver
    Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Memphis @ Phoenix
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    Phoenix
    Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    LA Lakers @ Golden State
    LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 21 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Golden State
    Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Golden State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


    ----------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 15


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (24 - 14) at WASHINGTON (14 - 23) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 89-141 ATS (-66.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 6-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (15 - 23) at CHARLOTTE (19 - 18) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 208-258 ATS (-75.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (20 - 19) at BROOKLYN (26 - 13) - 3/15/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 256-209 ATS (+26.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    NEW YORK is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (19 - 16) at DETROIT (10 - 28) - 3/15/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1015 ATS (+25.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 385-307 ATS (+47.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 383-317 ATS (+34.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 460-385 ATS (+36.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (17 - 20) at DENVER (22 - 16) - 3/15/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (25 - 15) at DALLAS (20 - 17) - 3/15/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 464-379 ATS (+47.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 591-509 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    DALLAS is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 84-62 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (17 - 18) at PHOENIX (25 - 12) - 3/15/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MEMPHIS is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 185-228 ATS (-65.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (25 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (20 - 19) - 3/15/2021, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Monday March 15
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Sacramento at Charlotte (7:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Kings are 11-0 ATS (9.05 ppg) on the road off a road loss in which they led by double digits.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Indiana at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-6.70 ppg) as a dog after they had 6+ double digit scorers last game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Dallas (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Clippers are 10-0-2 OU (9.54 ppg) as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they never led.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Golden State (10:35 p.m. ET)

    -- The Warriors are 0-10 OU (-20.25 ppg) at home off a win as a dog in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  24. #324
    MONDAY, MARCH 15
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MIL at WAS 07:00 PM
    WAS +8.5..........133 - 122.........LOSER
    O 242.5...........................WINNER


    SAC at CHA 07:00 PM
    SAC +3.5............116 - 122.....LOSER
    O 239.0..........................LOSER


    NY at BK 08:00 PM
    NY +8.5.................112 - 117
    O 223.0........................WINNER

    SA at DET 08:00 PM
    SA -3.0...........109 - 99
    O 215.5......................LOSER

    IND at DEN 09:00 PM
    DEN -5.0......106 - 121....WINNER
    U 224.0

    LAC at DAL 09:00 PM
    DAL +2.0..........109 - 90
    O 227.5......................LOSER

    MEM at PHO 10:00 PM
    PHO -7.0.............99 - 122......WINNER
    U 227.0

    LAL at GS 10:30 PM
    LAL -2.5
    U 224.0



    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
    03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
    03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
    03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......55-53-4.....50.92%......- 16.50

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-16-2021 at 12:00 AM.

  25. #325
    Tuesday’s 6-pack
    NCAA Tournament trends:

    — Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round.
    — Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round.
    — Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round.
    — Last four years, #4-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
    — Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
    — Last 20 national champs went 15-4-1 ATS in their 1st round game.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Everyone handles it differently. Some get emotional. Some get upset. Some thank you for the opportunity. You’ve got to be ready to react to everything. But you understand it’s what you’ve got to deal with. There’s a big difference between breaking with the club and going to Triple A.” Bruce Bochy, on players getting sent down during spring training

    Tuesday’s quiz
    UConn won the national title in 2014; who was their coach?

    Monday’s quiz
    Rick Pitino has coached both the Knicks and the Celtics.

    Sunday’s quiz
    We know Hawai’i is the 50th state; Delaware was the first state.

    ******************************

    Tuesday’s Den: Conference trends for the NCAA’s first weekend
    Conference trends for the first weekend of the NCAAs:


    ACC
    — Last three years (we’re not counting 2020 as a year, since there was no tournament), ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
    — Since 2013, ACC teams are 35-13 SU in first round
    — Last five years, 16 of 37 ACC teams (43.2%) made the Sweet 16.

    American
    — UConn was 2014 national title out of the AAC.
    — Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in first round, 1-6 in 2nd round.
    — During that time, 2019 Houston is only Sweet 16 team they’ve had.

    A-14
    — Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 in the first round.
    — A-14’s last Sweet 16 team was Dayton, back in 2014.

