Bet of the Month- Illinois State

[green2240]

Illinois State -4

Drake is the biggest trap on the board. Playing at home and getting 4 points when the should be giving. Drake won at Illinois State by 5 points less than four weeks ago and all of the sudden they are a home dog?

This is an extremely fishy line. Pound Illinois State

 

[bryanz]

Illinois State -4

Drake is the biggest trap on the board. Playing at home and getting 4 points when the should be giving. Drake won at Illinois State by 5 points less than four weeks ago and all of the sudden they are a home dog?

This is an extremely fishy line. Pound Illinois State

Ty Brown missed one gm this season, that was against Drake last time.... His 15 pt's per, can only help you cash....

 

[green2240]

Love the insight. Let's get it

 

[edludes]

Green-If ur making it the play of the month ur suppossed to b the one w "insight" so the fact that u didnt know this casts doubt on the quality of ur research of this game .please spell it out for us lesser minds....,how does the line go from fishy to a very strong play?just based on the line being off?

 

[Reroy]

illinois st was picked to finish 2nd in the mvc in most preseason polls. they lost their coach after last year, and this team hasn't responded well to muller for whatever reason.

tyler brown did miss the drake game due to being suspended. he is a talent player, but like alot of their players he's a loose cannon.

the redbirds are certainly the more talented of the two teams tonite, but whether or not they come out with their heads on straight is another story. this team probably knows it has to make up for starting 0-6 in the valley. you could argue that their chance at an at-large birth is shot.

anway, good luck with you play. if this team can figure it out, they are talented enough to win the mvc tourney.

 

[green2240]

Added perk. Not Carmichael and one player isnt worth the 9 point swing from past result to current line

 

[the addict]

Green-If ur making it the play of the month ur suppossed to b the one w "insight" so the fact that u didnt know this casts doubt on the quality of ur research of this game .please spell it out for us lesser minds....,how does the line go from fishy to a very strong play?just based on the line being off?

Some people don't cap with anything more then public percentages and line movement and where the money is....works for some, some don't like it.

I know some guys who literally look at nothing else. And they win.

That is just my guess, but I have no clue if that's how he operates.

Just trying to maybe suggest why...


Anyways sorry for jumpin in just thought it may be the case here....

Gl to ya all hope

 

[green2240]

I cap partly on line movement and partly on common sense.

Any square looks at:
-teams (similar records)
-past heads-up matchup (Drake won at Ill State)
-location of this game (at Drake where they recently beat Creighton)

This line screams bullshit to me. The line movement (moved from 2.5 to 4) and percentages are an added bonus

 

[bryanz]

Green-If ur making it the play of the month ur suppossed to b the one w "insight" so the fact that u didnt know this casts doubt on the quality of ur research of this game .please spell it out for us lesser minds....,how does the line go from fishy to a very strong play?just based on the line being off?

the line being off, is all you need sometimes... by most, this line should be drake a slite chalk maybe a pk or 1 the other way .... 3.5 is a strong # here... plus the money likes this home dog... you have to take a strong look at III ST in this spot...I like this one ...

 

[Macgruder23]

the line being off, is all you need sometimes... by most, this line should be drake a slite chalk maybe a pk or 1 the other way .... 3.5 is a strong # here... plus the money likes this home dog... you have to take a strong look at III ST in this spot...I like this one ...

Not true .. Ill St -3 is about right. 11.5 favorites last time 8 point difference. Line is spot on. Not saying I'm on Drake but the line isnt off at all

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I cap partly on line movement and partly on common sense.

Any square looks at:
-teams (similar records)
-past heads-up matchup (Drake won at Ill State)
-location of this game (at Drake where they recently beat Creighton)

This line screams bullshit to me. The line movement (moved from 2.5 to 4) and percentages are an added bonus

GL w/your play Green. Yesterday Florida was -10 and grew to -12 1/2, line movement would say people hit Gators hard, outcome sure was different. Gators beat Razorbacks by over 30 last 2 games they played vs each uddah too.

Baskets is a funny funny game.

:0003

 

[Innavation]

nice call!!opcorn2

 

[Englishman]

Thanks. Made us wait a while but a great call.

 

[Jord20]

Great heart, Greens!!

 

[Ronnie]

:toast:

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

Miracle win of the century :mj07: Nice hit! Glad they covered the spread for you, i had them on the moneyline and given up on them long time ago :scared

 

[green2240]

Winner. Finally the real Illinois State team showed up. Just took the full 60 minutes

Id say comeback was just as lucky as Drake hitting 9 first half three pointers.

 

[Englishman]

They played four OT periods?

 

[bryanz]

Not true .. Ill St -3 is about right. 11.5 favorites last time 8 point difference. Line is spot on. Not saying I'm on Drake but the line isnt off at all

some who use computers to make a line were off ....dunkel : drake -2 ... sagarin : III st -1.... cbs : drake -2 .... where I look 52% to 68% of the players liked drake, some out there thought this line was off..... then again one mans off is anothers right on... I thought the crei/ indy st line was close. :shrug: