1.) yanks/twins over 9...Wells in 2002 had horrendous numbers in day games...
7.15/1.70 whip/ 293 BAA..record 1-3
vs. minny 1-0 2.70/1.50/ but a BAA of .300
he has good lifetime numbers vs. minny
Reed
day games 2-5 4.79/1.45/.290
yanks in 2002 ...10.38/1.73/366 BAA
at yankees 2002...11.25/2.00/3.81
im a little pissed at minny for costing me a nice win last night...bases loaded with 1 out and cant score a run...then lose the game on 2 solo shots...
regardless...im not laying the juice with wells because his day numbers last year simply dont support a play here...but i cant bet on REED for the same reasons..
wells number vs. minny were good..but its the BAA of .300 which sticks out to me....just looks like minny couldnt push across any runs...that may very well be the case today as well...but think a flat 9 is a decent number here....
2.) Pitt over 8.5....just a play hoping that Pitt wakes up a bit here offensively and Suppan lives up to his numbers in day games...i actually thought this would brewers best spot to get a win here..in this series but they have taken first two...i dont like playing on a sweep as the odds just dont support it....so im hoping brewers will take advantage of suppan here ...and pitt takes advantage of sheets numbers in day games...there are some batters on the current pitt teamn with very good numbers vsthis kid
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Derek Bell 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Mike Benjamin 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Jeff D'Amico 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Josh Fogg 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333
Brian Giles 15 10 4 0 2 6 3 1 2 1 0 .667 .722 1.333 2.056
Adam Hyzdu 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Jason Kendall 17 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 .353 .389 .412 .801
Kenny Lofton 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .286 .286 .286 .571
Rob Mackowiak 14 4 1 0 1 1 2 6 0 0 0 .286 .375 .571 .946
Abraham O. Nunez 12 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
Aramis Ramirez 14 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 .071 .235 .143 .378
Pokey Reese 12 3 0 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
Reggie Sanders 10 1 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 .100 .182 .200 .382
Matt Stairs 6 4 0 0 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 .667 .667 2.167 2.833
Julian Tavarez 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
John Wehner 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 .000 .333 .000 .333
Dave Williams 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
Craig Wilson 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Jack Wilson 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .214 .214 .214 .429
Kevin Young 12 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 .333 .429 .500 .929
Sanders does not have good numbers...so im hoping the rest of the lineup picks up some slack here...
3.) colorado ..PICK...local line...see NDNFAN writeup...you have to ride him while he is hot...2-0 so far on posted plays
cooz