Program Update

[Mick Onofrio]

7-6-1 +$20 for saturday 10-4-03 (16-7-2 +$415 for the year) on saturday:

All Bets 55/50 due to large number of plays every week
Winners
Central Mich
Arizona
West Virg
BYU
UTEP
Southern Miss
Texas Tech (rare favorite)

Losers
Utah State
Fresno State
Tennessee
Air Force(rare favorite)
Alabama
UL-Lafayette

Push
San Jose State

I believe my posted record for the week was:
Winners
BYU
UTEP
Arizona
West Virg
Central Mich

Losers
Fresno State
Tennessee
UL-Lafayette

Giving me a posted record of 6-3, but actual record of 7-6-1 because I was stuck working 16 hours in Prison because the 2nd shift rookies don't like showing up for their 8 hours on weekends and Inmates aren't allowed internet access for sexual predator reasons so I was unable to post. I do, however, have this Saturday off and I plan to post every play by Wednesday

 

[ND2002HORNS]

Great stuff. I used your system on a couple of games and scored a win or two. Thanks,

HORNS

 

[g-hawg]

Looking forward to this week. GL as always.

 

[Mick Onofrio]

Thanks Fellas, Like I said before...

Thanks Fellas, Like I said before...

You guys don't know me from a hole in the wall but we all have a common goal and that's to make solid investments. I will never get stupid on a game...I've been working very hard on this for a 4th year now and this system is very good at finding lines that are off. I will never have alterior motives, I don't have an agenda, and the reason why I am bringing these plays to this board is because the knowledge coming from some of you guys can only make my system stronger. Now 16-7-2 that's 69.6% A buddy of told me two years ago that if I stick to it, through thick and thin, I'll be a rich man some day. I hope he's right. You'll never see me wager more the 55/50 on these games because I play every single game. That's the trust I have in this and my hard work. The 1st week there were 11 plays, last week there were 14. The trend I'm really picking up on is the later, more west coast games, smaller mid-major conference games, more specifically when a smaller conference team plays a more known team, or when a Public Favorite is playing a late game versus a less formidable opponent have been hitting at a stunning rate. Check this out:

In the first two weeks winners have been:
Rice over Hawaii
Arizona over TCU
New Mexico State over New Mexico

But in week 2 it really jumped:
BYU over San Diego State-public was all over SDSU
Arizona over Wash St-Arizona again was bet against heavy
Central Michigan over Bowling Green-public loves BGU
Southern Miss over Cincy-again, cincy usually bet on for some reason
Texas Tech over Tex A&M-nobody thought Tech could cover
UTEP over SMU-when less known teams are playing each other I'm finding the lines to be way off in favor of the Dogs.

What I'm trying to say is I building upon a "Chaser Theory" as I like to call it. We all know that Joe Average bets favorites. What I'm finding is the lines on late games are already Juiced Up a bit, by an average of approx. 5-as many as 14 points over the past two weeks. It's almost like the oddsmakers know that if Michigan didn't cover everyone was gonna jump on late favorites in order to chase and hedge their losses for example. If I'm having a hard time putting this into words I apologize. Tennessee was a popular bet for chasers which screwed me because the line was off in that game. I mean try to tell me that a game like that isn't on National TV at 7:45 pm for no reason. San Diego State was a very popular "chaser" as well. BYU was calculated as .5 thru 4.22 points Favs yet the were bet down to a 3 point dog. I will try to articulate it better when I post this weeks plays on Wednesday. I will put them up all at once with all the numbers. I will continue to expand on My "Chaser" theory as I watched it in action on Saturday when my partner in the cellblock I worked chased every loss with a favorite that I had as being overvalued.