    Big East
    — Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 in first round.
    — Last three years, Big East teams are 5-13 in 2nd round.
    — Thats 5 of 32 teams (15.6%) making the Sweet 16.

    Big Sky
    — Big Sky teams lost their last 13 first round games.
    — Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
    — You’re reading armadillosports.com
    — Montana in 2006 was last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game.

    Big West
    — Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
    — Since 2003, Big West teams are 0-6 ATS in their 2nd tournament game.

    Big 14:
    — Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
    — Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-8 in 2nd round
    — Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16.

    Big X
    — Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 in first round games.
    — Last three years, Big X teams are 8-4 on 2nd round games.
    — Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16, same as the Big 14.

    CAA
    — Since VCU left the CAA in 2012, things haven’t gone well.
    — Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 in NCAA games (5-2 ATS)
    — Last eight years, six different teams have represented the CAA

    Conference USA

    — C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
    — Those five C-USA teams that won went 0-5 ATS in second round.

    Horizon League
    — Butler made the Final Four in 2010/2011 out of the Horizon.
    — Since then, Butler jumped ship to gr$$n$r pa$ture$.
    — Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA’s (2-6 ATS)

    MAAC
    — Siena was last MAAC team to win an NCAA game, in 2009.
    — Since then, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS.

    MAC
    — Buffalo won its first round game in 2018/2019, ending the MAC’s five-game losing skid in first round games.

    — MAC teams covered their last four first round games.
    — Since 2003, MAC teams are 1-4 ATS in second round.
    — Since 2003, Ohio U in ’12 is MAC’s only Sweet 16 team.

    Missouri Valley
    — Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
    — Those nine teams went 4-5 ATS in 2nd round games.

    Wichita State-Drake is a first round game, old MVC rivals.

    — Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in Valley games; they totally dominated.
    — Last five years Wichita was in the Valley, Drake went 26-64 in MVC games.
    — In four years since Wichita (and also Creighton) bolted, Drake is 45-27.

    Mountain West
    — Since 2014, Mountain West teams are 3-8 in play-in/first round games.
    — Those teams went 2-4 ATS when favored, 2-3 as an underdog, 4-7 overall.

    Ohio Valley
    — Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games, but they’ve lost seven of last eight SU.
    — When Murray State whacked Marquette two years ago, it snapped a 7-game losing skid for the OVC in NCAA tourney games.

    Pac-12
    — Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in first round games.
    — Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 13-6 in second round games.
    — Thats 13 of 32 Pac-12 teams (40.6%) that made the Sweet 16— that will surprise some people.

    SEC
    — Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
    — Thats 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.
    — Last four years, SEC teams are 10-7 in 2nd round games
    — Thats 10 of 23 SEC teams (43.5%) that made the Sweet 16

    Southern
    — Wofford’s win in 2019 snapped So-Con’s 0-10 skid in NCAA games.
    — That said, SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.

    Summit
    — Summit teams lost 16 of last 17 first round games (6-9-2 ATS)
    — Summit teams covered four of last six first round games.
    — Summit teams are 2-0 SU in play-in games.

    Sun Belt
    — Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
    — You’re reading armadillosports.com
    — Since 2010, Sun Belt teams are 4-8 ATS in NCAA Tournament games.
    — Over last 20 years, Sun Belt has changed a lot, as schools jumped conferences.

    WAC
    — WAC teams lost their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
    — WAC teams are 3-6 ATS in last nine NCAA Tournament games.
    — New Mexico State won this league seven of last eight years, so Grand Canyon winning WAC tournament is different— this is their first NCAA bid.

    WCC
    — Last time someone other than Gonzaga/BYU/Saint Mary’s repped the WCC? 2008, when the San Diego Toreros made the tournament.
    — Gonzaga won its last 11 first round games (6-5 ATS)
    — During that time, Gonzaga is only 3-7-1 ATS in 2nd round games.
    — Gonzaga won its last five second round games SU- they’re expected to do a lot more than that this season.

