Handicapping question ?

[buddy]

This requires an honest answer.

How many of you have spent / are spending time in review of last weeks card to see where mistakes were made?

What attracted you to a side which was blown out?

What attracted you to a game which landed too close to the number?

How many of you believe reviewing last weeks card is a waste of time?

The bookmaker put me to sleep on three of my plays and I don't want to make the same mistake again. I believe reviewing the matchup card along with my records can help me from repeating the same mistake.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

I think that 75% of the games are a coinflip, so anything that lands within 10-14 points of the number doesn't get my attention.

I will review games where I'm dead wrong to try and figure out what I missed, but I'm not always successful at it.

 

[bej0101]

i spend no time , i continue to lose money, perhaps i'm wrong:shrug:

 

[Bigdog4242]

Buddy,

I do it all the time. Ask myself the same questions and about the games I lost on. I still can't figuire out the ASU/UNC game I know why they didn't cover but I would bet the same 9/10 games. When Tuesday comes I put everything behind and look forward to the next week. Hope this helps!!


Bigdog

 

[Joe De]

good point!

go to collegefootballnews.com..for those who would like to reveiw

gives an overview( briefly) of the past weeks games..

 

[Jaxx]

I go to bed thinking about it. I wake up thinking about it. I am consumed with it. Still learning but I will get there.
I hope!

 

[CardShark]

Really don't lose enough to worry about it.

If I do it's on a backdoor cover, or some late bullshit llike almost happened to KC and did happen to the Texans

 

[dr. freeze]

most of the time one team will have a bad day...things go wrong, and it gets compounded.....

no use fretting over it.....the "bookmaker" isnt in charge and doesn't "take it to you"........teams have good days and bad....sometimes you catch a team on a bad day and you lose your bet no matter how right you were...period end of story no use to overanalyze

 

[JCDunkDogs]

Good point dr. freeze.

Some games are not worth doing an exhaustive post-mortem analysis.

Mort Olshan in his Gold Sheet used to say that 50% of all games were decided by what he called "the X-factor" (i.e., unforeseen circumstances such as turnovers, injuries, weather changes, flukey plays, etc.). Even the best handicapped game can go bad when these things happen.

 

[SHOWRUNNER]

buddy - i go over all my plays after the result is in - take some notes & try to learn from my wins & my losses...some view this as a waste of time - i view it as learning as much as i can about the teams I have wagered on...it helps in the future...

A big thing I look at is the so called "public" plays - we all know there are some plays where like 75% or more of the people seem to be on that side - and we all know that the public usually loses more than they win - but there are the times that we should be on the side of the public - take the last MNF game for example - everyone deemed the Chiefs as the "public side" and they ended up being the right side...I like to take note of the lines where it looks like a "trap" - those too good to be true lines...I try to understand what side does Vegas want us to be on...I know my handicapping has improved over the past 5 years - especially as to understanding the psychology of how Vegas sets the lines...this is the biggest aspect of handicapping that cappers need to pay attention to

Anyways - time spent looking over your plays is time well spent...it cannot hurt you - only help you in the future...the more each and every one of us tries to understand more about sports handicapping - the better off we will all be if we continue to work together and share our knowledge...

GL to all of you!

--showrunner