YTD 5-7 (-2 units) College
Broke the game down unit by unit:
TCU O against Tulane D:
Tulane does not have a good defensive line (?a learning year,? says Phil Steele). The Dbs are the weakest unit. The question will be whether the TCU Offense can exploit these weaknesses? The Horned Frogs return QB Tye Gunn, who was an efficient passer and good runner until he blew out a knee and missed the 2nd half of the season and all of Spring practice. TCU is improved at every position over last year. They are loaded with young RB talent that runs behind a top-notch OL averaging 314 per man. They possess an impact WR in Reggie Harrell. They out-gained foes 137 ypg LY. Bottom line is that TCU should move the chains consistently and score points.
Tulane O against TCU D:
TCU runs a 4-2-5 scheme nowadays, and have the best DL in the conference. They have good linebackers, even though they will miss the departure of LB LaMarcus McDonald. However, they are weaker in the 2ndary due to the loss of three solid starters. Hence, if Tulane QB J.P. Losman can buy some time and find his receivers, the Green Wave has a chance through the air. That will be a challenge, since their offensive line is young and not very good (but should be more experienced than last year). If he has time to throw, Losman has numerous capable targets: WR Roydell Williams (one of the most touted in the country), and seven others with starting experience including WR Tristan Smith (another potential star). At RB, the Greenies have stud senior Mewelde Moore, who can run and catch. Summary: Air Tulane might toss a TD or three on the board.
Bottom Line:
Take the OVER 52 points.
Further, since the war in the trenches will be won by TCU, I?ll lay the points for a small action bet. The only thing that keeps this from being a full unit smash on TCU is that Tulane has revenge, has owned this series (covering 6 of 6 since ?93), and play in their home dome at LA-Superdome. IMHO.