Saturday Oct 18

[JEFF]

ytd 49-42, -.8*

Time to rebound. Got pounded last week (3-9). Took one game almost immediately and will post writeup later on.

BC -3, 4*

 

[gardenweasel]

looked at this

looked at this

and there does appear to be a pretty reasonable defensive gap between the 2 clubs(almost 100 yards per game).....

add to that b.c.`s success on the road this year,their balance on offense and i think -3 is a very favorable number....

by no means a lock....but i think it`s worth a play...interested in hearing your rationale....

 

[TIDE2121]

GOOD LUCK GUYS THAT ONE JUMPED OUT AT ME AS WELL LIKE BC WON $ OFF THEM LAST WEEK

 

[ND2002HORNS]

You might be onto something! GL

HORNS

 

[JEFF]

OK, here's the reasoning ... Syracuse sucks!


Actually it is part of the reason. I've been following this Cuse team all year and knew they'd get pounded by VT last week. VT exposed them for what they are -- a team that can run the ball well on its home turf, but has poor special teams, poor defense and no depth.

BC is better in virtually every category:

SCORING OFFENSE G TD XP 2XP DXP FC Saf Pts Avg
Virginia Tech 6 36 33 0 0 8 0 273 45.5
Miami 6 23 20 1 0 13 1 201 33.5
Pittsburgh 5 22 21 0 0 4 1 167 33.4
[/b]Boston College 6 24 23 1 0 5 0 184 30.7
Syracuse 5 18 17 1 0 7 0 148 29.6
Rutgers 6 24 19 1 0 4 0 177 29.5
West Virginia 6 18 16 0 0 5 0 139 23.2
Temple 6 15 12 0 0 7 0 123 20.5


SCORING DEFENSE G TD XP 2XP DXP FC Saf Pts Avg
Virginia Tech 6 12 9 1 0 2 0 89 14.8
Miami 6 10 9 0 0 8 0 93 15.5
West Virginia 6 12 10 0 0 13 0 121 20.2
Pittsburgh 5 13 12 0 0 5 0 105 21.0
Boston College 6 19 13 0 0 2 1 135 22.5
Temple 6 21 19 1 0 8 0 171 28.5
Syracuse 5 18 17 0 0 8 0 149 29.8
Rutgers 6 24 20 1 0 6 0 184 30.7


PASS OFFENSE G At Cmp IntP Pct. Yds Avg TD YDS/G
Temple 6 252 134 4 53.2 1645 6.5 8 274.2
Pittsburgh 5 163 89 3 54.6 1370 8.4 18 274.0
Miami 6 218 134 11 61.5 1538 7.1 8 256.3
Rutgers 6 172 101 10 58.7 1256 7.3 9 209.3
Boston College 6 178 101 4 56.7 1237 6.9 12 206.2
Virginia Tech 6 140 88 5 62.9 1139 8.1 10 189.8
Syracuse 5 129 77 0 59.7 888 6.9 4 177.6
West Virginia 6 121 55 4 45.5 880 7.3 8 146.7


PASS DEFENSE G Att Cmp Int Pct. Yds Avg TD Yds/G
Miami 6 172 90 10 52.3 1120 6.5 4 186.7
Virginia Tech 6 174 95 8 54.6 1143 6.6 7 190.5
Boston College 6 230 121 11 52.6 1210 5.3 9 201.7
Rutgers 6 161 82 7 50.9 1253 7.8 10 208.8
Pittsburgh 5 176 106 4 60.2 1091 6.2 8 218.2
West Virginia 6 217 132 7 60.8 1355 6.2 5 225.8
Syracuse 5 192 121 7 63.0 1249 6.5 10 249.8
Temple 6 180 114 5 63.3 1499 8.3 12 249.8


KICKOFF RETURNS G Ret Yds TD Avg
Miami 6 18 491 1 27.3
Temple 6 24 593 0 24.7
Virginia Tech 6 11 271 1 24.6
West Virginia 6 29 698 0 24.1
Syracuse 5 19 457 0 24.1
Boston College 6 22 405 0 18.4
Rutgers 6 14 257 0 18.4
Pittsburgh 5 15 217 0 14.5


