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Thread: Euro 2020(1)

  1. #1

    Euro 2020(1)

    Love this tourney. Was lucky enough to go when it was in Austria and again in France. When it comes to actually making money on soccer and not throwing it away, I tend to just follow Bason and The Kid. But, I like to take some long shots at the beginning of tourneys like this.

    I took Italy 3* +1050, 5* France +460, 1* Swiss +8250 a week ago. Trying to really get into potential matchups down the line to see if thereís some long shots that could make a run. And, to me, it looks like the Dutch have a dream draw. 3 group games in Amsterdam and if they top the group, they get a 3rd place team. Could end up with a tough game vs 3rd Place in Group F, but thatís maybe a 20% chance or so. Then, if they win that, they get the winner of 2 2nd place teams - Maybe Denmark, Swiss, Turkey in the Qtrs. Semi would be in London which could be tough vs England, but donít expect them to make it. But, I really donít like this Dutch team. So, Iím going for another team in their path that could hijack their route. So hereís my lottery ticket shots:


    Swiss - already taken
    Ukraine 1* to win +8500
    Turkey 1* to win +6500
    And, wait for it....Hungry 1* +50000. Yes, this is a massive long shot and they lost one of their best players. Still its not like they suck. They are up and coming - just in a ridiculous group. But, Iím not sure anyone should be 500 to 1. Leicester City anyone? Theyíd need to squeeze out a 3rd place position in the group of death, but do get 2 home games in Budapest - which happens to be the only stadium in the tourney that is going to be 100% full. With travel restrictions, Iíd think it will be a true, raucous home game in a tough place to play. Big advantage. Not out of the question they get an upset somewhere. Then, round of 16, should they end up playing Holland, wanna guess the stadium? Yep, back home in Budapest. Then vs a 2nd place team in even further east Baku. Of course thereís little chance they can beat anyone theyíd face in the semis or finals, but at that point, its all about hedging the crap out of Hungry at 500 to 1.

    As far as Player of the Tourney, 2 stuck out to me:
    Pogba 2* +3000
    Ronaldo 2* +1900
    Canít really see why these are so much higher than others on here. Itís going to someone playing in the Finals - so France and Portugal are pretty good places to look. France Pogba >>>> ManU Pogba. If France rolls and MBappe wins the Golden Boot, I could see them rewarding their mid-field leader with the award. Ronaldo is Ronaldo. Writing him off is like writing off Micheal Jordon. If Portugal wins again, man, theyíve got amazing talent all over the field, but if heí banging in goals and leading the team, hard to see him not getting the votes - especially since it could be his last Euros and the way he missed out on the Finals last time.

  2. #2
    Registered User Crookity's Avatar
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    [QUOTE=flapjack;4472622]Love this tourney. Was lucky enough to go when it was in Austria and again in France. When it comes to actually making money on soccer and not throwing it away, I tend to just follow Bason and The Kid. But, I like to take some long shots at the beginning of tourneys like this.

    I took Italy 3* +1050, 5* France +460, 1* Swiss +8250 a week ago. Trying to really get into potential matchups down the line to see if thereís some long shots that could make a run. And, to me, it looks like the Dutch have a dream draw. 3 group games in Amsterdam and if they top the group, they get a 3rd place team. Could end up with a tough game vs 3rd Place in Group F, but thatís maybe a 20% chance or so. Then, if they win that, they get the winner of 2 2nd place teams - Maybe Denmark, Swiss, Turkey in the Qtrs. Semi would be in London which could be tough vs England, but donít expect them to make it. But, I really donít like this Dutch team. So, Iím going for another team in their path that could hijack their route. So hereís my lottery ticket shots:


    Swiss - already taken
    Ukraine 1* to win +8500
    Turkey 1* to win +6500
    And, wait for it....Hungry 1* +50000. Yes, this is a massive long shot and they lost one of their best players. Still its not like they suck. They are up and coming - just in a ridiculous group. But, Iím not sure anyone should be 500 to 1. Leicester City anyone? Theyíd need to squeeze out a 3rd place position in the group of death, but do get 2 home games in Budapest - which happens to be the only stadium in the tourney that is going to be 100% full. With travel restrictions, Iíd think it will be a true, raucous home game in a tough place to play. Big advantage. Not out of the question they get an upset somewhere. Then, round of 16, should they end up playing Holland, wanna guess the stadium? Yep, back home in Budapest. Then vs a 2nd place team in even further east Baku. Of course thereís little chance they can beat anyone theyíd face in the semis or finals, but at that point, its all about hedging the crap out of Hungry at 500 to 1.

