This is the time of the year for giving. Before I get to my pick, I have a request. Bet your normal amount but if it wins go to the link below and make a donation to St. Jude Children?s Hospital.
https://www.stjude.org/donate/donate-to-st-jude.html
Today we have Cowboys versus the Ravens. Starting with the Raven?s. They are last in completions and Dallas is top 10 in fewest completions. I have no interest in any pass props with the Raven?s. Ravens are top 3 in rushing and Dallas is second worst in the league. Problem is Raven?s don?t have a dominant back. I was tempted by Lamar over but somehow betting the QB to go over a rushing total seems odd. Murray for Arizona did go 10 for 70 yards and Wilson 6 for 22.
Now to Dallas. They are top 3 in completions and some of that was early with Dak. They are middle of the road in rushing. Baltimore on the other hand is middle of the road in passing and rushing defense. I think that will allow Dallas to run the ball and play action pass. Who better to throw it to on play action pass than to someone who sees and hears nothing??.Sargent Schultz.
Here are what the targets and completions for tight ends are against the Baltimore defense:
11/7, 11/8, 1/1 New England Game and their offense stinks
7/4, 5/4, 13/7. 2/2, 4/1 Washington second worse passing team
7/6, 7/7, 5/5
So other teams have had success throwing to the tight end and in a copycat league that is good for us.
Schultz numbers are 5/5, 6/4, 7/4, 8/6, 4/2, 5/4, 3/1, 8/4, 6/4, 10/9 and 4/1. So, he is 8-3 over 3.5 catches.
The last thing that put me over the edge on this pick is I am a sucker for double D?s. I just want to put that out there for the world to know.
Tonight, I want to see the double D?s working it... Dalton to Dalton. Over 3.5 minus 105.
Don?t forget to donate to St. Jude?s!
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
https://www.stjude.org/donate/donate-to-st-jude.html
Today we have Cowboys versus the Ravens. Starting with the Raven?s. They are last in completions and Dallas is top 10 in fewest completions. I have no interest in any pass props with the Raven?s. Ravens are top 3 in rushing and Dallas is second worst in the league. Problem is Raven?s don?t have a dominant back. I was tempted by Lamar over but somehow betting the QB to go over a rushing total seems odd. Murray for Arizona did go 10 for 70 yards and Wilson 6 for 22.
Now to Dallas. They are top 3 in completions and some of that was early with Dak. They are middle of the road in rushing. Baltimore on the other hand is middle of the road in passing and rushing defense. I think that will allow Dallas to run the ball and play action pass. Who better to throw it to on play action pass than to someone who sees and hears nothing??.Sargent Schultz.
Here are what the targets and completions for tight ends are against the Baltimore defense:
11/7, 11/8, 1/1 New England Game and their offense stinks
7/4, 5/4, 13/7. 2/2, 4/1 Washington second worse passing team
7/6, 7/7, 5/5
So other teams have had success throwing to the tight end and in a copycat league that is good for us.
Schultz numbers are 5/5, 6/4, 7/4, 8/6, 4/2, 5/4, 3/1, 8/4, 6/4, 10/9 and 4/1. So, he is 8-3 over 3.5 catches.
The last thing that put me over the edge on this pick is I am a sucker for double D?s. I just want to put that out there for the world to know.
Tonight, I want to see the double D?s working it... Dalton to Dalton. Over 3.5 minus 105.
Don?t forget to donate to St. Jude?s!
As Always Good Luck
Northern Star
