10/4 plays

A

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
trying to get over the .500 hump.

2* mich. st. -13.5(-138)---i have read that there are people who think that msu will have a let down for this game, after upsetting iowa last week. i don't see this as a let down spot because they were upset earlier this year by lou. tech & don't think smith will let this happen again. this is a different msu team from previous teams. indiana must run to be competitive in this game & i think they will have a problem doing this since msu defense is only allowing 1.7 yds. per carry this year. on the other side of the ball, msu qb smoker is playing very well, throwing against an ind. defense that is allowing close to 400 yds. per game, & allowing 28 pts. per game. in ind. last 27 road games they have allowed an average of 39 pts. per game. since 1980 in games where they score at least 28 pts., msu is 83-13-2 su & 71-20 ats. ind. is 2-21-2 ats in its last 25 su losses.

2*navy+17(-140)--as in previous years af is quicker on both sides of the ball than navy. and eventhough af won big last year, af has not had an easy time vs. navy.af is 4-7 ats in last 11. the home team is 4-1 ats in last 5, & 7 of the last 10 have been decided by 10 or less points. af is 1-6 ats in this series when favored by 14.5 points or more. this game is being played in landover md. & navy is 40-17 ats when they don't play at annapolis. the reason, why i think navy does well in this game is because they both run the option, & navy practices against this week after week in practice. the difference this year could be that navy runs a more sophisticated option than in previous years. imo, the points are worth taking in this rivalry.


good luck


more to come.
 
Last edited:
B

bigdad2

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2001
465
0
0
47
NJ, USA
AR182- I've been looking at MSU and your write-up will probably help me put a small play on the game. GL w/ Navy and the rest of your picks!
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

el guapo
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
40,575
226
63
"the bunker"
on navy also

on navy also

a little worried about the letdown factor for mich st.....but,seems like this team,coming back from the brink last year,is trying to re-establish themselves as a legit upper echelon big ten program again.....i don`t think that 13 or 14 is to much to ask here....i may buy down and touch it lightly myself.....g.l.
 
R

rrc

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 26, 2001
2,503
13
0
Smith doing a great job turning things around at Mich St. Hopefully letdown won't be an issue. Nice write-ups. Good luck.
 
A

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
thanks guys, good luck to you also.

2*under 56(-140)miami/wvirg.----by what i have read on this game, i think w. virg thinks that they could run on miami. w. virg. is averaging 190 yds. on the ground per game, while miami is yielding about 124 yds. per game. considering teams are usually behind when they play miami & throw the ball, miami run defense is giving alot of rushing yards. if w. virg. doesn't turn the ball over too much, i think the total number comes in closer to 45.

good luck
 
A

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
2*e. mich.+17.5(-140)---bet this earlier this week, saw the line now at 14. e. m. is 3-10 su, but 9-4 ats in last 13 in this series. in their last 7 games at e. m., w. m. has had an average of 2.4 ppg edge with only 1 win by more than 10. when e. m. played akron earlier this year at home, e. m. stayed within 7. i will take the home dog in this rivalry.

2* oregon state-p(-110)--in their last 27 conference games, when playing off a su underdog win, calif. is 5-22 su & 10-17 ats., including 9 straight losses. a system that i read goes like this:
play against any team that won su as a 7 or more dog the week before. in 2002 the ats record was 36-22 (62%).

2*fresno st +7.5(-130)--after playing at tenn. & at okla., don't think fsu will be intimidated at col. st. fsu expects their top qb, pinegar to see some playing time in this game, & he & their other qb, grady will be facing a very suspect defense. csu defense has given up 285 ypg. passing, & they lost their top lb,pauly in their last game. fsu has had a good running attack in their last 3 games by averaging close to 600 total yds. rushing & scoring 6 td's. on the side of the ball, csu has comitted 16 to's in their 5 games played so far this year, & their qb, van pelt was benched last week for erratic play. since 200, csu is 3-11 ats as home favorite, while fsu is 11-2 ats in last 13 as dog

2*bowling green-27(128)--don't see why bg doesn't roll in this game. in it's last 9 home games bg has scored an average of 54ppg. this year bg is averaging 523 ypg on offense, while cm is yielding an average of 503 ypg. on defense. bg, is 5-2 ats the week after a bye, while cm is 0-4 su,&1-3 ats after a bye. bg is 18-5-1 ats at home since '98, while cm is 5-16 ats as ad in the last 5 years.


good luck
 
Last edited:
A

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
2*under 61(-150)utah/oregon---don't think that utah will get into a shootout with oregon. so i think that they will play a conservative type of game. also utah's defense is a bend, but don't break; they give up yards but about 23 pts. a game. i was pretty close on the total in yesterday's game; & this game i think the total points should be in the 48-52 point range. here is something that i found interesting:in the last 22 times utah played a pac/10 team, 20 of those games ended with 55 or less points scored.


good luck
 
A

AR182

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
18,654
87
0
Scottsdale,AZ
here is the rest of my plays for today.

4*under 50(-138)unlv/nev.---this is my best bet today.

the rest are 2*

nw+14(-148)
wash(p)(-110)
iowa+4.5(-130)
ball st.+4.5(-138)
under 51(-148)md./clemson
cinn-6.5(-140)
rutgers+29(-138)


also played for $2 a side:

boise st.-6
lou. tech+10

n.ill.-20
ohio+24


good luck
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Bet on MyBookie
Top