PUNTING G Punts Avg Ret Yds Avg Net/P
Pittsburgh 5 31 1415 45.6 18 196 6.3 39.3
Virginia Tech 6 20 847 42.3 7 76 3.8 38.5
Rutgers 6 32 1238 38.7 11 57 1.8 36.9
Miami 6 22 821 37.3 6 37 1.7 35.6
West Virginia 6 39 1566 40.2 20 178 4.6 35.6
Boston College 6 31 1252 40.4 15 202 6.5 33.9
Temple 6 31 1079 34.8 13 102 3.3 31.5
Syracuse 5 28 1105 39.5 16 288 10.3 29.2


|--Gained--| |---Lost---|
TURNOVER MARGIN G Fum Int Tot Fum Int Tot Mar Per/G
Syracuse 5 4 7 11 5 0 5 +6 1.20
West Virginia 6 10 7 17 6 4 10 +7 1.17
Rutgers 6 10 7 17 2 10 12 +5 0.83
Boston College 6 4 11 15 6 4 10 +5 0.83
Temple 6 8 5 13 4 4 8 +5 0.83
Pittsburgh 5 5 4 9 3 3 6 +3 0.60
Virginia Tech 6 5 8 13 6 5 11 +2 0.33
Miami 6 9 10 19 7 11 18 +1 0.17


RUSHING OFFENSE G Att Yds Avg TD Yds/G
Virginia Tech 6 258 1496 5.8 19 249.3
Syracuse 5 222 1149 5.2 14 229.8
Boston College 6 265 1262 4.8 11 210.3
West Virginia 6 261 1185 4.5 10 197.5
Miami 6 206 884 4.3 7 147.3
Rutgers 6 240 848 3.5 10 141.3
Pittsburgh 5 180 667 3.7 4 133.4
Temple 6 214 651 3.0 7 108.5


RUSHING DEFENSE G Rushes Yards Avg. TD Yds/G
Virginia Tech 6 204 533 2.6 4 88.8
Miami 6 213 695 3.3 5 115.8
Boston College 6 207 716 3.5 7 119.3
West Virginia 6 239 952 4.0 6 158.7
Pittsburgh 5 197 834 4.2 5 166.8
Syracuse 5 172 855 5.0 6 171.0
Temple 6 249 1132 4.5 9 188.7
Rutgers 6 267 1234 4.6 11 205.7


TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Yds/G
Virginia Tech 6 1496 1139 398 2635 6.6 29 439.2
Boston College 6 1262 1237 443 2499 5.6 23 416.5
Syracuse 5 1149 888 351 2037 5.8 18 407.4
Pittsburgh 5 667 1370 343 2037 5.9 22 407.4
Miami 6 884 1538 424 2422 5.7 15 403.7
Temple 6 651 1645 466 2296 4.9 15 382.7
Rutgers 6 848 1256 412 2104 5.1 19 350.7
West Virginia 6 1185 880 382 2065 5.4 18 344.2


TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plys Yards Avg TD Yds/G
Virginia Tech 6 533 1143 378 1676 4.4 11 279.3
Miami 6 695 1120 385 1815 4.7 9 302.5
Boston College 6 716 1210 437 1926 4.4 16 321.0
West Virginia 6 952 1355 456 2307 5.1 11 384.5
Pittsburgh 5 834 1091 373 1925 5.2 13 385.0
Rutgers 6 1234 1253 428 2487 5.8 21 414.5
Syracuse 5 855 1249 364 2104 5.8 16 420.8
Temple 6 1132 1499 429 2631 6.1 21 438.5


PUNT RETURNS G Ret TD Avg
Virginia Tech 6 21 362 3 17.2
Miami 6 16 260 2 16.2
Rutgers 6 12 169 1 14.1
Temple 6 11 147 0 13.4
Pittsburgh 5 16 167 0 10.4
Syracuse 5 12 100 0 8.3
Boston College 6 13 105 0 8.1
West Virginia 6 12 70 0 5.8


