Boise -5-??

Skipper

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Feb 19, 2003
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Does this opening line look low to anyone else?? BYU got lucky last week. I just don't see them holding Boise down I don't care where this game is!!
 

CapperChris

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Hmmm...some notes on this game...

Boise 41-20 ATS over the last 10 years...21-11 the last 3...

Boise 23-8 ATS after 2 or more SU wins since '92...3-1 this year...

Boise 12-3 ATS in the second half of the season the last 3 years...

Boise 21-4 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games the last 10 years...12-3 the last 3 years...2-0 this year...

Boise 11-3 ATS when playing a team with a losing record the last 3 years...

Boise 12-3 ATS versus penalty prone teams averaging 60 or more penalty yards per game the last 3 years...

BYU off a 2 game road trip...1-16 ATS since '92...0-5 last 3 years...

BYU vs. teams averaging over 275 yards per game passing...1-5 ATS last 3 years...0-2 this year...


Nice system to add...Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points when you have a team outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards per game (Boise) after outgaining an opponent by 175 or more yards in 2 staright games...WHEW...32-11 ATS since '92 and 15-5 the last 3 years...75%...

Hard to side with BYU here...I think the line may continue to move up...
 

bgold13

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there is something in the air in prove, good teams play poorly there for some reason. I lthought boise would be 7 point favs here but 5.5 is too good to pass up, obviously boise is playing there best ball of the year right now
 

Statman02

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just one thing that's a little troubling about this is strength of schedule......Boise's 1-A opponents are 17/36 against other 1-A teams for .320......BYU has played all 1-A opps and those teams are 36/30 against other 1-A's for .545.......those last 2 teams that Boise blew away are a combined 3/14 on the season vs 1-As
 

CapperChris

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True...strength of schedule is in BYU's favor...I did look at the game each team played against Wyoming, their only common opponent. BYU lost 13-10 as a 1.5 favorite in Wyoming while Boise won 33-17 as a 24 point favorite in Boise. Both teams played tough defensively, but BYU had a tough time offensively.

I like the momentum Boise should carry into this game from an offensive standpoint. They are 21-6 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992, outscoring their opponent in these games by an average of 16 points. Boise seems to get on a roll when they play winnable games. For example, after playing 3 straight games as a favorite they are 2-0 ATS this year and 12-1 ATS in the past three.

BYU vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game are 0-2 this year ATS...1-8 in the past 3 seasons.

It's tough to play BYU here...but as we all know, anything is possible. I will have my money on Boise.
 

CapperChris

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"WE ARE WHO WE ARE?"

"WE ARE WHO WE ARE?"

This article was interesting...sounds like BYU is not too confident...also note that BYU may be without running back Rey Brathwaite.

PROVO -- Mark this down: Boise State's offense will exploit Brigham Young's defense in tonight's game at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
The Cougars have accepted it, knowing no team can control the high-powered Broncos. The key is to avoid discouragement and keep playing.
"Playing the entire game is going to be important," said BYU defensive coordinator Bronco Mendenhall.
Boise State's quick-strike offense has led to the team averaging 41.9 points a game, which is fourth in Division I-A. Its average of 517.9 yards of total offense ranks third.
On the strength of quarterback Ryan Dinwiddie, the Broncos average 360 passing yards a game.
The staggering numbers are enough to give Mendenhall a headache. But they won't make him overhaul BYU's defensive scheme.
"The worst thing we can do is make drastic changes," he said. "We are who we are. Hopefully that's enough."
A smart fellow, Mendenhall has learned from his mistakes. Going into BYU's game against Colorado State, which also was played on a Thursday three weeks ago, Mendenhall installed several new alignments.
The result was mass confusion. And disaster.
The Cougars got crushed, 58-13.
After the game, coach Gary Crowton sought advice from CSU coach Sonny Lubick. He backed off in practice this week to keep the players fresh and tried to stay with the same routine.
Early success could go a long way toward beating Boise State.
"They're on a good roll," Crowton said. "You've got to disrupt their rhythm. If you survive an early drive, it's really good, especially against a team that's in a rhythm like they are. Every time you disrupt it, it takes a little confidence away from them."
For this game, BYU will use its usual blitzing defense, designed to confuse the quarterback. Except for the CSU game, the defense has played well.
San Diego State burned BYU's secondary, but the Cougars came back to control Wyoming's passing game.
"I think Bronco Mendenhall should be banned from college football," said Boise State coach Dan Hawkins. "That guy's unbelievable. He's a really good guy, but he' really gone off the deep end with his defensive thing."
Given Dinwiddie's experience as a three-year starter, BYU could struggle to confuse Boise State's offense. The Cougars will try to bring pressure from unsuspecting places.
All aspects of the defense will contribute to get heat on the quarterback.
"Our scheme is based on pressure," said linebacker Colby Bockwoldt. "We have to get in their backfield, but our secondary has to cover and give us time to get there.
"I'm not sure if they've faced our scheme. Our scheme is kind of special. Most quarterbacks, they haven't seen much of it."
BYU's offense also must help out the defense. Conceding that Boise State will score only increases the urgency on the Cougars to follow suit.
Statistically, BYU's offense is substantially weaker than Boise State's. The Cougars are averaging 18.9 points a game, which is last in the Mountain West and 95th nationally.
But last week's win over UNLV bolstered BYU's confidence. Assistant coach Robbie Bosco is expected to continue calling the plays.
BYU may be without running back Rey Brathwaite. The team's leading rusher, who is ill and suffering from multiple injuries, is considered doubtful.
"We need to be able to score a lot of points this game," said receiver Jason Kukahiko. "Boise State is going to score points."
 

kenman

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Aug 17, 2002
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I read this from another poster. So take it what its worth.

BYu has teamwide influenza

(10/29 02:12am) The Daily Herald reports -
Everyone?s sore,? Pili said. ?We?re all pretty beat up. But I think there?s a sense of urgency here and we know we have to prepare. I know some guys who would?ve missed practice yesterday because of injuries and
being sick, they suited up just because they know how short the week is.?
BYU reported more than 20 players have battled flu-like symptoms this week.
 
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