Divisional wknd
- Thread starter sds222
- Start date
- Dec 31, 2006
- 2,937
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Big lines this weekend and the three big dog's are getting about 60% of the action, even more on the ML.
I like all three fav's at home but will wait to see if lines come down.
Other factors.
NO/Sea, Saints win on road last week against Philly, big deal. Now they have the road monkey off their back? I think that is the perception now.
Rematch with a revenge factor should prove to be closer, right? This time the hawks will have Percy Harvin and an extra week. P. Thomas is dinged up for the Saints. I think Sea. will roll.
Indy/NE, Indy is game and Luck is great but this time they face a real coach and a real QB. Matching NE after that miracle comeback will prove to be much more difficult. I think the weather could help NE. Rain, maybe wind in the forecast. NE can play power football, Blount has been great the past few weeks and Ridley may have "rid" the fumbles, we know they can execute the short passing game. NE did lose Spikes at LB which hurts but not many are as good as Belichick at swapping players in and out.
NE will not allow Hilton to run uncovered down the field like the Chiefs did. If NE controls their running game (Brown is the only concern) Luck will be hard pressed to keep up. NE by double digits.
SD/Den SD, yeah they beat Cincy, I say big deal. This is another rematch but things are different this time. SD won last time in Denver but it was a Thurs. game and Denver did not have Welker and Manning was hobbled. Denver ran it about 10 times while Matthews alone had almost 30. Not happening again.
Matthews is hurt this time and Welker and Manning have an extra week to get healthy. This one will play out much different than the last game. SD will not stop Denver, weather is not a concern. Denver is suspect on defense but I do not see Rivers and Woodhead having as much success as they did last week. They ran it down Cincy's throat, Rivers only had to throw it 16 times, that will not work if Denver is scoring at will. Rivers will have to throw and we know what that spells. The line is almost 10 for a reason.
I hate playing teasers and parlays, I seem to lose them with great regularity. That said I am going to play this teaser for grins and will try to get better lines on the three fav's:
3tm 7.5 @ +135
SF +7.5
Car +7.5 Loss
NE PK
SF/Car could very well be a 3-4 pt game, haven't played both sides like this in a while but this seems like a good time. I'm surprised dimes is allowing it.
I like all three fav's at home but will wait to see if lines come down.
Other factors.
NO/Sea, Saints win on road last week against Philly, big deal. Now they have the road monkey off their back? I think that is the perception now.
Rematch with a revenge factor should prove to be closer, right? This time the hawks will have Percy Harvin and an extra week. P. Thomas is dinged up for the Saints. I think Sea. will roll.
Indy/NE, Indy is game and Luck is great but this time they face a real coach and a real QB. Matching NE after that miracle comeback will prove to be much more difficult. I think the weather could help NE. Rain, maybe wind in the forecast. NE can play power football, Blount has been great the past few weeks and Ridley may have "rid" the fumbles, we know they can execute the short passing game. NE did lose Spikes at LB which hurts but not many are as good as Belichick at swapping players in and out.
NE will not allow Hilton to run uncovered down the field like the Chiefs did. If NE controls their running game (Brown is the only concern) Luck will be hard pressed to keep up. NE by double digits.
SD/Den SD, yeah they beat Cincy, I say big deal. This is another rematch but things are different this time. SD won last time in Denver but it was a Thurs. game and Denver did not have Welker and Manning was hobbled. Denver ran it about 10 times while Matthews alone had almost 30. Not happening again.
Matthews is hurt this time and Welker and Manning have an extra week to get healthy. This one will play out much different than the last game. SD will not stop Denver, weather is not a concern. Denver is suspect on defense but I do not see Rivers and Woodhead having as much success as they did last week. They ran it down Cincy's throat, Rivers only had to throw it 16 times, that will not work if Denver is scoring at will. Rivers will have to throw and we know what that spells. The line is almost 10 for a reason.
I hate playing teasers and parlays, I seem to lose them with great regularity. That said I am going to play this teaser for grins and will try to get better lines on the three fav's:
3tm 7.5 @ +135
SF +7.5
Car +7.5 Loss
NE PK
SF/Car could very well be a 3-4 pt game, haven't played both sides like this in a while but this seems like a good time. I'm surprised dimes is allowing it.
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Good Luck brother-
You know I like the Pats Too! I also like all the home teams this weekend. Not just the home field factor, but the bye seems to be such a huge advantage. While the Colts and San Diego were still Celebrating, the Pats and Broncos were already preparing for a playoff home game. Knowing that they are just 2 wins away from the big dance!
Your 3 team teaser had my little brain buzzing. Wish you luck! I decided to Tease Seattle and New England on Saturday. And leaning towards teasing Carolina or San Fran with Denver on Sunday. But I am gonna max out with my local on New England and then Denver. I know we do not gamble to just break even- but I'm very confident that one of those two games is gonna be blow out city!! Probably both of them!! But if I only hit 1/2? I will give my guy some juice money with a smile!
Either way- AFC is the weaker conference, and I believe the NFC wins the Superbowl easy this year. But this weekend- I will go BIG with Brady and then Peyton! No Offense to Luck or Rivers. Just like the old guys, as does a lot of my Joe Public buddies do!
:0008 :0074
You know I like the Pats Too! I also like all the home teams this weekend. Not just the home field factor, but the bye seems to be such a huge advantage. While the Colts and San Diego were still Celebrating, the Pats and Broncos were already preparing for a playoff home game. Knowing that they are just 2 wins away from the big dance!
Your 3 team teaser had my little brain buzzing. Wish you luck! I decided to Tease Seattle and New England on Saturday. And leaning towards teasing Carolina or San Fran with Denver on Sunday. But I am gonna max out with my local on New England and then Denver. I know we do not gamble to just break even- but I'm very confident that one of those two games is gonna be blow out city!! Probably both of them!! But if I only hit 1/2? I will give my guy some juice money with a smile!
Either way- AFC is the weaker conference, and I believe the NFC wins the Superbowl easy this year. But this weekend- I will go BIG with Brady and then Peyton! No Offense to Luck or Rivers. Just like the old guys, as does a lot of my Joe Public buddies do!
:0008 :0074
Only thing I'm playing:
4t (11 pts)
NO +21'
SF +11
SF-Car 30 OVER
Den + '
Pays +114.
Good luck, SDS and others.
