Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[Cnotes53]

57BOSTON -58 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 232-255 ATS (-94.1 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game since 1996.

59COLUMBUS -60 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

61PHILADELPHIA -62 BUFFALO
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

61PHILADELPHIA -62 BUFFALO
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

63PITTSBURGH -64 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 64-54 ATS (14.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the last 3 seasons.

65DETROIT -66 CHICAGO
DETROIT is 5-34 ATS (-25 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

87WASHINGTON -88 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.


***************************


NHL

Sunday, February 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ NY Rangers
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Nashville
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Columbus's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Columbus
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus

Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Jersey
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington

Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 28




****************************

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (11-5-0-2, 24 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-8-0-3, 17 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 232-180 ATS (+46.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 162-162 ATS (-77.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 7-16 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 130-131 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 152-149 ATS (-86.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 224-263 ATS (-193.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (8-9-0-5, 21 pts.) at NASHVILLE (9-11-0-0, 18 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 45-48 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 45-41 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 23-26 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (10-4-0-3, 23 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-9-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 282-294 ATS (-96.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 463-403 ATS (-119.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 61-41 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS (+10.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 49-75 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
BUFFALO is 4-12 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (11-7-0-1, 23 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (10-6-0-4, 24 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 11-23 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-6 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-5 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-7 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-7-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (7-13-0-3, 17 pts.) at CHICAGO (11-7-0-4, 26 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-70 ATS (+144.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-324 ATS (-113.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 14-9 ATS (+24.6 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 394-392 ATS (+798.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 109-99 ATS (-65.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (11-5-0-4, 26 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-7-0-2, 16 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 23-28 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 8-19 ATS (+33.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CLB at NAS 03:00 PM
NAS -125..........1 - 3
U 5.5...................WINNER

PHI at BUF 03:00 PM
PHI -170...............3 - 0
O 5.5..............LOSER

WAS at NJ 03:00 PM
WAS -140.................PPD
O 6.0

PIT at NYI 05:00 PM
NYI -110............0 - 2
O 5.5.................LOSER

DET at CHI 07:00 PM
DET +170............2 - 7....LOSER
U 5.5..............LOSER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

Feb. 282021...........1 - 4........-17.00
Feb. 27,2021..........8 - 11......-18.00
Feb. 26,2021..........1 - 3........-11.50
Feb. 25,2021..........8 - 9........-5.75
Feb. 24,2021..........5 - 5........+0.25
Feb. 23,2021..........2 - 6.........-19.00
Feb .22,2021..........6 - 4........+11.50
Feb. 21,2021..........2 - 3........- 2.50
Feb. 20,2021..........8 - 10.......- 7.75
Feb. 19,2021..........3 - 3.........- 1.50
Feb. 18, 2021.........7 - 7.........+ 1.50
Feb. 17,2021..........4 - 3.........+ 6.75
Feb. 16,2021..........3 - 3.........+ 0.75
Feb. 15, 2021.........7 - 4.........+21.75
Feb. 14, 2021.........3 - 1..........+ 9.50
Feb, 13, 2021.........6 - 8...........-12.00
Feb. 12, 2021.........0 - 4...........- 20.00
Feb. 11, 2021.........6 - 8........... - 5.00
Feb. 10, 2021.........1 - 1............- 0.50
Feb. 09, 2021.........4 - 4...........+ 1.50
Feb. 08, 2021.........1 - 5...........- 20.00
Feb. 07, 2021.........4 - 1..........+ 19.75
Feb. 06, 2021.........1 - 5.......... -.22.50
Feb. 05, 2021.........3 - 4............ - 7.00
Feb. 04, 2021.........3 - 4.............- 4.75
Feb. 03, 2021.........1 - 2.............- 5.00
Feb. 02, 2021.........3 - 5.............-12.50
Feb. 01, 2021.........1 - 3............- 10.00


Totals..................102 - 130..........- 129.00


**********************************************


JANUARY TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack
Over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
102.5— Dodgers
95.5— Bronx Bombers
94.5— Padres
91.5— Braves, White Sox
90.5— Mets
88.5— Twins

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“Never miss a good chance to shut up.”
Will Rogers

Monday’s quiz
Which NBA team used to play its home games in St Louis?

