Tonight ALCS final play(great value)

[Mick Onofrio]

Wager type : Straight Bet(s)
Select #1 : MLB Baseball
Boston Red Sox 10/8/2003 8:05:01 PM - EST
Spread +1? -110 for Game
Tim Wakefield must Start Mike Mussina must Start Risking 55.00 To Win 50.00 USD

RED SOX +1.5 runs at -110 is a tremendous value for a Red Sox team that was more than able to compete on the road versus the Yankees this year. In fact, they went 5-5 at Yankee Stadium this year. At the Stadium they had wins of 11-0 Wakefield Won, 9-3 Pedro Won, 10-2 Mendoza Won, 10-3 Lowe Won, and 8-4 Wakefied Won again. So in the 5 wins at Yankee Stadium the Sox won by at least 4 and as much as 11 in all 5. That's tells me that if they are gonna win they will have to score a bunch of runs. Not easy vs Mussina who has seemed to have the Red Sox number. BUT in their Five losses at Yankee Stadium the Sox Lost: 3-1 Wells, 2-1 Mussina, 7-1 Pettitte, 6-5 Mussina, 11-3 Pettitte.
The two games they lost to Mussina at the Bronx were by 1 run. Mussina is actually 3-0 vs the Sox this year when you count the game at Fenway. ALL MUSSINA VICTORIES OVER THE SOX WERE BY ONE RUN. That's why I'm taking the 1.5 runs at a very small price of -110. Good Luck tonight,
Mick

 

[Mick Onofrio]

oh yeah

oh yeah

Wakefield is 2-0 at Yankee Stadium this year with run support of 8 and 11 runs. Mussina is 2-0 vs Red Sox at home with run support of 6 and 2 runs.

CORRECTION: MUSSINA IS 3-1 vs SOX, Burkett beat him 5-4 at Fenway on 7-26-03.

 

[Mick Onofrio]

wow

wow

It's October 8th and it's forecasted to be 76 degrees here in New England with a low of 66???

In the Bronx the forecast is about the same...with 84-87% Humidity all the ingridients needed for a nasty Knuckleball and great baseball weather. Gametime should be about 65-68 degrees, rare this time of year. All the stars lined up right or what???? THE BLESSING OF TED WILLIAMS!!!

 

[Mick Onofrio]

playoff record

playoff record

I understand documenting records is important on these message boards. Integrity is important to me...so for the sake of integrity only, not to brag or boast when things are going well, and definately not to run and hide when things are going poorly I will post my running record.

Sides and Totals:
2-0 +$357.50
Boston 10-6-03
Marlins 10-7-03

Parlays:
0-1 -$30.00
Marlins and under 8 10-7-03

Overall Playoff Record:
2-1 +$327.50

Thinking about another play tonight, a parlay in the NLCS, will be bacl later. I have to finish My College Football Calculated Line Plays.

It takes me roughly 12-18 hours each week for my College Football Program and I work about 48-80 hours a week depending on the available Over-time. I'm trying to build a few high years at work because my neck injury may put me out on medical retirement. I work a hazardous duty job and I got pounded on pretty bad at work last year during a fight. In case you haven't seen any posts in that NCAA forum I have been working on this Program for 4 years now, I hate using the term "system" because systems are like A** Holes.
What the program was designed for is to find Lines that are off or out of whack so-to-speak. So far this year it is 16-7-2, approx 70%. I play every Program play at 55 to make 50 and the profits have been +495 for the year based on that wagering format(55/50). I have applied it to the NFL for the first time this year and suprisingly it has done well, going 2-0-1 in week 4 and 4-2 in week 5. I cannot explain its success in the NFL though. The reason why there have only 25 total plays in College is it can not be used until most teams have played 3 games. The first had 11 plays, last week had 14 plays.

I can't stress this enough when I say "GOOD LUCK" tonight fellas. I'm really enjoying this forum and all of the insight that you guys bring to the table. This place is very well-managed and there seems to be great chemistry among the rank and file posters.

 

[MACH1]

Hi Mick,

I was with ya on game 5 along with the over, although it just pushed.

If you like to type, l like to read. You put together some great insights on the game. Your presence will only enhance an already great board..

I like your analysis on tonights game, although I think the best bet is the over, with all that run support that Wakefield gets along with Mussina going over 5 era in last 3.

Wakefield and CLemmons went H2H 4 times this year and the over went 3-1.

GL on your play!!

 

[superbook]

Mike - thanks for your posts; very well-written and convincing.

I'll look for your college football this week and look forward to your thoughts on college hoop games.

Good luck tonite.

- Jon

 

[superbook]

Mike -- thanks for the $$$, look forward to your plays for Thursday