Rams -11 too many or a good bet?

[Axel Freed]

okay MNF and no mention of anything dodgy

Rams -11

any views on this game?

am thinking backdoor cover if i take the Rams i`ll be shrecking all game waiting for them to play their 2nd teamers and let the Falcons cover with a trash TD. does anyone think this line is higher than it should be cos its MNF and the Rams. what would you have it down as?

no way i play Falcons.just hope i can get 10 somewhere. 11 is a nasty nasty number and you will not be sure of victory until the final. i guess this is sort of game you bet and not watch. just check the final;

Is 11 too many. lot of great h`cappers on this board. would love some opinions please
anyone know what % of DD favs actually cover?

 

[bej0101]

:shrug:

 

[SKEETER1]

Have viewed it sonce MNF began

Have viewed it sonce MNF began

Pick a winner....spread only has come into effect almost 10% of the time since its existence.....but I warn youits 5-0 ATS this yr but a cover is coming soon...but I am playing the percentages and going with the Rams...again picking a winner..GL to ya

 

[RipIt3]

Picking a winner on MNF will win against the spread most of the time, it's true. But, most of the time, the line isn't over -8 or -9, let alone going over the td/fg and then sitting on -11. There's a reason picking the winner doesn't work 10% of the time and streaks are made to be broken.

Unless you think Atlanta has a shot at winning this game SU, I'd lay off it. It depends on which Atlanta team shows up. I've posted this before, and I'm going to post it again, I think it proves my point exactly...

Here's what Doug Johnson's done in his five games as QB for Atlanta...

Week 1: 228 yards, 2 TD's, 1 INT @ Dal (12)
Week 2: 197 yards, 2 TD's, 2 INT vs. Was (14)
Week 3: 95 yards, 0 TD's, 3 INT vs. TB (1)
Week 4: 152 yards, 0 TD's, 1 INT @ Car (19)
Week 5: 352 yards, 2 TD's, 2 INT vs. Min (3!!!)

The number in parentheses is opponent's defensive QB ranking (i.e. TB's defense has been tougher against opposing QB's than any other team).

Games 1, 2, 3 and 5 were in domes (I consider Dallas to be a dome, especially in the early part of the season). Take away Tampa who, unless you're Peyton Manning and that freakish MNF game, have a ridiculous pass D, here are Johnson's #'s for those dome games...

777 yards, 6 TD's and 5 INT's, and those are against pass defenses ranked in the top half of the league. Johnson's best game came against Minnesota, who's been better than just about every other team against the pass.

St Louis should win this game, but 11 points is awefully tough to cover, and even harder to predict when trying to take into account a wild-card like the Atlanta Falcons.

This game, for me, isn't the type you bet and not watch. Just because it's MNF or a team you feel you have a good beat on, that doesn't mean you have to play it. For me, this is a game I get some pizza and a beer for and just kick back and watch it, keeping my money in my pocket...

Good luck whichever way you decide to go! And let us know so I know which way to root for. My dad grew up in DC, huge Redskin fans, so whichever way you go is the way I'll be pullin' for.

Good luck!

 

[stagger lee]

Rams are 1-4 ats in last 3 years at home on Monday night:

Last year ? (pk) vs San Fran (W 31-20)
Last year ? (-10.5) vs Chicago (W 21-16)
2001 ? (-10) vs Tampa (L 17-24)
2000 ? (-6) vs Washington (L 20-33)
2000 ? (-6.5) vs Denver (W 41-36)

I read somewhere where Rams are 1-7 at home on Monday nights but only have a log book that goes back to ?93

 

[Statman02]

Rams 4/7 su 2/9 ats home on Mon night since 85