huskers-s.miss....home dog of 10.5 and an o/u of 37?

[gardenweasel]

i said this in box`s thread,but decided to see if anybody else feels like i do....or not...some guys in another forum were kickin` it around...


that you have a road fave of 10- 10.5 and an o/u of only around 37 ......the public has bet this thing up to 10.5....i think it opened at around 7 or 7.5.....


a thursday night night college game opens at o/u of 37????...aren`t they begging for over action?....somebody thinks this is gonna be a defensive struggle....

penn st yields around 5.5 ypc and nebraska pushed them around at nebraska but couldn`t cover a 10 point spread due to penalties,miscues and jamaal lord....and make no mistake....at that point,penn st wasn`t very good....and nebraska`s passing game is practically non-existent....

nebraska`s first road game...on terra firma..and this has to be considered a HUGE game for so miss.....i smell a trap.....takes quite a push to move a game 3- 3.5 points in 3 days.....the public`s on the huskers like apathy on arianna huffington`s gubernatorial campaign....

maybe it`s an easy win and the books take a bath....but,it`s usually not that easy......as we`ve seen this year in college football,if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck,it`s not always a duck.....this stinks to high heaven....


when i see such a one-sided lean in an "only game on the card" night,a double digit home dog,an o/u of 37...... the hair on the back of my neck stands up.....

i was looking at nebraska,too.....something tells me come late thursday night ,the public`s gonna be bleedin` like an armless man in a knife fight.....

maybe i`m paranoid......PASS.......g.l.,guys......

 

[ND2002HORNS]

Great points!

HORNS

 

[pt1gard]

GW

GW

agree completely, see this as 21-10 Huskers (line now 11 at carib) ... went back and checked all smiss games, they have app. 1 legit TD this year ... Huskers have stolen more money than meyer lansky ... I cant touch this, other than possible FH under ...

and has the public been right yet on a single huge line move in Cfball? ... I can name a handful the books have collected huge on ...

only nfl game i thik that has swung to JoPubs flavor was tampa this last weekend

gl, gregg

 

[flag]

total does seems low doesn't it . line does to , probably will be a split with the books , i myself like the over maybe everboby should fade me because i am minus be time on the totals this year cfb/nfl something like 2 - 12 :

 

[SixFive]

That's what I would think too, then I realize, HEY, this is a THURSDAY NIGHT GAME. Public wins on Thursdays. I lost a lot betting contrarion on Thursday night until I figured that out. ovah is the play I think. GL!

 

[AR182]

gw quote:".....the public`s on the huskers like apathy on arianna huffington`s gubernatorial campaign.... "


very funny!!!

i like your analysis.

i don't see how anybody can bet a road team laying double digits that has scored 5 tds all year!!

true they may pitch a shut-out, but how likely is that.


good luck guys

 

[MACH1]

I have a few questions about this game that someone may be able to answer.

How good is the 2nd string QB for SM? Can this guy move the ball and score at least twice in this game?

Does SM have a descent Kicking game? Will they be able to put points on the board if they actually do move the ball into scoring position?

From my readings, SM has a descent D, but how big are they? Nebraska will push them around all night. 4th qtr may lose or win us alot of money. Especially, if Neb controls the ball. Look what happened to Buffalo Sunday night. Depth may be a problem for SM.

I loved Nebraska early in the week and probably should have taken the 8.5, until I saw that Nebraska is 9-20 ATS on the road over the past several years.

I'll probably play the o/u in this one and stay away from the side.

 

[skillrules]

I would point to one game that really shaped this line. The Cal-S.Miss games. How does a line of U37 SMiss +31 sound? Cal would have covered it with the 62nd ranked offense.

Nebraska so far has the number 2 rush offense in the nation and the number 1 defense vs. the rush although their strength of schedule is only #60 (Utah St. was the factor in that).

Im on Nebraska for the game...the great equalizer and unknown will be turnovers, but if Corn plays field position they should be able wear down SMiss and dominate.

 

[bamabuck44]

Back-up Q-back Almond who is a sophmore said to be better runner, which he will probably need to be, and thought to be as good as starter by many. Not sure of kicking game for S.Miss, but feel Bower will have to try some tricks, going against the crowd, playing over 37. Good luck to all. Buck

 

[fletcher]

s. miss is going to have a hard time scoring this wont be a blow out neb is not that good but s.miss is flat out bad on the off side of the ball, i would be shocked to see s.miss get over 13 points i would also be shocked to see huskers get over 24, i think s.miss might have problems putting up a td unless they get a break of some kind.

 

[Randercity]

Can SO MISS score 7-10 pts in this game??? :shrug:

That's my question. If SO MISS can get at least 7, then I feel a teaser is a great play in this game.

IF you feel it's going to be strictly a defensive game, and SO MISS may get shut out, then here's your ticket:

NEB -4 and UNDER 44

IF you more inclined to think SO MISS gets a few points but is able to hold NEB's Offense down:

SO MISS +17 and UNDER 44

IF you see NEBRASKA blowing this SO MISS team off the field and are afraid they may run up the score:

NEB -4 and OVER 31

IF you see SO MISS staying with NEB for most of the game, with both teams getting points on the board:

SO MISS +17 and OVER 31

Personally, I'm teasing NEB to the UNDER. I can't see SO MISS keeping up with NEB tonite, and once NEB gets the lead they'll control clock with their running game. I doubt if NEB is able to shut out SO MISS at home, but from what I've seen of the NEB offense so far, it's doubtful they go for more than 24 themselves which makes my UNDER 44 look good.

MY TAKE: NEB -4 and UNDER 44 ** DOUBLE PLAY **

I'm looking for a low scoring FH in this one, hopefully less than 10 pts, and then may look to go OVER 17-18 in 2nd Half. May also play SO MISS at HALF if they are down double digits and still getting pts or pickem at the half. Each HT play is one unit normally so I can hit for a possible four units with little or no risk. Of course, the teams need to cooperate and keep the scoriing low early...

* All these scenarios are based on a 6.5 pt teaser and current line of NEB-10.5 and 37.5

 

[Randercity]

Hey Fletch... glad we're thinking alike. I actually did my write up while you were posting, had a phone call, UPS at the door, etc so I didn't get to read your post before sending mine. Glad to see we agree!

Good luck on however you play it tonite!

 

[gardenweasel]

jmo

jmo

i don`t need the aggravation tonight:shrug: .....i`ll lay low and play some things this weekend that look better(so i can be surprised when i get it from my book in the missionary,doggy style and reverse cowgirl positions )......

g.l.,guys.....

 

[MACH1]

OK taking Neb -11 and the under>>


Ontario to Riverside we've got Nebraska covered!!

 

[skillrules]