WEEK FOUR GOOD BAD & UGLY

GENO

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I am going to start posting early & as many know I have had my ups & downs. I like to grind out a profit and not afraid to buy a point or two (which I have been criticized for in the past).

First here is a post I made in another thread about the JAX side , but felt is was a good start for this one.

BJ is + 110 here is a C&P:
10/1/2006 04:15PM PREVIEW MATCHUP INJURIES STANDINGS WEATHER
421 Jacksonville Jaguars -3 +110 Over 34 -110
422 Washington Redskins +3 -130 Under 34 -110

I took a 2% lead at -2 -120 I like that better than -2.5 -116 @ PIN

G/L all !
 

GENO

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BLT + 3 is tempting, + 2.5 now @ PIN/+2 @ BJ

SD off the bye week, Balt back home after a strong comeback @ CLV, West coast to east coast travel factor with an early start. I don't see LT running well vs BLT defense and SD much like BLT has seen weak opponents in OAK & TEN.

Feel Free to add your thoughts.........
 

GENO

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NO in for a letdown at CAR next week ?

But what has Carolina realy shown us ?

BJ has CAR -8.5 Pinny put them up @ -9 for a few minutes then pulled it off and reset at -7


NO +10-140 2% lead with -7 sitting at Pinny
 

Franky Wright

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Heaven, oh!!, this isn't it?!
BLT + 3 is tempting, + 2.5 now @ PIN/+2 @ BJ

SD off the bye week, Balt back home after a strong comeback @ CLV, West coast to east coast travel factor with an early start. I don't see LT running well vs BLT defense and SD much like BLT has seen weak opponents in OAK & TEN.

Feel Free to add your thoughts.........

Like your thoughts on this one Geno..........

RAVENS +..........

Franky
 

GENO

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A quick take on the Dallas Titans game. I think we gotta pass on this game as the Boys have a second game on the road in week 5 as we all know @ PHILLY. No Owens this week last time I looked and Parsells may coast in the 4th with a nice lead and allow the back door. As GOOD as the Cowboys may be and as UGLY as the TITANS are this one has hot potato written all over it for me. IF you see it different chime in. I think better spots on the board and will look at NE/CINCY matchup next.

Still sitting at :

JAX -2 -120 2%
BLT +3 -130 1%
CHI - 2.5 -140 2% (yep I know juice city, may shoot for a middle here again, got one last week.)
NO + 10 -140 2% ( give me a -6 for CAR and I will hedge the juice)

G/L !
 

MrChristo

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Here are my thoughts on Baltimore this week Geno...Still undecided if I'll play them, but I'll throw this out there...

The other game I'm looking at is maybe the value bet of the week, imo.

Baltimore to win @ 2.30.

League: 11-3 SU (Av. WIN 7.9) home dog of 3 or less off any SU win but ats loss! [Balt] (1-0 last season. Chic 13-3 Carolina @ +2.5)

Just appears that if a team slightly underperforms one week, then people lose all faith in them!
Pretty hard game to get a handle on tho really...both teams undefeated, but both have played some BAD teams (although Cleveland are showing a bit)...
...The Ravens allowing just 1.8 y/rush!!!..which is clearly the best in the NFL...but again, against 3 teams that can't run at the best of times.
But, if they can stuff LT, can Rivers perform at a high level on the road against a top-line defense?
Not entirely convinced that Baltimore will win, but I don't think they deserve to be home dogs right now...and odds of 2.30 or more look pretty tempting.


I wouldn't be touching NO this week tho, I think they'll get pumped. :shrug:
 

GENO

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MrChristo

Great value ML now -110 & 106 @ BJ & PIN

I have contemplated the Cincy game and the Jets game.

Indy Defense too poor for road fav status of TD+ IMHO

Big letdown for the Bengals post road win in PIT.

The best plays for both games may be the OVER and I will Tease both games OVER with DALLAS in a 10 point three teamer for 3%
 

GENO

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JAX -2 -120 2% L

BLT +3 -130 1% W

CHI - 2.5 -140 2% W

NO + 10 -140 2% W

10 PT TEASER
OVER INDY
OVER CINCY
DALLAS 3% W
 
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