NCAA FOOTBALL PICKS: AUG 23rd

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

YTD: 0 - 0 - 0 = 0.00 units

most of my analyses will be taken from certain websites.....

gonna start light.

1) FIRST HALF PLAY Kansas State -14 against CALI -120 (1/2 unit)

can't bring myself to play the -27.5 spread even though it may be something like a 44 - 13 score. With Cali, there's almost no returning experience, no depth and little developed talent. The secondary will have the most problems, but the front seven is also going to need time. Look for KC ST to roll in this one.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Thursday, August 28, 2003 games:

2) BYU ML -170 ( 1 unit)

BYU has revenge goin on in this game as they were beaten last year 28 - 19 on the road by the same team. BYU good home team while Georgia usually bats about .500 on the road. Not taking any chances, we'll place a wager on the home side whom we feel is going to be the stronger team in this game. Hard to open up a game on the road to start the season if you're an average team.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Thursday, August 28, 2003

3) Northern Illinois +7 (1/2 unit)

 

[ND2002HORNS]

Like your NIU play. I played them on a future to win the MAC!

HORNS

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

4) NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN +34? ( 2 units)

i do NOT see my beloved Mean Green team losing by more than 28 in this game......

but i don't see North Texas scoring more than a touch down in this game either.....

my prediction:

OKIE 31, Texas 7

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

my "fade the shit out of Baylor" experiment will have to continue after two weeks because they tend to show up for the first two weeks of the season and then give up.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

LEAN:

REALLY thinking of this play:

MISSISSIPPI ML -600 (1 unit)



over the last few years of conference play, Vandy is
2002 0-8
2001 0-8
2000 1-7
1999 2-6
1998 1-7


knowing me, i'll probably try some crazy assed multi team ML parlay and see if i can hit them.

 

[taoist]

...try some SMALL UNIT parlay...stay away from the SEC, my friend. Go out West, young man...out West!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Re: NCAA FOOTBALL PICKS: AUG 23rd

YTD: 0 - 0 - 0 = 0.00 units

most of my analyses will be taken from certain websites.....

gonna start light.

1) FIRST HALF PLAY Kansas State -14 against CALI -120 (1/2 unit)

can't bring myself to play the -27.5 spread even though it may be something like a 44 - 13 score. With Cali, there's almost no returning experience, no depth and little developed talent. The secondary will have the most problems, but the front seven is also going to need time. Look for KC ST to roll in this one.

27 - 14 first half.....makes me sick, lost by a fawking point??????

0 - 1 = - 0.60 units

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

and now, presenting.....

The Harmon Forecast:

In its 47th year, The Harmon Forecast predicts probable scores of college and NFL football games each week.

NCAA Stat Pack

Total games predicted, 1992-2002: 26,517
Total right: 19,823
Total wrong: 6,537
Ties: 157
Forecasting percentage: .752

they just predict the SU winner.....not against the spread.
But this is useful for totals.....