Sunday’s quiz
Virginia won the last NCAA Tournament, two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the final.

Saturday’s quiz
Clint Hurdle managed the Colorado Rockies, in their one World Series appearance.

***********************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Quick piece of advice: don’t bet on spring training games this year.

They have some unusual rules this year; one of the weird ones is if a pitcher throws 20+ pitches in an inning, his manager can simply end the inning, just by saying so.

Up 5-2 in top of 6th Sunday, Angels had bases loaded, but the SF pitcher had reached 20 pitches that inning, so Gabe Kapler just told the umpire the half-inning was over. MLB is trying to prevent pitchers from overworking themselves this spring.

Some games are 5 innings, some 7, others 9, at least until March 13, when they’re expected to go back to all nine-inning games.

12) If you were born on February 29, when do you celebrate your birthday? The 28th? March 1? Must be odd having a birthday once every four years.

11) There is a basketball player at South Alabama named Kayo Goncalves: here are his shooting stats for this year, his senior season:

— 2-point shots: 7-19, 36.8%
— foul shots: 9-14, 64.3%
— 3-point shots: 65-168, 36.7%

He mustn’t dribble very much, just catch/shoot. Jaguars are 16-10 overall this season, 23-14 in Sun Belt play the last two seasons. Sun Belt basketball is fun to watch.

10) Knicks 109, Pistons 90— Knicks are 18-17, first time since 2013 that they’ve been over .500 after 35 games. Tom Thibodeau is a very good coach.

9) QB Allen Bowman is transferring from Texas Tech to Michigan; Jim Harbaugh had a young QB play for him last year and it didn’t go well, so he grabs another transfer. Bowman threw for 2,600+ yards the last two seasons.

8) It was great to watch actual baseball games Sunday, even meaningless exhibition games. Regular season starts April 1st, four weeks from Thursday.

7) Marcus Semien got $18M to play for Toronto this season, but he is also moving from SS to second base, and he’ll play most of his home games on artificial turf.

Blue Jays will stay in Florida for their first two homestands, and they’ll play it by ear from there, as far as COVID protocols go. Blue Jays played their home games in Buffalo last year, but you don’t want to play outdoors in Buffalo in April.

6) Butler 73, Villanova 61— Villanova shot 2-27 from the arc; they’re shooting 36.1% for the season behind the arc. This is the kind of game teams will have to avoid in the tournament; you lay an egg there and your season ends quickly.

5) Iowa 73, Ohio State 57— In reality, NCAA Tournament will have three #1-seeds (Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan) and five #2-seeds, just that one of the five will be named as a #1-seed, but who will it be? Buckeyes had a shot, but they’ve lost three in a row now, so that won’t happen.

4) Victor Oladipo rejected a 2-year, $45.2M contract extension from the Houston Rockets; you know your life is going well when $45.2M isn’t a good deal. He wants a contract that is longer than two years, and if he stays healthy, he’ll probably get it.

3) Charlotte 127, Sacramento 126:
— Sacramento led by 8 with 0:55 left.
— Kings missed five foul shots in the last 1:09.
— Charlotte’s best player, Gordon Hayward, didn’t play.
— Sacramento has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

2) RIP to Irv Cross, 81, who passed away Sunday. Cross was a DB in the NFL for nine years (Eagles, Rams) but was better known as a popular person on the NFL Today pregame show for many years, with Brent Musburger, Phyllis George and Jimmy the Greek. RIP, sir.

1) Sunday was the 38th anniversary of the last episode of M*A*S*H, one of the all-time great TV shows. Spent many an hour watching M*A*S*H re-runs on weekday afternoons; the episodes with MacLean Stevenson were my favorites.