  26. #326
    517UTAH -518 BOSTON
    UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    519OKLAHOMA CITY -520 CHICAGO
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

    521ATLANTA -522 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    523CLEVELAND -524 MIAMI
    CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

    527NEW ORLEANS -528 PORTLAND
    NEW ORLEANS are 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996.

    529MINNESOTA -530 LA LAKERS
    LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.


    ----------------------------------


    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, March 16


    Utah @ Boston
    Jazz (28-10)
    — Utah lost three of its last four games.
    — Jazz is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.
    — Over is 7-2 in Utah’s last nine games.

    Celtics (20-18)
    — Boston won five of its last six games SU.
    — Celtics are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
    — Over is 8-3 in last 11 Boston games.

    — Utah won four of last five series games.
    — Jazz covered last three visits to Boston.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Cleveland @ Miami
    Cavaliers (14-24)
    — Cleveland lost 13 of its last 17 games.
    — Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
    — Seven of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    Heat (21-18)
    — Miami won 10 of its last 11 games overall.
    — Heat is 4-3 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    — Heat won nine of last ten series games.
    — Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
    — Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

    New York @ Philadelphia
    Knicks (20-20)
    — New York won nine of last 14 games (12-6 ATS last 18).
    — Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
    — Over is 4-0 in New York’s last four games.

    76ers (27-12)
    — 76ers won five in row, nine of their last 11 games.
    — Sixers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six games.

    — 76ers won last ten series games.
    — Knicks covered once in last five visits to Philly.
    — Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Oklahoma City @ Chicago
    Thunder (17-22)
    — Thunder won three of their last four games.
    — OKC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

    Bulls (17-20)
    — Chicago lost four of its last six games SU.
    — Bulls are 5-10-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
    — Over is 6-4 in their last ten home games.

    — Oklahoma City won six of last seven series games.
    — Thunder is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Chicago.
    — Last five series games went over the total.

    Atlanta @ Houston
    Hawks (19-20)
    — Hawks are 5-0 SU since they fired their coach .
    — Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
    — 14 of Atlanta’s last 19 games went over the total.

    Rockets (11-26)
    — Houston lost its last 16 games (2-14 ATS).
    — Rockets are 0-8 ATS in last eight home games.
    — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

    — Rockets won last six series games.
    — Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
    — Four of last six series games went over.

    New Orleans @ Portland
    Pelicans (17-22)
    — New Orleans split their last six games, all at home.
    — Pelicans are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
    — Over is 21-5-2 in their last 28 games.

    Trailblazers (22-15)
    — Portland won five of its last seven games SU.
    — You’re reading ***************.com
    — Blazers are 7-2 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

    — New Orleans won four of last five series games.
    — Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Portland.
    — Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Minnesota @ LA Lakers
    Timberwolves (9-30)
    — Minnesota lost 14 of last 17, 24 of its last 30 games.
    — Wolves are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.
    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    Lakers (26-13)
    — Lakers won four of their last six games.
    — Lakers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

    — Lakers won/covered last three series games.
    — Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.


    ----------------------------------


    NBA

    Tuesday, March 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Utah @ Boston
    Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
    Boston
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Atlanta @ Houston
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games
    Houston
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games at home

    Cleveland @ Miami
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Miami
    Miami
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    New York @ Philadelphia
    New York
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York

    Oklahoma City @ Chicago
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

    New Orleans @ Portland
    New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 17 games
    Portland
    Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games at home

    Minnesota @ LA Lakers
    Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota


    --------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, March 16







    -------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, March 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (28 - 10) at BOSTON (20 - 18) - 3/16/2021, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    UTAH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    UTAH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 4-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA CITY (17 - 22) at CHICAGO (17 - 20) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 148-197 ATS (-68.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (19 - 20) at HOUSTON (11 - 26) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (14 - 24) at MIAMI (21 - 18) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 136-193 ATS (-76.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (20 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 12) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 257-209 ATS (+27.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    NEW YORK is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (17 - 22) at PORTLAND (22 - 16) - 3/16/2021, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (9 - 30) at LA LAKERS (26 - 13) - 3/16/2021, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 182-230 ATS (-71.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------


    Hoop Trends for Tuesday March 16
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: New York at Philadelphia (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Knicks are 9-0 ATS (17.11 ppg) after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Cleveland at Miami (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Cavaliers are 0-18-1 ATS (-10.87 ppg) on the road with rest after a game as a road dog in which they shot under 40% from the field.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: New Orleans at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Pelicans are 13-0-1 OU (12.29 ppg) coming off a win.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Atlanta at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Rockets are 0-11 OU (-7.73 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  27. #327
    TUESDAY, MARCH 16
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    UTA at BOS 07:30 PM
    BOS +4.0.........117 - 109......LOSER
    U 228.5...............................WINNER

    OKC at CHI 08:00 PM
    OKC +6.0...........102 - 123
    O 225.0....................PUSH

    CLE at MIA 08:00 PM
    MIA -10.5............98 - 113...WINNER
    O 206.5...........................WINNER


    ATL at HOU 08:00 PM
    ATL -9.0................119 - 107.....LOSER
    U 225.5

    NY at PHI 08:00 PM
    PHI -7.0.............96 - 99
    U 218.0...................WINNER

    NO at POR 10:00 PM
    NO +1.5................124 - 125....WINNER
    O 238.0..........................WINNER


    MIN at LAL 10:30 PM
    MIN +8.0.............121 - 137
    O 223.0..........................WINNER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    03/16/2021..7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
    03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
    03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
    03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
    03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......62-55-4.....52.99%......+ 7.50

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-17-2021 at 12:23 AM.

  28. #328
    Wednesday’s 6-pack
    Odds to win the Honda Classic this week:

    11-1— Daniel Berger
    13-1— Sungjae Im
    20-1— Joaquin Niemann
    22-1— Lee Westwood
    24-1— Adam Scott, Shane Lowry
    29-1— Russell Henley

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “I called Tucker Carlson a dick on national television. It’s high time I apologize…to dicks. Never should have lumped you in with that terrible terrible person”
    Jon Stewart

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Where did Andy Dalton play his college football?

    Tuesday’s quiz
    UConn won the national title in 2014; Kevin Ollie was their coach.

    Monday’s quiz
    Rick Pitino has coached both the Knicks and the Celtics.

    *************************

    Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Pretty cool moment on the Mariners-Rockies’ telecast the other night; the broadcast had announcers from both teams, a great idea because you learn more about both teams.

    Anyway, early in the game they have a Colorado coach miked in the dugout for a half-inning, the Rockies’ pitching coach at AA Hartford. Why, you ask? Seattle’s pitcher at the time was Marco Gonzales; the Rockies’ pitching coach is Frank Gonzales, Marco’s father.

    He can’t root for his son, he doesn’t want to root against him; it was good TV, and had to be a really proud moment for the dad.

    12) Interweb says that LeBron James will become a part owner of the Boston Red Sox; he became a partner with Fenway Sports Group, a deal that also also increases James’ ownership stake in an English soccer team. Apparently it is fun to be really, really rich.

    11) There was a surprising moment in the Cardinals-Mets game Sunday which drew national attention; Cardinals’ P Jordan Hicks came in relief to pitch, faced Luis Guillorme leading off an inning. The at-bat lasted 22 pitches, longest AB I can ever remember seeing, before Guillorme walked.

    Sunday was the first day this spring where you couldn’t pull the plug on an inning, and there is that 3-batter rule now, so when St Louis wanted to change pitchers, apparently the umpires quietly told them that they had to bring the trainer out and pretend Hicks was hurt, if they wanted to remove him, and that’s what happened.

    10) Grand Canyon made their first NCAA Tournament this year; I’m especially happy for coach Bryce Drew, who got hosed when Vanderbilt fired him two years ago.

    Drew’s first two Vandy teams went 31-36, 16-18 in SEC games, but then he recruited a really good freshman point guard, Darius Garland. Vandy started out Year 3 with a 4-0 mark, but Garland got hurt 2:00 into Game 5, and the Commodores went in the ashcan when he never came back to play that year.

    Vandy’s AD seemed anxious to fire Drew and hire Jerry Stackhouse; the Commodores are 20-37 in two years under Stackhouse, 6-28 in SEC games.

