A few thoughts on my plays....
Ok St-13(120)....
Troy beat OSU a few years ago, so can't see OSU taking them lightly....Also think OSU's up tempo offense will wear out the Troy defense....
OSU is 13-1 ATS after scoring 50 points or more last game since 1992....The average score was OSU 36.9, Opponent 22.3....
Play On - Home favorites (OSU) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season....
Over the last 10 seasons the ATS record for this system is....66-30....68.8%....
USC-19(120)....
USC's defense looked absolutely horrible on national TV & didn't seem prepared against Hawaii's spread offense....Think the defense will be very well prepared vs. the UVA more traditional offense....Also like the fact that USC has had a few extra days to prepare while UVA has had to travel across the country for this game....Think Kiffen will have his team to put an all out effort in his debut at home....
Play On - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) - good team from last season (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team from last year (<=25%)....
Over the last 10 seasons the ATS record for this system is....29-8....78.4%....
Over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....11-2....84.6%....
Calif.-7(120)....
Calif. is traditionally a fast starter at home.....While Col. is 2-19 SU under Hawkins away from home, including 0-10 the past two years....They have shown a tendency to have a let downs after playing rival CSU over the past several seasons.... Arizona State 3-21 (+11?), @ Arizona State 14-33 (+15), EWU 31-24 (-21), @ Toledo 38-54 (-4).... Their last 3 trips to open the season on the road resulted in Arizona State 14-33(+15), FSU 21-39 (+5?), 38-54 Toledo (-4)....They lost their road games last season by an avg. of 13 ppg....Feel that Calif. has a lot more speed, is far better coached, & a much better team than Col. in every phase of the game....
Calif. is 8-0 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons....The average score was Calif. 36.3, Opp. 16.6....
Play Against - Road underdogs (Col) - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game....
Since 1992 the ATS record for this system is....64-29....68.8%....
Bama-11(120)....
Hate laying points against Joe Pa. but matchup vs. Bama is too much to overcome for PSU, especially starting a true freshman in his very first road game on a Saturday night in the SEC....
??We don?t have a really good running game going and that makes it awfully tough on a young quarterback.? ?Joe Paterno at halftime of Youngstown State game with 50 rushing yards
PSU will have a lot of trouble trying to run block Bama with probably the best front 7 in the nation (even with only 2 starters back from last year).... That means they will have to throw, which means that they will have to rely on this true frosh to lead this team and generate points....Bama's QB is a proven winner & will be working on a short field with a ton of weapons....
Play On - Home favorites (Bama) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters....
Since 1992 the ATS record for this system is....62-28....68.9%....
Also played....
GT-13(120)....
Over 49 (120) Duke / WF....
Good luck....
