ytd....3-1 (+4.0 units)
2.5 units.....akron (+24.5) over wisconsin
1 unit......oklahoma/alabama under 44.5
1 unit......wake forest (+7.5) over nc state
added play: 1 unit....purdue (-11) (got good line, would still play it at the current 12)
added: 1 unit to oklahoma under (now a 2 unit play)
akron......both akron and wisconsin both coming off of relatively unimpressive outings. zips failed to win outright as a double-digit chalk vs rival kent state, and wisky looked lethargic for 3 quarters of their win over west virginia. even though wisky is going to hold the edge upfront and try and run the ball right at the zips defense (which, by coach owens own admission "was awful... needs to get a whole lot better"), akron is just too potent on offense to not be able to hang this number. it seems the zips have the same problem every year. they have a sh1tload of offensive talent, but never put it together on defense. this year, though, the offense is even better- which wont make up for defensive deficiencies, but it will give the zips a chance to stay in most every game. zips qb frye is in off a school- record 407 pass yards and 3 td's. zips will need another 300+ effort saturday to hang the number and they should get it. wisky will get their points, but i think akron will stay within 14-17 the whole way.
okie under.....really not much i can say other than both these teams have outstanding defenses and i think this game will be all about field position. even though im playing the under, i will say that i think alabama has a much better shot to win than people are giving them credit for. even though i think oklahoma is a well-deserved #1, bama showed last year they could hang and theres no reason to think they cant hang again, this time at home. tide will have to play mistake free football to win, and i think both teams will be reluctant to take a ton of chances. lots of punts, lots of good defense. an under for me
after pondering this wake/ncsu game for a couple of hours, ive decided to pull the trigger on wake at home plus the points.even though its early in the season, i still think this is a big time lookahead game for the wolfpack. amato's boys head to columbus next week for their huge game with ohio state. now if this was a program that was used to being in this spot (i.e a miami or an oklahoma, where their program is playing top notch non-conference schedules) then i might not put much stock in an early season lookahead. but this is an nc state team thats not really used to being a ranked opponent and handling their business and covering road chalk. just a gut feeling, but with nc state coming in off a cakewalk in their 1st game, and then with ohio state next week, i think this is a very dangerous game. wake runs the ball well and theyre not an easy team to prepare for. just dont see nc state covering. deacons could surprise
purdue......got a good line laying 11. another game i was somewhat on the fence with. was definitely a "purdue or pass" kind of game. i think with wmu giving purdue a little scare last week the boilers wont be caught sleeping here. bgsu's offense was outstanding in their tuneup vs 1-aa eku last week. was actually surprised that the falcons played that well. they looked awfully good; however, i think the step up in class is a little too much. harris is gonna be the x-factor for bgsu. he's such a good athlete that he can single-handedly keep the falcons in the game, but i think purdue's defense is going to make bgsu's other inexperienced skill position players beat them. would love to see bgsu perform well here, but i just dont see it happening. purdue should control this one.
edit: obviously a typo with wmu playing msu last week. meant to reference wmu giving msu a scare- thus, a big ten team like purdue would be ready for a mac team. but write-up came out all wrong. translation got lost from my mind to my keyboard. my bad.
2.5 units.....akron (+24.5) over wisconsin
1 unit......oklahoma/alabama under 44.5
1 unit......wake forest (+7.5) over nc state
added play: 1 unit....purdue (-11) (got good line, would still play it at the current 12)
added: 1 unit to oklahoma under (now a 2 unit play)
akron......both akron and wisconsin both coming off of relatively unimpressive outings. zips failed to win outright as a double-digit chalk vs rival kent state, and wisky looked lethargic for 3 quarters of their win over west virginia. even though wisky is going to hold the edge upfront and try and run the ball right at the zips defense (which, by coach owens own admission "was awful... needs to get a whole lot better"), akron is just too potent on offense to not be able to hang this number. it seems the zips have the same problem every year. they have a sh1tload of offensive talent, but never put it together on defense. this year, though, the offense is even better- which wont make up for defensive deficiencies, but it will give the zips a chance to stay in most every game. zips qb frye is in off a school- record 407 pass yards and 3 td's. zips will need another 300+ effort saturday to hang the number and they should get it. wisky will get their points, but i think akron will stay within 14-17 the whole way.
okie under.....really not much i can say other than both these teams have outstanding defenses and i think this game will be all about field position. even though im playing the under, i will say that i think alabama has a much better shot to win than people are giving them credit for. even though i think oklahoma is a well-deserved #1, bama showed last year they could hang and theres no reason to think they cant hang again, this time at home. tide will have to play mistake free football to win, and i think both teams will be reluctant to take a ton of chances. lots of punts, lots of good defense. an under for me
after pondering this wake/ncsu game for a couple of hours, ive decided to pull the trigger on wake at home plus the points.even though its early in the season, i still think this is a big time lookahead game for the wolfpack. amato's boys head to columbus next week for their huge game with ohio state. now if this was a program that was used to being in this spot (i.e a miami or an oklahoma, where their program is playing top notch non-conference schedules) then i might not put much stock in an early season lookahead. but this is an nc state team thats not really used to being a ranked opponent and handling their business and covering road chalk. just a gut feeling, but with nc state coming in off a cakewalk in their 1st game, and then with ohio state next week, i think this is a very dangerous game. wake runs the ball well and theyre not an easy team to prepare for. just dont see nc state covering. deacons could surprise
purdue......got a good line laying 11. another game i was somewhat on the fence with. was definitely a "purdue or pass" kind of game. i think with wmu giving purdue a little scare last week the boilers wont be caught sleeping here. bgsu's offense was outstanding in their tuneup vs 1-aa eku last week. was actually surprised that the falcons played that well. they looked awfully good; however, i think the step up in class is a little too much. harris is gonna be the x-factor for bgsu. he's such a good athlete that he can single-handedly keep the falcons in the game, but i think purdue's defense is going to make bgsu's other inexperienced skill position players beat them. would love to see bgsu perform well here, but i just dont see it happening. purdue should control this one.
edit: obviously a typo with wmu playing msu last week. meant to reference wmu giving msu a scare- thus, a big ten team like purdue would be ready for a mac team. but write-up came out all wrong. translation got lost from my mind to my keyboard. my bad.
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