    Garland has scored 13.5 ppg in his first 88 NBA games (for Cleveland); had he not gotten hurt, Vandy would’ve had a good season, Drew would probably still have his job and Grand Canyon would have a different coach. Maybe Vanderbilt did Drew a favor by firing him.

    9) Padres’ catcher Austin Nola broke the middle finger on his left hand, which makes his availability for Opening Day a ????

    Nola hit .273 for Seattle/San Diego last year.

    8) When the season starts, Oakland A’s better hit the ground running; they open with seven games against Houston, three against the Dodgers. Yikes.

    7) College basketball stuff:
    — Indiana fired Archie Miller. Hoosiers have been over .500 in the Big 14 once in the last eight years.
    — Minnesota fired Richard Pitino, who was then hired by New Mexico.
    — Penn State hired Micah Shrewsberry, who has been an assistant coach under Brad Stevens and Matt Painter.
    — George Mason fired Dave Paulsen.
    — For some reason, Utah fired Larry Krystkowiak. Maybe the Utes should’ve stayed in the Mountain West Conference.

    6) I’m going to repeat this one last time; Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. Luke Murray is going to be a head coach soon.

    Minnesota GOPHERS have a head coach opening; it would be tremendous if Bill Murray’s son became coach of the GOPHERS (Caddyshack reference).

    Minnesota needs Luke Murray to be their next basketball coach. In Caddyshack, Bill Murray played a groundskeeper named Carl Spackler who was at war with the gophers who lived underneath Bushwood Country Club.

    The TV commercials would be epic; imagine Carl Spackler rooting FOR the Gophers?

    5) Word out of Anaheim is that Matt Vasgersian will be the Angels’ new play-by-play guy on TV, with Darin Sutton filling in at times. Angels’ analyst is Mark Gubicza, who is great- upbeat, smart so they’re going to be fun to listen to late at night on the baseball package.

    4) Chicago Bears signed QB Andy Dalton to a $10M, one-year deal, with another $3M possible in incentives. Dalton started nine games for Dallas LY; Bears now have him, Nick Foles, Mitch Trubisky at QB— sounds like Trubisky will be moving on.

    3) New England Patriots signed eight free agents Tuesday, as they prepare to bounce back from missing the playoffs last year- they also re-signed QB Cam Newton last week.

    2) QB Ryan Fitzpatrick signed with Washington; they’ll be his 9th NFL team. He is already the only quarterback ever to start a game for eight different teams.

    Houston Texans added QB Tyrod Taylor, who has a 24-21-1 record as an NFL starter, but has started only four games the last three years, with Bills/Chargers.

    Taylor was the Buffalo QB before Josh Allen, the Chargers QB before Justin Herbert- he lost his starting job when a doctor punctured his lung with a needle while giving Taylor a pain-killing injection just before a game last fall.

    1) Colgate is playing Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament; Red Raiders are 14-1 this season, but the schedule they’ve played has been, by modern standards…….unique?
    — 13 of the 15 games were against Boston U (5), Army (4) or Holy Cross (4)
    — Only other teams they played were Bucknell, Loyola MD, in Patriot League tourney.
    — Their first game was January 2nd.
    — Colgate has made 40% of their 3-pointers, #3 in country.
    — #189 Army is only team they’ve played ranked higher than #210 in country.

  29. #329
    531MILWAUKEE -532 PHILADELPHIA
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

    533BROOKLYN -534 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

    535TORONTO -536 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

    537SACRAMENTO -538 WASHINGTON
    WASHINGTON is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996.

    539GOLDEN STATE -540 HOUSTON
    HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

    541BOSTON -542 CLEVELAND
    CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    543SAN ANTONIO -544 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

    545MIAMI -546 MEMPHIS
    MIAMI is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

    547CHARLOTTE -548 DENVER
    CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) when the total >=230 in the current season.

    549LA CLIPPERS -550 DALLAS
    DALLAS are 56-36 ATS (16.4 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.