PASS EFFICIENCY G Att Cmp Pct Int Yds TD Effic
Pittsburgh 5 163 89 .546 3 1370 18 158.0
Virginia Tech 6 140 88 .629 5 1139 10 147.6
Boston College 6 178 101 .567 4 1237 12 132.9
Syracuse 5 129 77 .597 0 888 4 127.7
Rutgers 6 172 101 .587 10 1256 9 125.7
Miami 6 218 134 .615 11 1538 8 122.7
West Virginia 6 121 55 .455 4 880 8 121.8
Temple 6 252 134 .532 4 1645 8 115.3


PASS DEF EFFICIENCY G Att Cmp Int Pct. Yds TD Effic
Boston College 6 230 121 11 52.6 1210 9 100.1
Miami 6 172 90 10 52.3 1120 4 103.1
Virginia Tech 6 174 95 8 54.6 1143 7 113.9
West Virginia 6 217 132 7 60.8 1355 5 114.4
Pittsburgh 5 176 106 4 60.2 1091 8 122.8
Syracuse 5 192 121 7 63.0 1249 10 127.6
Rutgers 6 161 82 7 50.9 1253 10 128.1
Temple 6 180 114 5 63.3 1499 12 149.7


FIRST DOWNS G Rush Pass Penn Total
Virginia Tech 6 72 60 8 140
Boston College 6 66 55 14 135
Miami 6 53 73 8 134
Temple 6 41 81 10 132
Rutgers 6 47 55 10 112
Pittsburgh 5 42 52 9 103
Syracuse 5 53 39 4 96
West Virginia 6 54 32 10 96


OPPONENT 1ST DOWNS G Rush Pass Penn Total
Virginia Tech 6 29 45 6 80
Miami 6 41 38 15 94
Pittsburgh 5 36 55 7 98
Syracuse 5 42 54 12 108
Boston College 6 39 58 14 111
Rutgers 6 63 46 19 128
Temple 6 62 58 11 131
West Virginia 6 56 70 13 139


SACKS BY G Sacks Yards
Temple 6 15 91
Rutgers 6 15 116
Miami 6 14 103
Virginia Tech 6 11 91
Boston College 6 7 55
West Virginia 6 6 40
Pittsburgh 5 5 42
Syracuse 5 3 10


PENALTIES G No Yds
Virginia Tech 6 32 296 49.3
Syracuse 5 28 267 53.4
Pittsburgh 5 39 273 54.6
Rutgers 6 44 372 62.0
West Virginia 6 48 434 72.3
Boston College 6 58 456 76.0
Temple 6 54 486 81.0
Miami 6 62 488 81.3


OPPONENT PENALTIES G No Yds
Rutgers 6 45 441 73.5
Temple 6 52 393 65.5
Boston College 6 48 374 62.3
Miami 6 46 349 58.2
West Virginia 6 45 332 55.3
Pittsburgh 5 28 242 48.4
Virginia Tech 6 41 288 48.0
Syracuse 5 28 212 42.4


4TH-DN CONVERSIONS G Conv Att Pct
Virginia Tech 6 2 2 100.0
Miami 6 4 4 100.0
Temple 6 11 16 68.8
Syracuse 5 5 9 55.6
Boston College 6 7 14 50.0
Pittsburgh 5 1 2 50.0
West Virginia 6 2 7 28.6
Rutgers 6 1 4 25.0


OPP 4TH-DN CONVERT G Conv Att Pct
Temple 6 1 10 10.0
Syracuse 5 2 8 25.0
West Virginia 6 2 6 33.3
Boston College 6 6 14 42.9
Pittsburgh 5 5 9 55.6
Rutgers 6 5 9 55.6
Miami 6 8 14 57.1
Virginia Tech 6 6 10 60.0


3RD-DN CONVERSIONS G Conv Att Pct
Virginia Tech 6 39 74 52.7
Miami 6 35 80 43.8
Rutgers 6 35 82 42.7
Boston College 6 34 89 38.2
Pittsburgh 5 22 68 32.4
Syracuse 5 22 69 31.9
West Virginia 6 23 80 28.8
Temple 6 26 95 27.4


