Hey everyone! This week has not been kind to me - lost several plays during the last minutes of the game...but that is the NFL for you - very unpredictable & anything can happen - and it usually does! After 4 weeks I find myself right back where i started the season, well +.15 units - so i guess a little better off...
Well that won't discourage me or the way i cap...one thing is for sure...the faves continue to come up big & home dogs just aren't barking this year...what i have done is taken notes - studied the plays i won & lost - and plays i pondered & didn't make & what the results would have been had i played them - and i learned alot about every team during the first 4 weeks - though i have barely gained any ground, i haven't lost any either - and I have gained valuable information for the coming weeks...which i believe will help turn a profit...being a capper who plays primarily dogs & unders - and looking at the performance thus far of the dogs...i feel good about where I stand at being even for the year...i feel things will go up from here...
I have lived in WI all my life & been a Packer fan throughout & keep a close eye on the Packers & Bears...and there are a few things I have learned about betting on the Packers...i know many people do not like betting for or against their favorite teams - but i am a believer that you should make a play if you believe it is a solid play - there have been many times i bet against the Packers & times i bet for the Packers - obviously i would like them to win every game - but i also realize that the Pack is always a big Public favorite & sometimes should be faded...
Well i have learned to ALWAYS BET AGAINST THEM IN MINNESOTA - OR WHEN THEY PLAY IN A DOME - PERIOD...Favre doesn't get the job done in that scenario...also BET AGAINST THEM WHEN WEATHER > 70 degrees - as was seen last week - Favre doesn't play well in the heat...but the most important thing is UNDER FAVRE ALWAYS PLAY ON THE PACK WHEN THEY PLAY THE BEARS!! Favre has their number & even though this is a very public play - and i usually like to fade the public, i see no other way than to back the Pack tonight...I don't buy into the Bears opening the new stadium hoopla...and Favre has historically bounced back from losses w/ a big game...i just can't see them falling to 1-3 tonight...the bottom line is the Packers are a superior team to the Bears...and they will win & cover the spread tonight....look for a fast GB start - also like GB 1st half...
YTD RECAP:
NFL RECORD: 27W - 27L 50.0% +.15 UNITS
CFB YTD RECORD: 21W - 18L 53.8% +24.95 UNITS
OVERALL RECORD: 48W - 45L 51.6% +25.10 UNITS
SHOWRUNNER'S MNF SELECTIONS:
GB -3.5
risking 11 units to win 10 units
GB 1st half -2.5
Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units
GL to all & GO PACK GO!!
Well that won't discourage me or the way i cap...one thing is for sure...the faves continue to come up big & home dogs just aren't barking this year...what i have done is taken notes - studied the plays i won & lost - and plays i pondered & didn't make & what the results would have been had i played them - and i learned alot about every team during the first 4 weeks - though i have barely gained any ground, i haven't lost any either - and I have gained valuable information for the coming weeks...which i believe will help turn a profit...being a capper who plays primarily dogs & unders - and looking at the performance thus far of the dogs...i feel good about where I stand at being even for the year...i feel things will go up from here...
I have lived in WI all my life & been a Packer fan throughout & keep a close eye on the Packers & Bears...and there are a few things I have learned about betting on the Packers...i know many people do not like betting for or against their favorite teams - but i am a believer that you should make a play if you believe it is a solid play - there have been many times i bet against the Packers & times i bet for the Packers - obviously i would like them to win every game - but i also realize that the Pack is always a big Public favorite & sometimes should be faded...
Well i have learned to ALWAYS BET AGAINST THEM IN MINNESOTA - OR WHEN THEY PLAY IN A DOME - PERIOD...Favre doesn't get the job done in that scenario...also BET AGAINST THEM WHEN WEATHER > 70 degrees - as was seen last week - Favre doesn't play well in the heat...but the most important thing is UNDER FAVRE ALWAYS PLAY ON THE PACK WHEN THEY PLAY THE BEARS!! Favre has their number & even though this is a very public play - and i usually like to fade the public, i see no other way than to back the Pack tonight...I don't buy into the Bears opening the new stadium hoopla...and Favre has historically bounced back from losses w/ a big game...i just can't see them falling to 1-3 tonight...the bottom line is the Packers are a superior team to the Bears...and they will win & cover the spread tonight....look for a fast GB start - also like GB 1st half...
YTD RECAP:
NFL RECORD: 27W - 27L 50.0% +.15 UNITS
CFB YTD RECORD: 21W - 18L 53.8% +24.95 UNITS
OVERALL RECORD: 48W - 45L 51.6% +25.10 UNITS
SHOWRUNNER'S MNF SELECTIONS:
GB -3.5
risking 11 units to win 10 units
GB 1st half -2.5
Risking 5.5 units to win 5 units
GL to all & GO PACK GO!!