    --------------------------------



    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, March 17


    Toronto @ Detroit
    Raptors (17-22)
    — Raptors have had COVID issues, may be missing guys.
    — Toronto lost five in row, seven of its last its eight games.
    — Raptors are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
    — Five of last seven Toronto games went over the total.

    Pistons (10-29)
    — Detroit lost 10 of its last 12 games
    — Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight games overall.
    — Under is 9-3 in Detroit’s last 12 games.

    — Toronto won three of last four series games.
    — Raptors are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Detroit.
    — Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

    Brooklyn @ Indiana
    Nets (27-13)
    — Brooklyn won 13 of their last 14 games (12-2 ATS).
    — Nets are 7-0 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Five of last seven Brooklyn road games went over.

    Pacers (17-21)
    — Indiana lost 12 of its last 17 games.
    — Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
    — Over is 8-3-1 in Indiana’s last 12 games.

    — Pacers won seven of last ten series games.
    — Nets covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
    — Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
    Bucks (25-14)
    — Milwaukee won nine of its last ten games (6-4 ATS).
    — Bucks are 1-5 ATS in last six road games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last seven road games

    76ers (28-12)
    — 76ers won six in row, 10 of their last 12 games.
    — Sixers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
    — Over is 5-2 in Philly’s last seven games.

    — Milwaukee won six of last nine series games.
    — Bucks covered once in last four visits to Philly.
    — Six of last eight series games went over.

    Sacramento @ Washington
    Kings (15-24)
    — Sacramento is 3-13 SU/ATS in last 16 games overall.
    — Kings are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 11-4 in Sacramento’s last 15 games

    Wizards (14-24)
    — Wizards lost five of last six games (2-4 ATS)
    — Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine home games.
    — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

    — Sacramento won three of last four series games.
    — Kings covered once in last five visits to Washington.
    — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

    Boston @ Cleveland
    Celtics (20-19)
    — Boston won five of its last seven games SU.
    — Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.
    — Over is 9-3 in last 12 Boston games.

    Cavaliers (14-25)
    — Cleveland lost 14 of its last 18 games.
    — Cavaliers are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.
    — Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under the total.

    — Boston won last nine series games.
    — Celtics are 2-1-1 ATS in last four visits to Cleveland.
    — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    San Antonio @ Chicago
    Spurs (20-16)
    — San Antonio is 9-6 in its last 15 games overall.
    — Spurs are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
    — Under is 9-4-1 in Spurs’ last 14 games.

    Bulls (18-20)
    — Chicago won six of its last ten games SU.
    — Bulls are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
    — Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

    — Spurs won seven of last ten series games, but lost last two.
    — San Antonio covered once in last five visits to Chicago.
    — Over is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

    Golden State @ Houston
    Warriors (20-20)
    — Golden State lost five of its last six games.
    — Warriors are 3-4 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Under is 6-1 in their last seven road games.

    Rockets (11-27)
    — Houston lost its last 17 games (2-15 ATS).
    — Rockets are 0-9 ATS in last nine home games.
    — Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Warriors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
    — Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games.

    Miami @ Memphis
    Heat (22-18)
    — Miami won 11 of its last 12 games overall.
    — Heat is 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
    — Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

    Grizzlies (17-19)
    — Memphis lost four of its last five games.
    — Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in last seven games overall.
    — Under is 10-2 in their last 11 games.

    — Miami won five of last six series games,.
    — Heat is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
    — Last five series games went over the total.

    Charlotte @ Denver
    Hornets (20-18)
    — Charlotte is 10-5 in its last 15 games SU.
    — Hornets are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
    — Over is 9-0 in Charlotte’s last nine road games.

    Nuggets (23-16)
    — Denver is 11-5 in its last 16 games overall.
    — Nuggets are 7-11 ATS at home this season.
    — Under is 6-3 in Denver’s last nine games overall.

    — Nuggets won four of last five series games.
    — Hornets are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
    — Four of last five series games went over.

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    Clippers (26-15)
    — Clippers lost five of their last eight games overall.
    — Clippers are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
    — Under is 5-3 in their last eight games overall.