    As far as Player of the Tourney, 2 stuck out to me:
    Pogba 2* +3000
    Ronaldo 2* +1900
    Canít really see why these are so much higher than others on here. Itís going to someone playing in the Finals - so France and Portugal are pretty good places to look. France Pogba >>>> ManU Pogba. If France rolls and MBappe wins the Golden Boot, I could see them rewarding their mid-field leader with the award. Ronaldo is Ronaldo. Writing him off is like writing off Micheal Jordon. If Portugal wins again, man, theyíve got amazing talent all over the field, but if heí banging in goals and leading the team, hard to see him not getting the votes - especially since it could be his last Euros and the way he missed out on the Finals last

    If Hungary , Ukraine or Swiss for that matter win the Euro you are getting cemented into the Madjacks Mount Rushmore a golden ticket to the Hall of Fame lol ! Than again Greece was I believe 80-1 when they took the crown in 2004, playing basically 0-0 or 1-0 every game and winning penalty shootouts so anything can happen , really! Good luck on the tournament.

  3. #3
    Memphis Depay 1* +1700
    Immobile 1* +1800.

    Terrible odds in the top goal scorer. Only betting for some action really. Lukaku, MBappe or Kane will probably win but odds are terrible. Was hoping for really long odds on Immobile since he doesnít usually perform for Italy like he does for club. But, love this Italy team and if they win it, 18-1 isnít bad for what should be their top scorer. And Depay should be much higher than 17-1, but heís banging in seemingly all of Hollandís goals recently and I think they have the draw of the tourney.

  4. #4
    One last pre-tournament future: Erickson Player of the tourney 1* +6500

  5. #5
    Registered User PittsburghKid's Avatar
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    Greece was 150-1 in 04 just an FYI !


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  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by flapjack View Post
    One last pre-tournament future: Erickson Player of the tourney 1* +6500
    This aged well.

  7. #7
    Portugal +1126 2*
    Draw +400 1*

    Ok, Germanyís playing great, but those live odds are a tad crazy. More goals are coming and itís a 1 goal game. These probably wonít win, but value-wise, Iíll bite.

  8. #8
    Germ-Port live O4/Spain -1 5*

  9. #9

    Euro 2020(1)

    Quote Originally Posted by flapjack View Post
    Germ-Port live O4/Spain -1 5*
    Really nice timing on that over 4!
    Last edited by johnnyb; Today at 12:20 PM. Reason: Another goal lol

  10. #10
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    Good work! I have been hitting the over live the whole game. Germany is dismantling them.
    "You may be a genius, but your not very smart!"

  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    Good work! I have been hitting the over live the whole game. Germany is dismantling them.
    Kicking myself for hesitating on O5 and O6 and not pulling the trigger.

  12. #12
    What the hell, O7 itís at least +.

  13. #13
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    I do not make a lot of live bets, but it was obvious from the start that Germany was going to score some goals so I just kept on hitting it.
    "You may be a genius, but your not very smart!"

  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by BASON View Post
    I do not make a lot of live bets, but it was obvious from the start that Germany was going to score some goals so I just kept on hitting it.
    In Portugalís defense, they have out scored Germany 4-2. Just woulda been nice if they coulda directed all that goal scoring at the German net.

  15. #15
    Hindsightís 20/20, but I think I underestimated having to play 2 straight away games in 2 different countries versus teams with thier back to the wall in the course of 4 days. France and Portugal had their hands full. Poland didnít have an away game vs Slovakia, but they do have to trek across Europe to play a Spain team sitting at home stewing over that draw. They should lay into Poland.

  16. #16
    As I watch the money flow out of my account the past 2 days, my hatred of the English and Spanish national team are only strengthened. France, I give a pass to. Thatís a tough travel schedule. But, if youíre sitting around in London or Sevilla as the opponents come to you and thatís your best?

  17. #17
    Registered User Crookity's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by flapjack View Post
    As I watch the money flow out of my account the past 2 days, my hatred of the English and Spanish national team are only strengthened. France, I give a pass to. Thatís a tough travel schedule. But, if youíre sitting around in London or Sevilla as the opponents come to you and thatís your best?
    Absolutely pathetic, the Spanish were always a let down team like the English but atleast they had their golden run and won the euros and world cup. This resembles the Spanish squads of old. England has already been spoken for, they are typical paper tigers. The beauty is that right now it's anyones tournament. I know I been pumping their tires but I like my Azzuri 10-1 play. The only thing is they haven't been tested yet, I want to see how they play against a powerhouse . I see you took Italy as well at the same number so I'm in good company over here lol

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