Games played so far/week 3

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pt1gard

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TOP 3

(W, fairly easy)
Rutgers bought 1/2 pt to 5.5 (riding the wave here)

(P & L ... stats about eventerrible FH)

NM got 3 and ML, dropped today to +1.5 and 71% on public on BYU at consensus sites, very very fishy (think NM off is awesome, got +600 in lubbock, scored 72 vs pansy in opener) byu plays 3-3-5 and might be tricky but going with Lobos off USC physicality might sap Latter Day Halos

(L & L ... course no chance for me to ever BD cover)

Uconn ML and +5 (biggest game in school's history that Khalid El Amin hasnt played in) good grass team vs good fake grass team.. how many weeks in a row will BC get up?

also liking

Cal ... love tedford (brutal L)

Arky ... tuff Nutt to crack on road, 3-1 LY SU, 4-0 ats (W easy)

Purdue ... riding my pal Jeff's theory that WF is overachieving and Boilers getting value here, starting 0-2 would really hurt Bowl chances (W harder than it deserved to be, stubblefield hurt at half with 7 catches)

Iowa ... coach lafrenz seeks revenge and gets it (LOD W)

Cuse ... vs a Louisville team that might hve trouble matching up on speedy turf (L terrible effort, had hope for sec tho)

Neb FH and game .... piper time for 40-7 thrashing, JoPa futiley losing ground to Bobby in all time Ws chase (is this why Nittany mentor hangs on?) (didnt see any of it, heard they should won easily L & L)

gl gregg :rolleyes:

ps would be way up if friggin fish didnt get their spout plugged, ok guys Im trying to let go, hehe :thefinger
 
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ND2002HORNS

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Gregg,

Would love to hear your feedback on the Texas game. Can't get a handle on this one. I will most likely pass.
I have been impressed with the play of the Iowa DL and OL. Mind you they have yet to play a solid team but nonetheless with the loss of 4 of their 5 OL I thought this might be a problem when they played Miami, OH but it was not. RB Russell just keeps getting it done.

HORNS:D
 
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pt1gard

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Horns

Horns

I dont have any huge insight, going off Nutts proclivity to cover RD games ... respect Texas explosive O but 13 is still a boatload


ps LW at one consensus site, the +70% plays showed the public went 8-3 ATS ...

this week so far its these at 70% and higher

rutgers #1 play 75%
tex 74%
boise st 74%
sd st
iowa
dux
BYU
minny
beavs

this one total floors me, 79% on over NM/byu (not many precints in however) and I agree, but it dipped a pt already to 48.5, hmmm


gl to all
gregg
 
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JEFF

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Gregg
I think you can use the consensus sites as a pretty good tool for picking sides, but I wouldn't worry about the consensus on the totals.

The majority of the time people are going to take the over. Or when you have a potentially low scoring game like ravens-Cleveland or a potential shootout like, say, Minny- Rams, everyone will take the obvious bet. Sometimes they're right, sometimes wrong, but the consensus on totals is very inconsistent in my experience.

Just my opinion.
 
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pt1gard

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adding

adding

(L, heres were trends kill ya, dog always cover, hehe, sure ND is horrible and Mich is great--something like that)

* ND +10, I agree that TY is great dog coach and UM tho darn good might be spotting a couple extra here after cupcake city blowouts ... I believe the line was 6.5 in future b4 week one ...

thanx Jeff, I rarely play totals, I was just surprised that I thought line dropped one with everyone on the over


gl to all
gregg :)
 
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pt1gard

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thanx scott too bad we couldnt pull it in :(

thanx scott too bad we couldnt pull it in :(

adding these


(W laffer)
* Ole Miss to murder Marilyn Monroe, lost by +28 to BCS teams for years


(W laffer)
* Quacks FH -6.5, started strong last time out and finished poorly both games


(W laffer)
* WSU ML I just think they arent bad, their D is solid


(W laffer)
* auburn tease to Dux -- both under 6, auburn is more overdue than a 12 month pregnant housewife


(L, tite all the way)
* SMU ML +110 I mean its Baylor

(W, couldnt watch paint dry so have no idea what happened)
* Illini +10.5 Liked their O i saw in opener

(L, crushing blow, parlayed to Ole miss)
* Miss ST. riding others better than I

okay if thats not enuff action then Im not a junkie


gl,
gregg
 
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BigNick

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Good Luck Gregg

With you on some:

UCOnn (4.5)
Northwestern (3)
N. Texas (9.5)
Wash St. (4.5)
Minnesota (-19.5)
Iowa (-4)
Cinncy (7)
La Tech ( 11.5)
Boise St. (-22)
Memphis(5)
New Mexico (2.5)

Also like
Boise St 1 half (-13)
Oregon (-6.5)
 
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pt1gard

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in case anyone was curious

in case anyone was curious

since i had 20 posted plays

went 9-11

won one ML

won the blowouts as usual, lost the close ones .. also lost 5 team teaser with Boise St missing the final leg by 1 pt of course ...

Oh well,

bad day

really needed cuse of uconn or Nm to win for ++ day but of course it never happens anymore


gl, gregg
 
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