    Mavericks (20-18)
    — Mavericks won 11 of their last 15 games.
    — Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
    — Under is 8-2 in last ten Dallas games.

    — Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
    — LA covered five of last six visits to Dallas.
    — Last three series games stayed under.



    ------------------------------------------



    NBA

    Wednesday, March 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sacramento @ Washington
    Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Toronto @ Detroit
    Toronto
    Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games on the road
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games

    Brooklyn @ Indiana
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

    Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    Boston @ Cleveland
    Boston
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

    Golden State @ Houston
    Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston's last 22 games at home

    San Antonio @ Chicago
    San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio

    Miami @ Memphis
    Miami
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
    Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games

    Charlotte @ Denver
    Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
    Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Denver
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

    LA Clippers @ Dallas
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------



    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, March 17







    -------------------------------------------



    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, March 17


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (25 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 12) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 90-141 ATS (-65.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 148-114 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (27 - 13) at INDIANA (17 - 21) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 86-63 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (17 - 22) at DETROIT (10 - 29) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (15 - 24) at WASHINGTON (14 - 24) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 351-413 ATS (-103.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (20 - 20) at HOUSTON (11 - 27) - 3/17/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    HOUSTON is 119-157 ATS (-53.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 9-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 7-6 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (20 - 19) at CLEVELAND (14 - 25) - 3/17/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (20 - 16) at CHICAGO (18 - 20) - 3/17/2021, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1143-1015 ATS (+26.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 386-307 ATS (+48.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 384-317 ATS (+35.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 461-385 ATS (+37.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (22 - 18) at MEMPHIS (17 - 19) - 3/17/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 170-132 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
    MIAMI is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (20 - 18) at DENVER (23 - 16) - 3/17/2021, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 209-258 ATS (-74.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (26 - 15) at DALLAS (20 - 18) - 3/17/2021, 9:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 464-380 ATS (+46.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 85-62 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 10-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 10-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------



    Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 17
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Charlotte at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Hornets are 13-0 ATS (11.73 ppg) after they had more than eight times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers last game.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Miami at Memphis (9:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Heat are 0-13 ATS (-10.08 ppg) as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Brooklyn at Indiana (7:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Nets are 11-0 OU (20.68 ppg) as a road favorite.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
    Matchup: San Antonio at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

    -- The Bulls are 0-13 OU (-21.65 ppg) off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

  30. #330
    WEDNESDAY, MARCH 17
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    SAC at WAS 07:00 PM
    SAC +2.5...........121 - 119,,,,WINNER
    U 248.0..............WINNER


    BK at IND 07:00 PM
    IND +3.0..........124. - 115....LOSER
    U 233.5..................LOSER

    TOR at DET 07:00 PM
    TOR -3.5...........112 - 116..........LOSER
    O 215.5...................WINNER

    MIL at PHI 07:00 PM
    MIL -5.5.................109 - 105.....LOSER
    O 235.0...............LOSER


    SA at CHI 08:00 PM
    CHI -1.5...........106 - 99
    U 223.5...................WINNER

    GS at HOU 08:00 PM
    GS -12.0.............108 - 94
    O 230.0...................LOSER

    BOS at CLE 08:00 PM
    BOS -8.5............110 -117....LOSER
    O 214.0..................WINNER


    MIA at MEM 09:00 PM
    MIA +1.0..........85 - 89.....LOSER
    O 219.5.................LOSER


    CHA at DEN 09:00 PM
    CHA +6.5............104 - 129
    O 228.5..............WINNER

    LAC at DAL 09:30 PM
    LAC -2.0............89 - 105.......LOSER
    O 226.5...............LOSER




    NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    03/17/2021..6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
    03/16/2021..7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
    03/15/2021..4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
    03/14/2021..6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
    03/13/2021..4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
    03/12/2021..3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
    03/11/2021 10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
    03/10/2021 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
    03/04/2021 9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
    03/03/2021 12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
    03/02/2021 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

    TOTALS......68-66-4.....50.74%......- 23.00

    ****************************************

    Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

    Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

    Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00
    Last edited by Cnotes53; 03-17-2021 at 11:18 PM.

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