Week 5 Systems Plays

[GM]

Systems which are in effect this week, and there are lots of them. And for the second week in a row, there are no games with opposing systems:

System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89).

Play on: Kansas City, Dallas.

System #5 - Play on the home team when both teams have won 2 straight SU (74-47-2, 61.2% since '89).

Play on: Kansas City.

System #7 - Play on a home favorite of 3 or less that won outright on the road last week (61-37-7, 62.2% since '91).

Play on: Green Bay (if line stays below -3), Kansas City (if line drops below -3).

System #8 - Play against a home favorite coming off their bye week (31-13-1, 70.5% since '98).

Play on: Miami (if NYG is favored), Indianapolis.

System #10 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games SU as a dog (40-22-1, 64.5% since '89).

Play on: Dallas

System #16 - Play against a team that won but failed to cover last week, and is favored again this week. (17-2 thru 12 weeks of '02, including 10-1 when the team in question was favored on the road).

Play on: Chicago

System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 45-73-5, 61.9% Unders --- O/U 21-38-3, 64.4% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game).

Play the Under on the games involving: Tennessee, Cincinnati, Arizona, San Diego, Detroit, Indianapolis.

System #21 - Play against a road favorite on a 4+ game win streak. (47-27, 63.5% ATS since '92).

Play on: Atlanta

System #22 - Play on a home underdog that is winless for the season (minimum 3 losses). (40-21 ATS).

Play on: Chicago

System #23 - Play against an undefeated road favorite. (11-1 ATS last year).

Play on: Atlanta

(Records haven't been updated for this year's games yet)

 

[cooz3]

thanks for the posting this info..

i do have question however...how does chicago apply under #16?

thanks..

cooz

 

[GM]

The team in question is Oakland cooz. And it's a play against them...therefore, a play on Chicago.

 

[cooz3]

my mistake GM...after being in court all day sometimes my reading comprehension is ..."i see what i want to see"..LOL..thought it said "play on" not "against" ...

thanks for pointing out my error...

and again ..great info

good luck

cooz

 

[GM]

I definitely don't want to give the impression these are my plays. I will consider them, along with lots of other info, before I decide. I'll update these angles when I can (some records are not quite current). Personally Chicago stinks so bad I can't put 5 cents on 'em...but I'll post the info I have and everyone can make their own decisions.

 

[kickserv]

dam......great info....much appreciated.......

good luck on your plays this weekend

 

[3fingerstony]

Great info GM. Of course, I've already pulled the trigger on Sea,Oak & Minn so it doesnt help me much.
Do you post this every week?

 

[GM]

I can if people find it helpful.

 

[BigSix]

B6 finds it helpful. Thanx!

 

[Sasha]

The more information the better--Thanks GM :hail

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

GM,


did you just move to Toronto???


gl

 

[GM]

Ok then, I'll post it regularly. Hope these things keep hitting.

Dr. S - No I grew up here, though I spent a few years in other parts of the country. Currently spend most of my time in Etob, but a couple days a week in Hamilton.

 

[Got5onIt]

Your system plays are very helpful GM!
I know Denver was a play on several systems last week and covered.......I had the itch to play 'em, but didn't.

 

[stagger lee]

Great stuff GM

I definitely would look forward to this info on a weekly basis if you have the time to post.

Thanks and good luck

 

[GM]

Looks like these have gone 9-6 so far this week. KC line did not drop below -3, so no play there on System #7. The Giants DID go off as a favorite (I have no idea how, but they did). GB line did stay below -3. So...

Wins:
2 wins on Dallas
2 wins on Chicago
1 win on Green Bay
1 win on Miami
3 wins on System 18 Unders

Losses:
2 losses on KC
2 losses on Atlanta
2 losses on System 18 Unders

Pending plays on Indy and the Under tonight, one system for each.