Week 7 Peeks & Plays

[Senor Capper]

Wow Tampa + 7 got scarfed up pretty damn quick.

Anyways while Tampa Bay +7 is waiting to be posted in my win column I will take an early peek at Week 7. No waiting for me on 3 plays as I believe the lines will change against me soon.

Buffalo
Baltimore -6 (31)-6.0
LVSC Money Line: Buffalo (+190), Baltimore (-240)

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Detroit
New York Giants -6.5 (41)
LVSC Money Line: Detroit (+210), New York-N (-270)

Playing G-men -6.5

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Philly -7.5 (41.5)
Cleveland
LVSC Money Line: Phila. (-330), Cleveland (+250)

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Jacksonville
Indianapolis
GAME OFF BOARD:
JAC-QB-Leftwich-Probable
(will be re-examined Monday)

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Tennessee
Minnesota
GAME OFF BOARD:
TEN-RB-Brown-Questionable
MIN-WR-Moss-Questionable

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San Diego
Carolina -3 (42)
GAME CIRCLED:
CAR-RB-Davis-Questionable
LVSC Money Line: San Diego (+155), Carolina (-175)

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St. Louis
Miami
GAME OFF BOARD:
STL PLAYS MONDAY NIGHT

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Chicago
Tampa Bay
GAME OFF BOARD:
TB PLAYS MONDAY NIGHT

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Atlanta
Kansas City -3.5 (44.5)
LVSC Money Line: Atlanta (+135), Kansas City (-155)

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New York JETS
New England -7 (43.5)
LVSC Money Line: New York-A (+220), New England (-300)

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Dallas
Green Bay -4 (43.5)
LVSC Money Line: Dallas (+170), Green Bay (-200)

Playing Green Bay -4
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Seattle -7 (41.5)
Arizona
LVSC Money Line: Seattle (-270), Arizona (+210)

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New Orleans
Oakland -3 (44.5)
LVSC Money Line: New Orleans (+135), Oakland (-155)

Playing New Orleans +3 & MONEYLINE

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Monday Night Football

Denver -5.5 (43.5)
Cincinnati
LVSC Money Line: Denver (-240), Cincinnati (+190)

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[kneifl]

Senor -

What do ya think of Philly vs the clowns and NE vs the Jets??

Already played those 2 and waiting for a ML on the Falcons.....

kneifl

 

[Senor Capper]

Actually it's a nice spot for the Brownies catching the Eagles off the one they wanted most.
Cleveland has allowed just 11 ppg at home & are 10-3 ATS after scoring more than 22 pts.
I need more time on this one.


Did ya know the JETS rank ahead of the Patsies in all major yardage categories ? (cept Passing "D" of course).
Hard for me to go against a 5-0 team getting 7.
This one, in my opinion, needs a closer look also.

Atlanta moneyline, at first glance, appears to be a play.

G/L but not tonight

SC

 

[stomie]

Tampa +7 -105 @ SIA

 

[Theboundbook]

I am still waiting for my line to goto 7, but I agree, Las Vegas isn't giving away free money like they did on Sun. night's game. Like TB tonight too!

 

[Rebel21]

Like the Gmen next week...good luck

 

[kneifl]

I see you must have read my post today Lanny.

My reasoning behind the Phillies pick is that they seam to be doing very well this season even against some pretty decent teams (i.e. Giants & Carolina). They also have covered every single game I think.

I like your Gmen and packers :scared (did I really say that, what a traitor I am) picks.

The Jets. Well I know the Jets have been playing good ball lately and always play well vs the pats. However, The Jets have beaten teams that are a combined 6-22. I see weaknesses as of late, the 49'ers they didn't cover against and they are a laugher of a team and even Miami played them tight. I just don't see them giving this hot NE squad much of a fight.

Well, on a different note it'll be nice to meet you and other MJers at the SB party this year. It will be nice to put some faces with those screen names.

GL but not tonight

kneifl

 

[Senor Capper]

BB Glad 2 see your on the winning side !!!
Thanks Rebel.

K,
Philly is a covering machine, no doubt.

I'll see ya in Vegas whether I'm at the party or not.

SC
TBTBTBTBTBTBTBTTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTBTB!!!!

 

[Senor Capper]

Ok I'll take the push but it's hard to swallow.
This was Tampas game but obviously the TOs did them in.

 

[Senor Capper]

Mondays at work gotta hate it. Anyway I have a short week to cap because I'm flying to AZ where the Cardinals are going to cover the 7 against the Seahawks.

Played these @ the Palms yesterday....

New York Giants -6
Green Bay Slackers -3.5
San Diego Chargers +3.5
Cleveland Browns +7.5
Arizona Cardinals +7 (doubt if you see 7.5)
Denver Broncos -5.5


Waiting for the 7 with the JETS. (it's coming)

Aint pulled the trigger on the Aints yet (waiting for Cali money to come in on Oakland maybe bump it to 3.5 & higher moneyline.

I'll do some type of write-up when I get the time.

 

[badjab]

Green Bay looks like a great play this weekend. Also, I really like the play on the Aint's -- however, I can't imagine that the line moves in their favor...can't see anyone putting their hard earned duckets on the Faders with that performance last week. The defections are starting already as Rice leaves town!

ps. any reason to keep hope alive for the Chefs? I keep thinking that they will turn things around only to be disapointed.

 

[Senor Capper]

Raiders fans come to Vegas in droves to bet their beloved whether they're playing the Aints or Broncos. The money still comes in. Enough to knock it off a 3 vs the Aints? Tough call but I'll wait unless the line actually starts dropping a other Books.

KCs season is done. Of course they won't lay down for anyone. Not on the road and certainly not in Arrowhead. Make no mistake about it I will be rooting for them each & every Sunday.

Good Luck

SC

 

[Senor Capper]

Starting off my posted records plays......


Dallas Cowbells @ Green Bay Packers -3.5

Packers turned their ship around LW and dismantled the Lions which was a trap play & most people seen it. I loved Detriot when the opening line came out but then came to my senses mighty quickly & backed off the game completely. Vegas made plenty on that affair.

In that slaughter of the Lions GB had a 434-125 yd edge & a FD advantage of 28-5. Unreal.

Dallas is on a 0-6 ATS as a non-division visitor.
Cowbells losing ATS margins in those 6 were 10, 7.5, 20.5, 8.5, 16 & 13 pts.

The chalk is 11-1 ATS in this rivalry of late.

Bring it on !!!

-3.5

 

[Wolftaz]

Really surprised that Denver is only a 5.5 favorite over Cincy. Cincy seems to be in a state of confusion right now. Denver rushing game could quite possibly have over 300 yards rushing the way the Bengals rush defense has been playing. On top of that, I really don't see Cincy doing much on offense. But then again Cincy is the type of team that could come out and win a game that they are over-matched in....remember KC game from last year. That being said, I really see Denver rolling it up on the Bengals. :thinking:

 

[cameroncrazie]

Philly is a covering machine. I believe it has 15 out of their last 16 regular season games they've covered. Count it again this week.

A better play is actually the Birds -4 in the 1st half. Browns are not a good first half team. Eagles come out strong and may give up a backdoor cover when the Dawg Pound starts rocking.

 

[Senor Capper]

Detriot Lions @ New York Giants -6

At first glance 6 seems like a mighty BIG number to lay for this Giants team coming off their bye but...
Looking at the Lions, who were exposed to say the least, I can't seem them scoring too much against this tough "D" especially in on the road. Packers "D" was nothing compared to what the G-men will unleash on them this Sunday.

Lions have the 2nd worse "O" in the NFL topping 77 yds just once.

Giants 6th in the League in total "O" and 5th in rushing with Tiki B averaging over 115 RYs per game.

Giants are currently on a 4-0 SU & ATS run covering by 9, 13.5, 14 & 19.5 pts.

G-men are a stellar 10-1 ATS home off SU win by more than 14 pts & an impressive 11-2 ATS home off a win as a division dog.

Start spreading the news......

-6

 

[ELVIS]

the bungholes did not earn but 3 points on off last week.. there td's were directly attributed to the def. direct tv is a wonderful tool for bettors., this will equal my 2nd biggest play of the year. the 1st was indy vs oak. if den can't cover 4-6 then they are on the take. this is a let down spot. imo but the 2 teams are completely different and the broncos should roll if they come to play. we will see. gl to all.

 

[Senor Capper]

I hope I saved you some money. LOL.

Adding........

San Diego Chargers @ Carolina Panthers -3.5

With all the injuries piling up with the Panthers (check the swelling on RB Davis who didn't practice today) and being close to last in the league vs the run and 22nd ranked "O" in the NFL there is NO reason this team should be giving points, let alone 3.5, to a team as hot as the Chargers.

Chargers have allowed just 37, 71, 80 & 93 RYs in the past 4 weeks which isn't good news for a Panther team that has virtually no running game.

SD is 17-6 ATS on the NFC road & is on a 3-0 spread run, by 14.5 ppg ATS.

The pup here is on a 21-6 ATS run in games involving the Panthers.

'Nuff for me.....

+3.5

 

[Senor Capper]

Philadelphia Eagles @ Cleveland Browns +7.5

Nice spot for the Brownies catching the Eagles off the one they wanted most where they only managed 10 FDs but grabbed 4 INTs.

Eagles have won all 5 of their games by double digits. & have covered every one of them.

Cleveland has allowed just 11 ppg at home & are 10-3 ATS after scoring more than 22 pts.


Eagles are 9-17-1 ATS on the AFC road & 1-10 ATS as favorites of more than 3 pts vs the AFC.

Ballsy but Garcia & Co. are my Nsane Play of the Day selection.

+7.5

 

[ELVIS]

gl, senor. i bet indy in that game. do you really like the aints that much ? my beloved are bad, but so are the aints. i don't know - sadly you're probably right. :sadwave: