DOMINATION
DOMINATION
Statistically Speaking: Tale of two owners
By Dan Beaver, Yahoo! Sports
February 22, 2007
With apologies to Mr. Dickens, California Speedway has always been a "Tale of Two Owners."
Between them, Rick Hendrick and Jack Roush own nine victories in 13 Nextel Cup races held at this track, with Hendrick holding a slight advantage of five victories to Roush's four.
The battle for supremacy in terms of wins has raged since Jeff Gordon won the inaugural race in 1997. The following year, Mark Martin took Roush Racing to victory lane before Gordon posted a second victory in 1999. After dominating the first three years on this track, Hendrick and Roush gave up the victory for two consecutive seasons before Jimmie Johnson restored order and took the checkered flag in 2002.
Not to be outdone, Roush claimed victory again in 2003 with Kurt Busch at the wheel, and since then each owner has matched the other win for win. Gordon was victorious again in 2004, Greg Biffle and Kyle Busch split the two races of 2005, and Matt Kenseth won the February 2006 race by a narrow margin over Johnson.
For the record, February '06 is not the only time these organizations ? either on their own or combined with the other ? swept the top two spots. In fact, they have accomplished that feat in seven of the 13 races held at California. Also, the fall 2005 race marked the first time Roush and Hendrick were nearly perfect in regard to top-five finishes, as the younger Busch brother beat not only Roush's Biffle, but also his teammate Brian Vickers (finished third) and Carl Edwards (fourth). Notably, each of these drivers were in their first, second or third year of competition.
It is Hendrick's turn to win this time around, but with seven different Cup race winners ? plus Casey Mears, who could contend for victory ? coming out of these two stables, it is really anyone's race inside those camps. And actually, the smart money is on Roush's Edwards.
Ever since he first set a wheel on California Speedway, Edwards has been perfect in regard to top-10 finishes. He was sixth during his inaugural attempt in fall 2004 two weeks after he finished 10th on the similarly-configured Michigan International Speedway in his Nextel Cup debut. He has only improved since. His next four California races were all in the top 10, and even though he has yet to win on this two-mile track or its older sister in the Midwest, it is only a matter of time.
With nine teams entered in the Cup race this week, Hendrick and Roush could literally sweep the top five finishing positions and virtually sweep the top 10. In 112 Cup starts at Fontana, these two owners have captured 32 top-fives (28.5 percent of their entries), 50 top-10s (44.6 percent), and have finished outside the top 25 only 22 times.
Between them, either Hendrick or Roush has placed at least one of their drivers in the top five in every Cup race at California, and in 2005 they placed four of their drivers at the top of the field in both of the season's races at Fontana. On two occasions, in 1998 and in the spring of 2006, Hendrick and Roush claimed six of the top 10 positions, so perfection is within their grasp.
On average, they have captured half of the top-fives and 40 percent of the available top-10s since California Speedway opened.
While Hendrick holds a slight edge in Cup competition, Roush has salved his wounds in the support series. From May 2004 through February 2006, Roushketeers swept Busch's victory lane with Biffle winning three of five races, and Edwards and Martin taking one win apiece. More impressive still, Roush swept all three NASCAR races held at California last February with Martin taking the Craftsman Truck Series trophy before Biffle won the Busch race and Kenseth took the Cup event.
Overall, Roush has been much more successful in the Busch series. He not has only dominated victory lane, he has 11 more top-10s in 19 starts compared to a measly four results outside the top 25. Hendrick has only three Busch top-10s and no top-fives to his credit at California, but only one of his drivers finished outside the top 25 in 10 starts.
Only Roush has fielded entries in the trucks, but he's been a major force there as well. In eight entries, none of his drivers have ever finished outside the top 15, and Martin's victory last year was preceded by third- and fourth-place finishes from Ricky Craven and Todd Kluever, respectively, in 2005.
Fans of competing teams can only wait for this dominance to wane, but with numbers like these, that is likely to take some time.
Roush and Hendrick at Fontana
Date Race Winner Owner
Nextel Cup
2/26/2006 Auto Club 500 Matt Kenseth Jack Roush
9/4/2005 Sony HD 500 Kyle Busch Rick Hendrick
2/27/2005 Auto Club 500 Greg Biffle Jack Roush
5/2/2004 Auto Club 500 Jeff Gordon Rick Hendrick
4/27/2003 Auto Club 500 Kurt Busch Jack Roush
4/28/2002 NAPA Auto Parts 500 Jimmie Johnson Rick Hendrick
5/2/1999 California 500 by NAPA Jeff Gordon Rick Hendrick
5/3/1998 California 500 by NAPA Mark Martin Jack Roush
6/22/1997 California 500 Jeff Gordon Rick Hendrick
Busch
2/25/2006 Stater Bros 300 Greg Biffle Jack Roush
9/3/2005 Ameriquest 300 Carl Edwards Jack Roush
2/26/2005 Stater Bros 300 Mark Martin Jack Roush
9/4/2004 Target House 300 Greg Biffle Jack Roush
5/1/2004 Stater Bros 300 Greg Biffle Jack Roush
Trucks
2/24/2006 racetickets.com 200 Mark Martin Jack Roush
Dan Beaver of dba Media provides editorial and fantasy racing coverage and analysis to Yahoo! Sports.