LEANS for wc matchups

[Scrapman]

OK listen up here really


remeber i know my eagles team better than you

so i start here Eagles -2.5 vs saints it will be very cold in philly but one thing i learned long ago is Never Say Never can happen or Never will happen especially in sports

I said years ago NO team will ever lose 16 games in one season well hush my mouth the worst team in NFL the Lions managed to do it 0 - 16 s/u

home is nice place to be but without a fence around and you have a tornado or hurricane coming in Home isn't the place to be.

FACT Rob Ryan ran defense for Dallas last year faced Eagles both times and squahed them both games

FACT he now has a far better defense with saints and players Ranked 4 th defense overall 19th vs the run 2nd vs the pass

FACT eagles D is ranked at bottom 30th over all 12th vs run but omg 30th vs the pass

OK birds great 1st year under new HC Chip Kelly far exceeded my win total of 6 - 8 games

however wrong team is favored here as you saweagles squeak by dalls by 2 points and isnt it funny Cowboys D ranked 32 nd Eagles ranked 30th Eagles win by 2 points :mj07:

Yeah it's going to be cold but dry and i seen Drew play in cold many times i think the ooooo forever Road playoff woes ends for Saints this week yup in thier 40 + years never won a road playoff game

however those old saints stunk never won div always a weak wc and got buried quickly


Other fact this is foles 1st Playoff game ever he is very green behind the ears still

HC also is new fokkkkkkkkkkk most of asst coaches are all new too Saints have one sharp HC and veteran playoff QB and team there fore I say Saints ML plus points also

YO this aint the top defense Seahwks here or panthers or even Jets that beat some top playoff teams yup caught Saints flat too.

OK next game Colts - 2 1/2 vs Chiefs


giggling my ass of here KC's defense went out the window weeks ago like OMG wtf was that vs Chargers :mj07:


Colts defesne not too sparkling but ranked 19th 28th vs Run 12th vs pass 17th ranked O 20th run 18th passing

Chiefs D ranked 24th 21st vs Run 23 rd vs Pass O ranked 20th 9th running 23rd passing

Colts quoted saying keeping roof closed this time to get crowd noise in effect and KC in road Domes i dunno about how bad or good they are in Playoffs

truly for dogged team to lose in OT that wasnt supposed to lose is bad.

OK OK i know they had 20 starters sit out but not at start of game

and a losing div WC team is not getting my cash yup 2-4 record vs div Colts perfect 6-0 and they can beat every team in AFC except @ Patriots whom still have that rivalry vs Colts team

BUT i think this year Tommy boy can be had

ok now sunday

Bengals - 7 vs Chargers :mj07:

plaeseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee dont even think this game will be close Cincy just flexed thier muscles again burying Ravens 34-17 SD had trouble winning vs a KC team in presason type game

Chargers D ranked 24th over all 10th vs run but 29th vs pass Bengals ranked 5th 6th vs run 6th vs pass with a 10t ranked offense that throws the ball ranked 10th passing 20th running

I say Bengals heavy lay the 7 or higher even if it hits 8 1/2 because by my eyes i see another whooping coming 35 - 17

49ers - 2 1/2 @ Packers yup should be favored here Packers aint got NO d best defender Matthews out again THE Thumb :0074 26th ranked D 26th vs run 21st vs Pass so 49ers D we know is stout ranked 3rd over all

btw forget about the sub freezing temps @ Packers field heating system installed back in 1996 stops field from freezing will the freezing cold air around players effect them ? Yes high gusty winds accompaning cold will severly limit passing game and kicking game

Packers aint going far in playoffs seen way too many 8 win teams go bye bye in div rounds and it got ugly still packers want to earese that bad taste in mouth playoff loss to 49ers last year.

however i know packers are one bad playoff avenger 1 - 6 s/u and ats this year also @ 49ers + 5 lost by 6

so 49ers just keep Rodgers on the bench slwoly wear down weak defense of Packers cake walk in 2nd half run run run

:rimshot


ok lets see how it goes

 

[lostinamerica]

Stuff I read elsewhere . . .

Teams with less than 9 wins are perfect 6-0 ATS in week 18 Wildcard Round, winning 5 of those 6 games outright as underdogs. The Packers have 4 wins less than 49ers and these teams are 3-0 SU and ATS in first week of playoffs, winning all three games as home underdogs. Finally, here is one more piece of info that I found in my research for this week: First round playoffs favorites are 0-7 ATS if they won as favorites in same season head to head meeting in first 12 weeks of the season . . . And Super Bowl losers are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS away Game One playoffs.

GL

 

[doubleornothing]

dude, your killing me.
First off, stats are for, well they are for stat geeks and mean little to nothing really.
Second you say things like; the KC defense against SD made you giggle. WTF, they looked awesome against SD, bunch of bench warmers almost won the damn game, would have if the succup made the FG?
GL but i think you're high.

 

[The Joker]

dude, your killing me.
First off, stats are for, well they are for stat geeks and mean little to nothing really.
Second you say things like; the KC defense against SD made you giggle. WTF, they looked awesome against SD, bunch of bench warmers almost won the damn game, would have if the succup made the FG?
GL but i think you're high.

I agree with everything except stats.

If the Bears posted 20 yards per game and they play against a team that is #1 in pass defense ......that stat is valuable.

Some stats don't mean shit. I get it. But some do.

Scrap does look at trends and I think trends are bullshit and mean nothing.


All that being said - I think scrapman is hilarious.

 

[Scrapman]

TY Joker buddy u n me are from same school or should i say same type background

and to others yeah lostinamerica i know all those TRENDS but sometimes i just really dig deeper as in who they beat and Green bay has only two real weapons on offense Lacy RB and WR ummm whats his name LOL yeah thats what i mean these guys are not household names wtf is his name ? Just came back off IR too.


Any way i base my leans on how teams play in saeson and knew KC was weakest 9-0 team ever at home and away on a jokers schedule (no pun intended Joker) :mj07:

Yeah sure KC looked great with backups vs weak ass Cahrgers team who seemed like they played to lose...... really how can you let 2nd n 3rd stringers take you into OT ???

Colts will demolish KC simply put real statistic Alex smith this year has only 1 game winning drive in final miutes Andrew Luck has 10 game winning drives away and at home i really love 10-1 odds

Also i'm seeing - 2.5 points a gift i dont know why it's so low far better QB with higher ratings way better defense than KC has now.

Hey if i'm wrong with these leans so be it

we shall see after i really handicap each team both sides

 

[Cortez]

Alex smith this year has only 1 game winning drive in final miutes Andrew Luck has 10 game winning drives away and at home i really love 10-1 odds

Always enjoy your posts scrappy, and I know what you're getting at, but doesn't this also just show how inept the Colts are at getting a lead and keeping it? I admit Luck is gold under pressure, but why does it feel like he needs to come back in every game? You can't hold it against Smith if he hardly ever needed to come back late in games because they were already winning.