OPP 3RD-DN CONVERT G Conv Att Pct
Miami 6 15 80 18.8
Virginia Tech 6 28 90 31.1
Pittsburgh 5 27 84 32.1
Boston College 6 32 97 33.0
Rutgers 6 33 92 35.9
Syracuse 5 27 73 37.0
West Virginia 6 33 88 37.5
Temple 6 31 82 37.8


SACKS AGAINST G Sacks Yards
Miami 6 3 22
Syracuse 5 4 34
Virginia Tech 6 6 25
Boston College 6 7 58
Rutgers 6 9 67
West Virginia 6 9 58
Pittsburgh 5 15 122
Temple 6 17 107

 

[JEFF]

I know that was a lot of info and poorly formatted but the point is, if you look at the stats, BC is better in almost everything that matters.

The only thing that really scares me about this is the possible look ahead -- BC has Notre Dame on deck. Still, I think this is a focused, well coached team.

Key stat -- I did some research and found that before the loss to Wake earlier this season, BC had won straight up the previous 24 times they were favored.

BC has also played a tougher sked. Syracuse has beaten UNC, UCF, and Toledo and lost to Louisville, and got pounded by VT. BC is 4-2 with a fluky loss to Wake (they led by DD late in the game but gave it away on a TO in the final few minutes) and a loss to Miami. On the road BC is 3-0, having beaten Penn State, UConn and Temple all by DD.

As much hype as there's been about Reyes, BC has the nation's leading rusher in Derrick Knight. But no one is paying any attention to him. BC is giving up 3.6 yards a carry. Cuse is allowing five. Thats a key, because Cuse and Anderson aren't much of a downfield passing threat. BC has four guys with two or more interceptions.

Porter from BC has hardly been a star, but he's third in the Big East in efficiency behind Randall and Rutherford.

Even playing a much tougher sked than Cuse, BC has allowed 22.5 ppg compared to 29.8 for Cuse. This is a very bad defensive football team.

 

[gardenweasel]

damn,jeff

damn,jeff

a couple sentences would have been sufficient:lol: .....now go and put some iodine on those bloody stumps .......i`m sold.....

waiting for the rest....errr,the picks will suffice....

best of luck this weekend....hopefully,we both bounce back...

 

[JEFF]

weasel

I guess the reason I posted so much is because this is a semi-GOY for me. Not going to call it that, because I don't want to jinx it. But I pounded it pretty heavily.

I'm gonna try to not play as many games this week. Been playing too many and its caught up with me. See a few sides a like and maybe one or two totals. Liking Clemson a lot now that they have momentum and a running game, but have to do some more looking.

 

[ND2002HORNS]

You are right, the almighty look ahead. I was listening to a show on the internet in SU and the players were saying how pissed they were that BC got the invite to the ACC and SU. More motivation and SU is so tough on the carpet in the Dome. GL

HORNS

 

[ajoytoy]

Like BC?

GL...you might be swaying to their side buddy!


toy

 

[hellah10]

gl

 

[DR STRANGELOVE]

gl Jeff!

 

[JEFF]

Thursday night

Thursday night

Clemson +5.5, 3*
Clemson ML +190, 2*

I really believe Clemson wins this game. Classic case of two teams going in different directions. Clemson has underachieved last few years, but is finally starting to click. The running game is no longer non-existent with Yusef Kelley back in the mix. That was the problem all this time, but it may be corrected now.

NC State has been a big disappointment because of a terrible defense and injuries. Three more starters are out now, including Reid, the kick returner and DB. The DBs were already terrible, as is the run D. The #2 RB is iffy with an injury and McClendon is just getting back to health.

Clemson wants to keep winning and finally turn the corner under Bowden, who needs more big wins. They have the momentum after beating UVA last week. Meanwhile, NCSt should have lost to UConn at home. NCSt pounded Clemson on ESPN Thursday night last year, so there's even more motivation. The Tigers have a lot of extra confidence after last week. NCState's confidence and motivation are highly questionable at this point after being a preseason national title darhorse.

NCSt will put up some points, but I think Clemson will be much more balanced and far better on defense.

Col State/Air Force Under 52.5, 3*

 

[JEFF]

final plays...

final plays...

BC -3, 4*
UVA +8.5, 4*
Minny -5, 3*
S. Carolina +4.5, 3*