Week of Aug. 30
Major Colleges - Div. I-A
*Air Force 32 Wofford 7
*Akron 27 Kent 8
Alabama 29 South Florida 12
Alabama-Birmingham 20 *Baylor 16
*Arizona 41 Texas-El Paso 9
*Ball State 31 Indiana State 6
*Boston College 21 Wake Forest 7
*Bowling Green 29 Eastern Kentucky 7
*California 30 Southern Mississippi 10
*Cincinnati 28 East Carolina 10
Colorado 24 Colorado State 12
*Connecticut 26 Indiana 10
*Eastern Michigan 26 East Tennessee State 17
*Florida 38 San Jose State 10
Florida State 28 *North Carolina 7
Georgia 28 *Clemson 14
Georgia Tech 20 *Brigham Young 12
*Hawaii 34 Appalachian State 9
*Houston 20 Rice 17
*Iowa 34 Miami (Ohio) 6
*Iowa State 50 Northern Iowa 7
*Kansas State 58 Troy State 6
*Kentucky 21 Louisville 7
*LSU 44 Louisiana-Monroe 6
*Marshall 35 Hofstra 10
Maryland 22 *Northern Illinois 13
*Memphis 34 Tennessee Tech 7
*Miami 47 Louisiana Tech 6
*Michigan 45 Central Michigan 7
*Michigan State 21 Western Michigan 10
*Middle Tennessee State 35 Florida Atlantic 7
*Minnesota 36 Tulsa 9
Mississippi 21 *Vanderbilt 14
Missouri 21 Illinois 20
*Navy 36 Virginia Military 8
*Nebraska 21 Oklahoma State 19
*Nevada 39 Southern Utah 6
*New Mexico 40 Texas State 6
*North Carolina State 49 Western Carolina 6
Northwestern 19 *Kansas 14
*Ohio 27 Southeast Missouri St. 6
*Ohio State 27 Washington 17
*Oklahoma 38 North Texas 6
Oregon 20 *Mississippi State 10
*Oregon State 56 Cal State Sacramento 7
*Penn State 37 Temple 7
*Rutgers 26 Buffalo U. 13
*San Diego State 30 Eastern Washington 15
*South Carolina 33 Louisiana-Lafayette 8
Southern California 23 *Auburn 14
*Tennessee 33 Fresno State 13
*Texas 46 New Mexico State 7
*Texas A&M 42 Arkansas State 7
Texas Christian 20 *Tulane 19
*Texas Tech 44 Southern Methodist 7
Toledo 16 *Nevada-Las Vegas 10
*Utah 28 Utah State 9
*Virginia 35 Duke 13
*Virginia Tech 31 Central Florida 14
Washington State 48 Idaho 9
*West Virginia 19 Wisconsin 12
*Wyoming 20 Montana State 9


* - Home team


let's see how they do this week.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

5) FH play Miami Florida -14 -105 ( 1 unit)

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

HARMON FORECAST PICK:
The Harmon forecast will usually sway my opinion on games that tend to have a spread of -3 or less. This is the first one.

6) GEORGIA ML -135 ( 3 units)

Georgia compiling a 9 - 2 away record over the last 3 years helps us make this pick alot easier....CLemson at home the last 3 years are average at 6 - 6. I prefer to take a higher echelon SEC team over an average ACC Clemson team anytime. But i've been wrong before.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

7) BYU -165 (1/2 unit)

Offense: The offense took a nosedive last year only averaging 22.7 points per game. The team was able to move the ball, but it had problems finishing off drives. Expect there to be a little more production this year with more experience at quarterback helped by a strong corps of running backs. The receivers and line are average at best.

Defense: Is this some kind of a joke? How can a college defense have this much developed depth? The Cougars are changing things around going to a 3-3-5 alignment, and it'll be interesting to see if the porous run defense is helped by bringing another defensive back onto the field. Eleven starters come back, and that doesn't even count the return of the best player, corner Jernaro Gilford. The Cougars have enough experienced backups to field a whole other front six.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

8) Ohio State -9 -105 (1/2 unit)

9) COLORADO ST ML -130 ( 1 unit)
Why to watch: This has grown into an understated, but strong rivalry. Year in and year out, this has been one of the few consistent games between a "mid-major" and a superpower that's been relatively even. Colorado has a murderous schedule with UCLA, Washington State and Florida State coming up in the next three games. For a season opening game, there has to be a sense of urgency for the Buffs. On the flip side, Colorado State has a relative walk in the park after this game. Oh sure, there are several tough Mountain West games ahead, but this should be CSU's toughest test. If the Rams win this game, there's no telling how big a season this might be.

Why Colorado might win: The Buffs are going to be like the Buffs of the last few years running, running and running some more. If however Colorado can move the ball at all through the air, CSU might be vulnerable. This is a talented receiving corps that should be able to beat the average Ram secondary.

