SIDES
MOST BET SIDE: NEW ORLEANS +9.5
NOTES: Never in my lifetime would I have expected everyone to be so heavy on either underdog today. Everybody is taking the points when the best bet here today is probably teasing both favorites down below 3.
Winds are expected in Seattle, which should cause problems for the passing game for both teams. This is as much a factor on the total as it is for the team trying to come from behind. New Orleans ran the ball a stupid amount of times against Philadelphia (36 to be exact), but consider that the Eagles were the worst run defense in the league, you get what you expect. Today, I think New Orleans will be forced to run, rather than wish to run. Against the Seattle front which allows 3.9 yards per rush, there could be an issue here for New Orleans. Line has moved up against the money here in favor of Seattle.
Colts Patriots line opened 7 and has stayed there the entire week. Expected heavy rains, and wind, milder than the early game. It is easy to say the Colts are coming in about as high as a team can be after a 28 point comeback, but it is very hard to ignore the fact that the defense gave up 40+ to KC. New England finished the season scoring 34 or more in four of their last six games.
111 NEW ORLEANS +9.5 $7.15 FOR EACH $1 ON 112 SEATTLE -9.5
113 INDIANAPOLIS +7 $4.00 FOR EACH $1 ON 114 NEW ENGLAND -7
TOTALS
MOST BET TOTAL: NEW ENGLAND INDIANAPOLIS OVER 50.5
NOTES: Wind is a factor in both games today. The only weather factor that affects totals is wind, and both totals have come down because of it. Seattle New Orleans opened 48 and is down to 44. Passing could be tricky in the gusts up to 30MPH. New Orleans showed a big effort to run the ball last game in Philadelphia, they should have to do the same. Seattle, with the lead as I expect them to have should be running the ball without thinking twice for a majority of the game too. How quick the clock runs should be interesting to watch. I don't believe there is any value left now that the total has come down, but our players keep buying over tickets, and we keep dropping the number.
Indianapolis New England has come down 2 1/2 points from open due to weather. As I mentioned, Indianapolis probably as high as they could be coming in,but a hangover is always a very real possibility. New England has been horrifically slow int he first halves of games all season. Again, not sure the under in the full game is worth the risk like so many people are believing it is, best bet is probably under in the first half.
111/112 NEW ORLEANS SEATTLE OVER 44.5 $5.00 FOR EACH $1 ON UNDER 44.5
113/114 NEW ENGLAND INDIANAPOLIS OVER 51.5 $6.55 FOR EACH $1 ON UNDER 51.5
--Adam ( Offshore Line Advisor For Sportsbook)
MOST BET SIDE: NEW ORLEANS +9.5
NOTES: Never in my lifetime would I have expected everyone to be so heavy on either underdog today. Everybody is taking the points when the best bet here today is probably teasing both favorites down below 3.
Winds are expected in Seattle, which should cause problems for the passing game for both teams. This is as much a factor on the total as it is for the team trying to come from behind. New Orleans ran the ball a stupid amount of times against Philadelphia (36 to be exact), but consider that the Eagles were the worst run defense in the league, you get what you expect. Today, I think New Orleans will be forced to run, rather than wish to run. Against the Seattle front which allows 3.9 yards per rush, there could be an issue here for New Orleans. Line has moved up against the money here in favor of Seattle.
Colts Patriots line opened 7 and has stayed there the entire week. Expected heavy rains, and wind, milder than the early game. It is easy to say the Colts are coming in about as high as a team can be after a 28 point comeback, but it is very hard to ignore the fact that the defense gave up 40+ to KC. New England finished the season scoring 34 or more in four of their last six games.
111 NEW ORLEANS +9.5 $7.15 FOR EACH $1 ON 112 SEATTLE -9.5
113 INDIANAPOLIS +7 $4.00 FOR EACH $1 ON 114 NEW ENGLAND -7
TOTALS
MOST BET TOTAL: NEW ENGLAND INDIANAPOLIS OVER 50.5
NOTES: Wind is a factor in both games today. The only weather factor that affects totals is wind, and both totals have come down because of it. Seattle New Orleans opened 48 and is down to 44. Passing could be tricky in the gusts up to 30MPH. New Orleans showed a big effort to run the ball last game in Philadelphia, they should have to do the same. Seattle, with the lead as I expect them to have should be running the ball without thinking twice for a majority of the game too. How quick the clock runs should be interesting to watch. I don't believe there is any value left now that the total has come down, but our players keep buying over tickets, and we keep dropping the number.
Indianapolis New England has come down 2 1/2 points from open due to weather. As I mentioned, Indianapolis probably as high as they could be coming in,but a hangover is always a very real possibility. New England has been horrifically slow int he first halves of games all season. Again, not sure the under in the full game is worth the risk like so many people are believing it is, best bet is probably under in the first half.
111/112 NEW ORLEANS SEATTLE OVER 44.5 $5.00 FOR EACH $1 ON UNDER 44.5
113/114 NEW ENGLAND INDIANAPOLIS OVER 51.5 $6.55 FOR EACH $1 ON UNDER 51.5
--Adam ( Offshore Line Advisor For Sportsbook)
