seems in the last week or so theres been some movement to the 2nd favs in the actor and actress category.
witherspoon and hoffman are still both heavily favored, but theres been some movement to heath ledger and felicity huffman on the exchanges so its possible one might sneak in.
on a personal note, i'm rooting for crash as it was my favorite last year, admittedly i didn't see the gay cowboy movie though so can't compare.
i would be hesitant laying -650 although he should win, but with bareback mountain supposedly the favorite to win the most awards, heath might sneak in.
the only real "lock" (i know, stupid word), to win an award for sure will be ang lee. i can't see him losing director.
i have reese at +220 or so that i bet a while ago, and will probably back up a little with huffman. also have some juaquin phoenix, but that isn't looking too promising.
gl with your plays.
