season: 6-2 (+8.4 units)
one stands out for now. will add to this list periodically throughout the week as the lines run their course and become more favorable.
1 unit....miami, ohio (-3.5) over northwestern
on the surface, this goes against the capping maxim of laying road chalk to a power conference team, but i think the redhawks are well justified to be laying some points here. the two teams come in with very different mindsets. northwestern is in off of a down-to-the-wire loss to air force on saturday where they flat out gave the falcons the game (cats led 21-7 going into the 4th quarter only to lose 22-21 after air force had a rushing TD, returned an interception to the house, and then eventually won it on a short field goal on a later possession). miami comes in and will be very well prepared, having a full 2 weeks off to make adjustments following their loss in iowa. roethlisberger had a tough time vs iowa (4 INTs) but facing iowa and facing northwestern are two entirely different things. northwestern has a perenially porous defense that is susceptible to the big play. with miami having 2 weeks to prepare for this one, i think this one has points galore from both teams, and miami quite honestly is a much more sound football team- even though the cats are a power conference program. also, its worth noting that northwestern is going to have to adjust to a completely different scheme from last week to this week. air force was an exclusively option team where northwestern could gear for the run every play. now they have to make a quick turnaround and scheme for a redhawk team thats probably going to throw 40-45 times. and i dont think the cats are good enough to stop miami. also, it seems like the line is telling me something here- its rare to see a mac team other than marshall lay anything on the road to a power team. roethlisberger and the redhawks bounce back and should win a high scoring game by 7-10 points.
one stands out for now. will add to this list periodically throughout the week as the lines run their course and become more favorable.
1 unit....miami, ohio (-3.5) over northwestern
on the surface, this goes against the capping maxim of laying road chalk to a power conference team, but i think the redhawks are well justified to be laying some points here. the two teams come in with very different mindsets. northwestern is in off of a down-to-the-wire loss to air force on saturday where they flat out gave the falcons the game (cats led 21-7 going into the 4th quarter only to lose 22-21 after air force had a rushing TD, returned an interception to the house, and then eventually won it on a short field goal on a later possession). miami comes in and will be very well prepared, having a full 2 weeks off to make adjustments following their loss in iowa. roethlisberger had a tough time vs iowa (4 INTs) but facing iowa and facing northwestern are two entirely different things. northwestern has a perenially porous defense that is susceptible to the big play. with miami having 2 weeks to prepare for this one, i think this one has points galore from both teams, and miami quite honestly is a much more sound football team- even though the cats are a power conference program. also, its worth noting that northwestern is going to have to adjust to a completely different scheme from last week to this week. air force was an exclusively option team where northwestern could gear for the run every play. now they have to make a quick turnaround and scheme for a redhawk team thats probably going to throw 40-45 times. and i dont think the cats are good enough to stop miami. also, it seems like the line is telling me something here- its rare to see a mac team other than marshall lay anything on the road to a power team. roethlisberger and the redhawks bounce back and should win a high scoring game by 7-10 points.
