I like the Dolphins -6 [has gone to -6.5] and the Under 38.5. Why?
1. Greise will be rusty after no game action since pre-season. They will keep the game plan simple with runs and short passes which will keep the clock running...lots of long possessions...lots of punts..perhaps missed field goals like yesterdays Cards/49ers games...
2. LaDanian will get the ball at least 25 times...he was held to 45 yards in last years 30-3 loss to Miami...
3. Miami has a very good Defense...Seau will be looking to make lots of plays against his former team...
4. Ricky Williams will get the ball a bunch of times - he was held to 94 yards vs. the PATS last week...and 50 yards on 24 carries last year vs. San Diego...but that team had Junior Seau on it...
5. Miami should bounce back from the loss at home to the PATS, and unless Griese turns the ball over, or there are unusual and untimely penalties against the Fish, or the special teams break down, I can see Miami winning by 10-13 points...maybe 23-10...
Tease Miami +1 and Under 45.5
PROPS I like:
1. Chris Chambers 4 catches [over]
2. Drew Brees under 36.5 pass attempts
3. LaDanian Tomlinson Over 20 rushes
4. Ricky Williams under 110.5 yards rushing
5. Total first downs in the game: Over 37.5
Good luck...IP
1. Greise will be rusty after no game action since pre-season. They will keep the game plan simple with runs and short passes which will keep the clock running...lots of long possessions...lots of punts..perhaps missed field goals like yesterdays Cards/49ers games...
2. LaDanian will get the ball at least 25 times...he was held to 45 yards in last years 30-3 loss to Miami...
3. Miami has a very good Defense...Seau will be looking to make lots of plays against his former team...
4. Ricky Williams will get the ball a bunch of times - he was held to 94 yards vs. the PATS last week...and 50 yards on 24 carries last year vs. San Diego...but that team had Junior Seau on it...
5. Miami should bounce back from the loss at home to the PATS, and unless Griese turns the ball over, or there are unusual and untimely penalties against the Fish, or the special teams break down, I can see Miami winning by 10-13 points...maybe 23-10...
Tease Miami +1 and Under 45.5
PROPS I like:
1. Chris Chambers 4 catches [over]
2. Drew Brees under 36.5 pass attempts
3. LaDanian Tomlinson Over 20 rushes
4. Ricky Williams under 110.5 yards rushing
5. Total first downs in the game: Over 37.5
Good luck...IP