Why Colorado State might win: Colorado has experience on defense, but the linebacking corps isn't that strong. With a running quarterback like Bradlee Can Pelt and a tremendous stable of backs, CSU should be able to move the ball without too much resistance. The Ram linebackers are good enough to keep the Buff running attack from going crazy.

Who to watch: Marcus Houston was one of the highest profile recruits Colorado was ever able to land. After an injury plagued CU career with a flash or two of brilliance, he ended up transferring to Colorado State where he has looked great so far in practice. Colorado lost star tailback Chris Brown early to the NFL, so it'll now be up to Brian Calhoun and Bobby Purify to carry the load. The team that wins the rushing battle will win the game.

What will happen: Colorado has always been a notoriously slow starter under head coach Gary Barnett, and this year's team isn't nearly the monster the last two have been. Colorado State really is that good on both sides of the ball, and will win in a surprisingly easy fashion. Van Pelt, a veteran leader who has seen and done it all, will be the difference.

CFN Prediction: Colorado State 27 ... Colorado 17

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

10) Tulane +6.5 -112 (1/2 unit)

I'm looking for Tulane to put up a good fight in this inter div CONF. USA match up as last year Tulane was 4-4 in the conference and 7 - 4 in home games going back 3 years.
TCU was just 3 - 2 on the road last year and just 7-5 on the road dating back 3 years....always tough for teams to start right off the bat on the road.

11) Oklahoma State +7.5 +100 (1/2 unit)
Nebraska was 3-5 in conference games last year while OKIE st was 5 - 3 in conf games....

Why to watch: Is this game going to be an official marking point of the ascension of one power passing the decline of another? Or will this be a proof that the status quo remains? This is a chance for Nebraska to show that it is, indeed, back to being considered among the Big XII powers, while Oklahoma State can show the world that it's a force to be reckoned with. At the very least, the loser of this game might be out of the Big XII title hunt.
Why Oklahoma State might win: This can be said for Nebraska for the last million years, but the Huskers can't throw the ball. Why does this matter more than before? Oklahoma State's defense is inexperienced and needs time to work. It'll be far easier for the Cowboys to stay in the game only concerned about stopping the run, rather than needing to handle a balanced attack. In the past, Nebraska would simply plow over an opponent no matter what. Will this Husker team be able to do that? Not sure. OSU's problem will be defending the pass this year, and the Huskers won't be able to exploit this.

Why Nebraska might win: This is still Nebraska and more so, this is still Nebraska playing at home. The offense might not be the steamroller of the past, but the defense should be far, far better. The Huskers will come out roaring after dealing with all the negative publicity of the past off-season.

Who to watch: Do you remember a few years ago when Louisiana Tech's Troy Edwards destroyed the Husker secondary? It's very possible that Oklahoma State's Rashaun Woods could have roughly the same type of game. This is a good Husker defense, but there isn't a shut-down corner that can handle Woods. Then again, there isn't a corner in the country that can stay with him. Nebraska will get a great season out of quarterback Jammal Lord, but he needs help. The running backs were average at best last season and the offense suffered. This will be a key game to see if David Horne and the rest of the Husker backs will be any sort of threat.

What will happen: It's very tempting to pick Woods, Josh Fields and Tatum Bell against what looks to be an average Husker team, but it's too difficult to pick against Nebraska in a home opener. Even though it's early, the Huskers will have a great performance.

CFN Prediction: Nebraska 27 ... Oklahoma State 20

 

[donly1ace]

Good luck TV

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

GL Chris!

 

[AR182]

i notice a few posters here laying large numbers on the moneyline.imo, you are playing with dynamite.

never the less, tv, i wish you luck this year.

you are a quality poster & bring alot to this forum.


btw, i am looking hard at n. texas also but have difficulty seeing them score against a quality defense like oklahoma.

 

[gardenweasel]

t.v...

t.v...

jump in with both feet,why don`tcha...... :nono: .....

g.l......

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Re: t.v...

Re: t.v...

jump in with both feet,why don`tcha...... :nono: .....

g.l......

just a few 1/2 unit plays here and there....