I am kind of liking these player props bet. Maybe in the boredom of 2020 it is some added variety. It is almost like finding a new sex position that you like.
Today I going to look at Robert Woods and what he has done since joining Sean McVay and the Rams in 2017.
He has led the team in targets in 2018 (130) and 2019 (139). In 2017 he would have but didn?t play 5 games. They also threw the ball more the last 3 years to Gurly out of the backfield (not as much in 2020 to the backs). Kupp was second in 2019 with 134 targets and 55 in 2018 in 8 games.
In 2020 Kupp has 78 targets to just 60 for Woods. So, there may be some changing of the guard as to who the top dog is, but Woods numbers the last two years say Woods is still a top target.
When looking at the numbers on Wood?s career I saw a couple of small oddities on his career. First were his road catches being 4.6 per game versus 4.1 for home games. Since joining the Rams on the road in 2019 it was 6.62 catches a game, 2018 it was 5.4 and 2017 it was 4.9 and this year it is 4.4 catches. Another thing was the time of the game. If he played in an afternoon or night game, he averaged 5.1 but if he played in the early game, he averaged only 3.6. Some of these stats occurred before his days with the Rams.
Looking further into games with the Rams only. In the 3 years with the Rams he would be 6-2, 7-1 and 4-3 over the total of 4.5 catches. That is 17-6. Even those games where he didn?t go over, they still threw the ball his direction. Here are targets and catches in the 6 that didn?t go over: 9/4, 8/3, 9/3, 8/3, 5/4 and 6/2. This year he is 2-3 with the three not going over: 10/4, 5/4 and 5/2. For a record of 19-9 in road games since joining the Rams.
The posted total for Goff who I am not a big fan of is 25 completions. In 2018 he caught 23.3% of passes, 2019 22.7 % and so far, this year 19.7% of the passes. That would turnout to be 5.84, 5.67 and 4.93 catches respectively if 25 passes were completed. Tampa Bay is giving up 24 completions a game. Last year they were the second worse in the league giving up 25.5 completions a game. So, 25 completions should be a close number.
Last thing is Tampa Bay defense. They are good against the run both last year and this year ranking in the top 5 in yards per game. Rams are balanced on offense in terms of running and passing. I think they will be forced to pass more against this Buc?s defense.
This leads me to taking Robert Woods over 4.5 catches at plus 105 in tonight?s game.
As always good luck and enjoy the game!
Northern Star
Today I going to look at Robert Woods and what he has done since joining Sean McVay and the Rams in 2017.
He has led the team in targets in 2018 (130) and 2019 (139). In 2017 he would have but didn?t play 5 games. They also threw the ball more the last 3 years to Gurly out of the backfield (not as much in 2020 to the backs). Kupp was second in 2019 with 134 targets and 55 in 2018 in 8 games.
In 2020 Kupp has 78 targets to just 60 for Woods. So, there may be some changing of the guard as to who the top dog is, but Woods numbers the last two years say Woods is still a top target.
When looking at the numbers on Wood?s career I saw a couple of small oddities on his career. First were his road catches being 4.6 per game versus 4.1 for home games. Since joining the Rams on the road in 2019 it was 6.62 catches a game, 2018 it was 5.4 and 2017 it was 4.9 and this year it is 4.4 catches. Another thing was the time of the game. If he played in an afternoon or night game, he averaged 5.1 but if he played in the early game, he averaged only 3.6. Some of these stats occurred before his days with the Rams.
Looking further into games with the Rams only. In the 3 years with the Rams he would be 6-2, 7-1 and 4-3 over the total of 4.5 catches. That is 17-6. Even those games where he didn?t go over, they still threw the ball his direction. Here are targets and catches in the 6 that didn?t go over: 9/4, 8/3, 9/3, 8/3, 5/4 and 6/2. This year he is 2-3 with the three not going over: 10/4, 5/4 and 5/2. For a record of 19-9 in road games since joining the Rams.
The posted total for Goff who I am not a big fan of is 25 completions. In 2018 he caught 23.3% of passes, 2019 22.7 % and so far, this year 19.7% of the passes. That would turnout to be 5.84, 5.67 and 4.93 catches respectively if 25 passes were completed. Tampa Bay is giving up 24 completions a game. Last year they were the second worse in the league giving up 25.5 completions a game. So, 25 completions should be a close number.
Last thing is Tampa Bay defense. They are good against the run both last year and this year ranking in the top 5 in yards per game. Rams are balanced on offense in terms of running and passing. I think they will be forced to pass more against this Buc?s defense.
This leads me to taking Robert Woods over 4.5 catches at plus 105 in tonight?s game.
As always good luck and enjoy the game!
Northern Star
