NFL Sunday game info

[I.M D'Walrus]

Yes, for those of you who are wondering, I HAVE survived the Tampa Bay disaster..... I am still standing, but keeled over somewhat.

This week we take a look at the Tenn/Hou game. A home favorite who played it's previous two games on the road, winning their first and losing their second is a bad proposition. Also, a team that rushes the ball poorly is usually a bad big home favorite. This week there are two of those, SL and TT. So, the parameters of the system are: A home favorite winning their previous previous game on the road, then losing their previous game on the road, now a home favorite and getting outrushed in the game in question. The against the spread mark is 3-32 average line is -5.4 and the total is 40. Average score is 19-23.5, 3-32 ATS and 20-14-2 over. The home favorite is 13-23 SU!!!!!.

Be careful, my 16-1 angle went only 1-1 last week with the cover coming by a half point.

Good luck to all.

 

[I.M D'Walrus]

Game 2 is Saint Louis/Atlanta Falcons. Similar thought process for this game....SL is a poor running team, who unlike Tennessee, does not defend the run very well. How does a road dog that has lost their previous previous game on the road, then lost at home and now is an away dog do if they outrush their opponent?

Results for the away dog: Average line is +6.4 and total 39.4. Average score is 19.5-19.5. ATS record 65-21 and O/U is 39-43. The ATS record is over 75%, however if the game total is high the results are not as great,.....if the total is >42 the ATS record is 14-7, average score is 20.8-20.4 and the O/U is 8-14 to the under.

If the line on the game is >= +6' the ATS record is 6-3.

 

[MrChristo]

Nice work, Walrus.

Cleveland played out as 'expected' last week, so will go with you on Houston. :toast:

 

[I.M D'Walrus]

Thanks Mr. Christo, yeah the Cleveland game went well, sometimes this stuff can work like a charm. I'm eagerly awaiting your "stuff" for this week's games.

Are you up bright and early Monday to watch/listen to the games?

 

[MrChristo]

Yeah. Tend to be a bit tragic when it comes to 'watching' sporting events!

Usually crash out on the couch for 3-4 hours and then up to either watch the games on Fox (when live, obviously!) or just watch the scores ticking over on the 'net.
Couple of coffee's (or Bundy's if all's going well ) and try to stay awake and alert to watch the Sunday Night game on ESPN!

Girlfriend hates it, but what are ya gunna do......

All part of my weekly routine now!

Just in the process out writing up some 'stuff' in the weekly match-up forum now mate.....Couple of pretty solid looking games too, if I do say so!

Good luck this week mate....Let's hope we do well.

EDIT: Some more reasons for taking Houston.....

League: 5-16 ATS (Av. win 7.5) home 10+ fav off 7+ SU road loss.
8-18 ATS (Av. loss 8.4) home 10+ fav off 7+ ATS away loss.

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Yeah. Usually crash out on the couch for 3-4 hours and then up to either watch the games on Fox (when live, obviously!) or just watch the scores ticking over on the 'net.
Couple of coffee's (or Bundy's if all's going well ) and try to stay awake and alert to watch the Sunday Night game on ESPN!

Girlfriend hates it, but what are ya gunna do......

All part of my weekly routine now!

Hey Christo......
It's no easier trying to explain this to your wife!!! Mine says I'm "funkin' nuts" to get up at 3am and watch it. It's even harder every second week when the F1 is on at 11pm. It takes me till Wed- Thur to catch up on my sleep ready to start all over again.
I can't wait for daylight savings to kick in!!

Good luck this week fellas

PAWA